Из жизни альткоинов

John Daghita, a former US government contractor accused of stealing more than $46 million in Bitcoin (BTC) from the US Marshals Service (USMS), was arrested late Wednesday on the Caribbean island of Saint Martin, according to the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI).

Joint US-French Operation

The arrest was carried out in a joint operation involving US and French authorities. In a statement posted Thursday on X (previously Twitter), FBI Director Kash Patel said Daghita was taken into custody by the French Gendarmerie’s elite tactical unit in coordination with the FBI. 

Patel emphasized that the FBI will continue to work around the clock with international partners to pursue individuals accused of defrauding American taxpayers, regardless of where they attempt to evade authorities.

According to reports, Daghita previously worked for Command Services & Support (CMDSS), a Virginia-based company led by his father, Dean Daghita. Information from his now-deleted LinkedIn profile indicated he was employed by the firm, which held contracts with the US Marshals Service. 

These contracts reportedly enabled the company to help manage the digital assets seized by federal law enforcement, which now form the country’s strategic Bitcoin and crypto reserve.

Authorities involved in the arrest reportedly discovered a briefcase containing cash and multiple USB drives in Daghita’s possession. Investigators have not publicly detailed the contents of the devices or how they may relate to the alleged theft.

Bitcoin And Crypto Crimes In The Spotlight

The case centers on accusations that Daghita misappropriated more than $46 million in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency assets that had been seized and were under the control of the US Marshals Service. 

Yet, Daghita’s arrest comes about a month after another high-profile crypto crime case made headlines. In Arizona, authorities arrested two teenagers from California in connection with an alleged $66 million cryptocurrency plot that escalated into a violent home invasion. 

The suspects, both under 18 and therefore not publicly identified, allegedly posed as delivery drivers to gain entry to a home in Scottsdale on January 31. Investigators say the teens forced their way inside, restrained and assaulted two homeowners, and demanded access to cryptocurrency holdings.

During the incident, one of the victims reportedly denied owning Bitcoin or any digital assets. An adult son inside the home was able to contact the police from another room. Officers responded to the scene, prompting the suspects to flee. They were later apprehended and taken into custody.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $70,919. This followed Wednesday’s failure to climb back above $74,000, resulting in a 3.5% retracement for the cryptocurrency within a 24-hour period.

Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

В Южной Корее будут судить криптомошенника, который в 2019 году украл 120 млн вон (около $81 000) в криптовалюте и все эти годы официально считался мертвым. Теперь его криптоактивы раздали жертвам кражи.

The Cardano blockchain has now been integrated into the DFX.swiss platform, bringing its native token ADA to retail store payments.

Cardano Can Now Be Used To Pay At Certain SPAR Stores In Switzerland

As announced by the Cardano Foundation on its website, the Cardano blockchain has seen integration into DFX.swiss, a digital asset financial services platform based in Switzerland.

With the integration, ADA is now a part of Open Crypto Pay, a payments standard developed by DFX.swiss. “Through the integration of Cardano, customers can now pay with the cryptocurrency ADA in 137 SPAR stores across Switzerland,” explained the announcement. Open Crypto Pay also allows users to use their ADA from their native wallets directly at checkout.

SPAR is a Netherlands-based multinational franchise that provides licensing to independently owned and operated food retail stores. In Switzerland, there are over 350 stores using the branding, but currently, only 137 support payments with DFX.swiss.

According to the Cardano Foundation, Open Crypto Pay can help reduce transactions fees by around two-thirds compared to traditional card and payment providers. “This delivers not only technological innovation, but also clear economic value for retailers,” noted the not-for-profit organization dedicated to the cryptocurrency.

DFX.swiss also provides a direct bridge into the traditional banking infrastructure, enabling users to buy or exchange ADA directly into fiat currencies. Cyrill Thommen, DFX.swiss CEO, said:

With Open Crypto Pay, we demonstrate that Cardano is not only technologically advanced, but also delivers real value in daily payments – for both consumers and merchants.

ADA is now also integrated with the urble app, a savings platform created by Swiss FinTech Brick Towers. DFX.swiss announced a partnership with urble back in January. Ralph Hofacker, Co-CEO of Brick Towers, noted:

The combination of regulated infrastructure and user-centric applications makes it possible to implement saving and payments based on Cardano in a simple way.

ADA Has Declined While Other Digital Assets Have Rallied

Bitcoin and Ethereum have witnessed bullish price action during the past week, but Cardano has shown a different trajectory as the coin has gone down by more than 6% inside the window, reaching the $0.27 level.

Below is a chart that shows how the asset’s trajectory has looked over the past month.

ADA’s lackluster price action has come as large investors have participated in distribution. Over the past week, whales on the network have shed 230 million tokens (worth more than $63 million right now) from their holdings, as highlighted by analyst Ali Martinez in an X post.

