Из жизни альткоинов

A long-dormant Shiba Inu wallet that on-chain watchers have tracked since the meme coin’s early days just pinged the market again — this time by sending a chunky clip of SHIB to an exchange.

According to posts from on-chain analyst 余烬 (@EmberCN), the address moved roughly 469 billion SHIB (about $3.64 million) into OKX roughly nine hours before the post hit X on Dec. 18, 2025.

Mega Whale Stuns Shiba Inu Community

In 2020, the “top whale” who bought 1.03 trillion $SHIB (17.4% of the total supply) using only 37.8 ETH ($13.7K), transferred 469 billion SHIB ($3.64 million) into #OKX 9 hours ago,” EmberCN wrote.

That “top whale” label is doing a lot of work here. The wallet is known for an almost absurd entry: buying roughly 103 trillion SHIB back in 2020 for just 37.8 ETH. Then the 2021 mania happened. At the cycle peak, that stake would have been worth around $9.1 billion. And the whale, famously, didn’t cash most of it.

EmberCN says the address still controls about 96.684 trillion SHIB, or roughly 16.4% of total supply, valued around $722–$726 million depending on the price snapshot used. “At the 2021 price peak, his 1.03 trillion SHIB was worth $9.1 billion. He has not sold the vast majority of these coins yet, and currently still holds up to 96.684 trillion SHIB (16.4% of the total supply), worth $726 million,” @EmberCN explained.

The reason traders care about “to OKX” is obvious: deposits to exchanges can be a prelude to selling, collateralizing, or rotating into something else. Still, a deposit is not a sale. Overall, it’s unclear whether the SHIB has been dumped yet.

Zoom out and it’s not the first time the wallet has stirred. EmberCN previously flagged activity in July 2023, describing transfers of 1.5 trillion SHIB split across three addresses (500 billion each) after a long dormant stretch.

On July 12, already alerted the Shiba Inu community when he posted: “After being dormant for 610 days, he made another move: 4 hours ago, he transferred 1.5 trillion SHIB to 3 addresses, with 500 billion SHIB ($3.75M) to each address. He bought 1.03 quadrillion $SHIB, and only sold 1.9 trillion SHIB ($18.79M) in 2021 at a price of 0.0000098. The remaining 1.01 quadrillion (17.2% of the total SHIB supply) is distributed across 17 addresses and held to this day, with a current total value of $760 million.”

So, is this “the” sell signal? Maybe. Maybe not. But when an entity sitting on 16.4% of supply starts routing size toward an exchange again, the market tends to stop scrolling.

At press time, SHIB was down 3.9% over the past 24 hours, more or less tracking the broader market wide pullback in the same window. On the chart, it’s not pretty: the current weekly candle has broken below a key support zone around $0.00000790.

That puts the Oct. 10 low at $0.00000680 back in play as the next obvious downside check. If that level gives way, traders will likely start eyeing the June 2023 low near $0.00000543 as the next major reference point.

A crypto analyst has issued a stark warning to the SOL community, predicting that the Solana price could crash below $5. The expert’s bearish thesis is based on an extensive review of US federal court documents, suggesting that ongoing legal challenges and potential flaws in the Solana blockchain could lead to the end of the cryptocurrency. 

Analyst Predicts Solana Price Crash And Annihilation

A crypto analyst who calls himself ‘NoLimit’ on X has released a report that has sent shockwaves through the Solana community. He shared court documents suggesting SOL could be nearing its end, with a potential price drop below $5 over the next two years. Currently trading at $122, this would represent a staggering 95.9% decline. 

In his post, NoLimit revealed that he had spent more than 12 hours analyzing court documents, claiming that the findings are highly concerning to Solana. The report highlights recent developments in a US federal court where a second amended class action complaint has been allowed to proceed. 

The analyst noted that the lawsuit involved Pump.fun, Solana Labs, and several other entities linked to the Solana ecosystem. He stated that the court’s decision to proceed shows there is enough evidence to pursue legal actions, putting SOL’s operations under significant scrutiny. 

