Из жизни альткоинов
В Конгрессе США потребовали ужесточить контроль за криптоиндустрией
Роберт Кийосаки рассказал о покупке первых биткоинов
Doom Looms For Gemini (GEMI): Expert Predicts Bankruptcy By End Of 2026
Gemini’s stock, GEMI, has plunged 90% from its September 2025 high, raising fresh concerns about the crypto exchange founded by twins Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss.
As a result, market expert Dom Kwok, co-founder of blockchain firm EasyA Labs, warned on social media platform X (previously Twitter) that Gemini could face bankruptcy before the end of the year.
Kwok’s forecast ties together several pressure points: multiple class-action suits, an exodus of senior executives, slowing revenue growth, accelerating losses, and what he described as a “doom loop” that could further destabilize the company.
Expert Warns Gemini Could Need Dilutive BailoutAccording to Kwok, Gemini — founded more than a decade ago — continues to post annual losses in the hundreds of millions and is burning through initial public offering (IPO) proceeds at a rapid pace.
Once those cash reserves are depleted, he said, the firm will likely need highly dilutive financing that would further erode shareholder value and prompt more investors to sell.
Earlier this month, a string of class actions was filed alleging that Gemini misled investors about its growth prospects and concealed internal executive turmoil ahead of the September 2025 initial public offering.
Plaintiffs contend the company overstated the long-term strength and stability of its core exchange business, exaggerated plans for international expansion and user growth, hid the risks tied to a major strategic pivot and restructuring, and failed to disclose widening losses and departures from the C‑suite.
That pivot became public in February of this year when the exchange unveiled “Gemini 2.0.” The plan calls for a refocus on prediction markets, withdrawals from the UK, the European Union (EU), and Australia, and workforce reductions of about 25–30%.
The announcement followed a series of senior departures: within weeks, the company’s chief operating officer, chief financial officer, and chief legal officer all left their roles effective immediately, stoking concerns about leadership stability.
Multi-Front CrisisKwok highlighted slowing revenue as another major concern. Gemini’s growth has reportedly dropped to 26% in 2025 from 45% the year before. He noted that companies that just go public typically speed up growth, not slow down.
Operational complaints from users have compounded the firm’s problems. Multiple customers reported account suspensions, difficulties withdrawing funds, unpaid referral bonuses, and poor customer service.
Taken together, the lawsuits, executive turnover, strategic retreat, slowing revenue growth, and user complaints paint a bleak picture for the crypto exchange Gemini and its stock’s near‑term prospects.
Kwok’s scenario of running through initial public offering cash and then facing dilutive financing rounds sketches a path that could accelerate capital flight and further depress the stock.
At the time of writing, GEMI had already closed Thursday’s trading session at around $4.59 per share, having recorded additional intraday losses of 7%. No catalyst that could help the stock’s performance has been disclosed yet.
Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Максин Уотерс усомнилась в законности доступа биржи Kraken к платежной системе США
Злоумышленник попытался захватить управление протоколом Moonwell
Аналитики Charles Schwab оценили волатильность биткоина за пять лет
Bitcoin Unrealized Loss Hits 15% Of Market Cap—Still Below FTX Capitulation Levels
Data shows the Unrealized Loss on the Bitcoin network has been elevated recently, but investor pain remains below previous capitulation events.
Bitcoin Has Seen A Notable Value On The Relative Unrealized Loss RecentlyIn its latest weekly report, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed the latest trend in the Bitcoin Relative Unrealized Loss, an indicator that measures how the total unrealized loss on the network compares with the asset’s market cap.
The metric works by going through the transaction history of each token in circulation to determine what price it was last moved at. If this last transfer price was more than the current spot price for any token, then that particular coin is assumed to be underwater today. The exact amount of loss held by the token is equal to the difference between the two prices.
