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While Bitcoin investors often prioritize price targets, support zones, and percentage moves, a recent breakdown by analyst @ArdiNSC shifts attention toward a different and often overlooked metric: time. He argues that the duration of consolidation within a downtrend can reveal more about the strength of underlying market forces than price movement alone. In other words, the clock inside each range can be just as important as the candles that form it.

Why Time Inside A Bitcoin Range Matters

The analyst explained on X that the length of time Bitcoin spends trading sideways reflects how supply and demand interact at that level. Instead of focusing only on distance traveled, he emphasized that the market’s ability—or inability—to resolve a range quickly can signal the underlying strength of buyers or the pressure applied by sellers.

To illustrate this approach, he highlighted two consolidation phases on the daily BTC/USD chart. The first structure formed after a sharp decline, lasted 55 days, and covered about 21% before breaking lower. The second, active as of February 26, 2026, spans roughly 20% but has developed in only 22 days. Although their percentage width is almost identical, their timelines differ dramatically.

The prolonged 55-day range shows buyers actively absorbing supply for nearly two months, slowing the decline and forcing the market to work through significant demand before sellers finally regained control. In this framework, a range’s vertical height reflects the price distance required for redistribution, while its horizontal duration captures how long that redistribution takes. A long-lasting structure implies sustained contention between both sides; a short-lived one points to imbalance.

This makes the current 22-day range especially important. It has already reached a similar depth in less than half the time. If it breaks lower soon, it would signal that sellers now overpower buyers much more quickly at comparable price levels—an indication of fading demand during the broader downtrend.

What The Current Structure Suggests

The chart reinforces this time-driven interpretation. The initial consolidation expanded gradually before its decisive breakdown, reflecting a slow and steady absorption of buying pressure. The current formation emerged after another sharp decline but is unfolding far more rapidly within a similar percentage band.

Duration becomes the deciding factor from here. A swift downward resolution would confirm that buyer resistance has weakened relative to the earlier range. Achieving a similar structural outcome in fewer days would show reduced demand at this stage of the decline. Alternatively, if Bitcoin holds the range longer than expected or breaks upward with conviction, it would indicate renewed buyer engagement and potential accumulation. In that case, the zone could develop into meaningful support on future retests.

This perspective reframes common market-structure analysis. Price levels attract attention, but the time spent within them often reveals more about shifting conviction. In the current downtrend, the duration of Bitcoin’s consolidation may offer the clearest insight into which side is preparing to take control next.

A battle over energy cost is brewing in the crypto space, as a new report from technical analyst Bullrunners pits Bitcoin’s (BTC) energy-hungry Proof of Work (PoW) system against XRP’s comparatively lightweight network. The new analysis has thrown fresh fuel on one of crypto’s oldest rivals, sparking intense debate among crypto community members as they attempt to defend their preferred blockchain network. 

XRP Vs. Bitcoin’s Energy Cost

A new report from Bullrunners has reignited the long-standing debate between Bitcoin and XRP, this time over a striking difference in energy consumption between the two networks. According to the report, posted on X this Tuesday, XRP consumed just $73,000 worth of electricity to run its entire network over the course of a full year. Bitcoin, by contrast, used over $10 billion in electricity during the same period. 

Breaking that down further, Bullrunners shared an image which showed that a single Bitcoin transaction carries an energy cost equivalent to powering an average American household for 38 to 49 days, consuming between 1,100 and 1,400 kilowatt-hours (kWh). Meanwhile, a single XRP transaction uses approximately 0.0079 kilowatt-hours (kWh), roughly the amount of energy needed to power a light bulb for a few seconds. 

Based on this sheer difference in energy consumption, Bullrunners concluded that the XRP network uses up to 99.999% less energy than Bitcoin. 

Notably, a major reason for this extraordinary energy gap is how each blockchain network validates transactions. Bitcoin’s PoW system requires miners worldwide to continuously compete by solving complex mathematical puzzles using energy-intensive hardware that consumes vast amounts of electricity. 

On the other hand, XRP relies on a special XRP Ledger (XRPL) Protocol Consensus algorithm. Instead of mining, a group of trusted nodes communicates and votes across several rounds until they reach an agreement on which transactions are valid. With no competition and no energy-intensive mining hardware, the XRP network can settle transactions at a fraction of Bitcoin’s energy cost. 

