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According to prepared testimony from Acting FDIC Chair Travis Hill, the agency expects to publish a proposed rule that lays out how stablecoin issuers will apply for federal oversight before the end of December 2025.

What The Draft Will Cover

Based on reports, the initial proposal will focus on the “application framework” — the paperwork, disclosures and standards firms must meet to seek approval as regulated stablecoin issuers.

The proposal is not the final set of bank-level rules; it will outline the process, while a second proposal that spells out capital, liquidity and reserve requirements is slated for early next year.

Market Reaction And Immediate Impact

Reports have disclosed that the GENIUS Act, the law behind this process, named the FDIC as a lead regulator for bank-related stablecoins and set deadlines for implementing agencies to act.

The move is expected to provide clearer guidance for firms that want to issue USD-pegged coins under federal supervision. Some firms could alter their timelines or pause launches until the rules are final.

Stablecoin: How The Law Got Here

The GENIUS Act was passed by Congress in mid-2025 and signed into law by US President Donald Trump on July 18, 2025. The Senate approved the bill by a 68–30 vote and the House backed it 308–122.

The statute lays out which agencies do what, and it requires a sequence of rulemakings, such as capital and liquidity standards, that regulators must implement.

Public Comment Period

Officials say the FDIC’s first proposed rule will be followed by a public comment period, giving industry groups, banks and nonbank firms a chance to respond.

After that, prudential measures aimed at FDIC-supervised issuers — the rules that set minimum capital cushions and reserve asset standards — will be proposed early next year.

Analysts and industry observers will be watching closely to see whether the FDIC limits its oversight mainly to bank-sponsored stablecoins or seeks a broader scope.

They will also pay attention to how strict the capital and liquidity requirements will be when the rules are proposed in early 2026.

Coordination with other regulatory agencies will be another key focus, since the GENIUS Act assigns responsibilities across several federal regulators.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Tether, the issuer of USDT, has long been considered one of the most stable assets in the crypto market, but a recent report suggests that a crash in the Bitcoin price could jeopardize the stablecoin’s solvency. Arthur Hayes, co-founder and CIO of BitMEX, has revealed that a portion of USDT’s reserves is allocated to BTC, potentially exposing it to heightened market volatility. 

Bitcoin Price Crash To Threaten Tether USDT Stability 

In a recent report shared on X earlier this week, Hayes outlined market risks that could have a devastating impact on Tether’s USDT. The BitMEX founder explained that the stablecoin issuer has been executing a large-scale interest rate trade, likely betting on a Federal Reserve (FED) rate cut. 

He stated that the stablecoin issuer has accumulated significant positions in Bitcoin and gold to hedge against falling interest income. As a result, Hayes has warned that if Tether’s positions in both gold and Bitcoin were to decline by roughly 30%, it could wipe out its entire equity, theoretically putting USDT at risk of insolvency. 

Since stablecoins are typically backed by the US dollar, the crypto founder has stated that a severe drop in Tether’s reserve value could trigger panic amongst USDT holders and crypto exchanges. In such a scenario, they might demand immediate insight into the stablecoin issuer’s balance sheet to gauge solvency risk. Hayes has also suggested that the mainstream media could further amplify the concerns, creating widespread market alarm.  

Analyst Fires Back Against Hayes’ USDT Claims

Following Hayes’ statements on X, Tether’s USDT has come under scrutiny, with crypto analysts debating the resilience of its reserves. A former Citi Research lead, Joseph Ayoub, challenged Hayes’ claims, arguing that even if Bitcoin and gold prices were to crash 30%, a USDT insolvency remains highly unlikely. 

He highlighted that the BitMEX co-founder had missed three key points in his post. Ayoub noted that Tether’s publicly disclosed assets do not represent the entirety of its corporate holdings. According to him, when Tether issues USDT, it maintains a separate equity balance sheet that is not publicly reported. The reserve numbers that are eventually disclosed are intended to show how USDT is backed. At the same time, the company maintains a balance sheet for equity investments, mining operations, corporate reserves, possibly more Bitcoin, and the rest distributed as dividends to shareholders.