The allegations focus on insiders seemingly gaining unfair advantages during meme coin launches. According to NoLimit, Plaintiffs claimed that Solana’s validator system and transaction-priority tools allowed certain players to buy tokens faster and cheaper. At the same time, retail investors were left at a disadvantage as prices exploded and collapsed minutes or seconds later. The analyst notes that many investors had experienced this same issue on Pump.fun. 

NoLimit disclosed that the lawsuit contends these outcomes, in which insiders sell for profit and retail loses everything, were not accidental but rather a result of the system. The complaint directly ties the alleged insider behavior to SOL, not just to the apps built on the blockchain. If this argument gains legal traction, the analyst notes that it could position the crypto network as a platform for risky coin launches, a host for bad actors, and a contributor to potential market manipulation. 

NoLimit also warns that if regulators or courts determine that these meme coin launches operate like unregistered securities or that Solana’s infrastructure enabled unfair access, the chain’s core narrative of being fast, cheap, and permissionless could become a liability. Such a development could scare off institutional investors and large-scale funds, possibly leading to the end of Solana. 

Solana Legal Troubles Put Market Trust At Risk

NoLimit warns that the most alarming part of Solana’s present legal issues is the potential impact on institutional confidence. According to him, nearly half of SOL’s circulating supply is controlled by ecosystem-linked institutions, insiders, early investors, VCs, and foundations. He emphasized that a mass sell-off from these holders could trigger a severe market reaction. 

The analyst highlighted that the key concern is what could happen if trust in SOL collapses. He stated that in crypto markets, trust drives prices, not fundamentals, and when it breaks, crashes can be substantial. Past cases like FTX, Luna, and Celsius show how quickly liquidity can disappear and valuations can plummet. 

Bitcoin experienced a sharp bounce above the $90,000 price mark, but this rise was brief and was cut short by the prevailing volatile market environment. With the persistent waning price action observed over the past few weeks, the once lucrative BTC on-chain moves are no longer paying off as profits have dropped sharply.

Profits From Bitcoin On-Chain Flows Falls

The current Bitcoin market is entering a noticeably different phase, and the evidence is starting to show it. A key on-chain metric indicates that the once-reliable rewards from transferring coins throughout the network are diminishing, suggesting that it is becoming increasingly difficult to profit from rapid price fluctuations.

With volatility decreases and participant behavior changes, BTC may be moving away from a trader-driven ecosystem. This development is spotted in the Bitcoin Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) Trend Signal metric. Bitcoin SOPR Trend Signal is a powerful metric that spots price regions where BTC has been moved at significant profit or loss.

In the past, this crucial indicator has produced precise signals for local highs and lows. As reported by Alphractal, an advanced investment and on-chain data analytics platform, the metric is currently experiencing a steady decline. A decline in the SOPR Trend Signal hints at BTC being moved with progressively lower profits or moving toward loss-making transfers.

Furthermore, Alphractal highlighted that a continued drop in this metric is typical of a bear market phase. However, a true bottom of the price could occur only when green signals appear on the chart. Currently, all indications on the chart suggest that it will take several months for this trend to be validated.

Joao Wedson, the founder of Alphractal, shared his insight on the decline, noting that it is part of the longstanding Bitcoin fractal cycle. Given that the factors influencing its market behavior have expanded, many believe that BTC’s cycles have changed and that this time it is different.

However, on-chain analysis offers a clear view of BTC continuously following its fractal cycle just as it did before. After his analysis of the trend, Wedson claims that nothing in the Bitcoin market cycle has changed so far.

According to the expert, BTC has been one of the most predictable investment assets in the ever-evolving cryptocurrency sector. Meanwhile, many continue to maintain that it must adhere to traditional markets, even though statistics do not support this.

BTC Unrealized Loss At 10%

After the pullback in price, Bitcoin’s unrealized losses are at a level that signals resilience rather than widespread distress. CryptoRank, a leading data analytics platform and crypto industry researcher, revealed that unrealized losses now make up 10% of market capitalization.