The Relative Unrealized Loss totals this difference for all coins of this type and calculates how the sum stacks up against the market cap. Another indicator called the Relative Unrealized Profit tracks the same for the tokens with a cost basis lower than the latest BTC value.
Now, here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the 7-day moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin Relative Unrealized Loss over the last several years:
As is visible in the above graph, the 7-day MA of the Bitcoin Relative Unrealized Loss approached a value of zero in 2025 as BTC set its all-time high (ATH). With the bearish shift that arrived in the last quarter of that year, however, the metric saw a rapid increase.
The continuation of bearish momentum earlier this year caused a further degree of expansion in the indicator and as BTC has been stuck in consolidation since then, the high amount of unrealized losses have maintained on the network.
“Over the past two months, this metric has stabilized above 15% of market cap, a structure closely resembling conditions seen during Q2 2022,” noted the analytics firm. Though, it’s visible from the chart that the latest levels have still been much lower than some capitulation events from the 2022 bear market, including the FTX collapse which marked that cycle’s bottom.
So, given the current market conditions, how long will it take for things to turn around for Bitcoin? The report explained that resolving such a degree of unrealized loss has historically required time, further price depression, or some combination of both. It added:
A sharp V-shaped recovery remains a theoretical possibility, but given the current magnitude of unrealized losses, it would demand an extraordinary and sustained influx of fresh capital within a compressed timeframe.
BTC PriceAt the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $68,600, down 3.5% over the past week.
Глава Strategy: 80% покупателей акций Stretch — частные лица
В Госдуме предложили штрафы за майнинг в центрах обработки данных
Coinbase-Backed Stand With Crypto Discloses Political Plan For 2026 Midterm Elections
Stand With Crypto, an advocacy group backed by crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN), has unveiled its first endorsements for the upcoming midterm elections in the United States and unveiled a new online voter hub aimed at mobilizing pro-crypto voters.
Stand With Crypto Builds Voter ToolsIn a Thursday press release, the organization said it will back six incumbent lawmakers from both major parties and focus resources on a set of competitive House contests where it believes crypto issues could be decisive.
The voter hub, the group said, will compile up-to-date information on congressional candidates’ positions on digital assets, including scorecards that rate candidates’ favorability based on public statements, legislative records, and responses to a Stand With Crypto questionnaire.
The group described the hub as a tool to equip its network — more than 2.7 million advocates nationwide — with the information needed to cast informed ballots in November.
Mason Lynaugh, executive director of the Coinbase-backed group, framed the initiative as an effort to convert crypto supporters into an influential voting bloc, stating:
This year, crypto voters are poised to play a powerful and decisive role at the ballot box — our goal is to equip our more than 2.7 million advocates across the country with the tools they need to make informed choices this November.
Lynaugh added that the organization’s priority races are intended to help ensure that the 120th Congress is “the most pro-crypto session in America’s history,” and that the initial slate of endorsed candidates already has a record of supporting clear, pragmatic policies that foster innovation.
Stand With Crypto named six members of Congress in its first endorsement round: Representative Zach Nunn (R-Iowa), Rep. Susie Lee (D-Nevada), Rep. Mike Lawler (R-New York), Rep. Don Davis (D-North Carolina), Rep. Greg Landsman (D-Ohio), and Rep. Rob Borsellino Bresnahan (R-Pennsylvania).
Majority Of Crypto Owners Want Clearer RulesThe group also reported that among 1,000 crypto owners and advocates polled, 59% of crypto owners and 77% of Stand With Crypto advocates are heterogeneous voters who do not reliably vote for a single party.
The group noted that nearly a third of these voters are persuadable in their respective US Senate contests, suggesting that candidates’ positions on cryptocurrencies could sway outcomes.
Survey results also suggest crypto owners are highly motivated to vote: nearly 80% described themselves as “almost certain” to vote in 2026, and more than 75% said they were enthusiastic about participating in the general election — figures Stand With Crypto said outpace the broader adult population.
