源聚合

A new report from Glassnode says Bitcoin could potentially be closer to a bottoming range than the early phase of the bear market.

Bitcoin Supply In Loss Trend Doesn’t Look Similar To An Early Bear Market

In its latest weekly report, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed how the current bear market structure is looking from the perspective of the Total Supply in Loss. This indicator measures the amount of Bitcoin that’s currently being held at some net unrealized loss on the blockchain.

Here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the 7-day moving average (MA) value of the metric over the last several years:

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Total Supply in Loss approached a value of zero as the cryptocurrency’s price hit a new all-time high (ATH) in October. The market downturn that has followed since then, however, has put a large chunk of the supply into loss, causing a sharp surge in the indicator.

Today, the 7-day average value of the metric is sitting at 9.2 million BTC, which is the highest level since the end of the last bear market. Currently, there are just under 20 million tokens in circulation, so the latest value of the Total Supply in Loss corresponds to nearly half the asset’s supply. “This aligns with prior bear market environments where drawdowns approached the 50% threshold and broad investor cohorts were under pressure,” explained the analytics firm.

From the chart, it’s visible that not only is the current level of the metric similar to past bear markets, its structure in fact resembles that of their latter stages, rather than early phases.

Historically, the higher the Total Supply in Loss has gone, the more probable a market bottom has become. The reason behind the pattern is that as loss concentration increases on the Bitcoin network, selling pressure with the motive of profit-taking starts becoming exhausted. Both the 2018 and 2022 bear markets reached their bottoms alongside tops in the metric.

So far, the 7-day MA Total Supply in Loss hasn’t reached the same highs as during previous cyclical bottoms, but it has certainly come close following the most recent jump in the metric. “In structural terms, the market appears closer to a potential bottoming range than to the initial onset of contraction, even as volatility and fragility persist,” noted Glassnode.

BTC Price

Bitcoin recovered above $69,000 on Wednesday, but its price has seen a small pullback since then as it’s now trading around $67,300.

Банк России сообщил, что в 2025 году было выявлено свыше 4600 криптокошельков, на которые злоумышленники предлагали жертвам переводить первоначальные взносы в финансовые пирамиды.

В 2025 году количество атак с использованием программ-вымогателей выросло на 50%, тогда как общий объем выплат выкупа в криптовалюте составил около $820 млн — на 8% меньше показателя 2024 года, сообщили аналитики компании Chainalysis.

Аналитик австралийской криптобиржи Swyftx Пав Хундал (Pav Hundal) заявил, что в текущую цену эфира уже заложена большая часть макроэкономических рисков, поэтому в ближайшие недели существенных ценовых изменений ожидать не стоит.

With a White House deadline on the anticipated CLARITY Act set for March 1, crypto policy discussions are intensifying in Washington. On Thursday afternoon, Senate Democrats are scheduled to meet to continue deliberations on the crypto market structure bill. 

Ahead of those talks, the Blockchain Association returned to Capitol Hill to press lawmakers on how decentralized finance (DeFi) will be treated in the latest draft from the Senate Banking Committee.

Blockchain Association Lobbies For Developer Protections

The industry trade group, which represents a range of crypto companies, said its advocacy efforts are focused particularly on Title III of the draft legislation and on preserving the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA) as negotiations move forward. 

In a post on social media platform X, the organization stated that leaders from 18 member companies were meeting with 24 Senate offices across both the Banking and Agriculture Committees.

According to the association, the stakes extend beyond technical regulatory language. “Today’s meetings are about whether America will keep its commitment to open innovation — and to the developers who build permissionless software,” the group wrote. 

It emphasized that it has consistently pushed for legislation that clearly distinguishes between developers of non-custodial software and financial intermediaries that actually take control of customer funds. 

As Congress works toward a comprehensive framework for digital asset markets, the association argued, policymakers must ensure that DeFi protocols are not effectively pushed out of existence through overly broad rules.

Clear Line Between Custodians And Code Writers 

Central to the debate is the treatment of open-source developers. The group maintains that developers who publish code but do not custody or manage user assets should not be regulated as financial institutions. 

“Open-source developers should not be treated as financial intermediaries when they do not custody or control customer assets,” the association said, adding that the United States has a significant opportunity to lead globally in DeFi innovation if it gets the policy approach right. 

Summer Mersinger, the Blockchain Association’s chief executive officer, reinforced that message in a post earlier Thursday. She described developer protections as foundational to what she called the next wave of American innovation. 

