Из жизни альткоинов

Институт финансов Hana Bank спросил тысячу имеющих счета в банках южнокорейцев в возрасте от 20 до 50 лет об опыте инвестиций в виртуальные активы.

NFT projects lost roughly $1 million in crypto over the past week when hackers posed as IT staff and struck at the heart of minting systems. The breach hit fan-token marketplace Favrr and Web3 initiatives Replicandy and ChainSaw, among others.

According to onchain investigator and cybersecurity analyst ZackXBT, the attackers pushed out mass batches of NFTs, drove floor prices to zero, then cashed in their haul before teams could react.

NFT: Hackers Slip Into Web3 Teams

Based on reports, the group quietly joined development squads under false identities. They gained insider access to minting contracts. Then they minted thousands of tokens and NFTs in moments.

The sudden flood crushed floor prices and let the thieves grab hot cash in minutes. It all unfolded in under a week, and about $1 million vanished from these projects’ treasuries.

1/ Multiple projects tied to Pepe creator Matt Furie & ChainSaw as well as another project Favrr were exploited in the past week which resulted in ~$1M stolen

My analysis links both attacks to the same cluster of DPRK IT workers who were likely accidentally hired as developers. pic.twitter.com/85JRm5kLQO

— ZachXBT (@zachxbt) June 27, 2025

Mass Minting Drops Prices

Favrr suffered one of the biggest hits. The thieves dumped tokens so fast the market couldn’t catch up. Replicandy and ChainSaw saw similar moves. At Replicandy, floor values hit zero almost instantly.

ChainSaw’s stolen crypto still sits inactive in wallets, waiting for launderers to stir it back into exchanges. ZackXBT pointed out that nested services then further obscured the money trail.

4/ In total I estimate $310K+ from their projects was stolen and transferred primarily between the three address below.

0xf6a9349c54d51f7f76bbd2afd755b5dd75e617ee 0x7e580f916a8e93871b72a694407fb7d790de96a6 0x58f4299465b261e79713e5c78a7629cd656aed36 pic.twitter.com/8noeV48MUY

— ZachXBT (@zachxbt) June 27, 2025

Funds Trace And Freeze Challenges

Onchain transfers moved funds through multiple exchanges and wallets. Analysts say tracing mixed outputs can take weeks. Exchanges must review huge logs.

That slows or even blocks law enforcement from locking down accounts. In the Coinbase data leak back in May 2025, about 69,461 customers had personal info exposed.

Contractors were bribed to hand over user data, leading to an extortion bid against the exchange.

Lessons From Broader Cyber Attacks

The NFT/Web3 insider episode echoes Ruby Sleet’s tactics. In November 2024, that group targeted aerospace and defense firms, then shifted to IT companies via fake hiring drives.

They used social engineering to plant malware and harvest credentials. Today’s blockchain and NFT hacks show that open and irreversible ledgers magnify mistakes. When insiders gain privileges, there’s often no undo button.

Security experts warn teams to rethink trust models. Zero‑trust approaches limit each engineer’s reach. Multi‑party approval gates could block sudden minting spikes.

Real‑time activity monitors can flag odd behavior right away. And code reviews paired with identity checks for every new hire help close gaps before they’re abused.

Featured image from Vecteezy, chart from TradingView

Федеральный суд Бруклина приговорил 57-летнего Дуэйна Голдена (Dwayne Golden), основавшего криптофирмы EmpowerCoin, ECoinPlus и JetCoin, к 97 месяцам тюрьмы за мошенничество с использованием электронных средств связи и отмывание денег через криптовалюты.

Сооснователь Эфириума Виталик Бутерин высказался о рисках и преимуществах криптопроектов с цифровой идентификацией, использующих доказательство с нулевым разглашением (ZK).

Ethereum’s daily chart is showing signs of strength, with price action consolidating above the support level and momentum indicators holding steady. The structure suggests that ETH is building a solid foundation for its next move.

Break Above Resistance Could Trigger Fresh Rally

ARZTrader published an update on X, outlining that the Ethereum price is holding above the key support zone at $2,415. This level is acting as a solid foundation as the price consolidates below the 21 Exponential Moving Average (EMA). 

ARZTrader is watching closely for a daily close above the 21 EMA and the 2 Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones, signaling strong demand. If ETH confirms this clean break, ARZTrader expects a bounce toward the $2,740 to $2,900 range. With momentum building and technicals aligning, this could mark the beginning of Ethereum’s next leg up.

According to Whitewalker, Ethereum’s setup is bullish with a clean structure, and dips remain solid till the blue zone of $2,300 to $2,345, a support area that has consistently held. The next take-profit (TP) zone is between $2,914 and $3,014. 