Bitcoin And XRP Rivalry Spark Intense Community Debate

Bullrunners’ energy report quickly drew sharp reactions from members of the crypto community, with supporters of each blockchain network offering different interpretations of what Bitcoin and XRP’s energy numbers really mean. 

One supporter argued that Bitcoin’s energy consumption is not wasteful, but essential to its security. He described the network’s PoW mechanism as a process that converts real-world energy into a form of unforgeable digital scarcity. He went on to challenge XRP’s decentralization, pointing out that Ripple holds billions of the token and could influence supply without the constraints of a hard cap. 

XRP supporters fired back with their own case, advocating that the XRP Ledger’s energy efficiency places it ahead of not just Bitcoin but also Ethereum, even after it transitioned to a Proof of Stake (PoS) consensus in 2022. They maintained that XRP is much more energy-efficient than Ethereum on both a per-transaction and network-wide basis.

The cryptocurrency market appears to be maintaining its newfound bullish traction, but the price of XRP has fallen to the $1.4 mark after a pullback on Thursday. Amid the ongoing volatility that has rocked the market over the past months, the altcoin is set to make a critical move that could transition it into a bullish phase.

Market Ignores XRP’s Major Reset

XRP’s price seems to have lost its latest upward move that was triggered by a broader market bounce. Citing several on-chain and price dynamics, the leading altcoin is quietly undergoing what many investors believe is a major structural reset. Xaif Crypto, a market expert and investor, shared that while the token is preparing for a major reset, many in the market seem to be overlooking its potential and the significance of the impending move.

Over the last 90 days, Open Interest has been witnessing a sharp decline across nearly every major cryptocurrency exchange. According to the data, the open interest on Binance, the world’s leading crypto exchange, totaled at -7.7 million XRP, Bybit’s open interest lost over -12 million XRP, and Kraken bled out -8.3 million XRP. This is billions of dollars in speculative leverage being taken out of the market.

Xaif Crypto highlighted that beneath the surface, this is just the setup rather than the end. When open interest contracts are this hard across multiple platforms simultaneously, it simply implies that the weak hands are exiting. Even the overleveraged betters are also vanishing from the market.

Currently, the market is left with a clean slate, and historically, this is the point where the next big move emerges. “Smart money doesn’t chase pumps, it enters during the silence,” Xaif Crypto added.

Activity On Bittrue On The Rise

While other trading platforms struggle with declining open interest, Bitrue saw a spike in XRP activity as institutional appetite grows. The platform recorded a 212% increase in spot buying volumes, surpassing the sell-side by over 2x. This surge coincided with a persistent accumulation from institutional investors since the launch of the XRP Spot ETFs.

Since its launch, the funds have attracted a net total of $1.1 billion in assets, with weekly inflows and only 5 days of outflows. As institutional and retail support grows, Bitrue predicts a possible supply squeeze that will probably cause the altcoin to surpass its main rivals in Q2 2026.

Bitrue is known for being the first to champion flexible earn investments with the altcoin and offer it as a base trading pair for spot. The platform has been working to include the token into its services since its inception in 2028, and now users are encouraged to add it to their portfolios. 

Its most recent plan is to establish itself as a crucial liquidity hub for the XRPL utility by modifying its short-term business strategy. Bitrue intends to capitalize on this impending market shift. Furthermore, they are focused on increasing support for the altcoin and other coins that are part of the XRPL ecosystem, such as RLUSD, which is currently utilized as a basic trading pair.

Talks of a potential altcoin season this cycle have since subsided compared to previous years, despite the recent decline in the Bitcoin (BTC) price and dominance. Notably, a crypto analyst has shared a new long-term chart showing the total altcoin market capitalization relative to Bitcoin at a level that has historically preceded major alt seasons. Based on his analysis, the alt market has fully reset and could be gearing up for a fresh altcoin season if historical trends play out as expected.

Historic Alt Season Setup Forms As Bitcoin Ratio Hits Base Zone

In a recent analysis on X, market expert @CyrilXBT shared a monthly chart tracking the ratio of the total crypto market, excluding the top 10 assets, to Bitcoin. According to the analysis, the chart currently sits at approximately 0.129, a level the analyst describes as the same base or accumulation zone that has launched every major altcoin season in crypto history. 