As lawmakers advance market structure legislation, she said, it is essential to draw a clear boundary between entities that hold and control consumer funds and those that merely create and publish open-source software. 

New Bipartisan Crypto Bill 

The debate over developer liability is also unfolding in the House of Representatives. On Thursday, crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett reported that Representatives Scott Fitzgerald, Ben Cline, and Zoe Lofgren introduced the bipartisan Promoting Innovation in Blockchain Development Act of 2026. 

The proposed legislation is designed to protect software developers from prosecution under Section 1960 of the federal criminal code. The bill seeks to clarify that Section 1960 — originally crafted to address unlicensed money transmitters that custody customer funds — applies only to actors who actually control user assets. 

It would exclude developers who simply write or publish code, a distinction that the crypto industry, and especially the DeFi sector, has been advocating to incorporate into the CLARITY Act.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

14–15 апреля 2026 года в Москве состоится Blockchain Forum 2026 — крупнейшее крипто- и Web3-событие в СНГ, ежегодно объединяющее лидеров цифровой экономики. За последние годы форум стал ключевой площадкой региона, где встречаются представители криптоиндустрии, банковского сектора, инвестиционных фондов и технологических компаний.

Монета DOT от криптопроекта Polkadot за последнюю неделю вросла на 27%, ненадолго пробив рекордную отметку $1,75. Прорыв случился в преддверии первого халвинга в сети, который запланирован на 14 марта.

Московская биржа планирует запустить торги криптовалютой летом этого года после принятия нормативной базы по регулированию рынка цифровых активов. Об этом сообщает Forbes со ссылкой на источники среди брокеров. По их данным, площадка готовит «песочницу» для тестирования операций с криптовалютами.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has asked the public for feedback on its proposed framework to regulate stablecoins under the landmark crypto regulation, including proposals to address potential workaround on the interest payments ban.

OCC Lays Out Framework For GENIUS Act Implementation

On Wednesday, the OCC issued a proposed rulemaking to implement the landmark stablecoin legislation, the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act.

The GENIUS Act was signed into law by US President Donald Trump on July 18, 2025. The legislation establishes a regulatory framework for payment stablecoin activities in the US.

In the 376-page document, the agency included regulations for permitted payment stablecoin issuers and foreign payment stablecoin issuers under the OCC’s jurisdiction and certain custody activities conducted by OCC-supervised entities.

Notably, the OCC will have regulatory authority over certain issuers, such as subsidiaries of national banks or federal savings associations, federal qualified issuers, state qualified issuers, and foreign issuers.

The proposed rules cover all regulations the OCC is required to promulgate under the GENIUS Act, including reserve asset standards, liquidity and custody requirements, risk management controls, audits, and supervisory examinations.

However, it exempts rules related to the Bank Secrecy Act, Anti-Money Laundering, and Office of Foreign Assets Control sanctions, which will be addressed in a separate rulemaking alongside the Department of the Treasury.

“The OCC has given thoughtful consideration to a proposed regulatory framework in which the stablecoin industry can flourish in a safe and sound manner,” said Comptroller of the Currency Jonathan Gould in a statement.

“We welcome feedback on the proposal to inform a final rule that is effective, practical and reflects broad industry perspective. The OCC will continue its work to implement the GENIUS Act and provide OCC regulated entities with more opportunities to meet the needs of their customers and communities,” he added.

Rules To Address Stablecoin Yield Workarounds

The proposed draft also tackled a key issue related to the regulation of these assets: the payments of interest or yield on stablecoins. For context, the legislation prohibits interest payments on the holding or use of payment-purpose stablecoins, but only addresses permitted issuers.

Based on this, the banking sector has argued that the GENIUS Act has “loopholes” that could pose risks to the financial system and has urged senators to include language in the crypto market structure bill, known as the CLARITY Act, that also bans digital asset exchanges, brokers, dealers, and related entities from offering yield.

The OCC expanded on the GENIUS Act ban, highlighting potential areas that must be addressed to prevent these “loopholes.” The agency argued that issuers could attempt workarounds to “make prohibited payments of interest or yield to payment stablecoin holders through arrangements with third parties.”

However, it noted that due to the large and changing variety of such arrangements, it would be impossible to identify and address all of them. Therefore, it proposed to include a presumption that “certain types of arrangements with certain types of persons” would be prohibited payments of yield or interest by the issuer.

