Из жизни альткоинов

Bitcoin is holding above $71,000 in a market facing serious volatility. Most participants are watching the price. A CryptoQuant report is watching something else — and what it is seeing has only appeared four times in the last decade.

The report identifies a confluence of two on-chain indicators that together are producing what it describes as one of the most compelling risk-reward setups in recent cycle history. The first and most historically significant is the Short-Term Sharpe Ratio, which has plunged deep into negative territory and is now touching the -40 threshold.

That level is not arbitrary. It is the precise reading that preceded every major accumulation window of the past ten years — 2015, 2019, 2020, and 2023. Four instances. Four subsequent substantial re-ratings of the asset. Zero exceptions.

The current moment marks the fifth time Bitcoin has entered that territory.

To be precise about what that means: the Sharpe Ratio measures risk-adjusted returns. When it reaches -40, investors are bearing extreme risk for deeply negative returns — the exact condition that historically exhausts sellers and precedes the kind of structural reset that produces the next major move higher.

Bitcoin above $71,000 is navigating volatility. The on-chain data suggests it may be navigating something else entirely.

The Flush Has Happened, But The Opportunity Has Not Opened Yet

The report’s second indicator adds the dimension that transforms a data point into a framework. Durable Bitcoin bottoms, the analysis establishes, are not events — they are processes. And that process has a consistent, observable sequence that the Buy/Sell Pressure Delta maps in real time.

The sequence begins with maximum sell pressure: the orange and red spikes below -0.05 that mark the moment when forced sellers and panic capitulators exhaust themselves simultaneously. That phase has occurred. The flush is confirmed. What follows is a gradual normalization — supply thinning, selling pressure receding, the delta crawling back toward neutral. That transition is underway. The delta is moving in the right direction.

What has not yet arrived is the asymmetric signal — the moment the delta reclaims blue Buy Pressure territory, confirming that demand is genuinely re-emerging rather than simply stabilizing in the absence of selling. That reclaim is the threshold the report identifies as historically offering the highest risk-reward entry. Every prior durable bottom produced it. The current chart has not yet.

The gap between where the delta sits now and where it needs to go is not a warning. It is a waiting period — and the report is precise about what lives inside it. Historically, the space between capitulation confirmed and demand reignited is where the most asymmetric capital deployment has occurred. Not after the blue reclaim. Before it.

The risks are real and named. Macro headwinds, liquidity constraints, and sentiment fragility could extend the transition. But the data describes a market that is closer to the beginning of an opportunity than the end of one — and that distinction, for cycle-aware investors, is the only number that matters right now.

Bitcoin Holds Range as Downtrend Momentum Fades

Bitcoin is stabilizing above $70,000 after a sharp breakdown that defined the February move lower. The chart shows a clear shift from trend to range: a prolonged decline from late 2025 gave way to a high-volume capitulation event, followed by consolidation between roughly $66,000 and $72,000. This range now defines the short-term structure, with $70,000 acting as a pivot level.

Despite the stabilization, the broader trend remains unresolved. Bitcoin continues to trade below its 50-day (blue), 100-day (green), and 200-day (red) moving averages, all trending downward. This alignment signals that bearish momentum has not fully reversed. Recent attempts to push higher have stalled near the 50-day average, indicating overhead supply remains active.

Volume provides additional context. The spike during the February sell-off reflects forced liquidations, often associated with local bottoms. Since then, volume has normalized, suggesting that the market is no longer under stress but has not yet transitioned into strong accumulation.

Structurally, this is a compression phase following a deleveraging event. A break above $72,000–$75,000 is required to shift momentum and confirm recovery. Until then, Bitcoin remains range-bound, with price action driven more by positioning than sustained directional demand.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin has spent months trading in an extended correction, and most of the altcoin market has bled quietly alongside it. But one crypto analyst is not reading the current price action as a reason to exit. 

According to the pundit, $300,000 is inevitable for Bitcoin. The moment Bitcoin smashes its current price peak, a sequence begins that ends with billions of dollars flooding into mid- and low-cap altcoins, leading to the creation of a new class of millionaires.