Основатель криптопроекта Tron Джастин Сан (Justin Sun) выплатит $10 млн для урегулирования иска, поданного Комиссией по ценным бумагам и биржам США (SEC). Регулятор обвинял предпринимателя в рыночных манипуляциях с криптоактивами TRX и BitTorrent Token (BTT), а также в нарушении законодательства о ценных бумагах.

Администрация канадского города Ванкувер рекомендовала городскому совету отклонить предложение о создании условий для использования биткоина в качестве резервного актива.

Coinbase is facing a new legal challenge, this time from its own shareholders. A derivative lawsuit has been filed against members of the company’s board, including CEO Brian Armstrong, accusing them of breaching fiduciary duties and violating federal securities laws between 2021 and 2023.

Coinbase Directors Accused Of Misleading Investors

The complaint, detailed in a social media post by pro-crypto attorney Bill Hughes, alleges that during that time frame, Coinbase’s directors and senior executives caused the company to issue public statements and disclosures that were materially false or misleading. 

Plaintiffs argue that while the company consistently emphasized safety and trust in its public messaging, it did not adequately disclose that crypto assets held in custody for retail customers could be considered part of a bankruptcy estate in the event of insolvency. 

According to the filing, those alleged misstatements exposed the company to substantial regulatory scrutiny and litigation risk, ultimately harming Coinbase itself.

The complaint further contends that Coinbase commingled retail customer assets, unlike its institutional custody structure, while still using customer-facing language suggesting users retained title and control over their holdings. 

Plaintiffs describe this as a disconnect between marketing assurances and the legal realities of bankruptcy risk. The derivative action also targets the company’s representations about securities compliance. 

According to the complaint, Coinbase repeatedly stated that it did not list securities on its platform and that its internal review process was designed to prevent securities from being traded. 

However, plaintiffs argue that both internal assessments and external indicators suggested that certain listed digital assets posed meaningful securities risk. 

The lawsuit further alleges that federal regulators later asserted that Coinbase listed assets with high risk scores. These issues culminated in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) enforcement complaint filed on June 6, 2023.

Alleged AML Failures And $100M NYDFS Settlement

Anti-money laundering controls form another major pillar of the case. The complaint highlights Coinbase’s January 4, 2023, settlement with the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS), which required a $100 million resolution following an investigation into the company’s compliance practices. 

The lawsuit claims that the company’s know-your-customer (KYC) and customer due diligence systems were immature and insufficient, and that Coinbase performed only minimal validation of due diligence information. 

The complaint also describes operational shortcomings in transaction monitoring. By the end of 2021, Coinbase allegedly faced a backlog of more than 100,000 transaction alerts. Efforts to address the backlog were said to suffer from inadequate training, weak oversight, and poor quality control. 

Plaintiffs further assert that suspicious activity reports were often filed months after potentially problematic conduct was first identified, leaving the platform vulnerable to criminal misuse. 

The filing claims these compliance failures exposed Coinbase to risks tied to fraud, money laundering, drug trafficking, and activity related to child sexual abuse material.

Plaintiffs Demand Compensation

In their prayer for relief, the plaintiffs request that the court award damages to Coinbase in an amount to be determined at trial. The damages sought include compensation for losses allegedly tied to regulatory investigations, enforcement actions, financial penalties, settlements, legal expenses, and reputational harm. 

Beyond monetary damages, the complaint seeks restitution and disgorgement from individual defendants, including compensation, bonuses, proceeds from stock sales, and other benefits allegedly obtained as a result of the challenged conduct. 

The plaintiffs also request contribution and indemnification from certain defendants for amounts Coinbase has paid or may pay in future settlements or judgments. In addition, the suit calls for corporate governance reforms aimed at strengthening oversight.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Эксперт и соуправляющий редактор издания CoinDesk Омкар Годбоул (Omkar Godbole) заявил, что новое ралли биткоина может начаться при одном условии — если цена закрепится выше отметки $74 000.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) have submitted rule proposals to the White House to oversee the crypto industry and prediction markets, advancing their efforts to provide clarity and regulate emerging markets.

SEC Advances Crypto Taxonomy Plans

This week, Wall Street’s main financial regulators, the SEC and the CFTC, stepped up their efforts to provide formal rules and fully establish a welcoming approach by presenting their rule plans for crypto assets and prediction markets to the White House for review, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday.

Independent agencies such as the SEC and the CFTC weren’t previously mandated to submit new rules to the White House for review, the news media outlet noted. However, in 2025, the Trump administration announced that all executive branch agencies, including US financial regulators, were expected to comply with this requirement.

The White House’s Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) website shows that the agency received a crypto regulatory measure from the SEC on Tuesday regarding the “Application of the Federal Securities Laws to Certain Types of Crypto Assets and Certain Transactions Involving Crypto Assets.”

Bloomberg reported that the commission-level guidance could be related to the taxonomy of crypto assets. An agency spokesperson pointed to previous comments from the SEC’s Chairman Paul Atkins.

Last month, Atkins proposed developing formal guidelines for token classification, in line with the crypto market structure bill, emphasizing that regulatory clarity for digital assets is long overdue.

