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В 2026 году ситуация складывается так, что криптоинвестор не знает, откуда еще ждать удар. Иран, Гренландия, Венесуэла, Куба, Канада — кто еще придет в голову Дональду Трампу? Неуверенность в завтрашнем дне нависает на криптоинвесторами и усиливает нервозность. Результат — падение криптовалют.

Bybit’s return to heavy trading was one of the stranger comeback stories of last year. Reports say the exchange moved back toward the top of the leaderboard after a massive security breach, and traders kept coming. That did not happen by accident. Quick decisions and public reassurances played a big role.

Bybit Bounces Back

According to CoinGecko, Bybit handled $1.5 trillion in trades during 2025 and ended the year with about 8% of total market share.

That is a solid showing given what happened in February, when attackers made off with $1.5 billion worth of Ether after finding a hole in the exchange’s cold wallet setup.

The theft has been linked to North Korean actors by several sources, and it stands as one of the largest losses in crypto history.

Many firms that face breaches do not recover. Reports note nearly eight out of 10 projects hit by hacks never fully bounce back.

Bybit’s choice to keep withdrawals open and to honor user balances changed the math. That move reduced panic and kept liquidity flowing.

Market Movers And Volume Gains

Trading volumes rose across multiple venues in 2025. CoinGecko’s research points out that six of the top 10 exchanges grew their yearly volume, and the total extra trades equaled about $1.3 trillion.

MEXC jumped sharply, reportedly rising 90% over the prior year, a gain blamed largely on aggressive zero-fee spot trading that pulled in high-frequency traders and new retail users.

Bullish price action for Bitcoin and several altcoins also pushed activity up; several coins reached fresh all-time highs during the year, which always sparks more trading and more headlines. For some platforms, promotions and fee policies had more immediate effect than brand reputation.

How Bybit Handled The Crisis

The exchange’s leadership was visible. Ben Zhou, Bybit’s CEO, addressed customers on camera and promised the platform would cover losses and secure additional liquidity quickly.

Some of those promises were acted on behind the scenes, where external support was arranged to shore up funds.

Trust was not rebuilt overnight. It was rebuilt in small steps, transaction by transaction, and in public statements that reassured users their capital was safe.

The combination of keeping services running and having clear communication changed investor behavior.

Binance And Rival Trends

Binance stayed the largest by a wide margin, with CoinGecko estimating about $7.3 trillion in annual volume. That massive figure hides a small drop from the prior year — a 0.5% decline — which analysts tied to a major liquidation event on October 10 that rattled markets.

Still, Binance’s user base was said to be over 300 million, and its ecosystem handles a vast range of products beyond spot trading.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

Криптоаналитик и блогер Бенджамин Коуэн (Benjamin Cowen) призвал владельцев биткоинов набраться терпения, так как нисходящий тренд криптовалюты может оказаться более длительным, чем хотелось бы.

Сооснователь Эфириума Виталик Бутерин заявил, что пожертвовал 16 384 эфиров (около $43 млн) на развитие сообщества сети второй по капитализации криптовалюты.

Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg said he expects BlackRock could enter the spot XRP ETF race as soon as late 2026, framing it as a demand-led decision rather than a sudden shift in conviction from the world’s largest asset manager.

Speaking in a Jan. 27 interview with Crypto Sensei, McClurg argued that the market is already moving in that direction as more legacy ETF issuers test the perimeter of non-Bitcoin products.

BlackRock Could Join XRP ETF Race By End Of 2026

“It wouldn’t surprise me if BlackRock files for a XRP, potentially Solana ETF sometime by the end of 2026 or 2027,” he said. “I mean you’ve already got Fidelity, you’ve already got Franklin Templeton in the race there. So it’s not going to be a whole lot longer before BlackRock. Aso […] Invesco just filed for a Solana ETF. Give it time. XRP will be there as well.”

McClurg described the ETF playbook as straightforward: issuers follow client demand and liquid market structure, then expand product shelves once the commercial case is clear. “I think it has to do with a few functions. They want to see demand. They want to see high market cap and it’ll get there eventually,” he said, suggesting that XRP’s pathway to a BlackRock filing is less about narratives and more about sustained investor pull.

That framework also matches how he says Canary thinks about filings. Asked how much product development is driven by client demand versus the firm’s own views, McClurg was blunt: “It’s highly weighted towards where we believe demand is.” He added that Canary will occasionally “take a couple of risks” on earlier-stage tokens, citing Axelar as a filing that was ultimately not launched amid weaker demand and drawdowns.