The Sequence: Bitcoin To New Price Highs First

According to a crypto pundit on the social media platform X, the next six to ten months will become one of the most significant wealth-creation windows in crypto history. All that just needs to happen is for the Bitcoin price to break its all-time high. Everything else will follow automatically.

The total cryptocurrency market cap, which is currently sitting around $2.5 trillion, is projected in this scenario to undergo a three-to-four-fold expansion from current levels. This scenario will see the entire crypto market cap reaching anywhere between $8 trillion and $10 trillion.

The chart accompanying the analysis highlights a direct comparison between Bitcoin’s 2012 cycle and the current structure heading into the rest of 2026. Just like the 2012 cycle, the current price action shows a sharp rally into an early peak in October 2025, followed by a corrective phase, characterized by a rebound in January that looks like a bear trap. That trap shook out weaker hands before a deeper reset to form the true bottom.

However, the most interesting part is what came next during the 2012 cycle. Back then, once Bitcoin reclaimed momentum and pushed beyond its previous high, the move that followed delivered an exponential rally of over 12,000%.

Liquidity Rotation: How Altcoins Enter The Picture

The outlook is that Bitcoin will soon embark on a rally that sees it breaking to new price territories if it continues to follow the way it played out in 2012. A similar rally that factors in the state of the crypto market today will still see the Bitcoin price reaching well over $250,000 and maybe even as high as $300,000.

The pundit lays out a clear chain of events. Bitcoin shatters its all-time high, and Ethereum follows to new highs, then billions of dollars rotate into mid- and low-cap altcoins, with memecoins catching fire in the final stage. This sequencing follows how previous altseasons have unfolded. The 2017 and 2021 bull markets both followed this structure, and 2026 might be no different.

Crypto analyst Crypto Patel also pointed to the OTHERS/BTC ratio returning to an important support level that previously preceded major altcoin rallies. Patel noted that similar rebounds in 2017 and 2021 led to gains of 423% and 503% respectively, and projected a potential 702% upside for the 2026 cycle.

A familiar feud in crypto’s upper ranks has flared up again, this time centered not on trading platforms, but on the founders behind them. Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) and OKX founder Star Xu (Mingxing Xu) are once more trading accusations publicly.

Binance And OKX Founders Clash Again

The renewed conflict began after Binance’s founder published his autobiography, Freedom of Money. In response, Xu posted a series of sharp messages on social media platform X, accusing Zhao of spreading “purely false information” and challenging his personal and professional integrity. 

Xu’s comments also disputed claims Zhao included in the book—particularly a story involving Huobi founder Li Lin. Zhao’s autobiography says that Li Lin told him in 2025 that Li had been arrested because of a whistleblower report allegedly tied to Xu. 

Xu quickly pushed back, denying that any such report was made and insisting he never contacted authorities regarding Li Lin. He argued that while people file complaints in the crypto industry, those complaints don’t typically result in arrests. 

The clash also revisited an earlier dispute dating back to 2014 and 2015, when Zhao was a senior executive at OKCoin, the company that would later become OKX. At the center of that older disagreement was a commercial arrangement involving early Bitcoin investor Roger Ver. 

CZ Offers $1 Billion Bet

Xu says OKCoin accused Zhao of fabricating contract versions in a way that introduced a six-month termination clause. According to Xu’s posts, the disagreement originally hinged on the accuracy and authenticity of the contract terms—and the question of whether evidence had been altered.

Zhao has repeatedly denied those allegations, and in his autobiography, he suggested that any evidence used against him could have been manipulated. Xu, however, claims to have new material supporting his position. 

He reposted what he described as a notarized video, saying it proves contract forgery. Xu also referenced the passage of time, stating that contract falsification evidence had already been made public on the internet 12 years earlier. In his comments, Xu called Zhao “a habitual liar” who “never changes their nature.”

But while the OKX founder has been arguing the case in detail online, CZ responded in a separate social media post dismissing the attacks as false claims—at least initially. 

He wrote that he typically ignores such accusations, but added, “You can apologize now.” Binance’s former CEO then made a personal and legal offer, saying that he would not post any legal documents online out of respect for his ex-wife and privacy.

CZ’s post also introduced the wager that has caught attention across crypto circles. He said he would be “happy to bet $1 billion USD (or any number you choose)” that he is officially divorced—“way before today.” 