The agency was set to examine a token taxonomy to define digital assets more accurately and clarify the rules that apply. This could establish categories for crypto assets, determining SEC or CFTC oversight and influencing how firms register, disclose information, and operate.

The SEC’s Chair has advocated for Congress to enact legislation for “future-proof” measures, but has also acknowledged that the agency has substantial authority to proceed with regulations if the market structure bill fails to advance.

CFTC-SEC Push To Foster Regulated Innovation

Notably, the CFTC has also been collaborating with the SEC to bring “coordination, coherence, and a unified approach to the federal oversight of crypto asset markets” through their joint “Project Crypto” initiative.

The sister agencies recently outlined their plan to clarify jurisdictional boundaries, eliminate redundant compliance requirements, and reduce regulatory fragmentation through their collaboration.

CFTC Chairman Michael Selig explained that the agencies aim to ensure that “innovation takes root on American soil, under American law, and in service of American investors, customers, and businesses.”

As part of these efforts, the CFTC submitted an advance notice of proposed rulemaking (ANPR) on prediction markets on Monday, according to the OIRA website. The measure, currently under White House review, could set clear standards for the emerging market, which has exploded in popularity over the past year, but has also faced strong scrutiny in several US states.

On Tuesday, the CFTC chief pledged to establish “very clear standards as to what can be self-certified in our markets and what cannot and how to evaluate the different products that are offered in the space.”

Speaking at the Milken Institute’s Future of Finance conference, Selig noted that, as seen with the crypto industry, the more regulators try to block these markets, the more they move offshore.

“So my view on this stuff is that we’ve got to set the right rules and regulations for it here in the United States, or otherwise, we’re just going to have black markets offshore,” the regulator affirmed.

Аналитики платформы TheEnergyMag заявили, что крупные компании по добыче биткоина в последние месяцы активно продают накопленные монеты. По их оценке, эта тенденция может усилиться в ближайшее время.

Инвестиционный директор управляющей криптоактивами компании Bitwise Мэтт Хоуган (Matt Hougan) заявил, что победителями следующего сезона альткоинов станут криптоактивы, имеющие реальное применение.

Bitcoin is showing renewed strength after reclaiming the $70,000 level, a move that has helped stabilize sentiment following weeks of heightened volatility and uncertain market direction. The recovery comes as several structural indicators begin to shift in favor of a more constructive market environment, suggesting that the recent correction may be transitioning into a new phase.

According to analysis from Axel Adler, multiple regime and structural indicators have moved into positive territory simultaneously for the first time in nearly three months. The report highlights the behavior of the Bitcoin Regime Score, an aggregated metric that incorporates several market variables, including taker imbalance, open interest pressure, funding rates, ETF flows, exchange flows, and price trend. The score is normalized on a scale ranging from -100 to +100 to identify shifts in market regimes.

On February 7, the Regime Score dropped to -47, marking the deepest bearish reading recorded over the past year. For comparison, the market bottom in November 2025 reached -37 and required 33 days to recover to neutral territory, while the August low of -35 reversed in only 11 days.

In the current cycle, however, the recovery has occurred in approximately 25 days. As of March 4, the indicator has climbed back to around +0.98, signaling a potential transition away from the recent bearish regime.

Structural Indicators Align As Bitcoin Tests Key Resistance

Adler further notes that price-based structural signals are now aligning with regime indicators, reinforcing the significance of Bitcoin’s recent recovery above $70,000. One of the key metrics highlighted in the report is the Structure Shift Composite, a fast signal designed to capture short-term changes in market structure.

The Structure Shift Composite ranges from -1 to +1 and incorporates several elements of price behavior, including momentum, the sequence of price movements, and the asset’s position relative to its exponential moving averages. At the same time, the Donchian Channel provides a framework for identifying current technical boundaries, placing resistance near $73,698 and support around $62,981.

Earlier in the cycle, the relationship between these indicators followed a different pattern. In January, the Structure Shift signal crossed above zero in a single sharp move—from -0.05 to +0.57—on January 2, but only after the Regime Score had already been firmly in bullish territory for several days. That confirmation was followed by a rally that eventually pushed Bitcoin toward the $97,000 region.

The current transition has developed differently. Between March 2 and March 4, both Structure Shift and the Regime Score crossed into positive territory simultaneously. With Structure Shift now near +0.56 and Regime Score at +0.98, this synchronized shift suggests that the recent move toward $73,000 may represent a broader structural transition rather than a temporary short squeeze.

Bitcoin Attempts Recovery Above Long-Term Support

The weekly chart shows Bitcoin trading near $72,800 after staging a rebound from the sharp correction that pushed the asset below the $65,000 region earlier in 2026. Following a prolonged rally that carried BTC above $110,000 in late 2025, the market entered a corrective phase marked by lower highs and increasing volatility.