McClurg’s comments came with a wider thesis about where institutional attention is shifting. He said many pension funds and sovereign wealth investors are approaching Bitcoin as an allocation akin to gold, but that conversations around Ethereum often stall. “The conversation we’re having with Ethereum is that’s old technology, I want what’s next,” he said, adding that some institutions “just pass on Ethereum,” pointing to a view that open-source code can be replicated inside private networks.

By contrast, he said institutions are increasingly focused on networks he described as “very cheap and efficient to run,” naming XRP Ledger, Hedera, and Solana, alongside “competitors to Solana” such as Injective. The core pitch, in his telling, is operational: lower costs, higher throughput, and a clearer line from network utility to enterprise deployment.

On US bank adoption, McClurg predicted banks will partner with specific crypto protocols rather than converge on a single rail, with Ripple “first,” Hedera “second,” and Solana “a far third” in terms of being “dug into the financial system.” He also singled out Ripple’s stablecoin RLUSD as a potential breakout, saying, “I see that thing exploding” once integrated with partner rails, and even floated that RLUSD “could surpass USDC.”

McClurg tied much of the timing, ETFs included, to regulatory clarity. “I don’t really care what’s in the bill. I just want to know what I can and can’t do,” he said, referring to the Clarity Act debate. “And once I know what I can and can’t do, I can go make money […] just tell me the rules so that I can go out and run my business and not have to look over my shoulder.”

At press time, XRP traded at $1.75.

За неполный январь в реестр XRP Ledger добавилось 42 адреса с балансом более 1 млн токенов. Число кошельков с крупным балансом криптовалюты XRP компании Ripple растет впервые с сентября, обратили внимание аналитики компании Santiment.

Чистый отток капитала из американских спотовых биржевых фондов (ETF) на биткоин за четверг, 29 января, составил $817 млн, говорят данные платформы SoSoValue.

Шесть сенаторов-демократов направили письмо заместителю генерального прокурора Тодду Бланшу (Todd Blanche), раскритиковав его решение о роспуске Национального подразделения по обеспечению соблюдения правил в отношении криптовалют (NCET), созданного в 2022 году Министерством юстиции США.

Основатель медиаплатформы Bankless и криптофонда Mythos Capital Райан Шон Адамс (Ryan Sean Adams) посоветовал владельцам криптовалют не иметь прямой доступ к активам из собственного дома и со смартфона, чтобы избежать нападения преступников.

Объем предложения стейблкоинов к началу года достиг почти $300 млрд, но рост практически остановился. До сих пор сказывается октябрьский обвал криптовалютного рынка, объяснили аналитики компании ARK Invest.

22-летняя жительница Минска потеряла 23 000 белорусских рублей (около $8 000 долларов), попытавшись обналичить криптовалюту, рассказали в Октябрьском районном управлении внутренних дел столицы Республики Беларусь.

Крупнейшая по объему торгов криптобиржа Binance объявила о переводе страхового фонда защиты своих клиентов SAFU (Secure Asset Fund for Users) со стейблкоинов USDC в биткоины.

US President Donald Trump is expected to unveil his pick for the next Federal Reserve chair on Friday morning, with former Fed governor Kevin Warsh emerging as the clear market favorite, an event that could jolt rate expectations and, by extension, Bitcoin and crypto volatility.

Warsh met with Trump at the White House on Thursday, according to reporting from Reuters and the Wall Street Journal’s Nick Timiraos, after Trump told reporters he planned to announce his choice Friday. Trump added a pointed tease about the mystery candidate: “A lot of people think that this is somebody that could’ve been there a few years ago,” a nod to the fact he considered Warsh for the job roughly eight years ago before selecting Jerome Powell.

What Warsh Means For Bitcoin And Crypto Markets

The fastest repricing has happened not in Treasuries, but in prediction markets. Polymarket’s contract on Trump’s Fed chair nominee is currently showing Warsh at 93%, with the market displaying roughly $302 million in volume, levels traders interpreted as a leak-driven stampede rather than a slow drift.

That surge dovetails with a Bloomberg report saying the Trump administration is preparing for a Warsh nomination, and with commentary from macro traders who see the process tightening into a single outcome.

Several market observers frame a potential Warsh chairmanship as dovish on the policy rate but hawkish on the Fed’s footprint. Macro trader Alex Krüger wrote via X: “Warsh has advocated for a structural overhaul of the Federal Reserve and a ‘new Treasury-Fed Accord.’ He posits that an AI-driven productivity boom is inherently disinflationary, providing the basis for aggressive rate cuts. He also contends that the Fed’s balance sheet has been used to subsidize Wall Street and should be reduced significantly, signaling a strong stance against QE.”