If it breaks above that resistance range, Whitewalker expects momentum to carry ETH toward a larger target zone of $3,900 to $4,100. Currently, ETH is trading and stuck at the 50 and 200 EMAs resistance. However, if the Golden Cross is confirmed, ETH could move sharply to the upside.

Ethereum is approaching a critical moment on the daily chart as price action tightens near the apex of a massive megaphone wedge formation. ETH is pressing against key EMAs around the $2,500 level.

TWJ News mentioned that a breakout above this wedge could ignite a rally, with upside targets ranging between $3,000 and $4,000. However, a drop below $2,360 would invalidate the bullish momentum, while volatility is likely to surge ahead.

Range Still In Play — Breakout Levels Clearly Defined

Technical expert and trader, Daan Crypto Trades, revealed that Ethereum has moved back into the $2,313 and $2,736 after a flush to the downside that cleared out liquidity and stop losses placed below the range, as observed in the 4-hour chart.

Daan Crypto Trades points to $2,500 as the level where the majority of volume has been traded and also marks the mid-range of the structure.  As long as the price hovers around this area, the market remains balanced. A break above $2,500 could open the door for ETH to retest the $2,700 to $2,800 zone, which has been a resistance for too long.

Санкт-Петербургская биржа планирует запустить торги расчетными фьючерсами, включая инструмент на индекс биткоина. Это произойдет в июле — сентябре, сообщил гендиректор Евгений Сердюков на годовом собрании акционеров.

XRP recently experienced price volatility following an unfavorable ruling by US District Judge Analisa Torres, which many interpreted as a setback for Ripple. However, despite the legal rejection, a crypto analyst maintains that the broader bullish structure for XRP remains intact. Urging investors not to panic, she expresses strong confidence in the altcoin’s ability to hold the crucial $2 level and continue its upward trajectory. 

XRP Bull Structure Intact Despite Court Blow

Following Torres’ rejection of the joint motion by Ripple and the US SEC for an indicative ruling, XRP faced short-term price fluctuations. Despite the obvious legal setback, X (formerly Twitter) crypto analyst CasiTrades remains unfazed, insisting that there is no need for investors to lose confidence.

The analyst affirms that XRP’s price action remains structurally intact and is moving within a predictable corrective pattern. The recent decline from the legal blow is being interpreted by the analyst as part of a classic ABC correction, with the market now likely in the final leg—Wave C. 

CasiTrade’s chart shows that XRP has reached a critical support zone around $2.07-$2.10, aligning with the 0.618 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels, respectively. So far, XRP has held on firmly to this zone, with the $2.10 support level successfully defending through the daily close. 

Momentum indicators at the bottom of the chart also support this view. XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the lower time frames has entered oversold territory near 20 and is beginning to form a Bullish Divergence—a signal of weakening selling pressure. Fibonacci levels on the chart also provide further technical confluence, with the immediate resistance marked at $2.13 (0.236 Fib) and $2.145 (0.382 Fib). A stronger resistance barrier is also forming around the 0.5 Fibonacci Extension level at $2.16. 

According to CasiTrades, if XRP can reclaim and close above these resistance levels, particularly $2.145, it could confirm the end of the ABC correction. The cryptocurrency is also expected to resume its prior bullish trend, with the potential for a fresh rally toward new highs. 

XRP Prepares For Lift-Off Toward $2.69

In a follow-up chart analysis, CasiTrades reveals that XRP is now approaching the critical support zone at $2.07 as it aims for new highs around $2.69. After a recent rejection at the $2.145 resistance level—which coincided with the 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement and served as the ideal Wave 4 target—the analyst notes that the final phase of Wave C is now unfolding. 

The $2.07 is packed with technical significance, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement of a full move up, the 1:1 extension of Wave C, and the 0.618 sub-wave projection. Based on the analysis, these overlapping Fibonacci levels mark a likely reversal zone.

With price action hovering around $2.08 at the time of the analysis, CasiTrades predicts that as long as XRP holds above the $2.07 support, a bullish breakout could follow, potentially driving it toward $2.25 and even up to $2.69 if momentum continues. 

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Компания Ripple, разработчик криптовалюты XRP и одноименного блокчейна XRP Ledger, заявила о готовящейся модернизации сети, которая поможет совместить традиционные финансы с DeFi-инструментами.

Курс биткоина с мая удерживается в зоне консолидации, но без возобновления сильного спроса со стороны инвесторов новые максимумы цены выглядят маловероятными, заявили эксперты платформы Glassnode.