The Binance founder suggested that if Xu agrees, lawyers could validate the divorce agreement and called the process “dead simple.” CZ said the bet offer would remain valid permanently, “whenever you feel ready,” but added that if Xu does not accept within 24 hours, it would indicate who has misrepresented the public.

Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

The crypto market is consolidating. Bitcoin is range-bound. Altcoins are struggling at current demand levels. And beneath the price action, a CryptoQuant Research report has produced Q1 2026 exchange data that reframes what this consolidation actually represents.

The headline finding is stark: total centralized exchange trading volume fell approximately 48% from the October 2025 peak to $4.3 trillion in March 2026 — the lowest reading since October 2024. That is not a seasonal slowdown. It is a near-halving of market participation in five months, confirming that the cycle’s peak activity has passed and the participants who drove it have largely stepped back.

What remains is structurally revealing. Of the $4.3 trillion in March volume, perpetual futures accounted for $3.5 trillion — more than four times the $0.8 trillion recorded in spot markets. The crypto market is not being driven by holders buying and selling the underlying asset. It is being driven by leveraged traders making synthetic directional bets on where the price goes next.

That ratio — four dollars of derivatives activity for every one dollar of real spot demand — is not a sign of a healthy, conviction-driven market. It is the fingerprint of a market in transition, waiting for the underlying demand that turns leverage into trend.

The Crypto Market Shrank

The report’s competitive analysis delivers the most counterintuitive finding in the Q1 data. While total exchange volume contracted nearly 50% from the cycle peak, Binance maintained $248 billion in spot trading in March alone — translating to approximately 32% market share year-to-date in 2026, representing roughly $1 trillion in cumulative volume. Its nearest competitors are not close. MEXC holds 9%. Bybit holds 7%. Binance’s share is more than three times larger than either.

The decline from 37% in October 2025 to 32% today reflects genuine competitive pressure from secondary exchanges gaining traction during the contraction. MEXC, Bybit, Gate, and Crypto.com have all grown their spot volumes relative to the market. None have approached Binance’s scale. Increased competition without meaningful consolidation of leadership is the precise description of the current competitive landscape.

The derivatives picture reinforces the structural conclusion. Binance leads perpetual futures with $1.4 trillion in monthly volume and approximately 40% market share — more than double OKX at 19% and more than triple Bybit at 13%. Across $4.5 trillion in cumulative perp volume in 2026, derivatives have become the decisive growth engine for the entire exchange industry.

What the Q1 data ultimately describes is a market in which total participation has contracted sharply while the concentration of that participation has deepened. When volume returns — and the historical pattern suggests it will — it will return to the venues that held their ground during the contraction. The gap between Binance and everyone else means that dynamic disproportionately favors one player.

Total Market Cap Enters Transitional Range After Breakdown

The total crypto market cap is no longer trending — it is rotating. After peaking near the $3.8T–$4.0T region in late 2025, the market lost structure and broke below its short-term trend, triggering a sharp decline toward the $2.1T–$2.2T zone. That move marked a decisive shift from expansion to distribution.

Since then, price has stabilized around $2.3T–$2.4T, forming a horizontal range rather than a directional trend. This level now acts as a pivot. However, the broader technical context remains fragile. The market is trading below the 50-week (blue) and 100-week (green) moving averages, both of which are flattening or turning downward. This reflects weakening momentum and a loss of sustained inflows.

The 200-week moving average (red), currently near $2.0T, is rising and has held as structural support during the recent drawdown. That level defines the lower bound of the current cycle unless a deeper macro shift occurs.

Volume behavior reinforces the transition narrative. Activity expanded into the late-2025 highs but has since declined alongside price, indicating reduced participation rather than aggressive accumulation.

Structurally, this is a re-accumulation or redistribution range. A reclaim of $2.8T–$3.0T is required to restore bullish continuation. Until then, the market remains in a neutral-to-bearish consolidation phase.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Jack Dorsey’s decentralized messaging app Bitchat is getting a fresh wave of attention — not because of a product launch, but because YouTube keeps banning crypto channels.