Ayoub also described Tether’s core operations as highly profitable and efficient. He stated that the company holds over $100 billion in interest-yielding treasuries, generating roughly $10 billion in liquid profit annually while operating a relatively small team. The former Citi research lead estimated that the stablecoin issuer’s equity is likely valued at between $50 billion and $100 billion, providing it with a substantial cushion against losses in its crypto and gold holdings. 

Finally, Ayoub disclosed that Tether operates like traditional banks, maintaining only 5-10% of deposits in liquid assets, while the remaining 85% are held in longer-term investments. He also noted that the stablecoin issuer is significantly better collateralized than banks, adding that with their ability to print money, bankruptcy is virtually impossible.

XRP may be holding above the $2 price mark for a brief period, but the leading altcoin is still facing heightened bearish pressures at that level due to a broader market pullback on Monday. Even with the ongoing downward trend in price, XRP is still experiencing robust engagement as evidenced by the massive surge in activity on the XRP Ledger.

An Explosive uptick In XRP Ledger’s Activity

Prices are constantly dwindling along with the entire crypto market, but the XRP Ledger is seeing sharp engagement within the bearish period. After months of quiet and reduced adoption, the Ledger has roared back to life, recording one of its strongest growth waves yet.

Arthur, a community member and official partner of the BingX cryptocurrency exchange, shared this surge in activity on the social media platform X. This isn’t a mild rise; it’s a growth wave with significant weight behind it, the kind that indicates an expanding utility rather than fleeting speculation.

Furthermore, the sharp growth in activity suggests that more investors are choosing to conduct their day-to-day XRP operations on the Ledger, reflecting a renewed conviction in the network. The Ledger’s current activity spike is centered around the rise in Account Set transactions to a point not seen in years.

After navigating through XRPL metrics, the expert revealed that more than 40,000 Account Set transactions were carried out on the Ledger, marking its highest level in years. Such a massive wave of transactions to a new peak suggests that the Ledger may be speeding into its next phase in a market where many chains find it difficult to sustain momentum.

At the same time, there was also a surge in Automated Market Maker (AMM) bids just after November 23 concluded, indicating that preparations are taking place on the network. With Ripple’s stablecoin RLUSD approvals, AMM rollout, and the onboarding of institutional investors at an accelerated rate, it simply implies that the Ledger is picking up pace. 

Open Interest Suffers A Steep Decline

While the price of XRP has pulled back, the decline appears to be heavily impacting investors’ sentiment toward the altcoin. Its derivatives market has significantly lost its weight in a single and steep decline as Open Interest (OI) experiences a sharp drop.

In a report from Glassnode, a leading on-chain data analytics platform, the token’s futures open interest fell from 1.7 billion XRP in early October to 0.7 billion XRP by the end of November. This figure represents a more than 59% flush out from October to November alone.

The funding rates have also followed suit, recording a drop from 0.001% to 0.001% in the 7-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). A combination of the drop in open interest and funding rates marks a structural pause in the altcoin’s speculators’ appetite to bet heavily on an upward direction. At the time of writing, the altcoin was trading at $2.02 after falling by over 1% in the last 24 hours.

Concerns have emerged over whether Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto’s 1 million BTC fortune could be hacked. Crypto analyst Camol claims that advanced quantum computing could eventually crack Nakatomo’s wallet, draining it entirely. The analyst’s argument has sparked heated debate across the crypto community, with many critics dismissing the claims as unfounded and misleading. 

Will Quantum Computing Crack Nakamoto’s Bitcoin?

In an X post released on Monday, December 1, Camol predicted that Nakamoto’s BTC wallet will be drained within the next 10 years as quantum computing power advances exponentially. He called this rapid, annual double acceleration Neven’s Law, warning that the Bitcoin creator’s over $131 billion BTC stash could eventually be exposed to unprecedented risks and hacks. 

