Из жизни альткоинов

Администрация президента США Дональда Трампа предупредила сотрудников Белого дома о недопустимости ставок на рынках прогнозов Kalshi и Polymarket и злоупотреблением служебным положением.

В России появятся штрафы для не желающих уведомлять налоговую службу об иностранном криптовалютном кошельке. Размеры штрафов в беседе с Bits.media предположил управляющий консалтингового агентства Parallax, член экспертного совета по законодательному регулированию криптовалют Госдумы РФ Михаил Успенский.

An XRP enthusiast on X recently shared a screenshot of a valuation calculator outputting a price of $1,632 per token, using a set of assumptions about global transaction volumes and store-of-value demand for XRP. However, according to the pundit, the most important thing is not this predicted price. The claim does not stand alone, though, as it feeds into a shared narrative that has been circulating across the XRP community for many months.

A $1,632 Valuation Model Built On Flow

XRP is currently trading around $1.30 to $1.33, down 64% from its all-time high of $3.65. However, this hasn’t deterred many members of the XRP community from touting bullish price levels. 

This time, the bullish outlook is based on a calculator model that pushes the cryptocurrency into four-digit territory. The calculator is based on a valuation model developed by Susan Athey, a board member at Ripple, and Robert Mitchnick of Stanford Graduate School of Business, published in a paper titled A Fundamental Valuation Framework for Cryptoassets.

This calculator model uses a set of assumptions that influences how value is derived for XRP. The specific inputs that produced the $1,632 figure are $19 trillion in total estimated daily transaction volume, an average holding period of five days between transactions per XRP unit, $30 trillion in store-of-value demand, a five-year timeline to reach those volumes, and a 5% discount rate to bring the future value to present terms. 

When these variables are combined and distributed across an estimated 60 billion circulating tokens, the result is a valuation that far exceeds anything seen in current market pricing.

Pundit Says Stop Watching Price

The more interesting part of the prediction is the philosophy behind the price number. Particularly, the pundit dismissed price as the wrong metric entirely. “People argue about price. They’re not even looking at the variables,” he said.

What this means is that the output itself is less important than what the inputs imply. The input implies that XRP could one day serve as a bridge across global financial flows comparable in scale to the entire foreign exchange market.

The $1,632 figure is just one example in a growing list of ultra-bullish projections from XRP enthusiasts online. A common thread runs through all of them. They rely on the idea that XRP will capture a meaningful share of multi-trillion-dollar financial markets, whether in cross-border payments or tokenized real-world assets. Once that assumption is locked in, the math tends to escalate quickly above $1,000.

However, the basic market-cap arithmetic makes that scenario essentially impossible. A $1,000 XRP price would imply a market capitalization above $60 trillion, which is more than double U.S. GDP.

Компания Covenant AI, один из главных разработчиков блокчейн-платформы искусственного интеллекта Bittensor, объявила о выходе из проекта. Заявление спровоцировало масштабную распродажу нативного токена TAO и обвинения в манипулировании рынком.

Два индикатора, коэффициент Шарпа и дельта давления покупок/продаж, указывают на завершение периода падения биткоина, заявили аналитики ончейн-платформы CryptoQuant.

За первые три месяца года количество адресов Биткоина с балансом как минимум $1 млн сократилось на 20 590, с 148 084 до 127 494. Снижение составило 13,9%, подсчитали аналитики издания Finbold.

Замдиректора департамента финансовой политики Министерства финансов России Дмитрий Фролов посоветовал школьникам не стремиться разбогатеть на частном майнинге, поскольку они могут нарваться на административную и даже уголовную ответственность.

Европейский центральный банк (ЕЦБ) одобрил план Еврокомиссии передать надзор за криптобиржами и поставщиками услуг виртуальных активов (VASP) Европейскому управлению по ценным бумагам и рынкам (ESMA) и не оставлять криптокомпании под контролем 27 ведомств государств ЕС.

Неизвестные похитили более $400 000 в стейблкоинах USDT из системы криптовалютного проекта Aethir через инструмент AethirOFTAdapter. Инструмент используется для перемещения токенов между блокчейнами. Об инциденте первыми сообщили представители компании PeckShieldAlert, специализирующейся на кибербезопасности.