@CyrilXBT noted that this zone is where all alt seasons are born, with each past altcoin rally beginning when the ratio stopped falling and stabilized around the $0.12 to $0.13 range. Looking at the chart, the analyst noted that during the 2015-2016 cycle, the ratio starts near zero and remains flat, with minimal volatility. Following this, a dramatic spike occurred during the 2017-2018 bull run, pushing the altcoin vs Bitcoin ratio above 0.3, marking one of the first major alt seasons. 

By 2020, the ratio crashed back below the 0.129 level, erasing most of its previous gains as it consolidated near the low-ranged accumulation/base zone. Notably, 2021 marked the largest altcoin season spike in history, with the ratio exploding upward to over 0.55 amid the bull market frenzy. During this time, volume hit new highs, with bars towering above those of previous years. 

New Alt Season Conditions Take Shape

Similar to the 2020 crash, the 2022-2024 cycle saw a post-peak correction, with the ratio trending downward as Bitcoin regained dominance. In the current 2025-2026 cycle, the altcoin vs Bitcoin ratio has finally returned to the historically significant 0.129 accumulation zone, with BTC.D falling to a yearly low of 57.9%. 

@CyrilXBT has suggested that the current positioning mirrors the pre-altseason setup that led to a major altcoin explosion in previous years. He noted that the rising trendline connecting successive altcoin season peaks on the chart points to a ratio of roughly 0.80 to 0.90 as the next potential target for this cycle. 

As the ratio stabilizes and historical trends repeat, @CyrilXBT argues that recent market performance does not indicate that altcoins are dead. Rather, it shows that the market has fully reset and could be quietly creating the conditions for its next alt season.    

Bitcoin core developer Matt Corallo used a fresh Blockstream announcement this week to push back on a familiar line in the quantum debate: that nobody serious is working on post-quantum cryptography for Bitcoin. The immediate trigger was Blockstream’s preview of OP_SHRINCSVERIFY, but the broader point was that the work did not appear out of nowhere; it sits on top of research that has already been published and debated in public.

Bitcoin’s Post-Quantum Critics Are Wrong

Corallo’s post was blunt: “And the Bitcoin fudsters keep trying to claim no one is working on PQC in Bitcoin…” Blockstream, in turn, framed Jonas Nick’s upcoming talk at OPNEXT 2026 (on April 16, 2026) around a specific technical artifact rather than a vague promise, saying, “He’ll be presenting on OP_SHRINCSVERIFY.” It described the proposal as “a new opcode enabling SHRINCS,” a construction aimed at 324-byte stateful post-quantum signatures with static backups.

The event lineup itself also reinforces Corallo’s point. Quantum is not a one-off mention tied only to Jonas Nick’s OP_SHRINCSVERIFY session. The main stage schedule also includes Alex Pruden of Project 11 speaking on “Quantum Bitcoin,” and later a “Quantum/Investor fireside” featuring Robert Mitchnick of BlackRock and David Duong of Coinbase.

In other words, post-quantum risk and the response to it are showing up repeatedly across both the technical and institutional sides of the program.

The subtext was hard to miss: whatever one thinks about Bitcoin’s quantum timetable, the claim that the problem is being ignored is increasingly difficult to sustain.

What SHRINCS Actually Is

Nick laid out SHRINCS in a December post on Delving Bitcoin as a hybrid hash-based signature design that combines a stateless scheme such as SPHINCS+ with a stateful scheme based on unbalanced XMSS. The design goal is to get the efficiency benefits of stateful signing when wallet state is intact, while keeping a stateless fallback available if that state is lost or a backup has to be restored.

In Nick’s words, the scheme is “extremely efficient when only a few signatures are required” and “can be backed up with a static seed.” Bitcoin Optech later summarized the same trade-off more plainly: cheaper normal-path signing, heavier fallback signing when state integrity is in doubt.

That efficiency claim is where the proposal gets interesting for BTC. Nick wrote that the normal-path SHRINCS signature size is min(292 + q·16, s_l) + 16, where q is the number of signatures already produced through the stateful path. For q = 1, that yields the now-circulating 324-byte figure, which he said is more than 11x smaller than the smallest NIST-standardized alternative, ML-DSA, in that setting.

The earlier paper by Nick and Mikhail Kudinov made the broader case for hash-based signatures in Bitcoin, arguing that they are attractive post-quantum candidates because their security reduces to hash assumptions, while keeping public keys small and verification cost per byte within a workable range.