Camol’s argument focuses on Bitcoin’s secp256k1 elliptic curve and ECDSA signatures, which are used to secure wallets. He claims that these could eventually be reversed using Shor’s Algorithm, a quantum algorithm that, in theory, can break elliptic curve cryptography once sufficiently powerful quantum hardware exists. The analyst warns that if such a technology becomes viable, it could compromise the security of even the most well-protected Bitcoin holdings—in this case, Nakamoto’s. 

In his post, Camol also stated that Satoshi’s 1 million BTC fortune could face additional vulnerability because the wallet address is protected by a 160-bit hash that has never been exposed through spending activity. He claims that a powerful quantum attack could crack the hash and reveal the public key, eventually uncovering the private key through multiple attempts. The analyst also pointed out that sophisticated bad actors, such as state-sponsored groups and wealthy cybercriminals, could access Nakamoto’s BTC wallet. 

Experts And AI Dismiss BTC Quantum Hacking Claims

Crypto analyst @level941 on X sharply rebuked Camol’s claims, emphasizing that Satoshi’s BTC holdings are fundamentally more secure than most coins in circulation. He surmised that because Satoshi’s BTC is stored in early P2PKH addresses, the public keys will remain hidden and the wallet will stay locked unless the Bitcoin creator manually removes his coins. 

@level941 called Camol’s statements “false” and “incorrect,” noting that Quantum computers can only break RSA or ECC systems when the public key is known. This means that Satoshi’s BTC is protected by a 160-bit RIPED160 hash that quantum machines cannot brute force in any foreseeable timeline. 

The analyst also argued that if the Bitcoin network ever migrated to a quantum-safe signature scheme, Satoshi’s unmoved coins would become permanently locked rather than hacked or drained. Independent analysis from advanced AI systems further rejects Camol’s quantum-hacking narrative as scientifically unsupported. 

According to reports, present-day quantum computers have fewer than 1,000 noisy qubits, far short of the millions of error-corrected qubits required to break Bitcoin’s cryptography. AI systems also highlight that there is no evidence suggesting that a Bitcoin-breaking quantum machine will appear within ten years. It also revealed that Neven’s Law, which Camol referenced, is no longer considered a reliable predictor of long-term growth in quantum computing. In conclusion, the odds of Nakamoto’s BTC fortune being hacked are extremely low for at least the next few decades. 

Криптовалютный рынок мало чем отличается от других рынков: продавцы хотят продать подороже, а покупатели купить подешевле. В результате цены у одних разнятся с ценами у других, создавая спред. Если последний достаточно большой, то трейдеры могут столкнуться с проскальзыванием.

Crypto pundit Rob Cunningham has outlined a scenario where Ripple could achieve a $7 trillion valuation based on the XRP price. The crypto firm is notably the largest XRP holder, which is why a significant surge in the altcoin’s price could increase the company’s valuation. 

Ripple Could Hit A $7 Trillion Valuation With An XRP Price Of $250

In an X post, Cunningham predicted that Ripple could hit a $7 trillion valuation if the XRP price were to rally to $250.  Specifically, the pundit outlined a scenario where the company’s XRP position could account for $4.25 trillion of its valuation. He claimed that Ripple owned 17 billion XRP, which would amount to $4.25 trillion at $250 per XRP, the projected price. 

Cunningham noted that this trillion-dollar valuation for Ripple, based on an XRP price surge to $250, would make the company 6.6x times more valuable than Visa and 8.6x times more valuable than Mastercard. $4.25 trillion also represents 3.6% of the world’s GDP, which stands at $117 trillion. 

Based on an XRP price of $250, the pundit noted that the total XRP market value would be $15 trillion. Ripple’s 17 billion XRP holdings represent 28% of the circulating supply. Meanwhile, Cunningham listed other factors that could drive the firm to a $7 trillion valuation, including the passage of the CLARITY Act. 

