bitcoinist.com

The Ethereum (ETH) network is gearing up for a key year ahead, with significant upgrades in the pipeline that promise to enhance its functionality and efficiency. Among the most anticipated updates are the Glamsterdam and Hegota forks, which are integral to the developers’ roadmap for the Ethereum ecosystem.

Key Decisions Ahead For Ethereum’s Hegota Fork

Hegota aligns with Ethereum’s newly established upgrade schedule, which aims to facilitate smoother, incremental updates twice a year. 

Hegota is distinctive as it effectively merges two critical components of Ethereum’s architecture: the execution layer, known as “Bogota,” and the consensus layer called “Heze.” 

A pivotal decision for the Hegota update is selecting the key feature that will take center stage. Developers are expected to make this choice in early 2026, and front-runners such as Verkle Trees and state/history expiry are currently under consideration. 

While these terms may seem technical, they focus on a pressing issue: Ethereum’s data storage is becoming excessively large and resource-intensive.

The continuous influx of transactions, non-fungible token (NFT) mints, decentralized finance (DeFi) trades, and memecoins has contributed to Ethereum’s “state,” which is the live database maintained by nodes. 

During a recent call discussing the urgency for Hegota, the need for action became clear. As ETH approaches its target of 180 million gas by late 2026, the current Merkle Patricia tree structure will struggle to support the network’s demands. 

The Path Forward

The integration of Verkle Trees is not merely a desirable enhancement; it is essential for maintaining viable solo staking as Ethereum’s throughput is expected to triple.

The implementation of Verkle Trees and mechanisms for state/history expiry aim to compress or archive older data, preventing the city hall from collapsing under the weight of paperwork. 

Reports suggest that if developers can execute these changes effectively, Ethereum will become more streamlined and better suited for an influx of new users in DeFi, NFTs, and gaming applications.

Following Glamsterdam, which will address features such as proposer-builder separation (ePBS), access lists, and gas repricing, Hegota will further refine Ethereum’s data storage systems instead of starting the fee structure from scratch. 

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Dragonfly general partner Rob Hadick struck an upbeat tone on crypto’s medium-term setup, arguing that recent volatility has obscured a broader trend of adoption, especially in stablecoins and prediction markets, that he expects to accelerate into 2026.

Speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box on Dec. 24, Hadick pushed back on the idea that crypto has entered a new “winter,” framing the year’s disappointment as a function of recency bias rather than a clean break in market structure.

“It hasn’t had a great year. But I think it’s important to zoom out,” Hadick said. “If you look at the returns for bitcoin relative to the day before the election in ’24, bitcoin is up about 26%, Nasdaq is up about 28%… even further than that two years, bitcoin’s doubled, Nasdaq is up 50%.”

Hadick emphasized he’s not trading chart patterns. “I’m not a technical investor. I’m a long-term investor. We’re a VC fund,” he said, adding that he “continue[s] to see a strong and constructive 2026.

2026 predictions are… another positive year for the industry (zoom out), especially for continued innovation in prediction markets, stablecoins and tokenized assets, and scalability and infrastructure for financial marketshttps://t.co/SIm1rCkiv9

— Rob Hadick ＞|＜ (@HadickM) December 24, 2025

2026 Crypto Predictions

Pressed on what “a good 2026” means in practice for the crypto market, Hadick tied his outlook to macro conditions and what he sees as compounding real-world usage. “For the token prices themselves—bitcoin, ethereum—there’s likely to be continued momentum,” he said. “I think from a macroeconomic perspective… we’ll have better monetary policy. And then we’re going to have more and more adoption of tokenized assets.”

One data point he said: “McKinsey just said that they think 3% of all cross-border payments is happening in stablecoins right now. That’s up from basically 0% a year ago,” Hadick said, adding that he expects “another tenfold increase.”

Hadick described Dragonfly as deliberately non-ideological across chains and sectors, positioning the firm less as a “bitcoin vs. ethereum” shop and more as a bet on market-structure innovation. “We invest in everybody that’s doing anything that’s interesting in tokenized digital assets,” he said. “We’re not what I would say ideological about crypto. What we are is investing in the future of innovation in financial markets.”