Bitcoin is currently trending above key technical levels, signaling stability. After closing at $107,493 BTC remains above both the 25-period and 50-period SMAs, suggesting bulls are still in control, for now. However, without a noticeable spike in volume to fuel momentum, this calm may prove temporary.

Bitcoin Moonwalks Past Key SMAs – Can Bulls Keep The Dance Going?

Shaco AI’s analysis on X revealed that Bitcoin has shown impressive strength over the last four hours, with the price closing at $107,493.07. This move placed BTC above the 25-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $106,954.17 and comfortably above the 50-period SMA at $104,913.16. According to Shaco AI, this price action suggests that Bitcoin might be preparing to establish a base above these moving averages, indicating short-term bullish intent.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 59.91, a level Shaco AI considers balanced, neither signaling overbought nor oversold conditions. This neutral zone implies that BTC still has room to climb without facing immediate pressure from overheated momentum.

Further strengthening the case for bullish momentum, Shaco AI pointed out that the MACD is showing a positive value of +618.43. This reading supports the idea of sustained upward movement, hinting that market participants remain inclined toward buying rather than selling at this stage.

Despite the optimistic signs, Shaco AI also noted the ADX value at 18.32, suggesting that the trend strength remains relatively weak for now. While the current setup leans bullish, the low ADX reading serves as a reminder that momentum could shift quickly, and traders should monitor for any changes in trend strength.

Volume Woes: A Party Missing Its Guests 

Shaco AI, in the same analysis, flagged a concern around trading activity and volume. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s current volume sits at just 497.62, a sharp drop compared to its average of 2,038.98. In Shaco AI’s words, “it’s like hosting a party but forgetting to send out half the invites,” highlighting the lack of strong participation behind the recent price action.

Turning to key technical zones, Shaco AI identified $108,272.45 as the immediate resistance to watch. A break above this level could open the door for more upside, but if momentum fades, the analyst cautioned that support around $98,200 may come into play.

As for the near-term strategy, Shaco AI advises traders to monitor for breakouts — but with caution. The combination of low volume and only mild trend strength could make price action more unpredictable, increasing the likelihood of fakeouts or sudden reversals.

The price of Bitcoin has had quite the rollercoaster ride over the last seven days, rising from its early-week blues marked by a crash to below the $100,000 mark. The flagship cryptocurrency has roared back to life, running to as high as $108,000 in the past few days.

This recent resurgence has not particularly reflected on the blockchain, with the latest on-chain data suggesting that traders are not willing to bet on Bitcoin’s price. A popular market analytics platform has now evaluated this scenario, putting forward the potential impact on price.

Declining Funding Rates Reflect Increased Short-Side Positioning: Glassnode

In a June 27 post on the X platform, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode revealed that the funding rate for Bitcoin, which has been on a decline over the past few months, seems to be stuck in a downward trend. The relevant indicators here are “Annualized Perpetual (perp) Funding Rates” and “Binance 3-Month (3M) Futures Annualized Rolling Basis” metrics.

The Annualized Perp Funding Rates is a key metric that tracks the periodic payments between long and short traders in the derivatives (perpetual futures) market. This indicator offers timely insights into the sentiment and leverage in the cryptocurrency derivatives market.

When the funding rate is high or positive, it implies that the long traders are paying the traders with short positions. Typically, this direction of the periodic payment suggests a strong bullish sentiment in the market. Meanwhile, a negative value of the metric means that short traders are paying long traders — suggesting a bearish market sentiment.

On the other hand, the 3-Month (3M) Futures Annualized Rolling Basis estimates the annualized yield from buying a cryptocurrency on the spot market and concurrently selling the crypto’s futures contract expiring in 3 months. Typically, futures contracts trade at a higher price than the spot asset — a difference that traders can exploit for profit.

As shown in the chart above, the Annualized Perp Funding Rates and 3-Month (3M) Futures Annualized Rolling Basis have been falling since last November. “Despite high futures activity, appetite for long exposure is fading, reflecting increased caution and possibly more neutral or short-side positioning,” Glassnode noted.

In essence, the declining funding rates and 3-month rolling basis indicate that short traders are continuously crowding the derivatives market. While there has been a cautious approach to the market from traders, institutional flows into US-based Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and an improving macroeconomic climate have been quite a silver lining.

Hence, even if the funding rates keep falling, but the macroeconomic environment and institutional capital inflow remain steady, the market could witness a short squeeze — where short traders are forced to close their positions. This potential scenario is even supported by the fact that the market tends to move in the crowd’s opposite direction.