Despite the recent drop in Bitcoin prices, this implies that the vast majority of holders are still in profit, potentially contributing to hesitation toward further upside in BTC’s price. Interestingly, this lessens panic-driven selling pressure and signals that the market has already absorbed most of its negative risk.

Crypto pundit ChartNerd has revealed that the XRP price is currently at a critical support, where the altcoin is set to decide its potential next move. The pundit urged XRP investors to remain patient as they await economic headwinds that could impact the price action.  

Pundit Points Out Level XRP Investors Should Keep An Eye On

In an X post, ChartNerd pointed to the multi-month support at around $1.8, noting that over the last 13 months, the XRP price typically rallies into the trading range resistance when the altcoin approaches that support territory. The analyst’s accompanying chart showed that the altcoin could bounce from this range to above $3, as it had historically. 

However, ChartNerd noted that with economic headwinds such as the potential BOJ rate increase, he questioned if this time could be different. He advised investors to hold on to their hats as they await a decision on the altcoin’s next move. The price and the broader crypto market have notably declined ahead of a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan. 

This move by the BOJ could cause a liquidity squeeze and also spark a sell-off among market participants, which is what XRP and other crypto investors look to be pricing in. However, several fundamentals still paint a bullish picture for the altcoin, including the fact that the XRP ETFs just crossed $1 billion in net assets. They have also yet to record daily net outflows since they launched last month. 

A Drop To As Low As $1.64 Is Still On The Cards

Crypto analyst CasiTrades has predicted that the XRP price could drop to as low as $1.64, likely the final low of this correction. She noted that the token is in the subwave Wave 3 down, with momentum and RSI making new extremes. The analyst added that the next key levels to watch are $1.73 for potential short-term relief and $1.64, which is the macro .618 support. 

CasiTrades stated that there is a chance that the XRP price reaches $1.64 directly in this wave 3 down without a relief first. She noted that there won’t be a need for a second test of the area as support if that happens. The analyst expects a strong bounce from $1.64 that would likely open the door for a powerful move back to as high as $3. 

CasiTrades also mentioned that she expects this to play out by December 19, with a major time fib landing there. She remarked that this is the market making its decision right at the final moment and that this correction will end very soon. 

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.84, down almost 4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

A bold claim circulating within the crypto community opens up questions about the long-term positioning of XRP relative to Ethereum. The discussion was due to a post on the social media platform X from YoungHoon Kim, who publicly stated that XRP could surpass Ethereum in market capitalization by 2026. 

The prediction was presented as a personal opinion rather than financial advice, but it quickly gained traction due to Kim’s growing visibility in crypto discussions and his recent shift in tone to XRP. The timing of the statement, combined with a series of increasingly bullish remarks about the token, brings attention to whether such a scenario could realistically unfold.

XRP Flipping Ethereum By 2026: The Core Prediction

At the base of the conversation is Kim’s assertion that XRP could overtake Ethereum’s market cap within the next year. In his post, he directly compared the two assets, stating that XRP could surpass ETH by 2026.

According to MarketCapOf, in order for XRP to flip the current market cap of Ethereum, it would require not only a substantial price increase but also a push to new all-time highs at $5.64. This would require a sustained change in capital allocation across the broader market. 

XRP With The Market Cap Of ETH. Source: MarketCapOf

The possibility of XRP’s expanding institutional usage is a factor that could compress the valuation gap to Ethereum over time. Although the claim is speculative, the 2026 timeframe gives investors a clear timeframe through which XRP can meaningfully challenge Ethereum’s altcoin dominance.

From Bitcoin Advocacy To Direct XRP Accumulation

Kim, who claims to possess the world’s highest recorded IQ of 276, has frequently highlighted this distinction in his public profile. This is a detail that has added to the attention surrounding his recent statements on XRP. Furthermore, his recent comments have been a change from weeks of near-exclusive Bitcoin commentary to a pivot into XRP. In a previous post on December 12, Young Hoon Kim noted that he is only buying XRP from now on. Shortly before that, he also suggested that XRP has a strong chance of reaching a new all-time high before the end of the year.