Former Fed trader Joseph Wang distilled the trade-off more bluntly: “A Warsh Fed looks to trade lower asset prices for a lower rate path… This is a step to reverse Bernanke’s wealth effect.” That framing matters for Bitcoin and crypto because it separates “rate cuts” from “easy financial conditions”—two concepts markets often conflate during risk-on moves. Wang added an ominous shorthand: Warsh “will get you a lot of cuts, but you might not like how we [get] there.”

Warsh’s reputation as an inflation hawk also complicates any clean “dovish” label. Bloomberg’s Chief US Economist Anna Wong shared the below analysis and resurfaced a 2009 inflation comment attributed to Warsh, made months after Lehman and with core PCE still low, arguing that if Trump “wants someone easy on inflation, he got the wrong guy.

Chief Market Strategist at Wellington-Altus James E. Thorne added via X: “Kevin Warsh remains the strongest choice for Fed chair because he uniquely combines market credibility with a clear willingness to reset policy in a more disciplined, rules‑based direction. He is structurally hawkish on inflation and the balance sheet, but tactically flexible enough to support meaningful rate cuts when conditions warrant, which aligns with the Trump–Bessent objective of moving the funds rate lower without sacrificing institutional legitimacy.”

Krüger conceded Warsh’s track record “is not the best,” while still arguing there is “unique credibility in a former inflation hawk advocating for aggressive cuts.”

Warsh, Bitcoin, And ‘Market Discipline’

For Bitcoin and crypto, one underappreciated angle is that Warsh has publicly described Bitcoin in surprisingly non-hostile terms. In a Hoover Institution interview published July 8, 2025, Warsh rejected the idea that Bitcoin threatens the dollar, while still treating it as a policy signal. “Bitcoin does not make me nervous,” he said. “I think of it as an important asset that can help inform policymakers when they’re doing things right and wrong. It is not a substitute for the dollar.”

Kevin Wash on Bitcoin, the white paper and its role alongside the dollar:

“It can often be a good policeman for policy.” pic.twitter.com/bnSSpv0foy

— Natalie Brunell (@natbrunell) January 30, 2026

Warsh also cast Bitcoin’s role as a kind of feedback mechanism for central bankers: “I think it can often be a very good policeman for policy,” he said, before widening the lens to distinguish “real innovators” from “imitators” and “incompetents” in the broader proliferation of crypto tokens.

At press time, Bitcoin traded at $82,695.

Технический директор компании Ripple Дэвид Шварц (David Schwartz) постарался убедить своих читателей в соцсети Х, что в долгосрочной перспективе выпускаемая его компанией криптовалюта XRP может иметь шанс достичь $50 и даже $100.

Суд округа Колумбия вынес решение об отчуждении $400 млн в виде криптовалют, недвижимости и денежных активов у создателя криптомиксера Helix Ларри Дина Хармона (Larry Dean Harmon). Эти активы должны считаться конфискованными в пользу государства.

The Bank of England (BoE) has outlined its plan to prioritize key innovation areas in 2026, including stablecoins and tokenization, to shape the future of the UK’s digital financial landscape.

BoE To Prioritize Stablecoins In 2026

On Thursday, the Bank of England’s executive director for financial market infrastructure, Sasha Mills, shared the bank’s priorities plan for the year, highlighting the role of regulators in ensuring a safe, responsible, innovative future.

During her speech at the Tokenisation Summit in London, Mills affirmed that financial authorities have “the opportunity to build truly holistic digital financial markets in the UK, bringing real benefits to the real economy.”

To achieve this, the BoE will prioritize systemic stablecoins, tokenized collateral, and the Digital Securities Sandbox (DSS) as three key areas of innovation this year.

The executive director explained that the Bank is focused on advancing its efforts to regulate stablecoins, including its collaboration with the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to test the tokens in the DSS, and clarifying policies on the treatment of tokenized collateral under the UK European Market Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR).

Regarding stablecoins, Mills detailed that they “have the potential to modernise retail and wholesale payments, enabling faster, cheaper and more efficient transactions. They could offer a valuable choice for individuals and businesses making payments in the UK and they could offer new functionalities – through programmability – to deliver real benefits for the UK real economy.”

As a result, the Bank is planning to finalize its regime for systemic stablecoins, alongside the FCA, by the end of this year. She noted that these tokens “need to meet the same standards as existing forms of money used in the UK real economy.”

As reported by Bitcoinist, the BoE released a consultation paper on its proposed regulatory framework for sterling-denominated systemic stablecoins, addressing backing rules and holding limits.

Notably, the Bank also moved forward with a controversial proposal to cap stablecoin ownership to £10,000 to £20,000 for individuals and £10 million for businesses, similar to its proposed approach to the digital pound.