Other Factors That Would Contribute To A $7 Trillion Valuation

In addition to the XRP price surge to $250 and the CLARITY Act, Cunningham listed the Treasury’s approval of Ripple’s business as another factor. The pundit explained that the Treasury approval would mean that XRP and XRP Ledger (XRPL) would get global regulatory clarity as a core infrastructure layer for the new monetary system. 

He also outlined a scenario where RLUSD and XRP become the default U.S. dollar rails globally, which would also contribute to Ripple’s projected $7 trillion valuation. The pundit noted that RLUSD already has a $1 billion market cap with $95 billion in payment volume and is growing. Cunningham also indicated that the XRP price could easily rally to $250, as this scenario positions XRP for a global settlement role rather than just another crypto asset. 

The pundit also gave a “conservative” equity value of $1.3 trillion to $2.7 trillion for the payment firm. He noted that markets could apply a 60% to 80% discount to the $4.25 valuation, given an XRP price surge to $250 due to the high concentration in a single asset. 

Cunningham also alluded to the political risk, as if Ripple’s payment system becomes the default settlement rail, governments may want a say in their operations. He also outlined possible capital controls, windfall taxes, or forced restructurings as other factors that could reduce Ripple’s projected $7 trillion valuation.

Гендиректор крупнейшей инвестиционной компании мира BlackRock Ларри Финк (Larry Fink) порассуждал о возможностях токенизации активов, сравнив текущее развитие технологии с бумом интернета в 1990-х годах.

Один из крупнейших американских банков Bank of America (ВоА) порекомендовал своим клиентам выделить на криптовалюты 1–4% инвестиционного портфеля.

With the crypto market turning increasingly bearish, Bitcoin’s price has experienced another pullback, bringing it closer to the $80,000 mark once again. Along with the current drop in price, BTC’s derivatives market is showcasing bearish performance, suffering one of its steepest declines of the ongoing cycle.

Mass Derivative Unwind For Bitcoin

In a volatile landscape, Bitcoin’s Open Interest (OI) has contracted sharply as though the speculative framework supporting the market were suddenly removed. This steep drop in open interest comes after a sudden pullback in the price of BTC, causing it to lose the previously reclaimed $91,000 mark.

A report from Darkfost, a market expert and author at CryptoQuant, shows that the open interest has been sliced in half, indicating a drastic shift in investors’ sentiment and behavior. With a massive portion of leverage being evaporated, the market now stands unusually silent, while it prepares for its next decisive trigger.

Darkfost highlighted that Bitcoin leveraged positions continue to get liquidated or are being intentionally closed. Despite the recent drop in BTC’s price, this period of uncertainty is not bolstering traders’ enthusiasm to increase their exposure to risk.

Currently, the market is exhibiting a risk-off attitude, a trend that is understandable given the current state of the crypto environment. As a result, the open interest of BTC has cleared a whopping $20 billion. Data shared by the expert shows that the key metric fell from 47.5 billion BTC to 28.35 billion BTC between October 6 and December, indicating a drop of half during the period. 

According to the expert, this is the worst flush in both the current cycle and the history of Bitcoin since the availability of the derivatives market. “I continue to say that the derivatives market has a major impact on Bitcoin and is the number one driver,” Darkfost stated.

BTC Percentage Loss Hits Historic Level

As the Bitcoin price continues to pull back, short-term BTC holders are feeling the weight of the waning action. These holders, also referred to as retail investors, have realized substantial losses from their positions. 

Darkfost’s research is based solely on the spot market. His objective is to identify a very particular group of investors who speculate over the short term. With a realized price of $113,692, BTC holders between 1 month and 3 months are now experiencing the largest percentage loss in the ongoing market cycle. 