In a separate post, he stated that XRP could reach $100 within the next five years. Although this statement is secondary to the Ethereum comparison, it adds important context to Kim’s broader thesis. A $100 XRP would likely require deep institutional adoption and XRP playing a central role in large-scale financial infrastructure. 

Some critics view price prediction and the claim of XRP’s market cap overtaking that of Ethereum in 2026 as too optimistic, even some of the most popular XRP analysts. One of the replies came from an X user known as BD, who claims to be the world’s most bullish XRP holder. He warned Kim to be careful of what he is saying. “If you are wrong, you will be the guy with the lowest IQ,” he said.

В пятницу, 19 декабря, состоится последнее в этом году событие, которое на сленге трейдеров фондового рынка называется «ведьмин день». Это одновременное истечение сроков действия всех четырех типов деривативов, объяснили аналитики Coin Bureau.

В собственности властей Тайваня находится 210,45 биткоинов, изъятых в ходе уголовных дел, сообщил депутат парламента Китайской Республики Цзю-Чун Ко (Ju-Chun Ko).

События вокруг выборов президента США год назад сыграли главную роль в стремительном ралли мемкоинов, но затем началось неминуемое падение этого рынка, заявили аналитики агрегатора данных CoinGecko.

С января по начало декабря хакеры похитили криптовалюту на сумму более $3,41 млрд, это чуть больше, чем за прошлый, 2024 год ($3,38 млрд), сообщили специалисты компании Chainalysis.

Coinbase (COIN) revealed on Wednesday its plans to roll out a suite of new products intended to transform the platform into a comprehensive financial application, including the addition of stocks, advanced trading tools, and prediction markets.

Brian Armstrong’s Vision

CEO Brian Armstrong envisions his platform as the go-to destination for a diverse range of trades, including stocks, streamlined futures, and perpetual contracts, as well as prediction markets through its partnership with Kalshi. 

The prediction market remains defined by Kalshi and Polymarket. However, Armstrong emphasized that the appeal of prediction markets extends beyond mere trading.

“When looking at economic indicators or elections, people utilize prediction markets to gauge what might happen next month,” he explained in an interview with CNBC. 

“While only about 1% of users approach it as an asset class for trading, a striking 99% leverage it to obtain insights—almost as an alternative to traditional media or entertainment,” Armstrong further explained.

Recently, Robinhood (HOOD) has demonstrated a similar trajectory by broadening its prediction markets into sports-style contracts resembling parlays and prop bets, marking this category as one of its fastest-growing revenue streams. 

New Outcome Trading And Tokenization Strategy

Coinbase also aims to introduce its form of outcome trading into a wider ecosystem, betting on the future of brokerage services as a unified platform blending traditional assets, derivatives, and blockchain capabilities.

This trading expansion is closely linked to the cryptocurrency exchange’s tokenization strategy, which aims to bring more traditional assets onto the blockchain, including equities. 

The company is launching “Coinbase Tokenize,” an institutional-grade infrastructure designed to support the tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs). Armstrong sees this expansion as a stepping stone toward a more significant goal. 

“Trading stocks is a good starting point,” he noted, adding that the ultimate aim is to facilitate the trading of tokenized equities. Achieving this, according to him, could democratize access for individuals globally and unlock new structures in the US market, enhancing professional futures tied to equity trading.

Coinbase Targets All Asset Classes 

For businesses and developers, Coinbase is broadening its appeal beyond retail trading; the company has announced that Coinbase Business will now be accessible to eligible customers in the US and Singapore, along with an expanded API suite encompassing services like custody, payments, trading, and stablecoins.

Armstrong articulates a broader thesis: crypto is not merely a niche but rather a vital upgrade to the entire financial system. He asserts that all major asset classes, including prediction markets, equities, commodities, and, eventually, real-world assets like real estate, will transition to blockchain systems. 