A majority (64%) of crypto owners said they would be enthusiastic about supporting candidates who back the cryptocurrency industry, and about 47% said they could back a candidate who agreed with them on crypto even if they disagreed on other policy areas.
Importantly for ongoing congressional negotiations on the anticipated CLARITY Act, 74% of crypto owners said they would be more likely to support candidates who favor clearer regulatory frameworks for the sector, with 31% saying they would be much more likely to do so.
Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Аналитик Бенджамин Коуэн ожидает дальнейшего снижения биткоина
6–7 июня в Геленджике пройдет форум КРИПТО ЮГ 2026
White House Clears Review Of Rule To Allow Crypto In $10 Trillion 401(k) Market
The Department of Labor’s (DOL) proposed rule to allow crypto investment options for 401(k) retirement plans has cleared the White House’s regulatory review, bringing digital assets closer to the US’s $10 trillion market.
White House Clears DOL’s Proposed 401(k) RuleThe White House’s Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) has concluded its review of a proposed rule submitted by the Department of Labor that could pave the way for crypto exposure in 401(k) retirement plans.
Notably, the Labor Department rescinded a 2022 guidance that discouraged fiduciaries from including crypto investments in 401(k) plans. The guidance followed a Biden-era executive order (EO) that required the government to assess the risks and benefits of digital assets.
As reported by Bitcoinist, it directed plan fiduciaries under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA) to exercise extreme caution before incorporating crypto assets into their investment menus, asserting that the digital asset industry’s early stage could pose significant risks.
The DOL’s proposal, named “Fiduciary Duties in Selecting Designated Investment Alternatives,” could amend the fiduciary guidance for plans governed by the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA).
This could potentially allow plan sponsors to include cryptocurrencies and private equity as designated investment alternatives. The federal agency marked the action as “consistent with change” and designed the proposal as an “economically significant” rule in its review, which concluded on March 24.
According to the OIRA website, the proposed rule carries no legal deadline for finalization. However, the DOL is expected to formally release the proposal in the coming weeks, allowing for a standard 60-day public comment period. Following this, revisions will be made, and a final rule will be issued.
US Push To Allow Crypto In Retirement PlantsThe proposal follows an executive order signed by President Donald Trump last August seeking to allow more private equity, real estate, cryptocurrency, and other alternative assets in 401(k) retirement accounts.
The order directed the DOL, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Treasury Secretary, and other federal agencies to reduce regulatory barriers that prohibited investments in alternative assets in their defined contribution retirement plans and explore ways to facilitate access to these assets.
In January, Bitwise’s CIO, Matt Hougan, discussed the possibility of 2026 being the year investors can own Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in 401(k) retirement plans, citing that the inclusion of digital assets is becoming more common in individual retirement accounts (IRAs).
The executive argued that providers are slow to adapt, but acknowledged that the Trump administration’s pro-crypto stance, which effectively removed the ban on crypto from 401(k)s, has opened the door to the multi-trillion-dollar market.
Recently, some US states have pushed to embed crypto into their public financial systems. In February, Indiana lawmakers advanced House Bill 1042 (HB 1042), also known as the Bitcoin Rights Bill, which requires several state-administered programs, including retirement plans for teachers, public employees, and legislators, to offer self-directed brokerage accounts with at least one digital asset investment option.
Multiple US lawmakers have backed the Trump Administration’s initiatives. In September, nine House members requested that the SEC Chairman, Paul Atkins, provide prompt assistance in implementing the president’s executive order and collaborate with the DOL to safeguard workers.
In addition, House of Representatives member Troy Downing introduced a bill to codify Trump’s directive and grant it the “force and effect of law.” This move aimed to facilitate investors’ access to Bitcoin and other alternative assets within their 401(k) retirement plans.
Bitcoin Treasury Demand Dominated By Strategy As Others’ Share Drops 99%
Data shows Strategy is currently the main driver of corporate Bitcoin demand, as other companies have seen their purchase share shrink to just 2%.