For the past two weeks, this group of investors has been holding average unrealized losses between 20% and 25%. During his cycle, these phases have been linked with the creation of a bottom. This is because the cohort often has to decide between two behaviors: selling or holding.

In the event that a large portion of these traders are capitulating, this is typically the moment when the opportunity to accumulate BTC becomes more interesting, as observed in recent weeks. However, this setup becomes valid if the bullish trend remains intact in the long term, which Darkfost expresses trust in for the meantime.

Убытки криптопроектов от атак хакеров в ноябре превысили $194 млн. Это на 969% больше, чем в октябре, когда потери составили $18 млн, сообщили эксперты работающей в области кибербезопасности компании PeckShield.

Elon Musk, CEO di Tesla e SpaceX, ha riacceso il dibattito su Bitcoin dopo un recente post in cui ha affermato che la criptovaluta è «basata sull’energia» e che l’energia, a differenza della moneta tradizionale, «non può essere falsificata». Il commento, pubblicato su X, ha attirato rapidamente l’attenzione di investitori, analisti e figure politiche.

Il messaggio è arrivato mentre i mercati erano già in movimento: al momento del post Bitcoin oscillava intorno agli 86.500$, con un sentiment piuttosto instabile. I media crypto hanno registrato in poche ore una raffica di reazioni, sia da parte di trader sia di osservatori istituzionali. Alcuni hanno interpretato le parole di Musk come un possibile supporto alla narrativa di BTC come strumento di protezione dall’inflazione.

Bitcoin come “moneta energetica”

Nella sostanza, Musk lega il valore di Bitcoin al processo di mining: per coniare nuovi BTC e proteggere la rete, i miner devono consumare energia reale. Secondo lui, questo legame con una risorsa fisica renderebbe Bitcoin più difficile da manipolare rispetto alla moneta fiat, che può essere creata a discrezione delle banche centrali.

Out now @elonmusk pic.twitter.com/dQVLniUgWA

— Nikhil Kamath (@nikhilkamathcio) November 30, 2025

In un estratto dell’intervista con Nikhil Kamath, diffuso di recente online, Musk ribadisce questa idea, presentando l’energia utilizzata dal mining non come un difetto, ma come un elemento che genera scarsità e affidabilità. Diverse testate specializzate hanno analizzato il concetto, mettendolo a confronto con le critiche passate dello stesso Musk sull’impatto ambientale del mining.

Reazioni di mercato e riflessi politici

La risposta non si è fatta attendere. Da un lato, i sostenitori di Bitcoin hanno accolto il commento come una conferma della solidità di BTC. Dall’altro, alcuni regolatori e osservatori più prudenti hanno invitato a non leggere le parole di Musk come un segnale strutturale.

In parallelo, altre notizie hanno alimentato la discussione: varie fonti hanno riportato che SpaceX avrebbe movimentato quasi 270 milioni di dollari in Bitcoin, un’operazione che alcuni trader ritengono potenzialmente significativa per la dinamica di mercato. Nel complesso, il post di Musk rischia comunque di influenzare il sentiment degli investitori, almeno nel breve periodo.

L’argomento energetico: cosa implica davvero?

Il punto centrale del ragionamento è semplice: l’energia non può essere creata dal nulla, mentre la valuta tradizionale può essere emessa in quantità maggiori dagli Stati. Questa idea risuona soprattutto tra coloro che temono che l’aumento della spesa pubblica, unito all’espansione dell’AI e delle tecnologie ad alta intensità energetica, possa mettere sotto pressione il sistema monetario attuale.

I critici ribattono però che l’energia impiegata per minare Bitcoin è consumata e non si trasforma in un bene fisico come l’oro, che accumula valore. Il prezzo di BTC, secondo loro, continua a dipendere principalmente da domanda, aspettative di mercato e percezione di utilità, più che dal semplice costo energetico.