The OCC would presume that an issuer is paying the holder any form of interest or yield if: the issuer “has a contract, agreement, or other arrangement with an affiliate or a related third party to pay interest or yield to the affiliate or related third party;” and if the affiliate or related third party “has a contract, agreement, or other arrangement to pay interest or yield (…) to a holder of any payment stablecoin issued” by the permitted issuer “solely in connection with the holding, use, or retention” of these tokens.

Nonetheless, the OCC clarified that the prohibition is not intended to prevent a merchant from independently offering a discount to a holder for using payment stablecoins. It is also not intended to prevent an issuer “from sharing in the profits derived from the payment stablecoin with a non-affiliate partner in a white-label arrangement.”

Гендиректор и основатель компании Coin Bureau Ник Пукрин (Nic Puckrin) заявил, что крипторынок может разделиться на два сегмента: пассивных розничных инвесторов и институциональных участников, ориентированных на долгосрочный рост.

Соучредитель проекта Bitcoin Vector и инвестфонда CMCC Crest Вилли Ву (Willy Woo) заявил, что медвежий цикл биткоина, вероятно, завершится в четвертом квартале этого года.

Количество адресов, на которых хранится не менее 100 BTC на общую сумму $6,71 млн, приблизилось к отметке 20 000. Это может свидетельствовать о здоровой динамике рынка, отметили аналитики Santiment.

Sam Bankman-Fried, the co-founder and former CEO of collapsed crypto exchange FTX, has in recent months repeatedly called for a retrial in New York, where he was sentenced to 25 years in prison following the company’s 2022 downfall.

His renewed public statements have coincided with growing online speculation that he could seek a presidential pardon, particularly after former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) was pardoned last year by President Donald Trump.

Sam Bankman-Fried Praises CLARITY Act

The speculation intensified this week after Sam Bankman-Fried posted on X, formerly Twitter, praising the proposed CLARITY Act. In his message, he described the bill as a major milestone for the crypto industry and “a huge achievement” for President Trump. 

He added that he had supported similar efforts in the past to remove oversight of digital assets from former Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Gary Gensler, claiming that Gensler had assisted the Biden administration’s Department of Justice (DOJ) in bringing charges against him.

In the same post, Sam Bankman-Fried referenced a letter from the House Financial Services Committee. The document, signed by Chairman Patrick McHenry, called on the SEC to provide records and communications involving the agency’s Division of Enforcement, the Office of the Chair and the DOJ. 

The lawmakers sought information about the timing of charges filed against Sam Bankman-Fried and his arrest, which occurred shortly before he was scheduled to testify before the House Financial Services Committee.

Senator Cynthia Lummis, a prominent supporter of digital assets closely aligned with President Trump’s crypto policy agenda, responded sharply to Bankman-Fried’s remarks. Writing on Thursday, she suggested that his praise for the CLARITY Act was self-serving. 

Lummis Dismisses Pardon Talks

“Someone’s looking for a pardon and doesn’t realize the Clarity Act would have you locked up for much longer than 25 years,” the Senator said in her remarks. 

Lummis further distanced her proposal from any prior legislative efforts associated with Sam Bankman-Fried, stating, “My legislation couldn’t be more different than the bill you tried to buy from Congress over my objection in 2022. We do not need—nor want—your support.”

Her comments were echoed by some social media users, including one who pointed out that the CLARITY Act includes tougher criminal penalties for fraud, misrepresentation and misuse of customer assets when digital assets are involved. 

According to that interpretation, certain crypto-related offenses would be treated as aggravated financial crimes, adding additional years to standard wire fraud sentences. “Please get it passed!!” the user wrote in response to Lummis’ remarks.

The CLARITY Act, also known as the broader crypto market structure bill, remains under negotiation. It is currently on hold as representatives from the banking and crypto sectors prepare for another meeting at the White House scheduled for Friday. 

The talks are expected to focus on unresolved issues, including stablecoin rewards programs, decentralized finance (DeFi) provisions and ethics-related measures that have complicated earlier drafts.

Industry participants and administration officials have indicated that progress is being made. Patrick Witt, Executive Director of the President’s Council of Advisors for Digital Assets, described last week’s discussions as “a big step forward.” 

In a public message, Witt wrote, “We’re close,” adding that if both sides continue negotiating in good faith, he believes the administration’s March 1 deadline can still be met.