Strategy Behind Most Of The Bitcoin Treasury Buying From The Past MonthIn a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has highlighted how Bitcoin treasury demand is now being driven entirely by Strategy. Treasury companies refer to corporates that keep BTC on their balance sheet as a way of providing their investors with indirect exposure to the cryptocurrency. This model was popularized by Strategy, which, under the leadership of Michael Saylor, has aggressively accumulated BTC.
While the cryptocurrency sector has gone through a bearish shift recently, the firm hasn’t lost its conviction, with regular purchases only continuing. As a result of this steady accumulation, Strategy today controls over 3.8% of the entire Bitcoin supply in circulation, making it by far the largest digital asset treasury company in the world.
It would appear, though, that while the company hasn’t faltered by the change of winds in the market, the same hasn’t been true for the other corporate investors.
As is visible in the data shared by CryptoQuant, the middle portion of 2025 saw a rapid expansion of Bitcoin purchases from companies other than Strategy. These buys meant that total corporate demand far outweighed the accumulation from Saylor’s firm alone.
As the market has gone downhill, however, buying from other companies has dried up. In the past month, Strategy bought about 45,000 BTC, but purchases from other companies totaled just 1,000 BTC. This reflects a collapse of a whopping 99% for the latter.
In percentage terms, Strategy’s buying made up for 98% of the corporate demand from the last 30 days, once again capturing the current asymmetry in the sector. “With ~76% of holdings, the industry is highly concentrated; there is no broad corporate demand right now,” noted the analytics firm.
That said, while Bitcoin treasury companies other than Strategy may have paused accumulation, it doesn’t mean that the firm is the sole treasury buyer in the entire digital asset sector. Bitmine, the largest public holder of Ethereum, has also continued to make regular purchases recently.
Another source of institutional demand in the market today is the US spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), exchange vehicles that allow traders to invest in BTC without directly having to interact with blockchain infrastructure.
Earlier, these funds were facing net outflows, but recently, the weekly netflow has managed to get a green streak going, according to data from SoSoValue. These recent small but steady inflows could be an early sign that some institutional interest may be pouring back into Bitcoin.
BTC PriceAt the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $69,300, down 3% over the last 24 hours.
XRP Leverage Collapses 78% On Binance – The Crowded Trade Has Been Cleared
XRP is trading below $1.40. Weeks of consolidation have given way to renewed selling pressure. And beneath the price action, the derivatives market is telling a story the spot chart cannot.
A CryptoQuant analyst tracking Binance derivatives data has identified a deleveraging cycle of unusual magnitude: XRP’s Estimated Leverage Ratio on Binance has collapsed from 0.59 in mid-July 2025 to 0.13 today — a 78% contraction in eight months. That is not a routine position adjustment. That is a near-complete unwind of the speculative infrastructure that was built during XRP’s most aggressive trading period of the past cycle.
The open interest data confirms the scale of the reset. Binance XRP open interest has fallen to approximately $375 million — a fraction of the highs recorded in previous months, and a figure that reflects a derivatives market that has shed the majority of its leveraged exposure.
What that leaves behind is a market structurally different from the one that existed at the July peak. The crowded trades are gone. The forced liquidation risk has diminished. The reflexive, leverage-driven volatility that defined XRP’s most volatile sessions has lost most of its fuel.
Whether what remains is a floor or a falling knife depends entirely on what the spot market does next.
A Cleaner Market Is Not the Same as a Bullish OneThe analyst’s conclusion is measured and precise: the simultaneous contraction in both leverage ratio and open interest represents a broader structural reset in Binance’s XRP derivatives market — not a single metric moving in isolation, but two confirming each other in the same direction over the same period.
What that reset removes is as important as what it leaves behind. A derivatives market carrying a leverage ratio of 0.59 is a market one sharp move away from a cascade of forced liquidations — positions unwinding not because holders changed their view, but because margin calls left them no choice. At 0.13, that reflexive amplification mechanism has been largely dismantled. The market is lighter, less crowded, and significantly less exposed to the kind of liquidation-driven volatility that has defined XRP’s most chaotic sessions.