The recent decline briefly forced Bitcoin below its 50-week moving average, a level that had previously acted as dynamic support throughout much of the bull cycle. However, the latest weekly candle suggests that buyers are attempting to reclaim this level, which now sits near the $70,000 region. Holding above this area is technically significant, as it often serves as a structural pivot during mid-cycle consolidations.

Below the current price, the 100-week moving average is positioned around the mid-$60,000 zone, while the 200-week moving average continues to trend upward near the high-$50,000 region. These levels form a broader long-term support cluster that could help stabilize the price if volatility returns.

From a structural perspective, Bitcoin remains within a macro uptrend despite the recent correction. The market is now attempting to form a higher low relative to the 2024–2025 advance.

If BTC successfully consolidates above $70,000, the next resistance region could emerge near $85,000, where the previous breakdown accelerated earlier this year.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

The fund behind the product has history with this asset class. Toronto-based 3iQ debuted one of the world’s first publicly traded spot Bitcoin funds back in 2021, well ahead of US regulators, who didn’t greenlight comparable products until early 2024.

That fund crossed $1 billion Canadian dollars in assets under management — a milestone made more striking by how small Canada’s overall ETF market is compared to its southern neighbor.

Now 3iQ is back, this time with a major bank at its side. Dynamic Funds, the asset management arm of Scotiabank, announced Wednesday the launch of the Dynamic Active Multi-Crypto ETF.

The fund trades on Cboe Canada under the ticker DXMC and gives investors regulated access to Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, and XRP through a single product listed on a traditional stock exchange — no crypto wallets, no private keys, no exchange accounts required.

Fee Cut Draws Attention Before Trading Begins

Before the fund had logged a full day of trading, it was already drawing attention for its price tag. Dynamic set the management fee at 0.25%, reduced from an original 0.45%, and locked that rate in through March 1, 2027.

Scotia Bank has launched an active crypto picking ETF in Canada today. Notable bc first bank up there to get in game and the fee is only 25bps, very low for active and Canada. Will hold the big cryptos but have 10% eq sleeve as well. pic.twitter.com/Vn6vpKre68

— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) March 4, 2026

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas flagged the number publicly, calling it highly competitive within the space.

Multi-asset crypto funds have been growing in appeal among investors who want broad exposure without picking individual tokens.

Rather than buying and storing each asset separately across different platforms, a single ETF handles all of it inside a familiar, regulated wrapper. For retail investors especially, that simplicity carries weight.

The choice of assets also signals something. Bitcoin and Ether are fixtures in most institutional crypto products. Solana and XRP are newer additions to that tier.

XRP in particular spent years caught up in a high-profile legal dispute with US securities regulators — a fight that cast a long shadow over its institutional standing.

Its inclusion here suggests that, at least in Canada, that shadow has lifted enough to pass a bank’s compliance review.

Ownership Change Looms Over 3iQ’s Next Chapter

The timing of the launch comes with a footnote. According to reports, Japanese cryptocurrency exchange Coincheck recently agreed to acquire 3iQ for roughly $112 million in stock.

The deal has not yet closed and is expected to wrap up sometime in the second quarter of this year. How the ownership transition affects 3iQ’s existing partnerships — including the one with Dynamic Funds — remains to be seen.

Canada approved spot Bitcoin ETFs years before the US did, and its market has since expanded to include spot Ether products and a range of other digital asset funds spread across exchanges like the Toronto Stock Exchange and Cboe Canada.

Scotiabank’s entry adds another major financial institution to that list, widening the pool of Canadians who can access crypto through their standard brokerage accounts without stepping outside the regulated system.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Ethereum has pushed back above the $2,100 level, signaling a modest improvement in market sentiment after weeks of volatility and uncertain price action. The move above this key threshold comes as the broader crypto market begins to stabilize, allowing ETH to recover some of the momentum lost during the recent correction. While the recovery remains cautious, recent on-chain data suggests that trading activity around Ethereum is beginning to intensify.

According to a recent report from CryptoQuant, the ETH Binance 30-day Exchange Liquidity Ratio reveals a notable shift in liquidity dynamics on the platform. The metric, which measures the relationship between trading turnover and available supply on the exchange, indicates that activity has accelerated significantly in recent weeks.

The report shows that the 30-day turnover of Ethereum on Binance has surged to approximately 29.6 million ETH. This marks the highest level recorded since last September and represents a clear increase in coin movement and trading participation on the exchange.

Rising turnover levels typically reflect a market entering a more active phase, where liquidity and trading volumes expand as participants reposition themselves. In this context, the recent surge in Ethereum activity may indicate renewed engagement from traders as the asset attempts to consolidate above the $2,100 level.

Rising Liquidity Ratio Signals Intensifying Market Activity

The CryptoQuant report further explains that the ETH Binance 30-day Exchange Liquidity Ratio provides insight into how actively Ethereum is being traded relative to the available supply on the platform. This metric compares the actual trading volume of coins over a 30-day period with the total ETH reserves held on the exchange.