Featured image from Fortune, chart from TradingView.com 

Под селом Замьяны в Енотаевском районе Астраханской области обнаружена нелегальная майнинг-ферма, работавшая в обход учета электроэнергии. Об этом сообщили в филиале ПАО «Россети Юг» — «Астраханьэнерго».

Bitcoin has regained short-term momentum after a roughly 7% surge on Wednesday, providing some relief to a market that had remained under persistent selling pressure. The rebound followed renewed discussion around Jane Street — the global quantitative trading firm that was widely accused in parts of the crypto community of contributing to the 2022 LUNA collapse, although no formal proof ever confirmed direct responsibility. The resurfacing of that narrative appears to have coincided with improved liquidity expectations and short-term repositioning, helping stabilize sentiment after recent volatility.

Despite the rebound, structural stress remains visible beneath the surface. According to top analyst Darkfost, the On-Chain Trader cohort — defined as holders with coins aged between one and three months — has a realized price near $90,000. With Bitcoin currently trading around $68,000, this group is sitting on an average unrealized loss of approximately 24%, a level that historically increases behavioral sensitivity.

Deviation bands around this realized price further contextualize the pressure zone. The upper bands sit near $126,000 and $153,000, while downside thresholds are positioned around $79,000 and $56,000. These levels help frame potential mean-reversion paths, underscoring that although momentum has improved, a large segment of recent buyers remains underwater.

Bitcoin Realized Price Bands Highlight A Critical Inflection Zone

Bitcoin is currently navigating a sensitive phase that could determine whether the recent rebound evolves into a sustainable recovery or merely a temporary relief within a broader corrective structure. Price remains well below the realized price of the 1–3 month on-chain trader cohort, estimated near $90,000, leaving a substantial portion of recent entrants in unrealized loss territory. This positioning typically increases market reactivity, as short-term holders tend to respond quickly to price fluctuations.

Darkfost’s framework around deviation bands provides useful context for assessing potential pressure zones. These statistical ranges help identify where latent profits or losses accumulate. Historically, when Bitcoin has approached the upper “Max” deviation band during this cycle, corrective phases often followed, suggesting that overheated positioning tends to invite distribution or profit-taking.

At present, however, the situation is inverted: traders are largely underwater rather than in profit. That reduces immediate profit-taking risk but increases sensitivity to further downside. Importantly, price still needs a meaningful recovery before this cohort returns to a comfortable average profit position.

Consequently, Bitcoin sits at a technical and behavioral inflection point. Continued stabilization could gradually rebuild confidence, but renewed weakness risks reinforcing defensive positioning and extending the corrective phase.

Bitcoin Holds $65K After Sharp Structural Breakdown

Bitcoin remains under technical pressure despite a recent rebound, with price action currently stabilizing near the $68K region after a steep decline from late-2025 highs. The chart shows a clear structural breakdown below the $90K–$95K zone, which previously acted as strong support. That level now appears to function as resistance, suggesting a transition from bullish expansion toward a corrective phase.

The moving averages reinforce this interpretation. BTC is trading below the 50-period and 100-period averages, both of which are beginning to slope downward. This configuration typically reflects weakening momentum and reduced trend strength. The 200-period average remains lower and still upward sloping, indicating that the longer-term trend has not fully reversed but is under stress.

Volume dynamics add another layer. The most recent selloff occurred alongside elevated volume spikes, pointing to forced positioning adjustments rather than gradual distribution. Since then, recovery attempts have lacked comparable participation, which raises questions about the durability of the bounce.

From a structural standpoint, holding above the mid-$60K zone is critical. Losing that area could expose lower liquidity pockets and intensify downside volatility. Conversely, sustained consolidation here could allow the market to rebuild demand, particularly if broader liquidity conditions begin to improve.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

The price of Bitcoin has been cut in half since hitting its all-time high. That much is hard to ignore. But according to a new report from financial services firm River, the price chart is telling only part of the story.

Underneath the surface, Bitcoin adoption across institutions, governments, banks, and ordinary merchants has been growing at a pace that the firm describes as historic — and one that has yet to fully show up in the price, River said.

5 Countries, Major Banks, And Record Institutional Buying

Governments are no longer just watching from the sidelines. Based on reports from River, five new nation-states became Bitcoin holders in 2025, including sovereign wealth funds in Luxembourg and Saudi Arabia, a central bank in the Czech Republic, and purchases by Brazil and Taiwan.