The analyst frames the forward implication carefully, and the language deserves to be preserved: the market is not primed for a rally. It is primed for a move — in either direction — that will be driven by conviction rather than leverage. When the next catalyst arrives, the price response will reflect genuine demand or genuine supply, not the mechanical amplification of positions that should never have been that large.
That is what a clean setup means. It is a better starting point. It is not a destination.
The XRP Price Structure Has Not ImprovedXRP is trading at $1.3753, down 2.77% on the day. The session opened at $1.4145, reached a high of $1.4165 within the first hour, and has sold off consistently since — a candle that rejected immediately at the open and has found no meaningful bid. That price action, on a day that began with a test of the $1.42 area, is a statement.
The daily chart behind it offers no comfort. XRP peaked near $3.30 in late September 2025 and has been in a continuous downtrend for six months without a single higher high. Every attempted recovery — the December consolidation near $1.90, the brief January rally to $2.40, the post-capitulation bounce from $1.15 — has been sold into. Each one was lower than the one before it.
All three moving averages are declining in sequence. The 50-day MA has crossed below the 100-day MA — confirming a death cross on the intermediate timeframe — and both are sloping sharply lower. The 200-day MA, descending from approximately $2.10, sits as the most distant and most significant overhead resistance. Price has not traded near it since January.
Today’s close threatens to break below the $1.40 support level that has contained the range since February. A daily close beneath it puts $1.15 — the February capitulation low — back on the table as the next structural reference point.
Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
25% Of Institutions Plan To Add XRP In 2026: Coinbase Survey
Institutional crypto portfolios are broadening beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, with Coinbase and EY-Parthenon survey data showing that 25% of respondents plan to add XRP to their allocations in 2026. The same report shows the share of firms holding any non-BTC, non-ETH crypto rising from 51% to 56%, pointing to a wider institutional shift into selected altcoins rather than a simple two-asset market.
The findings come from a January 2026 survey of 351 global institutional decision-makers, 96% of whom represent firms with more than $1 billion in AUM. The respondent base was 60% US, 20% Europe including the UK, and 20% rest of world, spanning asset managers, hedge funds, private banks, venture funds, asset owners, and family offices. Across that group, 73% said they plan to increase digital asset allocations in 2026, while 74% expect crypto prices to rise over the next 12 months.
XRP Among Top 2026 PicksBitcoin and Ethereum still dominate institutional positioning, but the diversification trend is clear in the report’s breakdown of current and planned allocations. Bitcoin appears in 94% of current institutional crypto allocations and 91% of 2026 plans, while Ethereum rises from 86% to 90%. Outside the two largest assets, Solana moves from 36% to 38%, Chainlink from 20% to 26%, XRP from 18% to 25%, Binance Coin from 12% to 15%, Cardano from 4% to 5%, Tron from 3% to 4%, and Bitcoin Cash from 3% to 6%. Dogecoin remains marginal at 2% both currently and in 2026 plans.
The XRP figure matters in part because it sits inside a broader expansion in institutional sizing. Among firms already invested in digital assets, the share allocating more than 5% of AUM to the category is expected to rise from 18% to 29% by the end of 2026. The 6% to 10% allocation bucket climbs from 11% to 19%, and the 11% to 20% bucket from 3% to 7%. At the same time, access remains heavily tilted toward regulated wrappers: 66% of digital asset investors now get exposure through spot ETFs or ETPs, 81% prefer spot exposure via a registered vehicle, and net spot crypto ownership via ETF, ETP or direct holdings rose from 76% in January 2025 to 79% in January 2026.