A Decade Of Content, Gone Overnight

Bitcoin.com confirmed that YouTube removed its channel without prior warning, citing “harmful and dangerous” content. The channel had built an audience of more than 100,000 subscribers over 10 years, posting wallet tutorials and cryptocurrency news.

Appeals have been rejected. Broken video embeds have hurt the site’s traffic. According to Bitcoin.com, nothing in its library crossed any line — and while its educational videos were pulled, crypto scam advertisements continued running on the platform untouched.

YouTube deleted our channel for being “harmful and dangerous.” Our content since 2015: #Bitcoin education. Wallet tutorials. Objective news. YouTube’s content: crypto scam ads running 24/7 with zero moderation. Appeal rejected. No strikes. No explanation. Just an algorithm that… pic.twitter.com/YvEsk8vc7J

— Bitcoin.com (@BitcoinCom) April 8, 2026

YouTube has not publicly commented on the removal.

A Pattern That Goes Back Years

This is not an isolated case. BTCsessions, another crypto-focused channel, was removed three separate times between 2019 and 2025. Its most recent ban — issued for what YouTube described as “severe and repeated violations” — was reversed only after a large public backlash.

In September 2025, the Luke Mikic channel was taken down, then restored the same day following a fast appeal.

Earlier in 2026, YouTube swept out a broader group of channels. Reports indicate that the affected accounts lost a combined 35 million subscribers, with demonetization cutting off millions of dollars in revenue.

Bitcoin Magazine was banned in April 2026 — its second removal in four years — this time for content YouTube labeled “low-quality and repetitive.”

Through it all, YouTube CEO Neal Mohan has continued to describe the platform as creator-first. Crypto viewership on the platform dropped to a five-year low in 2026.

Banning channels should always be a last resort, not automated in any way.

It’s people’s lives. They put a lot of work into it, years, and then you just ban it automatically. It’s not respectful.

— James CryptoGuru (@Jamyies) April 8, 2026

YouTube Ban: Creators Look For A Way Out

Reaction on X has been sharp. Creators and viewers alike say the bans are unjustified and that automation has made the process worse — not better. “It’s people’s lives,” one user wrote. “They put a lot of work into it, years, and then you just ban it automatically.”

Alternatives Gain Ground

Voices in the community are pointing creators toward other platforms: Odysee, Rumble, Substack, Spotify, and email lists. Bitchat — still in early development — has drawn particular interest for its design, which operates independently of centralized platforms and does not rely on traditional internet infrastructure.

Nostr and Bluesky, both backed by Dorsey, are being mentioned alongside it as longer-term alternatives for creators who no longer want their work dependent on a single platform’s moderation decisions.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Crypto market analyst Tony Severino took to X this week to explain the current Ethereum (ETH) cycle. The analyst highlighted how different this market cycle has been playing out, with ETH experiencing a prolonged corrective phase that is taking most investors and traders by surprise. Despite ongoing price volatility and bear market trends, Severino notes that Ethereum has yet to reach its final bottom, suggesting the possibility of further downside before a price floor is reached.

Analyst Explains Market Using Ethereum Cycle Theory

On April 7, Severino shared his Ethereum price analysis on X, comparing the current market cycle with past trends. The analyst noted that crypto cycles can run their full course without reaching a new all-time high. Additionally, he said that some cycles may only experience bear market rallies, in which prices consistently form higher lows and lower highs over time. 

According to Severino, the biggest challenge most market participants face today is the inability to accept that a cycle may behave differently from historical trends. He added that, currently, many investors believe the Ethereum cycle has not happened, even though it behaved unexpectedly. 

Explaining this deviation through a cycle theory, Severino noted that within a full market cycle, there are several smaller degree cycles that make each timeline unique. He referred to these smaller cycles as “intracycle harmonics.” The analyst emphasized that the behavior of these harmonics can change depending on their position within the larger degree cycle. He further added that if an intracycle harmonic exceeds the amplitude of the larger-degree cycle, it could be a warning sign that ETH is in a period dominated by bear-market rallies. 

Essentially, Severino suggests that Ethereum’s recent price gains may be temporary or misleading. Even when it seems to be rallying, the broader market structure implies that these moves are likely part of a prolonged weak cycle within a bear market. This means that investors should be cautious about expecting a new all-time high anytime soon.   