River estimates that 23 nation-states now hold Bitcoin in some form, whether through state-backed mining operations, asset seizures, or direct central bank exposure. That is a category of ownership that did not meaningfully exist just a few years ago.

What Bear Market? “There’s no bear market in Bitcoin adoption […] it is compounding in ways that aren’t affecting the price, yet,” River disclosed in a report released Tuesday, which noted that the top crypto asset is down 50% from its all-time high.

On the banking side, 60% of the top US banks are now actively building Bitcoin-related products for their customers. A more favorable regulatory climate in the US has made it possible for banks to hold Bitcoin in custody and offer related services — something that was effectively off the table for most regulated financial institutions not long ago.

Money Flowing In

Institutional investors have been piling in as well. Reports say registered investment advisors have been net buyers of Bitcoin for eight consecutive quarters, putting roughly $1.5 billion into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds every quarter over the past two years.

In total, institutions accumulated 829,000 BTC throughout 2025 — a figure that includes purchases made by businesses, governments, investment funds, and ETF vehicles. River pointed out that behind those institutional numbers are millions of individual people gaining their first exposure to Bitcoin through retirement accounts, brokerage platforms, and corporate balance sheets.

Businesses were the single largest category of buyers in 2025, according to the study. Crypto treasury companies — firms that hold Bitcoin as a core part of their financial strategy — drove the majority of those purchases, with adoption among that group growing 2.5 times compared to the year before.

Featured image from Creative Fabrica, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is currently testing the $69,000 level as resistance after rebounding from the $64,000 zone, attempting to recover from its recent corrective phase. While the short-term momentum appears constructive, broader market conditions suggest that conviction remains limited. The move higher is unfolding in an environment characterized by reduced participation and compressed liquidity.

According to top analyst Darkfost, February is on track to close as the month with the lowest Bitcoin spot trading volumes since the beginning of 2024. This contraction in activity coincides with BTC revisiting price levels last observed last year, reinforcing the perception of a market stuck in a defensive posture rather than entering a renewed expansion phase.

Despite the slowdown, Binance continues to dominate spot trading with nearly $75 billion in monthly volume, significantly ahead of Gate.io at $25 billion and Bybit at $20 billion. However, overall liquidity across the crypto market remains constrained, particularly following the October 10 shock that saw open interest decline by more than 70,000 BTC — roughly $8 billion in notional value.

Spot Volume Contraction Signals Market Caution

The ongoing decline in spot trading activity provides a useful lens for understanding current Bitcoin market dynamics. Darkfost notes that participation across major exchanges has fallen markedly since the October peak, with aggregate spot volumes roughly halved. Binance’s monthly volume has dropped from about $198 billion to $75 billion, Gate.io from $53 billion to $25 billion, and Bybit from $41 billion to roughly $20 billion. The fact that this pattern spans multiple leading venues suggests a systemic shift rather than exchange-specific behavior.

From a market-structure perspective, shrinking spot volumes typically indicate reduced conviction. When liquidity thins, price moves can become less reliable because they are driven by smaller capital flows. This environment often coincides with consolidation phases, where both buyers and sellers adopt a wait-and-see approach rather than aggressively positioning.

Importantly, weaker spot participation can delay trend formation. Sustained bullish recoveries historically require expanding spot demand, as derivatives-driven rallies alone tend to lack durability. Conversely, declining spot flows may also reflect capital rotation toward other asset classes amid macro uncertainty.

The key variable will be whether spot participation stabilizes or begins to recover. A meaningful rebound in volumes would signal renewed confidence, whereas continued contraction would reinforce the current defensive market posture.

Bitcoin Consolidates Below Key Moving Averages

Bitcoin’s daily chart shows a market attempting to stabilize after a decisive breakdown from the $90,000–$95,000 consolidation zone. The sharp selloff into the low $60,000s was accompanied by a notable spike in volume, suggesting forced liquidation and aggressive distribution rather than orderly rotation. Since then, price has rebounded toward the $68,000–$69,000 area, which now acts as near-term resistance.

Technically, BTC remains below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, all of which are trending downward. This alignment confirms a bearish momentum structure. The 50-day average has crossed below the 100-day, reinforcing short-term weakness, while the 200-day sits significantly above the current price, signaling that longer-term trend recovery is not yet underway.

The recent sideways movement near $68,000 appears corrective within a broader downtrend. Higher lows have not yet been established on a structural basis, and upside attempts lack expanding volume support.