That combination of broader asset selection and tighter portfolio construction runs throughout the report. Among those planning to increase holdings, 65% cited greater regulatory clarity and confidence in compliance frameworks as a key driver, 51% pointed to wider availability of digital assets in regulated vehicles, and 46% to better institutional-grade infrastructure across custody, settlement, and risk.
Smaller firms were the most aggressive, with 77% of the $1 billion to $50 billion AUM group planning to significantly increase or increase holdings, versus 69% for firms in the $51 billion to $500 billion range and 64% for the $501 billion to $1 trillion cohort.
Even so, institutions are not approaching the market with looser standards. The survey found that 49% said recent volatility had strengthened their emphasis on risk management, liquidity, and position sizing, while 22% said volatility caused them to slow down, delay, or keep allocations conservative. Regulation remains both catalyst and constraint: 78% said market structure is the area most in need of clarity, and 66% still cited regulatory uncertainty as a primary concern when investing in digital assets.
At press time, XRP traded at $1.37.
$11.3 Billion Flows Into Bitcoin ETFs In One Month While Retail Sells At A Loss – Details
Bitcoin is consolidating around $70,000. The price has gone sideways. The capital flows beneath it have not.
Analyst Axel Adler has published data that reframes the current consolidation entirely: over the 30 days ending March 25, Bitcoin ETF funds absorbed 62,986 BTC in net inflows — $11.3 billion in institutional capital entering the market while the price moved from $64,100 to $71,307. That is not a market drifting. That is a market being quietly bought.
The acceleration signal sharpens the picture further. The 7-day flow average currently stands at 3,288 BTC per day against a 30-day average of 1,256 BTC — meaning institutional buying is running at 2.6 times its own monthly pace. ETF cumulative holdings have reached 1,326,874 BTC, a record that reflects the sustained, compounding nature of this demand rather than a single episodic event.
The counterweight is real and should not be minimized. Short-term holders are consistently realizing losses on exchanges — retail participants selling into weakness, adding distribution pressure that institutional inflows are currently absorbing and overcoming.
That is the structure of this market in one sentence: institutions are buying faster than retail is selling. At $70,000, the question is how long that equation holds.
Retail Is Selling Bitcoin at a LossAdler’s second dataset examines the other side of the market structure equation — and it is considerably less comfortable than the ETF picture. The Short-Term Holder P&L to Exchanges metric tracks how many BTC retail participants are sending to exchanges at a loss versus a profit over any 24-hour period. Right now, that reading stands at -15,500 BTC per day flowing to exchanges at a loss, against a total STH exchange inflow of 35,200 BTC per 24 hours.
The arithmetic is unambiguous: the majority of retail activity hitting exchanges is loss-realizing. This is not a temporary anomaly. Adler identifies it as a regime shift — a structural change in behavior that began at the local price peak and has not recovered above the neutral zone since. Short-term holders are not selling opportunistically. They are selling because they are underwater, and they have been for weeks.
What the data does not show is equally important. The -15,500 BTC daily loss flow is consistent with sustained stress, but it lacks the vertical spike that historically marks final capitulation — the exhaustion event where the last forced sellers leave the market simultaneously. That spike has not arrived.
The retail segment remains weak. The institutional segment remains active. The signal that resolves the tension between them is straightforward: loss-side sends compressing while price holds or rises. Until that compression appears, the stress regime remains intact.
The Weekly Chart Shows a Bull Market That BrokeBitcoin is trading at $69,362 on the weekly timeframe, up 2.22% on a candle that opened at $67,859, reached $72,026, and has since retreated. That weekly high rejection at $72,000 — a level the market tested and failed to hold — is the operative technical fact. The candle is green. The rejection is real.
The macro context the weekly chart provides is essential. Bitcoin emerged from the 2023 base near $25,000, doubled through 2024, and peaked above $125,000 in late 2025 — a full cycle advance of roughly 400% from the breakout point. The current price at $69,362 represents a 45% drawdown from that peak, retracing the entire 2025 advance and returning to levels last seen in November 2024.