Ethereum Bottom Not Reached Yet

In his analysis, Severino noted that despite ongoing bearish headwinds and weak action, the Ethereum price has not reached a market bottom yet. In his accompanying chart, he highlighted a pink line above the $2,000 level where ETH is currently holding firmly. 

According to the analyst, every time Ethereum has broken this key support line, the cryptocurrency has declined to its market bottom. With ETH’s price now hovering slightly above key support, it suggests that the market could be approaching a floor soon. 

Before reaching that point, Ethereum will likely experience another downturn. In his chart, Severino identifies $800 and a level around $440 as ETH’s next potential breakdown target or ultimate price bottoms if it falls below the critical line.

A crypto analyst has shared the best time for investors and traders to reenter the Bitcoin (BTC) market, and it’s not April 13. Instead, he has set the next potential buy zone for next year, citing Bitcoin’s halving dynamics as a key factor behind his projection. As the current market prepares for another bout of volatility amid ongoing bearish conditions, the analyst views this date as a strategic opportunity for investors. He also outlined a disciplined buy-and-sell strategy designed to help investors and traders capture the highest returns while minimizing potential risks. 

Analyst Reveals Key Bitcoin Investment Strategy

In an X post, Mags, a well-known crypto analyst, announced that January 13, 2027, could be the next major buying opportunity for Bitcoin investors. He outlined a key investment strategy that could help BTC holders and traders potentially maximize their profits even during a bear market. 

Mags called this plan “the 500-day Bitcoin strategy.” He noted that despite the ongoing market downturn and Bitcoin’s persistent fluctuation, the strategy is still working fully and could be an effective approach for investors who want to ignore the noise and focus on growing their portfolio.

The analyst explained how this unique strategy works. First, investors must buy Bitcoin exactly 500 days before the cryptocurrency’s halving event. After making the purchase, they are expected to hold their position and do nothing. This means that regardless of how the market moves, whether prices rise or fall, investors who bought 500 days before the halving should avoid selling to lock in profit or to limit losses. 

After another 500 days have passed, Mags noted that investors can then sell their BTC, suggesting that this timing may be the best opportunity to realize gains. He concluded by encouraging investors to repeat the same process in future cycles. 

Notably, Mags revealed that the last major sell signal for Bitcoin was triggered on August 24, 2025, when the cryptocurrency was trading around $109,000. This signal appeared nearly two months before Bitcoin reached its current top above $126,000 in October last year. Although that level was not Bitcoin’s ultimate peak, it still represented a major exit zone for investors who had entered 500 days before the 2024 halving, enabling them to secure massive gains. The analyst further noted that since reaching that level, BTC’s value has declined by more than 45%. 

Historical Context Behind The 500 Day BTC Strategy

In his post, Mags shared a detailed chart showing Bitcoin’s price movements leading up to its halving event and over the next 500 days. In the 2016 to 2019 cycle, the analyst noted that investors who applied this 500-day Bitcoin strategy had entered the market at major lows and sold near the peak, resulting in substantial gains.

A similar pattern was observed during the 2019 to 2022 cycle, where investors who bought 500 days before the halving entered the market at around $3,000 to $5,000 and later sold near the top at above $69,000, representing gains of 1,200% to 2,200%. With the current cycle’s 500-day strategy concluded, Mags has pointed to 13 January 2027 as the next opportunity, with the halving event expected around 27 May 2028. 

Легальные операции с криптовалютами в России будут возможны исключительно в безналичной форме, заявил первый заместитель председателя Центробанка Владимир Чистюхин. По его словам, вывод криптовалют в наличные деньги власти разрешать не планируют.

Cardano’s (ADA) prolonged downside price action has failed to influence or slow down the engagement and demand for the leading blockchain network. During fading price strength, the network has been building up its pace with user activity witnessing one of its biggest growth in history.

Network Usage On Cardano Makes History

With a growing, volatile cryptocurrency landscape, the price of Cardano has steadily faced bearish pressure and persistent pullback. However, this has not been the case for the Cardano network, as momentum has been observed growing across the blockchain and its ecosystem.