The terms and conditions buried in the Official Trump memecoin website say the president “may not be able to attend” a luncheon planned for April 25 — and that the event could be called off for any reason.

That disclaimer has done little to stop organizers from aggressively promoting the event around Trump’s potential presence.

Senators Fire Off A Letter

Three Democratic senators — Elizabeth Warren, Richard Blumenthal, and Adam Schiff — sent a letter to Bill Zanker, the man behind the TRUMP memecoin launch, demanding to know whether the president actually plans to show up.

Based on reports by Politico, the senators accused organizers of using Trump’s name to push coin purchases that generate transaction fees for him and his family, all while his attendance remained uncertain. The event is set for Trump’s Mar-a-Lago property in Florida.

The senators put it plainly. They wrote that organizers were promoting the conference by holding out the prospect of a presidential appearance to potential attendees — and that doing so was encouraging people to buy the coin.

What makes the situation thornier is that April 25 is already taken. Trump announced on March 2 that he planned to attend the White House Correspondents’ Association Dinner in Washington, DC — his first time going since boycotting it throughout his first term.

Two major events. One day. One president. The White House did not respond to requests for comment on his schedule.

SATURDAY, APRIL 25 AT MAR-A-LAGO!

The Most Exclusive Crypto and Business Conference in the World & Gala Luncheon with PRESIDENT TRUMP and 18 other SUPERSTARS.

Strictly Limited to only 297 attendees. Are You In?

Register Here: https://t.co/MBo3UBrzje pic.twitter.com/CWOVNK1kbU

— TrumpMeme (@GetTrumpMemes) March 12, 2026

A Coin With A Schedule Problem

This is not the first time Trump has shown up — or been expected to show up — at a crypto event. Reports indicate he attended the Bitcoin 2024 conference and a separate dinner for TRUMP memecoin holders back in May 2025. The April 25 event would be the second such gathering for holders of the coin.

The conflict has drawn attention beyond just scheduling. Critics say it raises questions about whether access to the president is being tied to participation in a financial product that benefits him directly. Organizers have not publicly addressed whether Trump will appear or whether the event will go ahead as planned.

Crypto Legislation Caught In The Crossfire

The controversy lands at a difficult moment for crypto regulation in the US. The CLARITY Act — a bill aimed at setting a legal framework for digital assets — passed the House in July 2025.

The Senate agriculture committee moved it forward in January, but the banking committee put a halt to further action. Concerns over tokenized equities, stablecoin yield, and ethics stalled the process. As of Thursday, no new markup date had been set.

The White House weighed in Wednesday, saying a proposed ban on stablecoin yield in the bill would do little to protect bank lending — a claim aimed at cooling opposition from both the banking and crypto industries.

Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView

В Шелеховском районе Иркутской области сотрудники Росгвардии задержали 36-летнего замгендиректора местной компании, занимающейся недвижимостью. Мужчина организовал фермы для майнинга в помещениях производственной базы и трех частных домах, заявили силовики.

Исполнительный председатель компании Strategy, крупнейшего публичного корпоративного держателя биткоинов, Майкл Сэйлор (Michael Saylor) заявил, что катализатором роста первой криптовалюты станет развитие рынка криптозаймов.

Правительство Японии одобрило поправки к Закону о финансовых инструментах и биржах, согласно которым цифровые валюты классифицируются как финансовые инструменты. Новые правила также ужесточают требования к эмитентам криптоактивов.

К 2035 году объем транзакций в стейблкоинах может превысить $719 трлн, заявили аналитики компании Chainalysis.

Cardano has been one of the worst-hit altcoins in the crypto market, barely getting a rally in the last run and dropping fast once momentum shifted. Over the last year, the cryptocurrency’s performance remained muted as it seemed like investors were focused on offloading their coins in order to avoid more losses. But with the new year, this trend seems to be changing, especially as investors seem to be coming back to the table.

Cardano Sees Renewed Activity

According to the on-chain tracking platform, Santiment, the Cardano network is beginning to see some much-needed change when it comes to participation. The network saw a major surge in activity as reported earlier in the week, suggesting that sentiment toward the altcoin is beginning to move again.