The moving average configuration tells the most important structural story. Price has broken below the 50-week MA — the blue line, now turning lower near $98,000 — and is currently testing the 100-week MA, the green line ascending through the $67,000–$68,000 region. That green line has provided definitive support at every major correction in this entire cycle. It held in 2024. It is being tested again now.
The 200-week MA, the long-term red line, continues its steady climb near $58,000 — deep support that has never been violated in Bitcoin’s post-2020 history.
This week’s low of $67,445 held the 100-week MA by the narrowest of margins. Whether it holds on a closing basis is the only question the weekly chart is currently asking.
Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
XRP Season About To Start? Historical Oversold Levels Point To Major Rally
A decade of price data, a modified RSI sitting at 33, and a macro support line that has survived every significant crash since 2014. This is the current state of XRP’s price action, and according to a technical outlook, the cryptocurrency is now moving around at the exact geometric coordinate where its most explosive historical rallies were born.
XRP Returns To An Oversold ZoneAccording to a technical analysis from a crypto analyst that goes by the name Cryptollica on the social media platform X, XRP’s long-term 10-day candlestick chart and a modified RSI reading now appear to be trading at levels seen in previous macro turning points.
The historical readings are precise. In 2017, the RSI bottomed at 37 before XRP’s legendary surge. In 2020, it reached 34 ahead of the bull run that carried the cryptocurrency to a multi-year high. In 2022, it fell to 31 during the broader crypto bear market. In 2024, the same RSI was at 36 during the correction low. Today, in March 2026, the RSI reads 33, which is directly inside that same red oversold zone that has preceded every major expansion cycle on record.
The reason why the RSI indicator is now showing oversold is that the XRP price has spent so long moving sideways and grinding lower in sentiment that many holders have become worn down by time more than by the price downtrend itself. But according to the analyst, the oversold level means that the downward momentum is now completely dead.
The Psychological TrapThe most interesting part of the post may be the psychological angle behind it. Cryptollica described XRP as an asset that wears holders down through delay. This is unlike altcoins like Solana and Dogecoin, which break investor conviction through sudden price drops. XRP, on the other hand, plays out its corrections through long periods of flat, draining price action that make conviction harder to maintain.
According to the analyst, there are two types of XRP investors: those who will endure the torture of time to capture the asymmetric expansion, and those who will be exhausted by the waiting and surrender their positions because of the sideways action.
Interestingly, the analyst also pointed to how the altcoin is currently trading above a rising green support line that stretches back to 2014 and has acted as a catch zone across different bear markets. Since 2014, this has been the macro bedrock that has caught every single devastating crash (early 2017, 2020 Covid, and 2022 bear).
If past cycles are anything to go by, the token could continue forming higher lows on the 10-day timeframe, which would translate to a gradual climb into higher price ranges over the coming weeks and months. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.37.
Ethereum Network Experiences Rapid Growth In Daily Transactions Amid Rising ETH Prices
As the market regains bullish momentum, the Ethereum price flipped toward the upside direction, drawing closer to the $2,200 level. Looking at recent on-chain data, this positive performance is starting to reflect on the ETH network, with transactions executed on chain spiking to significant levels.
Daily Transaction Count On Ethereum ClimbsEthereum’s price action is moving in tandem with the network performance, raising speculation whether ETH is gathering momentum underneath for a potential rally. While the price of Ethereum is currently breaking key resistance points, the network is reaching levels not seen in months.
In an X post, CW, a data analyst on CryptoQuant and investor, has published that activity on the Ethereum network is spiking at a notable pace. According to the analyst, daily transaction counts on the network are increasing exponentially, which points to a sharp rise in user engagement.
Furthermore, this surge in daily transaction count implies that more participants are interacting with decentralized applications, transfers, and on-chain services. All of these crucial factors reflect renewed demand and growing utility across the broader ecosystem, which could translate into sustained market momentum.