After a steady growth, the network is experiencing notable interest, reaching yet another major milestone in its activity. As more players connect through transactions, decentralized apps, and on-chain services, the most recent milestone is indicative of consistent growth in the network’s user base.

In this waning period, transactions conducted on the network are spiking hard. Data from Cexplorer, the biggest and most featured OG blockchain explorer, shows that Cardano has just crossed 120,000,000 on the mainnet, cementing its position as a top contender in the crypto and blockchain sector.

Currently, transaction counts on the network stand at 120,002,067, as seen in the chart shared by the platform. Such a huge amount of transactions demonstrates heightened adoption and strengthens Cardano’s standing in the larger blockchain environment. Should the user engagement continue expanding, it could spur a broader market performance, allowing ADA’s price to bounce back to key resistance levels.

Large ADA  Investors Are Stepping Back In At A Fast Rate

Prior to the report regarding transaction growth, there was news about wallet addresses on the network spiking significantly to levels not seen in several months. These are not just mere ADA holders but wallet addresses holding a substantial amount of ADA, who are considered large investors or whales.

In the report shared on X by Santiment, a leading on-chain data analytics platform, it was highlighted that the number of wallet addresses holding at least 10 million ADA has skyrocketed. The rise in large-holder addresses indicates that wealthy investors are gradually increasing their holdings, which may indicate a resurgence of faith in the network’s long-term prospects.

Currently, these investors are not positioned at a 4-high 424, which represents a +5.2% rise in 9 weeks. Despite its downside trend, Cardano has not yet decoupled from other leading altcoins in 2026. ADA’s market value experienced a +11% since it reached its bottom back on February 5th, 2026. 

Large investors are often seen as the main drivers for massive price movements, which implies that their activity could shape the impending move for ADA in the short and long term. In a bullish outlook, the growth might mark the start of a stronger phase for the altcoin.

Главный технический директор компании Lightning Labs Олаолува Осунтокун (Olaoluwa Osuntokun) объявил о создании прототипа инструмента, предназначенного для защиты биткоин-кошельков от попытки взлома квантовыми компьютерами.

Most Binance whales are currently betting on a rally for the Shiba Inu price, providing a bullish outlook for the meme coin. This comes as the crypto market looks to recover amid easing tensions between the U.S. and Iran following the two-week ceasefire. 

Most Binance Whales Are Betting On A Shiba Inu Price Rally

Binance data show that top traders on the exchange with the largest margin balances are going long on the meme coin, with 63% betting on a Shiba Inu price rally. Meanwhile, only 37% of them are short on SHIB, betting on a move to the downside. As a result, the long/short ratio is at 1.69, signaling how bullish these top traders are on the foremost meme coin. 

Furthermore, the top Binance traders by position are also mainly long SHIB and betting on a Shiba Inu price rally. Almost 71% of these traders are long SHIB, while 29% are short, with a long/short ratio of 2.39. It is worth noting that the long/short ratio of the top traders by accounts and positions has climbed since the U.S. and Iran announced the two-week ceasefire. 

At the same time, most Binance traders are bullish on the Shiba Inu price, with 60% of accounts long the meme coin and 40% short. The long/short ratio is at 1.5, rising as SHIB rebounded yesterday following the announcement of the two-week U.S.-Iran ceasefire. While most traders are bullish on SHIB, activity in the derivatives market is on the decline. 

CoinGlass data shows that Shiba Inu’s trading volume has crashed by over 22% to $138 million, while the open interest is down over 4% to $54 million. This signals that most traders are still on the sidelines even as the market recovers. 

SHIB Primed For The Next Expansion

In an X post, crypto analyst Crypto Lens stated that the Shiba Inu is primed for the next expansion. He noted that SHIB is holding a 5-year demand zone strongly and that it has a history of long accumulation followed by explosive moves, including rallies of over 1,000%. Based on this, the analyst declared that the structure appears primed for the next expansion after another 550 days of tight consolidation. 

Crypto analyst Vuori also predicted that the Shiba Inu price could soon see a parabolic rally. The analyst noted that SHIB is still in the accumulation phase, which could last till the fourth quarter or first quarter of 2027, but that the downside risk is minimal at this point. He added that the projected gains are “monumental.”