When the conversation turned from majors to categories, Hadick leaned into two themes: stablecoins and prediction markets. “Stablecoins I think are here to stay. I think it’s going to grow tenfold,” he said. “I think prediction markets are here to stay. I think they’re going to grow tenfold.”

On prediction markets specifically, Hadick argued the addressable market extends well beyond sports betting, despite the current overlap. He pointed to Polymarket’s growth as evidence of expanding use cases. “If you look at Polymarket volume today, they’ve gone from $50 million a month in early ’24… they’re now going to do probably about $4 billion of volume this month,” he said, adding that “only about 35% of that is sports,” putting Polymarket in contrast with Kalshi, which he characterized as “more of a sports platform because they’re infrastructure for Robinhood.”

Hadick also invoked Intercontinental Exchange CEO Jeff Sprecher’s long-running tokenization thesis to argue prediction markets may converge with broader financial infrastructure rather than remain a niche wagering product. “If you talk to Jeff Sprecher over at ICE… he’ll tell you he believes in the tokenization of all markets,” Hadick said. “I talked to him before he made the investment in Polymarket… his perspective is that this is going to be as big as ICE itself. Probably.”

He suggested the functional framing is less “bets” and more programmable risk transfer. “I talked to an insurance company maybe a month ago that was thinking about how they can hedge out risk in weather related activities,” Hadick said. “That’s just one use case… every single thing and every single market and outcome that can be put [into] a market—or really just a binary option, which is what it is.”

Ethereum Vs. Solana

Asked to pick sides in the Ethereum–Solana debate, Hadick refused the “MySpace vs. Facebook” framing. “No, they’re both Facebook,” he said, arguing the market will require multiple settlement environments if tokenization becomes mainstream. In his view, Ethereum’s advantage is where value and stablecoin liquidity already sit, while Solana’s edge is high-throughput, low-cost flow.

“Most stablecoins today are on Ethereum,” Hadick said. “Ethereum is where a large amount of… economic activity exists… but if you look at the trading volume, it’s happening more on Solana, which is more optimized for that type of transaction flow and for low cost transactions.”

Still, Hadick conceded the platform layer is not frozen. He said Dragonfly is invested in a newer chain, Monad, describing it as “trying to be a Solana killer,” and cited figures he said reflected early-stage market positioning: a roughly $2 billion valuation and a token price around $0.002.

At press time, the total crypto market cap stood at $2.92 trillion.

隨著 2025 年末加密貨幣市場進入高度選擇性的強勢期，Solana 鏈上的 AI 迷因幣再次成為全場焦點。根據最新的市場監測顯示，由 AI 驅動的指標性代幣 PIPPIN 在過去 24 小時內錄得超過 35% 的驚人漲幅，市值一度逼近 5 億美元大關。這波漲勢並非單純的投機炒作，而是標誌著「AI 代理（AI Agents）」與區塊鏈技術深度融合的新趨勢。PIPPIN 作為由 BabyAGI 創辦人開發的自主 AI 實體，其成功背後隱含著市場對具備技術底蘊之另類資產的強烈渴望。

從純投機到技術溢價：AI 與 RWA 雙引擎帶動市場重估

在這一波行情中，2025 年末的市場贏家輪廓日益清晰。除了 PIPPIN 表現亮眼外，Solana 生態系中的多個項目也紛紛上揚，例如 snowball 在短時間內錄得超過 50% 的漲幅，顯示出投資者對於結合語言模型與社群互動之新型資產的追捧。同時，強調隱私與受監管金融應用的 Layer-1 區塊鏈 Canton，亦展現出穩定的機構級走勢。這反映出資金正從純粹的投機性資產，轉向更具公用價值與技術基建支撐的協議，市場參與者開始意識到，唯有具備實際解決問題能力的項目，才能在波動中保持生命力。

這種尋找「高性能基建」的資金流向，也讓敏銳的投資者開始將目光轉回加密世界的基石——比特幣。市場分析師觀察到，隨著比特幣 Layer2 技術的成熟，原本僅能作為價值儲存的 BTC，現在也能像 Solana 一樣承載高效的智能合約與 AI 應用。在這一波技術轉型浪潮中，資金正悄悄佈局具備高擴張性的比特幣生態項目，試圖在主流幣回檔時，尋找下一個具備技術溢價的投資標的。