Additionally, Coinbase plans to introduce “custom stablecoins” for companies that require branded stablecoin solutions, while also highlighting its x402 payments standard, which aims to simplify stablecoin payments associated with web requests.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Гендиректор технологической компании Galaxy Digital Майк Новограц (Mike Novogratz) предположил, что биткоин преодолеет порог цены $100 000 в срок от шести недель до полугода.  

Сооснователь Эфириума Виталик Бутерин заявил, что для подлинной децентрализации сети разработчикам необходимо упростить протокол Эфириума. По мнению Бутерина, настоящая децентрализация зависит от того, сколько людей могут полностью разобраться в устройстве протокола.

In a new bipartisan initiative to regulate the cryptocurrency sector, Senators Elissa Slotkin and Jerry Moran have unveiled the “SAFE Crypto Act,” which aims to establish a federal task force designed to address the increasing risks associated with digital asset scams.

New Task Force Proposed

The SAFE Crypto Act seeks to create a comprehensive task force that will bring together the Treasury Department, law enforcement agencies, regulators, and private-sector experts. 

As outlined in the Senators’ announcement, the task force will enhance local law enforcement capabilities, improving their tools for combating crypto-related scams. 

“It’s critical we protect Americans against scams in all industries, but especially cryptocurrency as it becomes more popular,” Senator Slotkin emphasized. She believes empowering local law enforcement with the necessary resources to tackle these scams is essential. 

Slotkin added, “This task force, established by the SAFE Cryptocurrency Act, will allow us to draw upon every resource we have to combat fraud in digital assets.”

Senator Moran echoed her sentiments, stating, “With fraud and other payment scams continuing to grow, protecting the financial security and well-being of Kansans is critical.” 

He noted that their legislation would strengthen coordination among governmental agencies, law enforcement, and the financial services sector as they work together to identify and combat cryptocurrency fraud. 

Highlights Of The SAFE Crypto Act

The text of the SAFE Crypto Act outlines several key purposes for the task force. It will examine current trends in financial grooming scams involving digital assets, identify effective prevention methods, and issue recommendations to enhance efforts against these fraudulent activities. 

A cross-sector approach will ensure that the task force’s recommendations encompass the entire spectrum of the issue, given that scams affect individuals across multiple jurisdictions and industries, including financial services, telecommunications, and technology.

The task force will also include insights from stakeholders with direct experience supporting scam victims as well as industry participants who can provide valuable information about organized crime networks involved in these scams. 

Their work will involve evaluating best practices for countering various methods used by scammers, including Ponzi schemes, money laundering activities, and fraudulent Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs).

Additionally, the task force will be responsible for assessing international efforts to prevent scams involving digital assets and reviewing current scamming methods that target individuals through digital asset intermediaries. 

Furthermore, the task force will coordinate efforts to ensure that law enforcement can identify and pursue perpetrators of scams involving digital assets. It will consult with other relevant stakeholders, including state, local, and tribal agencies, as well as financial services providers. 

The task force will also determine whether additional federal legislation or resources would be beneficial in combating scams in the digital asset space.

Within one year of its establishment, the task force will submit a comprehensive report to various Senate and House committees, detailing its findings and recommendations. After the initial report, annual updates will also be provided to keep Congress informed of ongoing progress and emerging threats.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Американский экономист, президент брокерской компании Euro Pacific Capital Питер Шифф (Peter Schiff) заявил, что при угрозе обвала доллара США первым из всех активов может потерять свою ценность биткоин.

Петербургская компания «Розетки СПб» запатентовала модель зарядной станции для электромобилей, в которую вмонтирован модуль майнинга криптовалюты. О новом патенте рассказала газета «Деловой Петербург».

Волатильность биткоина в этом году оказалась ниже волатильности акций компании Nvidia. Данная тенденция может сохраниться и в 2026 году, заявили аналитики компании Bitwise.