Bitcoin Price At A Glance

As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $107,180, showing no significant movement in the past 24 hours.

The altseason, one of the most anticipated events of the crypto bull market, may potentially remain on hold following recent insights by some prominent market analysts. Notably, the current crypto cycle has shown little progress toward a true altseason, with Bitcoin Dominance holding strong, signaling a continued preference among investors for the leading cryptocurrency over alternative digital assets.

Bitcoin Dominance Tipped To Hit 74%, Altseason Remains Elusive

In an X post on June 27, renowned market analyst with X username Rekt Capital projected the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) to experience a steady rise to 74%. Following Bitcoin’s price dip in the early last week, the analyst highlighted a successful retest of the 64% dominance level noting that, historically, such retests are typically followed by a continued rise without meaningful pullbacks until the 71% mark.

Notably, this market insight suggests Bitcoin is likely to keep attracting a massive influx of investment suggesting an altseason may be a distant concept for the present market cycle. For context, the altseason defines a period in the bull cycle when altcoins outperform Bitcoin. It is generally indicated by a fall in Bitcoin Dominance indicating a shift in investors capital from the market leader to other cryptocurrencies.

The altseason has been a major talking point in recent months as some analysts citing the staggering increase in altcoins in past recent years as a major obstacle to replicating the feat seen in 2017 and 2021. Meanwhile, other analysts have argued against this logic stating that while a broad-based altseason may be less likely, a more selective version, featuring strong performances from specific projects, remains on the table. Meanwhile, another popular market expert with X username Daan Crypto has highlighted the altcoin market’s struggling performance since 2024. The analyst explains that altcoins has been stuck in a sideways structure over the past eighteen months, lacking the clear bullish momentum seen in the Bitcoin market. According to Daan Crypto, the key resistance level for the altcoin market lies around the $1.27 trillion mark, a high from earlier in 2024. A confirmed breakout above this level could signal renewed investor appetite for altcoins and push the structural momentum needed for an altseason to begin.

Crypto Market Overview

At the time of writing, the total crypto market cap is valued at $3.24 trillion following a 0.08% gain in the past day. As the market leader, Bitcoin currently holds a market dominance of 64.9%. The remaining 35.1% is accounted for by the altcoin market which is presently valued at $1.11 trillion. 

Bitcoin has come a long way from merely being a financial experiment to becoming an important store of value. Currently sitting at a six-figure valuation, the flagship cryptocurrency has amassed a horde of investors who actively profit from its directional movements. 

Despite all its growth, Bitcoin’s price action still stands influenced by moments of frenzy, fear, and also caution in investors. At the moment, on-chain data points out that Bitcoin might be at a phase where caution is the order of things. Here are the details of this revelation.

90-Day CVD Shifts To Neutral After Prolonged Trends

In a June 27 post on X, the social media platform, crypto analyst Maartunn revealed that there has been an important shift in an important metric. The relevant indicator here is the 90-day Futures Taker Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) metric, which tracks the net buying or selling pressure in BTC’s futures market. 

A positive and rising value of the metric usually means that the futures market is dominated by the buyers (Taker Buy Dominant). On the other hand, when the indicator is negative, it means that the futures market is being dominated by the short traders (Taker Sell Dominant).

In the post on X, Maartunn pointed out that the current 90-day CVD is flat, which indicates a balance between bullish and bearish forces in the market. While the Bitcoin price might have shown good signs of recovery, this piece of on-chain data suggests that the market leader might return to a consolidation range.

Bitcoin Fear And Greed Index At Neutral Levels

In another June 27th post on X, crypto analytics firm Alphractal made an on-chain observation, which shares similar implications with Maartunn’s report. Alphractal’s revelation was based on the Bitcoin: Fear and Greed Index Heatmap metric, which tracks the market sentiment shift — from extreme fear to extreme greed — over time.

The metric ranges with values from 0 to 100. The range 0-24 signals extreme fear in the market; 25-49 reads as fear, while 50 is interpreted as a neutral level, where there’s a balance between both market sentiments. On the other side of the spectrum, ranges 51-74 signal greed in the market; 75-100 signifies extreme greed in the market, showing widespread optimism that often precedes market tops.

According to data from Alphractal, the Fear and Greed Index is at 65, which is still far from the +90 levels observed in November and December 2024. This balance between the buyers and sellers could suggest that the market could be awaiting a catalyst, like macro news or on-chain developments, to get a breakout to either side of the market.

Due to the current uncertainty, traders are advised to tread with caution in the market. As of press time, Bitcoin is valued at about $107,143, with the cryptocurrency losing approximately 0.11% in the past 24 hours.

Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Price Surges Toward Recent Highs, But Retail Traders Load Up On Shorts

Prominent crypto market analyst Ted Pillows has shared a bullish outlook of the Ethereum market tipping the altcoin to attain a $10,000 price point. Pillows’ bold prediction comes after a modest ETH price uptick of 1.21% in the past week in response to Bitcoin price rebound. However, the altcoin remains in a corrective trend after declining by 9.3% in the past month.

Ethereum Ascending Channel Suggests $10k Price Target – Details

In an X post on June 27, Pillows states an interesting analysis of the ETH market highlighting the presence of multi-cycle ascending channel that stretches as far as 2017. Using the two-weeks trading chart, Pillows shows that Ethereum retests the lower boundary of this channel once every cycle initiating a series of explosive market gains.

Notably, In 2017, a retest to this lower band led to an astonishing 300x surge, while in 2020, it catalyzed a 50x run. In 2025, ETH appears to have touched the same technical level once again, raising the possibility of yet another parabolic move.

For this most recent retest, Pillows adopts a conservative outlook, forecasting a modest 6x gain, likely influenced by Ethereum’s current market cap of $292.25 billion and its increasing exposure to institutional investors, both of which signal a maturing asset. If this projections hold, ETH could surge past the $10,000 mark.

Meanwhile, several other analysts aside from Ted Pillows resonate with an ETH long-term price target of $10,000. For example, market expert with X username Crypto Patel recently echoed this outlook, emphasizing that Ethereum must reclaim and hold above the $2,800 level as a key condition for further upside.

Presently, ETH bulls face a major price barrier around the $2,600 level, where the altcoin has been rejected twice in the past month. Clearing this hurdle is crucial for a retest of the key resistance at $2,800. A breakout above that level could open the path toward the current cycle peak near $4,000.

Ethereum Network Fees Rise By 130%

In other developments, analytics company Sentora reports that the Ethereum weekly network fees hit $10.26 million representing a 130% gain on previous week. Meanwhile, the altcoin also experienced exchange withdrawals valued at $293 million as investors move their holdings to private wallets signaling a strong market confidence. At the time of writing, Ethereum continues to trade at $2,421 reflecting a minor 0.01% gain in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the altcoin’s daily trading volume is down by 16.135 and valued at $15.23 billion.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview

Bitwise has updated its spot Dogecoin ETF filing, providing optimism that the crypto fund could launch soon. Based on Bloomberg analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart’s prediction, the XRP ETFs are still expected to launch before the DOGE ETFs. 

Bitwise Amends S-1 For Spot Dogecoin ETF

According to a SEC filing, the asset manager has filed an amended registration statement for its spot Dogecoin ETF. This has increased optimism that the SEC could soon approve this fund. In an X post, Balchunas stated that the amendment is a good sign as it indicates that Bitwise is engaging with the Commission. 

The Bloomberg analyst further remarked that the amendment also tracks with other spot approvals. Meanwhile, he revealed that a huge change that Bitwise made to the spot Dogecoin ETF filing is the addition of in-kind creations and redemptions. This ETF mechanism enables authorized participants (APs) to create and redeem shares using DOGE instead of cash. 

Balchunas noted that this provision wasn’t initially there when Bitwise filed for a spot Dogecoin ETF in January. The analyst also declared that it is a “near lock” at this point that in-kind will be allowed in spot ETFs across the board. Besides Bitwise, asset managers 21Shares and Grayscale have also filed to offer a Dogecoin ETF. 

Earlier in the month, 21Shares had filed an amended S-1 for its spot DOGE ETF. Back then, Eric Balchunas stated that the amendment made things maybe even more interesting. He noted how amendments are typically filed after comments from the SEC. As such, there is the possibility that the Commission has given feedback to two prospective DOGE ETF issuers. 

Grayscale is the only spot Dogecoin ETF issuer that has yet to file an amended registration statement. However, that could change soon if indeed the SEC is providing comments to these issuers. This would be similar to how all the prospective Solana ETF issuers amended their S-1 filings after the Commission asked them to do so. 

Will the SEC Approve the DOGE ETFs Before the XRP ETFs?

Balchunas and Seyffart predict that the SEC is unlikely to approve the spot Dogecoin ETFs before the XRP ETFs. These Bloomberg analysts recently raised their odds of approval for an XRP ETF in 2025 to 95%. Meanwhile, they predict that there is a 90% chance that the Commission will approve a DOGE ETF this year. 