革命性技術進場：Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) 如何重新定義比特幣 Layer2？

在眾多比特幣擴容方案中，Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) 展現了驚人的市場號召力。與傳統的 Layer2 不同，Bitcoin Hyper 引入了強大的 Solana 虛擬機 (SVM) 作為其執行引擎。這意味著它能將比特幣主網僅有 7 TPS 的處理能力，瞬間提升至數萬 TPS 的超高性能級別。透過這種技術整合，比特幣不再只是「數位黃金」，而是一個能夠支持複雜 DeFi 協議、去中心化 AI 代理與高頻交易的現代化網路。

此外，Bitcoin Hyper 採用了領先的 規範橋 (Canonical Bridge) 與 零知識證明 (ZK-Proofs) 技術。這確保了每一筆在 Layer2 進行的極速交易，最終都能安全地錨定在比特幣主網的不可篡改帳本上。對於開發者而言，Bitcoin Hyper 兼容 Rust 開發套件，讓原本在 Solana 上的優秀應用能無縫遷移至比特幣生態，這正是為何它能在短時間內吸引大量「聰明錢」湧入的核心原因。

預售金額突破 2,970 萬美元：全球散戶與巨鯨的集體狂歡

根據官方最新數據，Bitcoin Hyper 的預售活動已進入最後的衝刺階段，募資總額正式突破 2,970 萬美元。這一數字不僅代表了市場對其 L2 敘事的認可，更反映出投資者對「高性能比特幣」的強烈需求。目前的預售價格定在 $0.013475，這被視為項目正式掛牌前的最後低價入場視窗。

除了技術優勢，Bitcoin Hyper 的 經濟模型 也是一大亮點。目前平台已開放質押功能，年化收益率（APY）表現極具競爭力。數據顯示，已有超過 13 億枚 $HYPER 代幣被鎖定於質押池中，這顯示投資者普遍採取長期持有策略。

於錯過 Solana 早期暴漲紅利的玩家來說，佈局尚未正式上線、具備深厚技術護城河的 Bitcoin Hyper，無疑是優化 2026 年投資組合的最佳選擇。

如果您想在下一波比特幣生態爆發前搶占先機，可以了解更多深度解析：如何購買 Bitcoin Hyper 完整指南

Bitcoin Hyper 官方預售

結論：2026 年的贏家將屬於「技術驅動型」資產

綜觀 2025 年底的行情趨勢，從 PIPPIN 的瘋漲到實體資產代幣化的推進，訊息已非常明確：人工智慧與機構級應用已成為推動區塊鏈產業增長的核心。單純依賴情緒驅動的時代正在結束，未來屬於那些能像 Bitcoin Hyper 一樣，將頂級安全性與創新效能相結合的實力派項目。在變幻莫測的加密市場中，學會將資金配置於具備強大募資支撐與真實技術敘事的新興 L2 代幣，將是散戶在下一波浪潮中脫穎而出的關鍵策略。

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade below the pivotal $90,000 mark with no signs of recovery, the prospect of a bear market is becoming increasingly relevant. Analyst Woominkyu from CryptoQuant has shared insights suggesting that the current market dynamics indicate a transition rather than just a temporary pullback.

Could Bitcoin Be Shifting Into A Bear Phase? 

In a report released recently, Woominkyu examined the Bitcoin Cycle Momentum Indicator (BCMI), noting that its return to the 0.5 zone on October 21 was interpreted as a cooling phase, rather than indicative of a market peak. 

In the weeks following this observation, Bitcoin’s price has seen a noticeable decline alongside a similar drop in BCMI, suggesting that the market is not only experiencing a cooling period but has also reset in terms of price and on-chain momentum.

Historically, significant cycle bottoms for Bitcoin in 2019 and 2023 occurred when BCMI levels fell between the 0.25 and 0.35 range. These levels are often associated with full sentiment compression and a structural reset within the market. 

Currently, while BCMI remains below equilibrium as seen in the chart above, and it is still above the historical bottom zones. This data suggests that Bitcoin may be shifting into a bear phase rather than recovering from a simple pullback. 

According to Woominkyu, a more stable bottom may only materialize if BCMI revisits levels seen during the previous cycles from 2019 to 2023.