Комиссия по ценным бумагам и биржам США (SEC) опубликовала руководство для брокеров-дилеров по хранению криптоактивов, которые регулятор определил как «токенизированные версии акций или облигаций».

Ripple has published the first formal specification of the XRP Ledger’s Payment Engine, positioning it as a foundational upgrade for protocol safety as XRPL moves into a more feature-dense era. The document was released in partnership with formal methods firm Common Prefix and is intended to become a canonical reference for how payments and cross-asset value transfer behave on-ledger.

The motivation is straightforward, and Ripple does not sugarcoat it. XRPL has operated for more than a decade without downtime, but the team argues that a long track record is still not the same as provable correctness. In the DEV Community post published Dec. 17 under the RippleX Developers banner, the authors write that “to prepare the ledger for the next generation of complex features, we must move beyond empirical success to mathematical certainty.”

A Turning Point For XRP Ledger Security

That is the tone throughout: less victory lap, more engineering debt disclosure. For much of XRPL’s life, the C++ implementation (xrpld) has effectively acted as the only definitive source of truth for core behavior. Ripple’s post calls out a practical problem with that model: “The code tells us, in very precise C++ terms, what it does. It does not always tell us why.” In other words, when code is the spec, it becomes difficult to separate intentional design choices from historical behavior that simply persisted because nothing broke.

That gap starts to matter more as new amendments arrive. Ripple points directly to a pipeline of complex features — including lending, DEX-related work tied to Multi-Purpose Tokens (MPTs), batch transactions, and permissioned DEX concepts — and warns that the number of possible system states expands quickly as new modules “weave into the decades-old logic of the ledger.”

The published specification is hosted on GitHub and labeled as work in progress, but it is already framed as a serious technical artifact: “a technical specification document intended for developers implementing or verifying XRPL payment system behavior.” It also spells out the heart of the system in plain language: the Payment Engine is what “figures out how value should travel and then carries out those moves,” enabling payments to draw across “trust lines, MPTs, order books, AMMs, and direct XRP.”

The deeper point, though, is what this enables next. Ripple’s post lays out a two-part target. First, a human-readable specification that reduces ambiguity and becomes the canonical reference for builders and researchers. Second, a machine-verifiable model — a mathematical representation of the spec — that can support mechanical proofs about system properties and whether proposed changes violate core safety guarantees.

It is also explicit about scope discipline. Ripple argues that specifying the entire ledger in one shot is not realistic: “It would be prohibitively expensive and time-consuming to specify the entire system at once.” So the work focuses on what it describes as the two most critical and complex components: the Payment Engine and the Consensus Protocol.

Consensus, in particular, is framed as non-negotiable infrastructure. Ripple describes it as “the heart of the ledger,” adding: “Its correctness is non-negotiable and underpins the safety and liveness of the entire network.”

The stated objective is to formally model the mechanism to prove properties such as liveness, safety, and finality. On timing, Ripple is clear that this is the starting line, not the finish. After publishing the Payment Engine specification, the team says it intends to begin formal verification work on the Payment Engine and the Consensus Protocol in 2026.

The closing line captures the direction of travel: “The shift from code-as-truth to mathematics-as-truth is underway.”

In the XRP community, the announcement landed with predictable euphoria. “Absolute freaking game changer! … Aerospace & military grade security incoming,” wrote XRPL validator and community member Vet, adding: “The XRP Ledger is receiving its first formal specification for the payments engine. By mathematically specifying key protocol components […] Basically, this is the enabler for the endboss of audits AND for other things like complex features or client diversity.”

At press time, XRP traded at $1.83.

Основатель инвестиционной компании Cyber Capital Джастин Бонс (Justin Bons) заявил, что по ряду показателей Solana превосходит Биткоин, несмотря на меньшую капитализацию на крипторынке.

На сегодняшний день биткоин торгуется на уровне около $86 500, сохранив позицию выше критического уровня поддержки в $81 300, несмотря на недельное снижение стоимости на 6,5%, заявили в Glassnode.