Factors like the fact that XRP has a regulated futures market through the CME put the XRP ETFs above the Dogecoin ETFs. Seven asset managers have filed for an XRP ETF, compared to three for DOGE. The XRP Lawsuit is also coming to an end, which is another positive development. However, it is worth noting that the XRP and Dogecoin ETFs both have a final SEC deadline of October 17, which means they could be approved on the same day. 

At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.16, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Dogecoin is starting to stabilize above the $0.16 level again, as shown by its price action in the past 48 hours. As it stands, bulls of the meme coin are trying to reverse the downtrend that began earlier this month, which saw its price pull back to $0.146 early last week. 

However, although current sentiment may seem sluggish, a look at historical trends suggests that the recent pullback could be the calm before an explosive continuation. Interestingly, technical analysis shows that Dogecoin might be on track to valuations above $20 if it repeats one of its previous cycle trends. 

Potential 120X Dogecoin Rally Above $20+

An analysis shared on X by crypto analyst Javon Marks takes a look at Dogecoin’s cyclical nature and price playout in previous cycles to predict its future movement for the current cycle. By mapping Dogecoin’s 12-day candlestick chart, the analyst identified three distinct phases of accumulation followed by massive growth: the 2017 rally, the massive 2021 bull run, and what appears to be the early-to-mid stages of the current cycle. 

Each of the previous cycles began with months of sideways or slightly upward movement before finally going into parabolic gains. This pattern, which first took place in 2017, not only repeated in 2021 but ended up with larger returns and started from a higher base.

As shown in the chart below, Dogecoin surged by about 90X from its accumulation range in 2017. That was followed in 2021 by a bigger 306X rally that pushed DOGE into the mainstream and ended up with its current all-time high around $0.73. 

Now in 2025, despite some mid-cycle volatility, Dogecoin’s price chart is once again forming a familiar pattern of an ascending consolidation phase with higher lows. This upward-sloping foundation is significant because it shows that Dogecoin is setting the stage for another large macro movement.

If the trend continues, the analyst predicted that Dogecoin could go on a rally of over 120 times its current value. In this case, the analyst projected a price target above $20 for Dogecoin’s next significant peak.  

This Cycle Could Be The Most Explosive Yet

The 2017 bull run delivered a 90X surge, followed by a much larger 306X explosion in 2021. If the same exponential growth pattern holds true, the current cycle could dwarf the price gains seen in both previous rallies. 

Cycle-based projections have been the rave for Dogecoin and other large market cap cryptocurrencies. These predictions have resonated with technical analysts, especially with meme coin traders, because of how closely Bitcoin and Ethereum have adhered to four-year halving cycles. 

If DOGE’s performance truly follows its past, the rally to $20 will undoubtedly align with a wider altcoin euphoria that’s typically seen at the height of bull markets. Based on the current circulating supply of Dogecoin, a surge to $20 would see its market cap rising above $2 trillion. At the time of writing, DOGE is trading at $0.162, inching up by a small 0.8% in the past 24 hours.

The altcoin market has endured prolonged volatility and intense selling pressure for months, leaving many investors questioning when the long-awaited altseason will finally arrive. Since early last year, major altcoins have seen sharp declines, with most trading well below their cycle highs. Despite temporary rallies, the broader sentiment has remained cautious as market participants await a stronger catalyst for sustained upside momentum.

Now, top analyst M-log1 has shared a technical view that could reshape expectations. He suggests that if Bitcoin is set to follow US stocks and break into new all-time highs in the coming days or weeks, altcoins may offer some of the best entry points seen in this cycle. Historical patterns show that Bitcoin strength often precedes aggressive moves in altcoins, particularly once BTC stabilizes at higher levels.

As Bitcoin consolidates near its highs, eyes are turning toward the altcoin market, where undervalued assets may be primed for explosive moves. With capital rotating and risk appetite slowly returning, many traders are preparing for what could be the next major shift in crypto market dynamics.

Altcoins Position For Reversal After Months Of Bleeding

Since last December, the market has faced a relentless downtrend. Many altcoins have lost over 70% of their value, with investor confidence shaken and capital flight toward Bitcoin dominating sentiment. Ethereum has also struggled to find solid footing, failing to reclaim key levels and dragging the broader altcoin space with it. Despite brief moments of strength, the market has not shown a clear path toward sustained recovery.

However, some analysts see this painful stretch as the final phase before the next bullish expansion. M-log1 shared an optimistic perspective that could shift the narrative. According to his analysis, if Bitcoin continues to mirror the strength seen in the stock market and breaks into new all-time highs in the coming days or weeks, altcoins could soon offer the best entry opportunities of the cycle. He emphasized, “I don’t know if we are going to see the run we waited for real soon, but I am absolutely not betting against it given how everything looks around.”