None of that means Bitcoin suddenly has a settled post-quantum roadmap. Nick’s Delving post explicitly invited feedback, and the December mailing-list discussion raised unresolved questions about hardware performance, signature limits, wallet design, and whether Bitcoin should standardize stateful schemes alongside stateless ones. Bitcoin Optech also covered SHRINCS as part of ongoing consensus-change discussion, not as an adopted upgrade.

That is why Corallo’s jab matters. The more precise framing is not that BTC has solved post-quantum cryptography, but that the engineering work is already underway in public view, with concrete proposals, concrete trade-offs, and increasingly concrete opcodes attached to them.

For a debate that often swings between complacency and panic, OP_SHRINCSVERIFY is evidence of something more grounded: Bitcoin’s post-quantum discussion is no longer theoretical hand-waving, even if it is still very much a research problem.

At press time, BTC traded at $66,630.

Tether, the company behind the world’s most widely used stablecoin, USDT, has revealed that it has frozen approximately $4.2 billion worth of its tokens tied to suspected illicit activity, with the majority of those actions taking place over the past three years. 

Tether Expands Crackdown On Criminal Use Of USDT

Tether said that just this week, it assisted the US Department of Justice (DOJ) in freezing nearly $61 million in USDT connected to so‑called “pig‑butchering” scams — a type of fraud in which criminals build personal relationships with victims before persuading them to invest in fake cryptocurrency schemes.

That latest action brought the total value of frozen USDT linked to alleged illicit activity to $4.2 billion. Of that amount, $3.5 billion has been blocked since 2023 alone, a Tether spokesperson said to Reuters in emailed comments late Thursday.

Earlier in the week, Tether Chief Executive Officer Paolo Ardoino highlighted the company’s recent cooperation with US authorities:

Tether’s cooperation with the Department of Justice highlights the need for blockchain transparency to empower law enforcement to act quickly and effectively against criminal activity. 

The executive added that the firm remains committed to supporting authorities in freezing illicit assets, protecting victims, and ensuring that USDT continues to function as what he described as a transparent tool for global commerce.

Tether also outlined several enforcement actions carried out over the past year that involved coordination with domestic and international authorities. 

DOJ, Brazil, Secret Service Seizures

According to the crypto company, on July 22, 2025, the US Department of Justice enabled a civil forfeiture action against Buy Cash Money and Money Transfer Company, freezing and reissuing $1.6 million in USDT allegedly tied to terror financing activities based in Gaza. 

In June 2025, Brazilian authorities also acknowledged Tether’s assistance in blocking 32 million Brazilian reais — approximately $6.2 million — linked to a cross‑border money-laundering operation conducted through Klever Wallet.

That same month, Tether worked with the Department of Justice and Seychelles-based crypto exchange OKX to support a civil forfeiture complaint seeking to seize roughly $225 million in USDT linked to pig‑butchering fraud schemes. 

In March of that same year, the US Secret Service froze $23 million in the firm’s USDT stablecoin that was allegedly associated with transactions on Garantex, a Russian exchange under sanctions. 

Additionally, in November of last year, the stablecoin issuer said it collaborated with the Royal Thai Police and the US Secret Service to trace and seize $12 million from a transnational scam network.

Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Ethereum network dominance is turning out to be constructive rather than speculative as the blockchain expands beyond its Decentralized Finance (DeFi) stance. After dominating as a leader in on-chain finance, the network is now leading AI innovation.

AI Innovation Accelerates On The Ethereum Network

As the blockchain landscape expands, the Ethereum network is taking the spotlight in terms of Artificial Intelligence (AI) innovation. A recent report indicates that the blockchain is emerging as the primary hub for on-chain AI agents, suggesting an expansion beyond its roots in DeFi.

Compared to other chains, ETH is gradually becoming the home for these projects, surpassing them by a long shot. More autonomous, revenue-generating AI systems are being constantly hosted and supported by the blockchain.

As seen on the chart shared by Leon Waidmann, a data analyst and the head of research at Lisk, the number of AI agents on Ethereum has reached 27,315. Other major chains, such as Base, Monad, MegaETH, and BNB Smart Chain, have recorded 19,499, 8,348, 8,150, and 6,689 in AI agents, respectively. With this figure, the ETH network now handles 40% more AI agents than the chain in second spot.

However, this may be larger than it looks. Base, along with Arbitrum, Scroll, Linea, and MegaETH, is an Ethereum Layer 2, which means the ETH ecosystem accounts for the vast majority of all on-chain AI agents when put together. 