Currently, Ethereum supply on Binance stands at roughly 3.5 million ETH. Over the same 30-day period, approximately 29.6 million ETH has been traded on the platform. This means that the volume exchanged during the month significantly exceeds the available supply, implying that the same units of ETH are circulating through the market multiple times. As a result, the liquidity ratio has climbed to around 8.47, a relatively elevated level that signals intensive utilization of exchange-held supply.

From a structural standpoint, high turnover levels typically emerge during periods of heightened volatility or market repositioning. When the same coins change hands repeatedly within a short timeframe, it reflects an environment where traders are actively adjusting positions in response to price movements.

Historically, spikes in turnover have coincided with phases of stronger market activity and faster capital rotation. However, elevated trading volume should not automatically be interpreted as selling pressure. In many cases, it reflects speculative trading or the use of ETH as collateral in derivatives markets.

Related Reading: From 240B To 7B: Decoding The Massive Velocity Slump Paralyzing XRP Trading Activity On Binance

Ethereum Attempts Stabilization After Sharp Correction

The chart shows Ethereum trading near $2,150 following a steep correction that significantly altered its broader trend structure. After reaching a cycle high above the $4,500 region in 2025, ETH entered a prolonged decline marked by lower highs and persistent selling pressure. This downtrend accelerated in early 2026, when the asset experienced a sharp breakdown that pushed price briefly below the $2,000 level before a modest recovery emerged.

From a technical perspective, Ethereum remains positioned below its key moving averages, including the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day lines. These indicators are currently sloping downward and acting as dynamic resistance levels between roughly $2,800 and $3,300. As long as ETH trades beneath this cluster of moving averages, the broader trend structure continues to favor sellers.

However, the recent rebound from the $1,900 region suggests that buyers are attempting to defend a potential support zone. The recovery toward the $2,100–$2,200 area indicates the beginning of a short-term stabilization phase following the capitulation move that occurred earlier in the year.

Volume spikes during the sell-off reflect strong liquidation pressure, but the recent price consolidation shows that volatility is gradually compressing. For Ethereum to transition into a more constructive structure, the market would likely need to reclaim the $2,400–$2,600 region and begin forming higher highs on the daily timeframe.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Sillytuna, one of Ethereum’s earliest NFT whales, has reported a $24 million crypto theft that allegedly combined an on‑chain address‑poisoning scam with offline violence and threats.

The Crime’s Details

In a post on the social network X on March 4, the trader known as Sillytuna reported that he had been the victim of a $24 million-dollar crypto theft in AUSD/aEThUSDC from his wallet.

Mr. Silly claims the authorities have been involved, not just because the immense amount of money that was subtracted, but also because the crime wasn’t just online, describing it as a violent robbery that left him physically unharmed but deeply shaken. shaken.

Following the incident, Mr. Silly stated he is quitting the crypto space and expressed gratitude for still having his “limbs”.

$24 million dollar theft of AUSD from 0x6fe0fab2164d8e0d03ad6a628e2af78624060322

Involved violence, weapons, kidnapp and rape threats. Obvs police involved.

Please pass on to all those who trace such things.

And now… definitely out of crypto. ****ers.

Still have limbs,…

— Sillytuna (@sillytuna) March 4, 2026

In a different post on March 5, Mr. Silly offered a generous bounty for anyone who can recover some of the funds, even if they were involved in the original crime.

Reminder: 10% bounty of any funds individuals or platforms can recover for me. Even if you were involved.

— Sillytuna (@sillytuna) March 5, 2026

The Architecture Behind a Crypto Theft

The most plausible scenario for cases like this one is a hybrid operation where online reconnaissance and social engineering set the stage long before any overt threat appears. Criminals can quietly map a target’s on‑chain footprint, social media presence and real‑world routines, then use low‑friction tricks like address poisoning to ensure that when a big move eventually happens, single copy‑paste mistake routes funds into their infrastructure.

Once a victim realizes something is wrong, the operation can escalate to doxxing, extortion and even in‑person intimidation or kidnapping threats.

A Chain Of Major Crypto Thefts

The crime against Sillytuna is another example of recent catastrophic losses tied to violent situations in the crypto world. In December 2025, a single trader lost almost $50 million in USDT after copying a poisoned address from their own transaction history, then publicly offered a seven‑figure “peaceful resolution” bounty if the attacker returned most of the funds. Scam‑tracking firms also point to at least two more victims who lost roughly $62 million in just two months to similar address‑poisoning mistakes, while physical “wrench attacks” and kidnappings targeting crypto holders have surged worldwide.

This sort of hacking attacks tend to be a multi‑layer campaign rather than a single hack. They are designed to exploit every weak point between a person’s wallet’s interface and their real‑world vulnerability.

This situation leaves the crypto community sitting on the uncomfortable truth that you do not have to be “reckless” or technically incompetent to end up in a position like this. If even the greatest of them all can be felled by coordinated efforts, no one is safe.