For a meaningful shift in sentiment, Bitcoin would need to reclaim the $72,000–$75,000 zone and close above declining moving averages. Until that occurs, rallies are likely to face selling pressure, with downside risk remaining toward the $60,000 support cluster if momentum weakens again.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

On-chain data shows spot demand for Bitcoin is returning as the Apparent Demand metric has started to grow for the first time since late November.

Bitcoin Apparent Demand Has Seen Its 30-Day Sum Turn Green

In a new post on X, CryptoQuant head of research Julio Moreno has discussed the latest trend in the Apparent Demand of Bitcoin. This on-chain indicator provides an estimate for the spot demand for the cryptocurrency that’s present on the network right now. It does so by comparing two metrics: the mining issuance and change in the 1-year inactive supply.

The mining issuance is the amount of the asset that miners are ‘minting’ on the blockchain every day through their mining activities. It can be considered as a measure of the asset’s total production. In contrast, the 1-year inactive supply, corresponding to coins dormant since more than one year ago, represents the cryptocurrency’s inventory.

When the value of the Apparent Demand is positive, it means the decrease in the inventory exceeds the production. Such a trend suggests demand for BTC is going up. On the other hand, the indicator being negative implies coins are being stashed away in inventory, potentially because of a lack of fresh activity.

Now, here is the chart shared by Moreno that shows the trend in the 30-day sum of the Bitcoin Apparent Demand over the last few months:

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Apparent Demand saw its 30-day sum plummet deep into the red zone during December, implying demand for the cryptocurrency was muted. The metric persisted at these lows during the first half of January, but things started to reverse in the month’s second half.

The Apparent Demand remained at slight negative levels for much of February, but recently, a reversal into the positive territory has finally taken place. “Bitcoin spot demand is growing for the first time since late November,” noted the analyst. For now, the metric’s green level is still relatively small, so it only remains to be seen whether it will go up further in the near future.

In related news, the Coinbase Premium Index has also flipped green for Bitcoin recently, as CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju has pointed out in an X post.

The Coinbase Premium Index tracks the percentage difference between the BTC price on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). In other words, it reflects how Coinbase’s US-centric traffic differs in behavior from Binance’s global userbase.

From the chart, it’s visible that the metric shot up into the positive territory alongside the latest price surge, a potential sign that accumulation from American institutions backed the rally.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $68,000, up 4% in the last 24 hours.

Michael Saylor used his Strategy World 2026 keynote on Feb. 25 to argue that Bitcoin-backed “digital credit” is moving beyond Wall Street wrappers and toward programmable distribution on crypto rails, naming Solana and Ethereum as part of that future. The pitch matters because it pushes Strategy’s Bitcoin treasury model into a broader product thesis: use Bitcoin as the capital base, then package credit, yield and liquidity for corporates, retail investors and eventually tokenized markets.

Bitcoin Capital, Credit Product

Saylor framed Bitcoin as the foundation of the stack and Strategy’s Stretch (STRC) as the credit layer built on top of it. In his telling, the company’s business is no longer just accumulating Bitcoin, but “converting capital into credit” by using long-duration capital structures to strip cash flow from a volatile asset and deliver it as a steadier yield product.

“What is Strategy doing? Our company is converting capital into credit. We’re converting economic wealth into a stream of cash flows,” Saylor said. “You need an operating company in order to take a block of economic energy and turn it into a currency, peg it to a currency, strip away the risk, damp the volatility, extract the cash flows in the form of yield and compress the duration to now.”

That framework sits at the center of his case for STRC. Saylor said Strategy arrived there only after working through what he described as increasingly durable forms of leverage, from exchange leverage and margin loans to senior debt, junior debt, convertibles and preferred structures.

The key variable, in his view, is not just headline maturity, but the “stochastic duration” of capital, how long a company can realistically rely on it before covenants, mark-to-market stress or refinancing pressure force a problem.

He argued that variable preferred credit offered the best compromise short of common equity because it maximized optionality and reduced the risk of getting squeezed out of the position during a drawdown.

Saylor also laid out a simple quantitative case for digital credit. Strategy, he said, uses three internal metrics: BTC rating, or collateral coverage; BTC risk, the probability that collateral falls below required levels by the end of the term; and the implied credit spread needed to compensate investors. He contrasted current benchmarks of 78 basis points for investment-grade bonds and 288 basis points for high-yield debt with what he said digital credit could deliver if Bitcoin compounds faster than traditional assets.