During this period, discussions regarding a haven for the AI agents. Providing an answer that aligns with that of the market, Waidmann stated that these agents live where the liquidity is, where the smart contracts are battle-tested. In addition, this is where the infrastructure is deepest and where the network effects are at their strongest.

Bitmine In The Center Of The AI Agents’ Growth

BMNR Bullz has revealed on X that Bitmine Immersion is positioned for Ethereum’s next phase and AI agents. With the internet shifting from moving information to moving value, the company is emerging as a pioneer of the transition. Previously considered as separate trends, blockchain, stablecoins, and AI are now converging into a programmable economic system where transactions, settlement, and capital allocation occur natively online. 

The world is seeing a change with tens, potentially hundreds, of billions of AI agents set to interact and perform economic functions over the internet. These agents will need to work with programmable money, open settlement, and neutral infrastructure, not legacy rails, and this is where Ethereum comes in.

This is structurally bullish for ETH, and Bitmine was built around that reality. Bitmine boasts roughly 4.4 million ETH, marking about 3.7% of the total supply. There is zero debt and no forced selling through cycles from the company; therefore, reserving liquidity to accumulate during drawdowns. Furthermore, the firm has locked away 3 million ETH in staking, earning native yield.

Beyond holding and staking, Bitmine is building a staking and validation network, MAVAN, created to bolster its assets and expand to stake other companies’ crypto over time. This network will position the company at the forefront of ETH’s next phase and AI agent, and as part of the infrastructure layer supporting external capital.

Crypto analyst CasiTrades has declared that XRP’s macro plan hasn’t changed, with the targets still the same. Her comment follows the recent relief rally, which saw the altcoin record double-digit gains. 

XRP Still At Risk Of A Further Decline As Macro Plan Remains Intact

In an X post, CasiTrades stated that XRP hasn’t broken resistance and that there has been no change in the macro plan. This update followed the recent relief bounce, with the altcoin rallying to as high as $1.46. The analyst remarked that the larger plan hasn’t changed, as the recent bounce did not break resistance, and that the altcoin has not made a new low, so the plan remains the same. 

She also mentioned that nothing shifts until one of the two things happens for XRP. The first is that if the altcoin reaches the lower support zones at $1.11 or $0.87. The second is a potential break above the resistance at $1.67. Until one of these happens, CasiTrades noted that the current price action is just movement inside the same range. 

The analyst said that selling pressure should start building into the clear wave 3 down, which is what she is focusing on next. She noted that subwaves are now hinting at the lower macro support at $0.87, which could mark the bottom for XRP, as highlighted in her accompanying chart. 

CasiTrades remarked that anything below $1 is a good buying opportunity while she expects this drop to this target to play out within days to weeks. The analyst also predicts that this move down should kick off a macro W3, noting that the extensions are $6.50, $10.50, and $13. A rally to these targets will mark a new all-time high (ATH) for the altcoin. 

Elliot Wave Points To Rally To $31

Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto predicted that XRP could still rally to between $15 and $31 based on an Elliott wave analysis. His accompanying chart showed that the rally to $15 will happen on Wave 3, while the rally to $31 will happen on Wave 5. He noted that the altcoin is currently in Wave 2 and that the current pullback sits perfectly within normal Wave 2 retracements. 

The analyst added that XRP is still inside the macro channel and there is no invalidation yet. For confirmation of Wave 3, Egrag Crypto stated that the price must reclaim the Wave 1 high with a weekly close and momentum expansion. Until that happens, he warned that the current price action is still corrective, although he is confident that Wave 3 should start soon. 

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.40, down over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Окончание календарной зимы совпало с замедлением падения цены биткоина и крупных альткоинов. Неопределенность все еще высока и с ситуацией в экономике, и в американской политике. Однако запал продавцов явно поубавился.

Два экономических советника бывшей администрации бывшего президента США Джо Байдена, Райан Каммингс (Ryan Cummings) и Джаред Бернштейн (Jared Bernstein), опубликовали статью в The New York Times, где объяснили, почему, по их мнению, действующий президент не сможет помогать крипторынку.

Государственный криптовалютный резерв Казахстана не будет представлять из себя запас цифровых валют, рассказали Bits.media в Национальном банке республики. Власти намерены вкладываться в финансовые инструменты, косвенно связанные с криптоактивами.