UK Seeks Regulatory Clarity For Market Stability

The BoE also seeks to offer clarity for its second priority, tokenization, as the UK is already seeing “practical applications of tokenisation being piloted in collateral markets, offering greater automation and faster settlement, with the potential to lower firm operating costs and increase system-wide liquidity.”

Mills noted that, just like with stablecoins used for payments and traditional collateral, tokenized collateral will be required to meet certain standards to support financial stability.

She asserted that the Bank “aims to avoid mandating or prohibiting specific technologies.”  Nonetheless, she also emphasized that clarity on these topics and how they can operate under the UK’s EMIR rules will be crucial to ensure market confidence.

“To provide greater certainty, we will set out further policy later this year on how tokenised collateral can operate under the existing regulatory framework. Ensuring smoother movement of cross-border collateral requires a consistent international approach, so our policy will be shaped by engagement with industry and our international counterparts,” the executive director affirmed.

Regarding the third area of focus, the Digital Securities Sandbox and stablecoins within it, Mills detailed that the BoE is developing an assessment framework to determine a set of regulated stablecoins that meet high enough standards for use in the sandbox.

“As regulatory regimes for stablecoin issuers in the UK and internationally are still being developed, this assessment framework may not map exactly to future standards for what may be permitted in wholesale markets,” she stated. “However, (…) [it] will both ensure some degree of resilience for market participants, and aid transition to a future permanent regime for the use of stablecoins in wholesale markets.”

“The future is ambitious. But making the changes I outlined today (…) will support financial stability domestically and internationally.” Mills concluded.

Дочерняя организация Нацбанка Казахстана, «Национальная инвестиционная корпорация» (НИК), получила из золотовалютных запасов страны $350 млн на криптоинвестиции, объявила заместитель председателя Национального банка Казахстана Алия Молдабекова.

Аналитик и бывший гендиректор криптобиржи BitForex Гаррет Джин (Garrett Jin) заявил, что биткоин застрял в фазе затяжной консолидации из-за ухода с рынка множества мелких спекулянтов.

За последние сутки биткоин обвалился на 7,4%, упав ниже $82 150 и вернувшись к минимальному за последние девять месяцев уровню цены. Основные криптовалюты тоже ушли в красную зону, а общая капитализация крипторынка снизилась на 6,7%.

Russia is preparing to roll out its long‑awaited regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, with lawmakers and regulators moving closer to defining how digital assets will be treated within the country. 

According to Anatoly Aksakov, head of the State Duma Committee on the Financial Market, the relevant legislative package is expected to be finalized by the end of June of this year. 

Beginning July 1, 2027, the new rules are set to introduce liability for illegal activity by intermediaries in the crypto market, with penalties comparable to those applied for unlawful banking operations.

Russia’s Central Bank Outlines Upcoming Crypto Rules

The groundwork for the reforms has been in development for months. Local media reports disclosed that the Central Bank submitted its proposals for changes to cryptocurrency regulation to the government in December last year. 

In its concept paper, the regulator classifies digital currencies and stablecoins as currency values that may be bought and sold, while maintaining a ban on their use as a means of payment within Russia.

Under the proposed system, retail investors with limited experience would be allowed to purchase only the most liquid cryptocurrencies, and only after passing a suitability test. 

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) would almost certainly be included, while assets such as Solana (SOL) or Toncoin (TON) could also make the list due to their popularity in Russia. All other digital assets would be reserved exclusively for qualified investors.

Even qualified investors, however, would face additional requirements. They would be required to pass mandatory testing to demonstrate an understanding of the risks associated with crypto transactions. 

Once approved, they would be allowed to buy digital assets in unlimited amounts, with one major exception: anonymous cryptocurrencies would be prohibited. 

The Central Bank has made clear that assets which conceal transaction recipients will not be permitted, as they cannot meet anti‑money laundering standards. Coins such as Monero (XMR), Zcash (ZEC) and Dash (DASH) fall into this category.

First Reading Looms Next Month

Legislative work on the initiative is already underway. Aksakov said the State Duma is moving toward formalizing the proposed changes in law. The initial focus will be on establishing clear rules for the issuance, mining and circulation of cryptocurrencies, as well as reaffirming the ban on their use as a domestic payment method. 

He indicated that the bill could reach its first reading as early as next month. The law is also expected to introduce administrative, financial and potentially criminal penalties for illegal activity in the digital asset market. 

The regulatory push follows a significant legal development earlier this year. On January 20, 2026, Russia’s Constitutional Court issued a ruling that effectively resolved a long‑standing legal gap affecting thousands of crypto holders. 

Featured image from OpenArt, Chart from TradingView.com