Although the price of ETH has fallen this year, activity across the leading network has remained at an all-time high level. At this point, CW claims that the rising daily transaction count is not a signal of a bear market. The price of Ethereum may have dropped, but some investors are displaying robust resilience under the surface, reinforcing the network growth as the trend continues.
ETH’s Price Is Moving Closer To Short-Term Realized PriceIn terms of price action, Ethereum continues to trade within a short-term range, with the altcoin currently valued around $2,150. After a brief analysis, Darkfost, another author at CryptoQuant and market expert, announced that the price is in striking distance from the average realized price, which presently sits at the $2,300 level.
This level typically serves as a structural and psychological barrier that separates profit from loss for a significant portion of the market. ETH nearing this level signals a critical inflection point. By applying a standard deviation, the model allows projecting a high average price currently estimated at the $5,300 mark and a low at $1,150.
Thus, Darkfost highlighted that Ethereum is positioned in the middle of this realized price zone, suggesting that the best strategy for those looking to take a medium to long-term exposure is to wait out the market. Given the current market conditions, this strategy proves to be valid. In this market structure, the realized price, which acts as resistance, is also expected to serve as a break-even exit level for some investors.
At the time of writing, the price of ETH was trading at $2,117, declining by over 2% over the last 24 hours. Its trading volume is moving in alignment with price action, recording a more than 7% decrease over the past day.
Bitcoin Now Less Volatile Than Tesla, Nvidia — Schwab Data
Morgan Stanley is inching closer to launching the first spot Bitcoin ETF issued by a major US bank, a move that underscores just how far the cryptocurrency has traveled from its wild early days.
The bank recently received an official NYSE listing notice for its fund, MSBT — a step that analysts say typically signals a debut is near.
Wall Street’s Deepening EmbraceThat development arrives alongside fresh data from Charles Schwab showing Bitcoin’s price swings have dropped sharply over the past four years.
According to the firm’s analysis, Bitcoin’s historical volatility hit 42% in 2025 — roughly half what it recorded in 2021. For context, Tesla’s historical volatility came in at 63% that same year.
Nvidia’s was 50%. Both exceeded Bitcoin’s. Measures of daily price movement told a similar story, with Bitcoin tracking closer to major equities than the volatile fringe asset it once resembled.
Schwab concluded the shift reflects Bitcoin’s deeper integration into mainstream finance, now trading on major exchanges worldwide through regulated products and ETF wrappers. The report described Bitcoin’s volatility as having “calmed down” as it matured.
Still, calm is relative. Bitcoin dropped as much as 30% in 2025, with losses carrying into early 2026. Over a three-year stretch, the asset fell 50% from peak to trough.
Those numbers are significant by almost any measure — but not unique. Tesla’s worst drawdown over the same period hit 54%. Nvidia fell 37% at its low point. The data suggests high-growth technology stocks can swing just as hard, or harder, than Bitcoin on a bad run.
The Long View Tells A Different StoryZoom out further and Bitcoin’s profile grows more extreme. During the 2022 market downturn, Bitcoin fell 77% from its peak. Tesla dropped 74%. Nvidia lost 66%. The losses were steep across the board, but Bitcoin’s were steeper.
Schwab also put Bitcoin up against commodities. Silver futures often moved more erratically on a day-to-day basis, despite recording smaller overall declines.
Gold, by contrast, posted steadier gains at lower volatility — a clear reminder that Bitcoin, whatever its trajectory, still operates in a different risk class from traditional safe-haven assets.
Within crypto markets, Bitcoin’s relative stability has grown more noticeable. Ethereum continues to trade with higher volatility and deeper drawdowns, and the gap between the two assets has widened since 2021.
A Benchmark Shift In The MakingThe Schwab report lands as Bitcoin increasingly gets measured against blue-chip equities rather than speculative assets. Whether that framing sticks may depend on how the asset behaves through the next major market stress test — a question the data cannot yet answer.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
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