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Crypto analyst CasiTrades has declared that XRP’s macro plan hasn’t changed, with the targets still the same. Her comment follows the recent relief rally, which saw the altcoin record double-digit gains. 

XRP Still At Risk Of A Further Decline As Macro Plan Remains Intact

In an X post, CasiTrades stated that XRP hasn’t broken resistance and that there has been no change in the macro plan. This update followed the recent relief bounce, with the altcoin rallying to as high as $1.46. The analyst remarked that the larger plan hasn’t changed, as the recent bounce did not break resistance, and that the altcoin has not made a new low, so the plan remains the same. 

She also mentioned that nothing shifts until one of the two things happens for XRP. The first is that if the altcoin reaches the lower support zones at $1.11 or $0.87. The second is a potential break above the resistance at $1.67. Until one of these happens, CasiTrades noted that the current price action is just movement inside the same range. 

The analyst said that selling pressure should start building into the clear wave 3 down, which is what she is focusing on next. She noted that subwaves are now hinting at the lower macro support at $0.87, which could mark the bottom for XRP, as highlighted in her accompanying chart. 

CasiTrades remarked that anything below $1 is a good buying opportunity while she expects this drop to this target to play out within days to weeks. The analyst also predicts that this move down should kick off a macro W3, noting that the extensions are $6.50, $10.50, and $13. A rally to these targets will mark a new all-time high (ATH) for the altcoin. 

Elliot Wave Points To Rally To $31

Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto predicted that XRP could still rally to between $15 and $31 based on an Elliott wave analysis. His accompanying chart showed that the rally to $15 will happen on Wave 3, while the rally to $31 will happen on Wave 5. He noted that the altcoin is currently in Wave 2 and that the current pullback sits perfectly within normal Wave 2 retracements. 

The analyst added that XRP is still inside the macro channel and there is no invalidation yet. For confirmation of Wave 3, Egrag Crypto stated that the price must reclaim the Wave 1 high with a weekly close and momentum expansion. Until that happens, he warned that the current price action is still corrective, although he is confident that Wave 3 should start soon. 

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.40, down over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Окончание календарной зимы совпало с замедлением падения цены биткоина и крупных альткоинов. Неопределенность все еще высока и с ситуацией в экономике, и в американской политике. Однако запал продавцов явно поубавился.

Два экономических советника бывшей администрации бывшего президента США Джо Байдена, Райан Каммингс (Ryan Cummings) и Джаред Бернштейн (Jared Bernstein), опубликовали статью в The New York Times, где объяснили, почему, по их мнению, действующий президент не сможет помогать крипторынку.

Государственный криптовалютный резерв Казахстана не будет представлять из себя запас цифровых валют, рассказали Bits.media в Национальном банке республики. Власти намерены вкладываться в финансовые инструменты, косвенно связанные с криптоактивами.

Директор по трейдингу платформы аналитики QCP Capital Иван Ли (Ivan Lee) в интервью программе Wealth Tracker назвал биткоин «гибридом, меняющим свой характер» в зависимости от ситуации на рынке.

Ripple has published a new whitepaper arguing that institutional crypto market structure still lacks the settlement, credit and risk infrastructure needed to support large-scale participation. In the paper, Ripple says digital assets need a Digital Prime Brokerage model built around centralized credit intermediation, aggregated liquidity and T+1 net settlement if the market is to mature beyond its exchange-centric architecture.

Ripple’s Managing Director for Middle East & Africa Reece Merrick announced the whitepaper via X: “Traditional finance meets digital assets, but the bridge can still be a little shaky. Managing a matrix of exchanges and bilateral risks isn’t just a headache, it’s an inefficiency tax on your capital. The new Ripple whitepaper introduces the Digital Prime Broker (DPB) model, transforming complex risk into a streamlined 1:1 relationship.”