M-log1 believes the current phase of liquidity sweeps and volatility is a necessary setup before a major move. Once these sweeps are complete, a powerful rotation into altcoins could begin. For seasoned investors watching historical cycles, such moments of extreme weakness often precede explosive rallies. With macro conditions, technical structure, and sentiment aligning, altcoins may be nearing a key inflection point. Traders are now positioning for a potential shift — one that could redefine this phase of the bull cycle.

Ethereum’s Performance Vs. Bitcoin

The ETH/BTC weekly chart shows Ethereum trading at 0.02256 BTC, continuing a prolonged downtrend that began in early 2023. ETH has underperformed significantly against Bitcoin, highlighting a broader theme of weak altcoin dominance during this cycle. The chart reveals that Ethereum remains well below the 50-week, 100-week, and 200-week moving averages — all of which are sloping downward, reinforcing the long-term bearish structure.

While there has been a slight rebound in recent weeks, the price remains trapped in a tight consolidation range after a steep decline. Volume has also decreased, indicating indecision as traders wait for a clearer trend. If ETH fails to reclaim higher ground relative to BTC, it could delay the broader altcoin rotation investors have been anticipating.

However, this deep underperformance may offer asymmetric upside if sentiment shifts. Historically, ETH/BTC reversals have preceded strong altcoin rallies. If Ethereum can close above 0.025 BTC and flip the 50-week moving average into support, it would signal a potential reversal and broader strength in the altcoin market.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s patient investors are making waves again. Long-term holders—those who haven’t sold in at least six months—have piled on a net 800,000 BTC over the past 30 days. That’s a fresh record. Prices have surged to new highs in 2025, yet these seasoned hands just keep buying.

Record Breaking Accumulation By Veteran Holders

According to CryptoQuant, the 30-day change in long-term holder supply just hit +800,000 BTC. That level has only been seen six times before. It shows real faith from investors who’ve held coins through every dip and rally. They’re shrugging off a market that’s already trading north of $100,000.

Historic Signals Point To Major Moves

Based on reports from CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost, similar spikes in LTH supply came in July 2021 and September 2024. Each of those runs led to big price jumps soon after. When patient players pile in this hard, history suggests it can set the stage for a fresh rally.

Key Price Range For Patient Buyers

CryptoQuant’s data also show coins newly qualifying as long-term were bought between $95,000 and $107,000. That zone looks like a comfort area for big whales and serious investors. It may act as a floor if Bitcoin slips, with buyers ready to defend those levels.

Support Zone For Short-Term Players

On the other side, short-term holders—those in for six months or less—have a joint cost basis just under $100,000. Glassnode warns that the $98,000–$93,000 band is critical. As long as Bitcoin stays above there, speculators can hold on. If it falls below $93,000, some of them could sell fast, digging a deeper pullback.

Patient and speculative groups are thus sending two clear messages. The long-term cohort is showing rare confidence by adding hundreds of thousands of coins. The short-term crowd is braced around familiar support levels.

Watching these on-chain clues side by side can help anyone in the market right now. If you’re holding for the long haul, you’re in good company—big players are still stacking BTC even after all the gains. If you trade more actively, keep an eye on that $98,000–$93,000 floor. A drop below could be your signal to lock in gains or tighten stops.

Overall, the balance of power favors the bulls, but only as long as support holds. Bitcoin’s history shows that when veteran holders double down, good things often follow. At the same time, speculators need enough confidence to stay in. For now, those two forces are in a delicate dance—one that could decide whether Bitcoin breaks higher or takes a deeper breath.

Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is facing a critical test as price action compresses between two key levels: the $112,000 all-time high and the $105,000 support zone. Bulls are attempting to reclaim momentum and push BTC into price discovery, while bears are working to invalidate recent gains and trigger a deeper correction. However, the current landscape is dominated by uncertainty. Volatility has surged, yet there’s no decisive trend in play, creating a tense environment filled with indecision on both sides of the market.

Fueling the speculation is fresh data from CryptoQuant, which reveals extreme Buy-Side Aggression on Bybit. Bitcoin’s Taker Buy/Sell Ratio on the exchange has spiked to 11.5, an unusually high reading that indicates traders are heavily favoring long positions. This surge in aggressive buying suggests growing confidence among bulls, who believe a breakout is imminent. However, it also introduces risk. When positioning becomes this one-sided, the market often punishes late entrants with sudden reversals.