Tra passato e presente: un cambio di tono

Il nuovo commento di Musk rappresenta un cambio di tono rispetto al 2021, quando Tesla sospese i pagamenti in Bitcoin proprio per via dell’alto impatto energetico del mining. Negli anni successivi il settore è cambiato in parte: alcuni operatori hanno aumentato l’uso di fonti rinnovabili, mentre altri continuano a dipendere da combustibili fossili.

Il dibattito, oggi, intreccia fattori tecnologici, economici e geopolitici, ed è improbabile che si chiuda rapidamente. Ma l’intervento di Musk conferma una cosa: il tema dell’energia resta uno degli assi portanti nella discussione globale su Bitcoin — e continuerà a influenzare sia la narrativa sia le scelte degli investitori.

Президент Польши Кароль Навроцкий наложил вето на законопроект о регулировании рынка криптовалют и цифровых активов. Решение президента на неопределенное время приостановило использование в стране общеевропейских правил регулирования криптовалют Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA).

Распродажу биткоина и резкое падение рынка в начале недели спровоцировали ожидания ужесточения политики Банка Японии и ухудшение настроений инвесторов на глобальных площадках, заявили опрошенные агентством Bloomberg эксперты.

Суд в столице Нигерии Абудже отклонил иск бывшего топ-менеджера Binance Тиграна Гамбаряна (Tigran Gambaryan) к местным Комиссии по экономическим и финансовым преступлениям (EFCC) и Управлению национального советника по безопасности (NSA).

Kalshi has switched on tokenized versions of its event contracts on Solana, making its first explicit play to court the same crypto-native traders who have funneled billions of dollars into rival prediction platform Polymarket.

Instead of holding positions solely as traditional off-chain contracts on Kalshi’s regulated venue, users can now buy and sell tokenized representations of those wagers on Solana. The economic exposure is identical, but the wrapper is crypto-native: the bet becomes a transferable token on a public blockchain.

Solana Lands Kalshi’s First Fully Tokenized Event Markets

“The tokenized versions of the contracts work the same way as the regular ones found previously on Kalshi’s platform,” the company told CNBC. The key difference is market structure. By trading the tokens rather than the contracts themselves, users can operate with greater pseudonymity and more flexibility in how they custody and move positions, putting Kalshi “on par with Polymarket, which allows users to trade directly on-chain.”

Support for these tokenized wagers is already live on Solana. Decentralized finance protocols DFlow and Jupiter are onboarding as institutional conduits, effectively bridging Kalshi’s off-chain orderbook into Solana’s liquidity. That link is designed to let crypto-native traders discover, route and size positions through the DeFi stack while Kalshi continues to run its core matching and settlement infrastructure in a regulated environment.

The timing coincides with a sharp upswing in prediction market activity. Combined trading volume in prediction markets reached almost $28 billion through October 2025, with a weekly record of $2.3 billion in the week of October 20, according to data cited from Crypto.com’s research arm. Kalshi’s thesis is that the next leg of growth will be driven by the digital asset market, which it pegs at roughly $3 trillion and heavily populated by traders already comfortable with on-chain risk.

“There’s a lot of power users in crypto,” said John Wang, Kalshi’s head of crypto. “This is about tapping into the billions of dollars of liquidity that crypto has, and then also enabling developers to build third party front ends that utilize Kalshi’s liquidity.”

Founded in 2018, Kalshi was the first exchange to roll out federally regulated event contracts on US congressional races for American traders in late 2024, following a years-long legal battle with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Since then, it has expanded to roughly 3,500 markets, raised more than $300 million at a $5 billion valuation, and grown its footprint to over 140 countries, according to the company.

That regulatory and capital advantage is being tested as Polymarket moves to relaunch in the US and other competitors scale. Kalshi’s leadership is effectively betting that deeper liquidity is the decisive differentiator — and that crypto traders are the marginal source of that liquidity.