Ripple Targets Crypto Market Fragmentation

The whitepaper, titled The Blueprint for Institutional Digital Assets Trading, frames today’s OTC crypto market as structurally inefficient compared with foreign exchange. Ripple argues that institutions are still forced to operate across fragmented venues where execution, custody and credit are bundled together, collateral is siloed, and firms must maintain multiple bilateral relationships. The paper identifies three main frictions: multiplied credit risk, trapped capital and fragmented asset risk.

Ripple’s core claim is that crypto should borrow more directly from FX market structure. “This paper explains why digital asset markets require a prime brokerage–style model that features centralized credit intermediation, netted T+1 settlement, and the unbundling of execution, custody, and credit into clearly defined roles,” the paper says. It adds that the Digital Prime Broker, or DPB, should function as “core shared infrastructure” that can be tuned to different client requirements rather than forcing everyone into a single rigid model.

Under that framework, a client would execute one master agreement with a prime broker, while trades done with approved liquidity providers and market makers would be given up to that broker. Ripple argues this replaces a web of bilateral exposures with a single contractual counterparty, simplifying legal, compliance and settlement workflows while reducing failure risk across venues.

The paper leans heavily on capital efficiency. Ripple says the current market still relies on gross settlement or full prefunding, which forces repeated intraday asset transfers and leaves collateral stranded across exchanges. In one example, it says a client buying 100 BTC and selling 80 BTC during the same cycle would only need to settle 20 BTC net under a T+1 model, cutting gross fund movements by roughly 89%.

It also argues that the existing system hides financing costs rather than removing them. Ripple says offshore exchanges and bilateral liquidity providers often apply default swap rates of around 11%, roughly 7% above the risk-free rate, implying a daily funding cost of about 1.92 basis points, or $192 per $1 million per day. In Ripple’s telling, a DPB model would make those costs explicit instead of embedding them in spreads or subsidizing them through interest-free client collateral.

The paper also includes outside support from XTX Markets COO Mike Irwin, who writes: “A Digital Prime Brokerage model will enable institutional participants, including retail aggregators, to reduce operational risk, unlock trapped capital, and scale growth. As clients increasingly favor net-settled, prime-based structures, liquidity providers and venues will have to adapt. Adoption, however, will depend on prime brokers supporting specific client needs and constraints rather than enforcing a rigid, one-size-fits-all model.”

XRP is present, but not as the main story. Ripple says the XRP Ledger could support early settlement through onchain credit lines that fund obligations ahead of the standard T+1 net settlement cycle, with funding costs charged transparently to the party requesting early liquidity. That makes XRP part of the proposed plumbing, but the whitepaper’s main thesis is broader: institutional crypto still needs better market structure before it can look more like mature finance.

At press time, XRP traded at $1.4129.

Сенатор-демократ от штата Массачусетс Элизабет Уоррен (Elizabeth Warren) на слушаниях в банковском комитете Сената США призвала не выдавать банковскую лицензию семейной криптоплатформе Дональда Трампа World Liberty Financial.

Банк России и правительство меняют правила оборота криптовалюты. Появится контроль за обменниками и биржами, обменять рубли на крипту станет сложнее. К чему приведут готовящиеся изменения?

Полиция штата Флорида задержала 34-летнего основателя фирмы Goliath Ventures Кристофера Александра Дельгадо (Christopher Alexander Delgado). Бизнесмена обвиняют в мошенничестве на $328 млн и отмывании денег через криптовалюты.

The Bitcoin price crash from $126,000 to $60,000 has naturally sent most of the market into a panic, and with sentiment still in the red, the probability of the price falling lower remains high. At this time, the focus has now turned to predictions of when Bitcoin will hit a bottom. Over the years, a number of factors have determined when the price has reached its bottom. But taking into account the current climate, crypto analyst BarneyXBT has outlined three different reasons arguing for and against why the Bitcoin bottom might be in.

Reasons Why Bitcoin Price Could Still Be In A Bear Market

In the post shared on X, BarneyXBT gives three things to consider that might show that Bitcoin is still in a bear market. The first reason given to consider Bitcoin being in a bear market is that large investors are still selling their coins. Satoshi-era whales have been recently seen selling, while Vitalik Buterin, founder of Ethereum, has been selling ETH.