Директор по трейдингу платформы аналитики QCP Capital Иван Ли (Ivan Lee) в интервью программе Wealth Tracker назвал биткоин «гибридом, меняющим свой характер» в зависимости от ситуации на рынке.

Ripple has published a new whitepaper arguing that institutional crypto market structure still lacks the settlement, credit and risk infrastructure needed to support large-scale participation. In the paper, Ripple says digital assets need a Digital Prime Brokerage model built around centralized credit intermediation, aggregated liquidity and T+1 net settlement if the market is to mature beyond its exchange-centric architecture.

Ripple’s Managing Director for Middle East & Africa Reece Merrick announced the whitepaper via X: “Traditional finance meets digital assets, but the bridge can still be a little shaky. Managing a matrix of exchanges and bilateral risks isn’t just a headache, it’s an inefficiency tax on your capital. The new Ripple whitepaper introduces the Digital Prime Broker (DPB) model, transforming complex risk into a streamlined 1:1 relationship.”

Ripple Targets Crypto Market Fragmentation

The whitepaper, titled The Blueprint for Institutional Digital Assets Trading, frames today’s OTC crypto market as structurally inefficient compared with foreign exchange. Ripple argues that institutions are still forced to operate across fragmented venues where execution, custody and credit are bundled together, collateral is siloed, and firms must maintain multiple bilateral relationships. The paper identifies three main frictions: multiplied credit risk, trapped capital and fragmented asset risk.

Ripple’s core claim is that crypto should borrow more directly from FX market structure. “This paper explains why digital asset markets require a prime brokerage–style model that features centralized credit intermediation, netted T+1 settlement, and the unbundling of execution, custody, and credit into clearly defined roles,” the paper says. It adds that the Digital Prime Broker, or DPB, should function as “core shared infrastructure” that can be tuned to different client requirements rather than forcing everyone into a single rigid model.

Under that framework, a client would execute one master agreement with a prime broker, while trades done with approved liquidity providers and market makers would be given up to that broker. Ripple argues this replaces a web of bilateral exposures with a single contractual counterparty, simplifying legal, compliance and settlement workflows while reducing failure risk across venues.

The paper leans heavily on capital efficiency. Ripple says the current market still relies on gross settlement or full prefunding, which forces repeated intraday asset transfers and leaves collateral stranded across exchanges. In one example, it says a client buying 100 BTC and selling 80 BTC during the same cycle would only need to settle 20 BTC net under a T+1 model, cutting gross fund movements by roughly 89%.

It also argues that the existing system hides financing costs rather than removing them. Ripple says offshore exchanges and bilateral liquidity providers often apply default swap rates of around 11%, roughly 7% above the risk-free rate, implying a daily funding cost of about 1.92 basis points, or $192 per $1 million per day. In Ripple’s telling, a DPB model would make those costs explicit instead of embedding them in spreads or subsidizing them through interest-free client collateral.

The paper also includes outside support from XTX Markets COO Mike Irwin, who writes: “A Digital Prime Brokerage model will enable institutional participants, including retail aggregators, to reduce operational risk, unlock trapped capital, and scale growth. As clients increasingly favor net-settled, prime-based structures, liquidity providers and venues will have to adapt. Adoption, however, will depend on prime brokers supporting specific client needs and constraints rather than enforcing a rigid, one-size-fits-all model.”

XRP is present, but not as the main story. Ripple says the XRP Ledger could support early settlement through onchain credit lines that fund obligations ahead of the standard T+1 net settlement cycle, with funding costs charged transparently to the party requesting early liquidity. That makes XRP part of the proposed plumbing, but the whitepaper’s main thesis is broader: institutional crypto still needs better market structure before it can look more like mature finance.

At press time, XRP traded at $1.4129.

Сенатор-демократ от штата Массачусетс Элизабет Уоррен (Elizabeth Warren) на слушаниях в банковском комитете Сената США призвала не выдавать банковскую лицензию семейной криптоплатформе Дональда Трампа World Liberty Financial.

Банк России и правительство меняют правила оборота криптовалюты. Появится контроль за обменниками и биржами, обменять рубли на крипту станет сложнее. К чему приведут готовящиеся изменения?

Полиция штата Флорида задержала 34-летнего основателя фирмы Goliath Ventures Кристофера Александра Дельгадо (Christopher Alexander Delgado). Бизнесмена обвиняют в мошенничестве на $328 млн и отмывании денег через криптовалюты.