Digital asset holders tend to trade prediction markets at higher volumes than non-crypto users, Wang said, arguing that their funds can meaningfully thicken orderbooks and sharpen pricing across Kalshi’s markets. “If you have a market with no liquidity, then you don’t really have a market,” he said. “People can’t really trade size or get the prices that they want.”

At press time, Solana (SOL) traded at $126.86.

Пользователь созданной на базе Эфириума децентрализованной платформы Goldfinch Finance, действующий под ником deltatiger.eth, пострадал от атаки хакера. Злоумышленник украл 118 эфиров на сумму более $330 000, сообщила работающая в области кибербезопасности компания PeckShieldAlert.

Несколько акционеров крупнейшей американской криптобиржи Coinbase обвинили руководство компании, включая генерального директора Брайана Армстронга (Brian Armstrong) и члена совета директоров Марка Андрессена (Marc Andreessen), в манипуляциях при продаже акций.

BitMine Immersion Technologies приобрела 96 798 эфиров на сумму около $273 млн. Компания довела свой общий запас второй криптовалюты до 3,73 млн монет, которые сейчас оцениваются в $10,5 млрд.

According to on-chain tracking, BitMine added 23,773 Ether over three days as the market softened. The buying included 7,080 ETH for close to $20 million on Monday and 16,693 ETH for roughly $50 million on Saturday. Based on reports, those two transactions together pushed the firm’s recent outlay to nearly $70 million.

BitMine Steps Up Accumulation

The purchases follow a larger wave of buying from last week, when Bitwise moved 96,800 ETH for roughly $273 million. Reports have disclosed that BitMine now holds about 3.7 million Ether at an average cost of $3,008 per coin.

That puts the treasury in the red at current prices, but management appears focused on long-term targets: the firm says it is about 60% of the way toward a plan to control 5% of Ether’s supply.

The scale of that aim is unusual. Few corporate treasuries aim for a single-asset share that large. Market watchers see the moves as a clear bet that Ether will be worth substantially more over time, even if the present valuation shows paper losses. The strategy is heavy accumulation during weakness, not trading around price swings.

It seems that Tom Lee(@fundstrat)’s #Bitmine just bought another 7,080 $ETH($19.8M) 2 hours ago.https://t.co/yZbTCFm9GT pic.twitter.com/JHb3WYDa0a

— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) December 2, 2025

Tom Lee’s Targets Shift Again

Meanwhile, Tom Lee, who chairs BitMine, has stepped back from earlier, bolder forecasts for Bitcoin. He previously expected Bitcoin to reach $250,000 by the end of 2025. In recent public comments he first softened that call and then said on CNBC that Bitcoin could reach a new all-time high by the end of January. Lee tied that outcome to a recovery in equities, which he said he expects.

Grayscale Research Counterpoints Cycle Fears

Grayscale Research released analysis pushing back against the idea that Bitcoin must follow the usual four-year halving cycle. The firm suggested BTC could make new highs in 2026 and urged investors to view large pullbacks as part of normal market swings.

Pricing data shows Bitcoin fell about 30% from its October peak through most of November, hitting roughly $84,000 briefly before edging back to about $86,909 as of early Tuesday, according to price feeds.

Why These Moves Matter Now

Large, coordinated buying by treasury firms can shift market psychology. When groups with deep pockets step in, some traders see it as a sign of conviction. At the same time, these entities can take months or years to reach break-even if prices stay below their average purchase levels. That dynamic makes markets more sensitive to both supply concentration and the pace of future buying.

BitMine’s on-chain activity will likely draw more attention if additional large transfers appear. Shifts in the firm’s average cost per ETH may also become a talking point, along with any new remarks from Tom Lee about his updated timeline. Analysts are already examining whether Grayscale’s stance on the halving cycle gains support from other major market participants.

Featured image from BIS Safety Software, chart from TradingView

В новом 2026 году теория о четырехлетнем цикле биткоина перестанет быть актуальной — курс первой криптовалюты достигнет новых исторических максимумов, заявили эксперты компании Grayscale Research.