Next on the list of reasons points to the current macro climate. With the tariff war still mostly unresolved, interest rates staying the same, and consumer confidence plunging, the analyst says the macro climate is a “mess.”

The last reason given is the fact that retail seems to be completely gone from the market. This is proven by the lack of liquidity currently flowing into the market. In addition to this, there has been no emergence of new narratives, such as was seen with Artificial Intelligence (AI) back in 2024, among others.

The Argument For A Bull Market

On the flip side, the analyst also gives reasons that suggest that Bitcoin could still be in a bull market. One is the fact that sentiment has plunged to levels not seen since the FTX exchange crash. Now, this is important because the sentiment reached a low at this point, and then the market began to recover.

Another reason is that institutions are not going to let their investments be in vain. The likes of BlackRock and Fidelity have poured billions of dollars into their ETF products, and BarneyXBT explained that it is unlikely they spent this much on infrastructure just to walk away.

Lastly, there is the legendary Bitcoin halving cycle. Past performances show that the bull run has always revolved around the Bitcoin halving, which happens once every four years. Thus, it is possible the BTC price could recover as another halving rolls around in 2028.

Крупная американская майнинговая компания MARA Holdings сообщила, что ее убыток в последнем квартале прошлого года превысил $1,7 млрд. Причиной убытков майнер назвал снижение курса биткоина и рост расходов на обслуживание инфраструктуры.

Зарегистрированным в России площадкам собираются запретить операции с анонимными криптовалютами типа Monero и Zcash, следует из законопроекта «О цифровой валюте и цифровых правах». Власти планируют вести перечень запрещенных токенов и черный список лиц, в адрес которых запрещены криптопереводы.

A new report from Glassnode says Bitcoin could potentially be closer to a bottoming range than the early phase of the bear market.

Bitcoin Supply In Loss Trend Doesn’t Look Similar To An Early Bear Market

In its latest weekly report, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed how the current bear market structure is looking from the perspective of the Total Supply in Loss. This indicator measures the amount of Bitcoin that’s currently being held at some net unrealized loss on the blockchain.

Here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the 7-day moving average (MA) value of the metric over the last several years:

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Total Supply in Loss approached a value of zero as the cryptocurrency’s price hit a new all-time high (ATH) in October. The market downturn that has followed since then, however, has put a large chunk of the supply into loss, causing a sharp surge in the indicator.

Today, the 7-day average value of the metric is sitting at 9.2 million BTC, which is the highest level since the end of the last bear market. Currently, there are just under 20 million tokens in circulation, so the latest value of the Total Supply in Loss corresponds to nearly half the asset’s supply. “This aligns with prior bear market environments where drawdowns approached the 50% threshold and broad investor cohorts were under pressure,” explained the analytics firm.

From the chart, it’s visible that not only is the current level of the metric similar to past bear markets, its structure in fact resembles that of their latter stages, rather than early phases.

Historically, the higher the Total Supply in Loss has gone, the more probable a market bottom has become. The reason behind the pattern is that as loss concentration increases on the Bitcoin network, selling pressure with the motive of profit-taking starts becoming exhausted. Both the 2018 and 2022 bear markets reached their bottoms alongside tops in the metric.

So far, the 7-day MA Total Supply in Loss hasn’t reached the same highs as during previous cyclical bottoms, but it has certainly come close following the most recent jump in the metric. “In structural terms, the market appears closer to a potential bottoming range than to the initial onset of contraction, even as volatility and fragility persist,” noted Glassnode.

BTC Price

Bitcoin recovered above $69,000 on Wednesday, but its price has seen a small pullback since then as it’s now trading around $67,300.

Банк России сообщил, что в 2025 году было выявлено свыше 4600 криптокошельков, на которые злоумышленники предлагали жертвам переводить первоначальные взносы в финансовые пирамиды.