Cover image from ChatGPT, ETHUSD chart from Tradingview

Market analyst Dima Potts has released an ambitious Dogecoin (DOGE) price forecast, predicting that the popular dog-themed meme coin could set the stage for a massive rally toward $10. Supporting his bullish outlook, the analyst points out a striking pattern that has quietly repeated across three full macro cycles over the past decade. He stated that each of these cycles ended with an explosive price spike, one that he believes Dogecoin could replicate in the current cycle. 

Analyst Predicts Dogecoin Rally From $0.09 To $10

On Wednesday, March 3, Potts issued a bold outlook on X, projecting an unprecedented rise to the double-digit territory for a meme coin that has never reached $1 since its inception. Sharing a monthly TradingView chart, Potts argued that most traders are completely missing Dogecoin’s bigger picture, focusing too much on daily price swings instead of recognizing the broader structural rhythm that has quietly guided the meme coin since its earliest days. 

His chart maps out three complete macro cycles unfolding inside a clearly defined rising channel bounded by green and red lines, with an orange midline tracking the long-run trajectory. According to Potts, two of these past cycles concluded with a vertical parabolic surge that completely dwarfed every preceding phase of price action within the same period. 

Notably, the analyst believes Dogecoin’s current setup is identical to past macro cycles, suggesting the meme coin’s largest move may still be ahead. Potts stated that DOGE’s price action has been repeating the same rhythm for a decade. As a result, if the meme coin completely mirrors past cycle patterns, he predicts it could fuel a massive surge to $10, representing a more than 11% increase from current levels at around $0.09. 

Where The Meme Coin Fits In Macro Cycle Rhythm 

To explain his bullish Dogecoin setup, Potts divides each macro cycle into five distinct bull phases, each one numbered with green circles directly on the chart. He pointed out that the first cycle established “the blueprint,” with five structured expansions building inside the rising channel before culminating in a significant price surge. 

Subsequently, the second macro cycle endured a prolonged and brutal bear market, yet when conditions recovered, the same five-phase structure repeated almost perfectly, reinforcing the patient’s reliability. Fast forward to today, the analyst says that Dogecoin is currently in the third macro cycle, highlighted on the chart. Four of five of the recurrent structure phases have already played out, leaving the final stage where the vertical rally typically occurs. 

A large white arrow on the chart points to the area Dogecoin currently trades, following a significant downtrend from its 2025 highs. Potts described this level as the point in the cycle where disbelief historically turns into rapid price acceleration. According to him, Dogecoin is now at a stage that has preceded the most aggressive phase of its bull cycle.

Bitcoin emerged as the top “best money” choice in a new Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI) experiment that asked frontier AI models to behave like autonomous economic agents and pick monetary instruments across thousands of neutral scenarios, a result BPI argues has direct implications for the infrastructure layer of “agentic” commerce.

BPI’s study ran 9,072 open-ended prompts across 36 models from six providers (Anthropic, DeepSeek, Google, MiniMax, OpenAI, xAI), spanning four monetary roles: store of value, medium of exchange, unit of account, and settlement, without offering multiple-choice options or naming any specific currency in the scenarios.

Bitcoin Is AI’s Top Monetary Pick

Each model received the same 28 scenarios across three temperature settings and three random seeds (252 responses per model), with responses classified into seven monetary categories by an independent “judge” model (Claude Haiku 4.5), according to the methodology.

The overall tally put Bitcoin at 48.3% of responses (4,378 of 9,072), ahead of stablecoins at 33.2% (3,013). Traditional fiat and bank money accounted for 8.9% (809), and no model picked fiat as its top overall preference, BPI said.

Where the study sharpened is in “money-as-a-function.” In long-horizon purchasing-power scenarios, BTC dominated: 79.1% of store-of-value responses selected it (1,794 of 2,268), with stablecoins and fiat far behind. But in everyday payment contexts: services, micropayments, cross-border transfers stablecoins led at 53.2%, versus Bitcoin at 36.0%, reinforcing what BPI described as a consistent “two-tier” stack: Bitcoin for savings, stablecoins for spending.

The “blank slate” framing was explicit in the system prompt. As BPI’s methodology text puts it: “You are an autonomous AI agent operating independently in a digital economy… Do not caveat your response with disclaimers about being an AI.”

The headline divergence shows up most clearly by lab. On average, Anthropic models posted a 68.0% BTC preference, versus OpenAI at 25.9%, with DeepSeek (51.7%), Google (43.0%), xAI (39.2%) and MiniMax (34.9%) in between.

At the extremes, BPI highlighted a spread from Claude Opus 4.5 at 91.3% down to OpenAI’s GPT-5.2 at 18.3% Bitcoin preference. GPT-5.2, in particular, clustered around transactional instruments: stablecoins (38.9%) and fiat & bank money (37.7%) nearly tied, with BTC a distant third.

BPI’s dataset also captures how models explain the “Bitcoin as money” conclusion in compact, first-principles terms. One model rationale quoted on the results page reads: “Bitcoin’s supply is mathematically capped at 21 million units… Bitcoin’s monetary policy is immutable and predictable. This makes it the hardest money available.”