With liquidity clustered near both the $112K resistance and the $105K support, Bitcoin appears coiled for a volatile move. Whether BTC breaks higher or loses key support will depend on how the broader market reacts to this lopsided positioning—and how long bulls can sustain the pressure without confirmation.

Bitcoin Breakout Hopes Grow Amid Heavy Long Positioning

Bitcoin has climbed 9% since last Sunday, pushing the price toward key resistance levels and reigniting hopes of a breakout above its all-time high. After weeks of consolidation and choppy action, the recent surge suggests that a decisive move could be on the horizon. Momentum is clearly building, and many analysts are growing confident that Bitcoin is preparing to challenge its $112,000 peak. If bulls manage to break through, BTC could enter price discovery and trigger a wave of fresh inflows.

Despite the optimism, risks remain elevated. The broader macroeconomic backdrop is still tight, with interest rate uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and unstable global liquidity pressuring all risk assets. Bitcoin may be showing strength, but it’s doing so in an environment that could quickly shift against risk-on positioning. This has led some traders to remain cautious, even as technicals show upside potential.

Top analyst Maartunn added fuel to the conversation by highlighting alarming data from CryptoQuant. Bitcoin’s Taker Buy/Sell Ratio on Bybit has skyrocketed to 11.5, indicating extreme Buy-Side Aggression. This means market participants on Bybit—often referred to as “Bybit Apes”—are opening heavy long positions and aggressively pressing for upside. While this reflects strong conviction, such one-sided positioning can backfire if momentum stalls or reverses.

BTC Consolidates After Sharp Rebound

Bitcoin is currently trading at $107,168 after gaining strong upward momentum from the $103,600 support level. The 8-hour chart shows a clear recovery following the June 24 bounce off the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), marked in red, which acted as a dynamic support. Price has since climbed above the 50 SMA (blue) and 100 SMA (green), signaling renewed short-term bullish momentum.

However, BTC is now facing resistance near $109,300, just below the critical $110,000 zone. This area has previously triggered multiple rejections, making it a significant short-term barrier. A confirmed breakout above this zone could open the door for a retest of the all-time high at $112,000.

Volume has slightly decreased during the recent consolidation phase, which suggests indecision. While moving averages have aligned in bullish sequence (price > 50 SMA > 100 SMA > 200 SMA), Bitcoin must maintain this structure and break above $109,300 with strong volume to validate continuation.

If bulls fail to break resistance, the $105,300–$103,600 zone will be crucial to watch for potential support. A drop below that could signal renewed downside pressure. For now, BTC remains in a bullish posture but faces a key test just ahead.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has been on a recovery trend after falling below $100,000 last weekend. The break of this psychological level was no doubt a demoralizing development. However, the largest cryptocurrency by market cap has since recovered, pushing toward $108,000 before hitting resistance. This resistance has become a major obstacle in the campaign for new all-time highs, and with momentum declining at this level, it carries some bearish implications for the price.

Bitcoin Resistance Says Crash Could Be Incoming

In a TradingView post, crypto analyst FirstNameHelen, outlined the resistance level that Bitcoin has failed to beat and that is now driving the bearish momentum. The analyst highlights $108,200 and $108,800 as the levels of concern, and this is where there has been significant resistance for the Bitcoin price.

This level has previously been the ceiling for the price, according to Helen, and this is why it has been important. However, the retest in a bid to break above the resistance has been unsuccessful, and this suggests that bears are still firmly in control of the price.

After this pushdown, the Bitcoin price has consolidated below the support level in the last few days. While this could sometimes mean a gathering of momentum to facilitate the next move upward, the crypto analyst explains that this means there is hesitation in the market. Since investors are not willing to move forward and remain cautious, the potential for a bearish reversal is increased as pressure rises.

The possibility of the reversal points to only a short-term rally and not a sustained move upward that could see the price reach new all-time highs. Unless the price sees a definitive break through the resistance and makes its way into the $110,000 level, then it is likely to continue its decline.

In light of the piling bear pressure, Helen has predicted that the price could move downward toward the next support level. This lies at $103,000 as the corrective wave moves into motion. It also coincides with the declining trendline from the mid-June peaks.

If this weekend plays out similarly to last weekend, then the Bitcoin price could be looking at another major crash that could send it below $100,000 again. A 10% crash would see a retest of its June lows, especially as uncertainties about the war in the Middle East abound. However, if momentum does rise again, then a breakout could be possible.

At its current price level, the Bitcoin price is only around 5% shy of breaking its all-time high of $111,900. Meanwhile, the altcoin market continues to struggle as prices sit at low levels.