В 2025 году количество атак с использованием программ-вымогателей выросло на 50%, тогда как общий объем выплат выкупа в криптовалюте составил около $820 млн — на 8% меньше показателя 2024 года, сообщили аналитики компании Chainalysis.

Аналитик австралийской криптобиржи Swyftx Пав Хундал (Pav Hundal) заявил, что в текущую цену эфира уже заложена большая часть макроэкономических рисков, поэтому в ближайшие недели существенных ценовых изменений ожидать не стоит.

With a White House deadline on the anticipated CLARITY Act set for March 1, crypto policy discussions are intensifying in Washington. On Thursday afternoon, Senate Democrats are scheduled to meet to continue deliberations on the crypto market structure bill. 

Ahead of those talks, the Blockchain Association returned to Capitol Hill to press lawmakers on how decentralized finance (DeFi) will be treated in the latest draft from the Senate Banking Committee.

Blockchain Association Lobbies For Developer Protections

The industry trade group, which represents a range of crypto companies, said its advocacy efforts are focused particularly on Title III of the draft legislation and on preserving the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA) as negotiations move forward. 

In a post on social media platform X, the organization stated that leaders from 18 member companies were meeting with 24 Senate offices across both the Banking and Agriculture Committees.

According to the association, the stakes extend beyond technical regulatory language. “Today’s meetings are about whether America will keep its commitment to open innovation — and to the developers who build permissionless software,” the group wrote. 

It emphasized that it has consistently pushed for legislation that clearly distinguishes between developers of non-custodial software and financial intermediaries that actually take control of customer funds. 

As Congress works toward a comprehensive framework for digital asset markets, the association argued, policymakers must ensure that DeFi protocols are not effectively pushed out of existence through overly broad rules.

Clear Line Between Custodians And Code Writers 

Central to the debate is the treatment of open-source developers. The group maintains that developers who publish code but do not custody or manage user assets should not be regulated as financial institutions. 

“Open-source developers should not be treated as financial intermediaries when they do not custody or control customer assets,” the association said, adding that the United States has a significant opportunity to lead globally in DeFi innovation if it gets the policy approach right. 

Summer Mersinger, the Blockchain Association’s chief executive officer, reinforced that message in a post earlier Thursday. She described developer protections as foundational to what she called the next wave of American innovation. 

As lawmakers advance market structure legislation, she said, it is essential to draw a clear boundary between entities that hold and control consumer funds and those that merely create and publish open-source software. 

New Bipartisan Crypto Bill 

The debate over developer liability is also unfolding in the House of Representatives. On Thursday, crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett reported that Representatives Scott Fitzgerald, Ben Cline, and Zoe Lofgren introduced the bipartisan Promoting Innovation in Blockchain Development Act of 2026. 

The proposed legislation is designed to protect software developers from prosecution under Section 1960 of the federal criminal code. The bill seeks to clarify that Section 1960 — originally crafted to address unlicensed money transmitters that custody customer funds — applies only to actors who actually control user assets. 

It would exclude developers who simply write or publish code, a distinction that the crypto industry, and especially the DeFi sector, has been advocating to incorporate into the CLARITY Act.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

14–15 апреля 2026 года в Москве состоится Blockchain Forum 2026 — крупнейшее крипто- и Web3-событие в СНГ, ежегодно объединяющее лидеров цифровой экономики. За последние годы форум стал ключевой площадкой региона, где встречаются представители криптоиндустрии, банковского сектора, инвестиционных фондов и технологических компаний.

Монета DOT от криптопроекта Polkadot за последнюю неделю вросла на 27%, ненадолго пробив рекордную отметку $1,75. Прорыв случился в преддверии первого халвинга в сети, который запланирован на 14 марта.

Московская биржа планирует запустить торги криптовалютой летом этого года после принятия нормативной базы по регулированию рынка цифровых активов. Об этом сообщает Forbes со ссылкой на источники среди брокеров. По их данным, площадка готовит «песочницу» для тестирования операций с криптовалютами.