The Bitcoin price crash from $126,000 to $60,000 has naturally sent most of the market into a panic, and with sentiment still in the red, the probability of the price falling lower remains high. At this time, the focus has now turned to predictions of when Bitcoin will hit a bottom. Over the years, a number of factors have determined when the price has reached its bottom. But taking into account the current climate, crypto analyst BarneyXBT has outlined three different reasons arguing for and against why the Bitcoin bottom might be in.

Reasons Why Bitcoin Price Could Still Be In A Bear Market

In the post shared on X, BarneyXBT gives three things to consider that might show that Bitcoin is still in a bear market. The first reason given to consider Bitcoin being in a bear market is that large investors are still selling their coins. Satoshi-era whales have been recently seen selling, while Vitalik Buterin, founder of Ethereum, has been selling ETH.

Next on the list of reasons points to the current macro climate. With the tariff war still mostly unresolved, interest rates staying the same, and consumer confidence plunging, the analyst says the macro climate is a “mess.”

The last reason given is the fact that retail seems to be completely gone from the market. This is proven by the lack of liquidity currently flowing into the market. In addition to this, there has been no emergence of new narratives, such as was seen with Artificial Intelligence (AI) back in 2024, among others.

The Argument For A Bull Market

On the flip side, the analyst also gives reasons that suggest that Bitcoin could still be in a bull market. One is the fact that sentiment has plunged to levels not seen since the FTX exchange crash. Now, this is important because the sentiment reached a low at this point, and then the market began to recover.

Another reason is that institutions are not going to let their investments be in vain. The likes of BlackRock and Fidelity have poured billions of dollars into their ETF products, and BarneyXBT explained that it is unlikely they spent this much on infrastructure just to walk away.

Lastly, there is the legendary Bitcoin halving cycle. Past performances show that the bull run has always revolved around the Bitcoin halving, which happens once every four years. Thus, it is possible the BTC price could recover as another halving rolls around in 2028.

Крупная американская майнинговая компания MARA Holdings сообщила, что ее убыток в последнем квартале прошлого года превысил $1,7 млрд. Причиной убытков майнер назвал снижение курса биткоина и рост расходов на обслуживание инфраструктуры.

Зарегистрированным в России площадкам собираются запретить операции с анонимными криптовалютами типа Monero и Zcash, следует из законопроекта «О цифровой валюте и цифровых правах». Власти планируют вести перечень запрещенных токенов и черный список лиц, в адрес которых запрещены криптопереводы.

A new report from Glassnode says Bitcoin could potentially be closer to a bottoming range than the early phase of the bear market.

Bitcoin Supply In Loss Trend Doesn’t Look Similar To An Early Bear Market

In its latest weekly report, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed how the current bear market structure is looking from the perspective of the Total Supply in Loss. This indicator measures the amount of Bitcoin that’s currently being held at some net unrealized loss on the blockchain.

Here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the 7-day moving average (MA) value of the metric over the last several years:

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Total Supply in Loss approached a value of zero as the cryptocurrency’s price hit a new all-time high (ATH) in October. The market downturn that has followed since then, however, has put a large chunk of the supply into loss, causing a sharp surge in the indicator.

Today, the 7-day average value of the metric is sitting at 9.2 million BTC, which is the highest level since the end of the last bear market. Currently, there are just under 20 million tokens in circulation, so the latest value of the Total Supply in Loss corresponds to nearly half the asset’s supply. “This aligns with prior bear market environments where drawdowns approached the 50% threshold and broad investor cohorts were under pressure,” explained the analytics firm.

From the chart, it’s visible that not only is the current level of the metric similar to past bear markets, its structure in fact resembles that of their latter stages, rather than early phases.

Historically, the higher the Total Supply in Loss has gone, the more probable a market bottom has become. The reason behind the pattern is that as loss concentration increases on the Bitcoin network, selling pressure with the motive of profit-taking starts becoming exhausted. Both the 2018 and 2022 bear markets reached their bottoms alongside tops in the metric.

So far, the 7-day MA Total Supply in Loss hasn’t reached the same highs as during previous cyclical bottoms, but it has certainly come close following the most recent jump in the metric. “In structural terms, the market appears closer to a potential bottoming range than to the initial onset of contraction, even as volatility and fragility persist,” noted Glassnode.

BTC Price

Bitcoin recovered above $69,000 on Wednesday, but its price has seen a small pullback since then as it’s now trading around $67,300.