His model depends heavily on a constructive view of Bitcoin’s long-run returns. If Bitcoin appreciates at 30% annually, Saylor said, sizable volumes of investment-grade credit can be created against it. If Bitcoin goes nowhere, the same structure starts to look like distressed debt.

He used recent performance to sharpen that distinction. Since Bitcoin’s all-time high about four and a half months ago, Saylor said, Bitcoin had fallen 45%, while STRC had lost “0% of its value” and paid 4.5% in dividends through the drawdown. That, he argued, is the commercial opening: offer a less volatile yield instrument to buyers who want Bitcoin-linked economics without owning the asset outright.

Solana And Ethereum As Distribution Rails

The keynote’s most consequential turn came when Saylor described digital credit as “programmable.” He was not using the term narrowly.

“Programmable means I take the credit and I create it. I turn it into a token, a private fund, a public fund, an ETF, an ETP. I make it a bank account. I make it a crypto account,” he said. “Then I put it on a platform — the NASDAQ, the London Stock Exchange, Solana, Ethereum, Binance, Coinbase Base. There are a lot of different platforms I can put that on.”

BREAKING: Michael Saylor says the future of programmable digital credit will be deployed on Solanapic.twitter.com/F4scOmDaU3

— Solana (@solana) February 25, 2026

He went further, arguing that once credit is packaged as a modular product, issuers can tune volatility, liquidity, staking periods, payout frequency and currency exposure. In that framework, Solana and Ethereum are not the capital base (Bitcoin remains that in Saylor’s model) but potential rails for distributing tokenized versions of the credit product.

That leaves Strategy with a larger ambition than simply selling preferred stock. Saylor said the company intends to deepen STRC liquidity and scale the underlying asset base, while partners build “digital money” and “digital yield” products around it.

If that thesis holds, Strategy is betting Bitcoin-backed credit can move from a public-market niche into a cross-platform product category spanning brokerages, ETFs and on-chain ecosystems.

At press time, Solana traded at $86.97.

A finance veteran is pushing back against critics who have dismissed a $100 XRP price prediction, suggesting that those on the opposing side may simply be missing the bigger picture. He boldly argues that double- and triple-digit prices are inevitable, pointing to its underlying technology as the driving force that could carry the asset toward this ambitious milestone with relative ease. 

Why The XRP Price Could Reach $100 Without Hassle

Paul White Gold Eagle, a financial industry expert, is standing firm in his ambitious prediction that XRP will reach $100, firing back at skeptics who have written off the possibility. After spending 10 years working in bank operations, the veteran stated on X that his experience inside the financial system gave him a perspective most retail investors do not have. 

Unlike front-facing roles where employees interact directly with customers, Paul White Gold Eagle revealed that operations work exposed him to the infrastructure that keeps banking institutions running. He described this infrastructure as “the backbone” of the financial industry. 

Notably, the veteran reflected on a pivotal moment in his career when banks shifted from paper-based processes to digital systems. He recalled that the transition was far more complex and disruptive than anyone anticipated, a lesson he suggests is directly relevant to the transformation he believes Ripple and XRP are now poised to deliver. 

Paul White Gold Eagle further argued that those who doubt XRP’s price potential fundamentally do not understand the cryptocurrency’s underlying technology and the specific role it is designed to play in the global finance sector. He pointed to Ripple’s upcoming CFO dashboard as tangible proof of its utility and real-world application.

The finance veteran also noted that wire reporting systems currently used inside banks still resemble technology from the 1980s. He suggested that the overhaul of these outdated interfaces is a strong signal that “so much is going to change.” For him, a double or even triple-digit price for the altcoin is not a question of if, but when. He likely views it as an inevitable byproduct of XRP’s growth as a global payment system. 

Analyst Says “It Won’t Remain Cheap For Long”

Crypto analyst BarriC is urging investors sitting on the sidelines to pay close attention to XRP. According to him, its current low price is a temporary window before the market sees a massive shift in global financial infrastructure. The analyst argues that once banks and financial institutions start adopting and relying on the altcoin, its valuation model could change completely. 

BarriC believes that once this happens, it could push XRP far beyond today’s single-digit price forecasts of $2, $3, and $4, reaching targets of $100, $ 1,000, or even $10,000 per token. He warns that once XRP reprices, people will look back on a $1-$2 valuation as a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity they missed.