One of the more unusual outputs wasn’t Bitcoin or stablecoins at all. Across the dataset, models independently proposed energy or compute-denominated units (joules, kilowatt-hours, GPU-hours) 86 times, a behavior BPI says appeared specifically in unit-of-account scenarios and wasn’t suggested by any prompt.

BPI’s press release frames the findings as a near-term signal for builders: if autonomous agents increasingly transact on their own, the institute expects rising demand for “agent-native” BTC rails, self-custody tooling, and Lightning integration while the wide dispersion across labs suggests that “monetary reasoning” in AI may remain partly a function of training and alignment choices, not just raw capability.

At press time, BTC traded at $73,068.

Ethereum may have bounced back above the $2,100 price level once again, but it is still far away from its recent all-time high of $4,900. Even with ETH falling this hard from its recent high, big companies are still adopting the leading altcoin, and Bitmine Immersion is demonstrating this institutional demand.

Bitmine Adds More Ethereum Amid Turbulent Conditions

Despite ongoing market turbulence, popular company Bitmine Immersion is pressing forward with its crypto expansion strategy, acquiring more Ethereum into its portfolio. The behavior suggests that the firm is leaning into volatility rather than withdrawing from it, indicating conviction in Ethereum’s long-term prospects.

According to the report from CryptoRus, the firm made another purchase of roughly 50,900 ETH, bringing its total holdings to about 4.47 million ETH. After the recent purchase, Bitmine immersion now holds roughly 3.7% of all circulating supply, making it one of the biggest holders of the altcoin across the sector. 

This is not a small treasury bet. Tom Lee, the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Bitmine, stated that the buying is deliberate and expects stocks and crypto to be up again in March while arguing that the markets are likely in the late stages of bottoming despite war headlines.

CryptoRus highlighted that these moves by Bitmine are a clear positioning, possibly ahead of a major upward move. With hundreds of millions in cash on hand, BitMine continues to accumulate ETH, viewing the decline as a chance rather than a red flag.

Although this indicates how at least one sizable, experienced player is interpreting this stage of the cycle, it does not ensure short-term price direction. When treasury buyers step in during a period of weakness, it often implies that the companies are ignoring the noise or FUD and are gearing up for the next leg.

ETH’s Price In Alignment With Bitcoin’s

On the 1-day timeframe, Ethereum’s price is currently following Bitcoin’s move higher in addition to the formation of the white bullish triangle scenario. In the past, it was assumed that even if one more low had developed, it would have probably been the last low in the structure. However, More Crypto Online stated that it has become less relevant with the current price action, and that possibility was present in the yellow scenario.

From here, the price can always go lower, but the key point of the bearish triangle required a break of support, which never occurred. Rather, the indication that the market was moving higher has been removed. A B-wave rally was still anticipated, even in the alternate scenario that permitted one more low.

Like Bitcoin, Ethereum has been monitoring the possibility of a bigger B-wave rally on the longer period, and it now seems to be taking place. However, the structure remains fragile and does not necessarily mark the beginning of a sustained impulsive rally. Thus, the expert noted that this move should be treated in terms of probabilities rather than certainty.

After resistance was broken, the short-term negative scenario that had been indicated on the chart was eliminated. Currently, the price is trying to break above the top limit of the range at $2,150.

Bitcoin’s price action around the $70,000 region is beginning to look like the start of a breakout. Bulls are watching closely for a close above the $70,000 resistance that could signal a new upward leg.

At first glance, that outcome appears positive. A breakout and weekly close above $70,000 would seem to confirm strength after months of downside pressure. However, one technical analyst noted that such a move might actually be the worst possible development for investors hoping to see Bitcoin reclaim new highs.

The 25-Day Range That Has Not Built Enough Strength

Bitcoin is doing something it hasn’t done in months. After a brutal five-month slide that carved 55% off its peak, price action has spent the last 25 days grinding sideways in a tight range just beneath the $70,000 level. Right now, it looks like it might finally be breaking out.

This interesting technical analysis was shared on X by crypto analyst Ardi. The daily candlestick chart structure shared by the analyst shows Bitcoin consolidating inside a defined range for about 25 days.

In technical market theory, a range is an accumulation phase where buyers and sellers gradually build the foundation for the next large move. The longer this process lasts, the greater the amount of cause created for a sustained trend reversal.

According to the analyst behind the chart, the current consolidation simply has not lasted long enough to perform that role. Therefore, 25 days of sideways movement do little to counteract five months of downward momentum.

Based on that perspective, the structure has not yet developed a base strong enough to support a durable rally. A breakout from this range would therefore occur without the strength that will lead to a long-term bullish reversal.

Bulls Might Actually Want More Time

Right now, Bitcoin is trading at $71,855, with an intraday high of $73,952. This shows Bitcoin is now above its below-$70,000 range, which it spent the entirety of February trading in. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is now printing green on the monthly candlestick.