At the time of writing, the Shiba Inu price is trading at around $0.000005883, down over 4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

В четверг, 9 апреля, майнер-одиночка с хешрейтом всего 70 TH/s сумел добыть блок биткоина и получить вознаграждение размером $222 000. О редком событии рассказал разработчик CKpool Кон Коливас (Con Kolivas).

Группа трейдеров на блокчейн-платформе прогнозов Polymarket вот уже два года делает и выигрывает ставки на военно-политические события, используя несколько аккаунтов — как недавно созданных, так и старых, выяснили аналитики компании Bubblemaps. На ставках об операции США в Иране неизвестные заработали более $1,8 млн.

Компания Yuga Labs, выпустившая коллекционные токены в виде рисунков со «скучающими обезьянами» Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC), урегулировала многолетний судебный спор о нарушении прав интеллектуальной собственности с художниками Райдером Риппсом (Ryder Ripps) и Джереми Каэном (Jeremy Cahen).

U.S. regulators are urging a court to stop Arizona from enforcing its gambling laws against crypto prediction‑market platform Kalshi.

Another Battle Over Crypto Prediction Markets

In a filing from yesterday, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Justice Department (DOJ) commended a federal court to stop Arizona from using its gambling laws against crypto prediction‑market platform Kalshi.

The agencies are asking for a temporary restraining order and preliminary injunction to halt Arizona’s criminal case and gambling‑law enforcement.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Creator Exposed? New Investigation Points At The Real Identity Of Satoshi Nakamoto

CFTC argues that these contracts tied to sports, elections and other real‑world events qualify as swaps (financial derivatives) under U.S. law, rather than falling under state gambling statutes. The federal regulators based their arguments on the fact that since the contracts are settled on future events with economic impact, they are governed by the Commodity Exchange Act and fall under federal law rather than state authority.

Such interpretation curbs how far individual states can go in blocking or constraining these platforms, which regulators say would otherwise splinter the market into a patchwork of state‑by‑state rules.

The Arizona Lawsuit Explained

Arizona charged Kalshi with illegal gambling over sports and election markets. Arizona, along with an expanding list of other states, argue that contracts tied to sports results operate like ordinary bets and must be treated as gambling, subject to licensing rules, age limits, and consumer safeguards.

According to the court filing, Arizona first sent a cease‑and‑desist order to KalshiEx LLC and Kalshi Trading LLC in May 2025, alleging they were taking unlawful bets in breach of state law. The state then brought criminal charges against both entities for “betting and wagering” under several Arizona statutes, with an arraignment set for April 13.

On Monday, a Third Circuit (one of the 13 U.S. federal courts of appeals) ruling stated that sports event contracts on designated contract markets (DCMs) are “swaps” preempting state gambling laws. However, one judge disagreed, blasting Kalshi’s stance as a “performative sleight” designed to hide the fact that its offerings are, in substance, sports betting.

Crypto Prediction Markets Under A Coordinated State Pushback

This move follows a broader CFTC and DOJ litigation against Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois over prediction‑market jurisdiction. Bitcoinist reported on it last week. This past month, a bipartisan Senate bill targeting sports‑style bets on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi was introduced by Senators Adam Schiff (D-CA) and John Curtis (R-UT).

Also on March, democratic representative Seth Moulton of Massachusetts (MA-06) formally banned all his staff from participating in prediction markets. That same day, Congressman Adrian Smith (R-NE-03) and Congresswoman Nikki Budzinski (D-IL-13) from Nebraska introduced the PREDICT Act, banning members of Congress from trading on political and policy outcome markets.

Related Reading: SEC Admits Flaws In Crypto Enforment, What Went Wrong?

Kalshi’s main rival, Polymarket, is also under mounting legal fire, with a New York class action filed in February alleging it runs an unlicensed sports‑betting operation. Regulators in Nevada have launched a civil case against its parent company, and authorities in Ohio, Utah, and Iowa have likewise begun probing the platform.

Not too long ago, Argentinian authorities ordered a full national ban of Polymarket after it “predicted” inflation data back in February. On top of that, the platform faced terrible backlash recently after bettors sent death threats to Times of Israel military reporter Emanuel Fabian, following his report of an Iranian ballistic missile on March 10.