Santiment’s data focused on Cardano wallets holding at least 10 million ADA, meaning these are the whale wallets. This large investor cohort had begun to make more moves, rapidly adding to their already massive holdings as the ADA price continued to struggle.

As the tracker reports, the number of wallets holding at least 10 million ADA has now moved up to 424. This means that it is the first time in more than one month that this metric is moving, and it translates to a 5.92% increase in whale wallets.

ADA Investors Are Very Bullish

While the Cardano whales are coming back to the table, the sentiment is beginning to turn toward the positive again. An earlier report from Santiment shows that ADA investors are still heavily bullish despite most being underwater. The data comes out to around 79% of all investors still bullish and expecting the cryptocurrency’s price to actually move upward.

In addition to this, the month of April has usually been rather bullish for the Cardano price, with more green closes than red for this month throughout history. CryptoRank’s data puts the average ADA price returns for April at 14.1%, suggesting that there could be some positive movement for the cryptocurrency.

The rise in whale volume is also a net positive as these large buys go toward reducing the available supply on the market. Thereby, introducing scarcity and pushing the price upwards. However, the direction of the general crypto market still comes into play, meaning that if the market does go bullish, the likelihood of the ADA price going up becomes higher.

Новый спотовый биржевой фонд Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust (MSBT), паи которого привязаны к курсу биткоина, привлек около $32 млн в первый день торгов на бирже NYSE Arca. Объем торгов превысил 1,6 млн акций.

Банк России не исключает в будущем создание государственного крипторезерва, однако для этого цифровая валюта должна перестать быть высокорискованным финансовым инструментом. Об этом в эфире радио РБК заявил зампред Центробанка Владимир Чистюхин.

Старший стратег Bloomberg Intelligence Майк Макглоун (Mike McGlone) сравнил доходность биржевых фондов (ETF) на биткоин и золото и выразил сомнение в том, что спотовые биткоин-ETF способны обеспечить устойчивый рост первой криптовалюты.

On-chain data shows crypto trading volume on centralized exchanges has fallen to $4.3 trillion, a decline of nearly 50% from the October Bitcoin peak.

Crypto Exchange Volume Has Witnessed A Significant Drop

According to data from on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, the crypto trading volume of the centralized exchanges has been cooling down. The “trading volume” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the total amount of a given asset or group of assets becoming involved in trading activity on exchanges.

Below is the chart shared by CryptoQuant that shows the trend in this metric for the entire crypto sector over the last few years.

As is visible in the graph, the crypto trading volume shot up to a peak level during the last quarter of 2024, suggesting traders were at their most active on exchanges. In 2025, a second peak aligned with Bitcoin’s rally to its new all-time high (ATH).

Both of these highs coinciding with price surges isn’t surprising, as bullish price action tends to attract hype, which naturally results in higher trading activity. In contrast, bearish or sideways phases tend to scare investors away. From the chart, it’s visible that the latter effect has followed with the bearish reversal that crypto has seen since the last quarter of 2025.

Compared to the peak in October, crypto trading volume is today down 48%. Out of the $4.3 trillion volume that exchanges are observing right now, just $0.8 trillion is occurring on spot platforms. Thus, it would appear that perpetual futures markets are seeing most of the activity.

In terms of the individual exchanges, Binance continues to be the most dominant platform.

From the graph, it’s visible that Binance occupies the largest share of the exchange trading volume. Though, its dominance has actually shrunken over the years. At its peak back in the previous cycle, Binance controlled the majority of the market.

In some other news, the latest Bitcoin price surge has led to a break above a key Trader Realized Price level, as CryptoQuant has highlighted in an X post. The “Trader Realized Price” here refers to the average cost basis of the recent BTC buyers.

As displayed in the chart, the lower band of the Trader Realized Price was acting as an upper bound for BTC during the past few weeks, but the latest rally has taken the coin beyond the line. “If it holds, $79K is next—the key bear market ceiling and test for structural recovery,” noted the analytics firm.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $71,800, up more than 7.5% in the last seven days.

Владелец контрольного пакета криптобиржи Binance Чанпэн Чжао (Changpeng Zhao) заявил, что к 2031 году криптовалюты и блокчейн могут стать незаметной частью повседневной инфраструктуры — подобно интернету сегодня.