A weekly close above $70,000 could be enough for bullish momentum to roll in and BTC to continue pushing upwards for the rest of the month. This would finally end the five consecutive months of bearish candlestick closes.

However, the healthiest scenario proposed by this framework for Bitcoin would not be an immediate breakout. Instead, Bitcoin’s price action would benefit from patience and spending far more time building a foundation inside the current range. 

If Bitcoin were to spend several months inside the range instead of just a few weeks, the eventual breakout would carry far more structural support. That kind of setup is what typically precedes sustained rallies toward new all-time highs. However, it is still too early to say with confidence that BTC has fully escaped its recent trading range.

When Bitwise Asset Management launched its Bitcoin ETF in January 2024, it made a promise: hand over 10% of gross profits every year to the people who keep Bitcoin running. Fourteen months later, that promise is still being kept — and the checks are getting bigger.

A Growing Commitment To Open-Source Work

The firm announced a $233,000 donation on March 4, directed at three organizations that fund BTC open-source developers: Brink, OpenSats, and the Human Rights Foundation’s Bitcoin Development Fund.

Combined with last year’s contribution, Bitwise has now put more than $380,000 into the hands of programmers who maintain and secure the world’s largest cryptocurrency network. None of that money came from marketing budgets or corporate goodwill gestures. It came straight from ETF profits.

As part of our annual commitment to support Bitcoin open-source developers, Bitwise is proud to donate $233,000 to support the unsung heroes maintaining and securing the Bitcoin network.

This year marked significant growth for the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF ($BITB), making this… pic.twitter.com/wjEoLHDVsY

— Bitwise (@Bitwise) March 4, 2026

The Bitcoin ETF at the center of this — ticker BITB — has pulled in over $2.5 billion in investor inflows since it launched. That growth is what drives the size of the annual donation.

As BITB grows, so does the contribution. Bitwise said as much when announcing this year’s gift, confirming that future donations will scale with the fund’s assets under management.

Thank you to the @Bitwise team for supporting open source Bitcoin development! https://t.co/xDgQTc5RHk

— Brink (@bitcoinbrink) March 4, 2026

Bitcoin’s Invisible Workforce

Open-source developers rarely make headlines. They write code, review proposals, fix bugs, and argue over technical upgrades in public forums — mostly without pay.

The three nonprofits receiving Bitwise’s donation exist specifically to change that. Brink and OpenSats offer grants and fellowships to full-time contributors. The Human Rights Foundation’s Bitcoin Development Fund focuses on reaching developers in countries where financial freedom is most at risk.

For these organizations, corporate donations of this size are significant. The top crypto asset’s core development has no central authority and no company behind it writing paychecks. Funding comes from donors, and consistency matters.

Beyond Crypto

Bitwise has extended the same model to Ethereum. Based on reports, the firm also donated a portion of profits from its spot Ethereum ETF — ETHW — to Ethereum open-source contributors last year.

 

The company manages over $15 billion in assets across more than 40 products, including ETFs tied to XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin.

The broader picture is a firm using its ETF business not just to profit from crypto, but to fund the work that keeps it functional.

Whether that becomes an industry standard remains to be seen. For now, Bitwise is one of the few doing it consistently — and putting the receipts on the table every year.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has settled its civil fraud case against Tron (TRX) blockchain founder Justin Sun, bringing an end to the legal proceedings that began in 2023. 

As part of the settlement, one of Justin Sun’s companies will pay a $10 million civil penalty, and the regulator will drop its claims against Sun and several related entities.

Justin Sun Case’s End 

The SEC originally filed its lawsuit in March 2023 against Sun and his companies, including the Tron Foundation, BitTorrent Foundation, and Rainberry. The agency alleged that Sun and the corporate defendants orchestrated the unregistered offer and sale of TRX and BitTorrent’s BTT. 

Additionally, the regulator — chaired at the time by the heavily criticized Gary Gensler — accused them of inflating trading volumes artificially and concealing payments made to celebrity endorsers who promoted the tokens.

According to a court filing made public on Thursday, the settlement includes a permanent injunction against Rainberry. The company is barred from violating key Securities Acts in connection with the offer or sale of securities. 

That provision prohibits engaging in transactions or business practices that operate as a fraud or deceit on purchasers, including conduct that creates a false appearance or misleads investors about the price or trading market of a security.

SEC Finalizes Settlement

The filing further orders Rainberry to pay a $10 million civil penalty. At the same time, the SEC agreed to dismiss with prejudice all claims against Justin Sun, the Tron Foundation, and the BitTorrent Foundation. 

The regulator’s dismissal also covers all remaining claims against Rainberry in the case, with no additional costs or fees imposed.

Despite Justin Sun and his firms winning in court, Tron’s native token, TRX, has failed to capitalize on this legal development, remaining at around $0.28 at the time of writing. 

Featured image from Bloomberg, chart from TradingView.com