Both Kalshi and Polymarket updated their rules at the end of March to preemptively block politicians, candidates and sports insiders from trading on related markets

If the federal preemption is upheld, it will de‑risks U.S. prediction venues, potentially boosting liquidity and making them more attractive as macro and sports‑beta tools for crypto‑savvy traders. However, if states carve out sports and politics as gambling, markets may fragment offshore or into on‑chain, harder‑to‑police venues, raising operational and legal risk premia for anyone treating these contracts as serious hedging instruments.

Cover image from Perplexity. BTCUSD chart from Tradingview.

Полиция штата Перак в Малайзии задержала 22 граждан Китая, устроив рейд на колл-центр, сотрудники которого обзванивали людей и предлагали криптоинвестиции. Кол-центр располагался в гостевом доме, а жертвами звонивших становились в основном европейцы, чаще всего итальянцы.

Основатель блокчейн-платформы Cardano Чарльз Хоскинсон (Charles Hoskinson) заявил, что сила Биткоина заключается в анонимности его создателя — Сатоси Накамото.

Майнинговая компания Cango, торгующаяся на Нью-Йоркской фондовой бирже (NYSE), в марте продала 2000 биткоинов на $143 млн ради погашения долгов, обеспеченных первой криптовалютой. В результате компания сократила остаток непогашенных кредитов до $30,6 млн.

Bitcoin and Ethereum prices briefly surged on Wednesday, with BTC reclaiming $71,000 and ETH reclaiming $2,200. Despite the upside move, reports are showing that large investors across the market are heavily bearish toward the two leading cryptocurrency assets.

Whales Bet Against Bitcoin And Ethereum

Bullish momentum appears to have returned for Bitcoin and Ethereum as both assets are now trading above key resistance levels that previously triggered downside action. Even during the period, key traders’ sentiment remained unchanged, reflecting a negative outlook for these top assets.

An X post from Alphractal, an advanced investment and on-chain data analytics platform, is showing a notable shift in sentiment among large investors or whales. The signal is emerging from the Whale Vs Retail Delta metric.

Specifically, whales in both Bitcoin and Ethereum are increasingly favoring or opening short positions over long positions. This shift implies that some of the market’s most powerful players are preparing for a possible decline, even though price action may seem reasonably constant on the surface. 

When investors notably shift towards bearish bets, it usually implies that caution is building or investors are expecting the broader correction to extend. As whales continue to bet against the two leading assets, this pattern is likely to result in persistent selling pressure throughout the market.

According to the platform, whales are more interested in shorts than longs, whereas retail traders are doing the opposite and increasing their exposure. Retailers opening longs during a volatile period reflects growing optimism and confidence that the current phase offers buying opportunities.

This striking divergence between whales and retail holders’ sentiment and activity could create significant tension in the market. In the meantime, this pattern is likely to serve as a crucial part in shaping the next move for BTC and ETH.

A Compression Phase, Not A Reset

After examining the Bitcoin On-Chain Price Dynamics, Teddy highlighted that the current price action is more of a compression than a reset. While BTC has fallen roughly 50% from the 2025 high, the on-chain structure still does not look like a full reset.

During the time of the post, BTC’s price was located near $68,600. Meanwhile, Realized Price remained close to $54,100, Long-Term Holder Realized Price stayed near $42,200, and Investor Price was close to $49,500. At this point, this positioning is keeping the broader cost-basis structure intact. 

The market has cooled, but the price has not yet broken into the deeper on-chain support band, with higher pressure on the structure. Currently, Bitcoin is trading below the STH Realized Price, which is close to $79,200, and the True Market Mean Price, which is close to $78,300.

Teddy noted that recent buyers remain under pressure as the rice has not yet reclaimed the zone where the structure begins to appear healthier. With sideways price action, profitability has reduced, and short-term holders are still underwater. However, the broader realized base has not yet been lost.

Правительство Бутана перевело на два разных кошелька 319,7 биткоинов стоимостью около $22,7 млн по текущему курсу. Один из кошельков ранее не фигурировал в операциях королевства и может быть связан с какой-то криптовалютной биржей, а второй уже участвовал в транзакциях на платформах OKX и Galaxy Digital, сообщили аналитики компании Lookonchain.