Bear Market Conditions

In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant indicated that demand for Bitcoin has sharply declined, reinforcing the idea of a bear market. The report pointed to the significant drop in Bitcoin demand growth that has occurred since early October 2025.

Moreover, the report highlights that institutional and large-holder demand is contracting instead of expanding. US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have converted into net sellers during the fourth quarter of 2025, offloading approximately 24,000 BTC. 

Additionally, the number of addresses holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC, which typically represent ETFs and treasury firms, is also increasing at a rate below the trend, reflecting the demand deterioration that preceded the bear market of 2022.

The condition of the derivatives markets further corroborates the weakening appetite for risk. Funding rates in perpetual futures have dropped to their lowest levels since December 2023. 

Historically, such declines in funding rates indicate a reduced willingness to maintain long positions, a phenomenon commonly associated with bear market conditions rather than bullish trends.

Technical analysis also reveals the deterioration of Bitcoin’s price structure, with the cryptocurrency falling below its 365-day moving average—a crucial long-term support level that has historically delineated bull and bear markets. 

Looking ahead, historical data suggests that Bitcoin’s bear market bottoms typically align with its realized price, currently estimated around $56,000. This implies a potential drawdown of approximately 55% from the recent all-time high.

Intermediate support is anticipated around the $70,000 level, suggesting a relatively shallow bear market compared to previous cycles.

At the time of writing, BTC was trading at $87,635. This represents year-to-date losses of 10%, as well as a 30.5% gap compared to all-time highs of just above $126,000. 

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Mt. Gox-linked bitcoin tied to Aleksey Bilyuchenko is continuing to filter onto exchanges, extending a slow, closely watched stream of legacy supply that on-chain analysts have been flagging since the fall.

Mt. Gox Hacker Unloads More Bitcoin

Arkham analyst Emmett Gallic said entities related to Aleksey Bilyuchenko deposited another 1,300 BTC, about $114 million, into unknown exchanges over the past seven days. The wallets still hold roughly 4,100 BTC (around $360 million), and have sold a total of 2,300 BTC.

Gallic wrote via X on Dec. 23: “The entity related to Aleksey Bilyuchenko has deposited another 1.3K BTC ($114M) to the unknown exchanges in the past 7 days. They still hold 4.1K BTC ($360M). They have sold a total of 2.3K BTC.”

Bilyuchenko has been charged by the US Department of Justice in connection with the Mt. Gox hack.

The Dec. 23 deposits build on earlier posts in which Gallic described a methodical unwind rather than a one-off dump. On Nov. 9, he said bitcoins “once belonging to BTC-E cofounder Aleksey Bilyuchenko are slowly being sold off through unknown exchanges,” citing 110 BTC deposited over two days.

That Nov. 9 note also emphasized uncertainty around who is actually controlling the funds. “Unclear if he’s still jailed in Russia or in control of these funds, but Moscow courts have seized most of his other assets,” Gallic wrote.

The repeated use of “unknown exchanges” suggests the destination clusters are not cleanly attributable to major, labeled venues in the datasets Gallic is using. For market participants, that makes the flow harder to handicap: deposits can signal intent to sell, but the execution path is less transparent than transfers into well-known exchange wallets.

In an Oct. 17 post, Gallic went further, alleging that “almost 8K BTC … related to the WEX/BTCE case are controlled by Russian authorities,” including “the 6.5K BTC that moved earlier today.” He attributed that control to a specific unit—“3rd department of the 2nd service of the CSS of the FSB”—and linked to a Russian-language investigative article.

Who Is Bilyuchenko?

In Russia, Bilyuchenko has faced a separate WEX-related criminal case that has already produced a conviction. On March 18, 2024, the Moscow City Court upheld an earlier guilty verdict against Alexey Bilyuchenko, described in local reporting as a system administrator of the WEX exchange.

Bilyuchenko was accused of embezzling 3.1 billion rubles in WEX assets; the Meshchansky District Court sentenced him in September 2023 to 3.5 years in prison and a 500,000-ruble fine, and the appeal court left that decision in place, bringing the verdict into legal force.

In the United States, the posture is different: prosecutors have unsealed charges. The case is still ongoing. In June 2023, the Department of Justice announced the unsealing of charges against Bilyuchenko and Aleksandr Verner in the Southern District of New York, accusing them of conspiring to launder approximately 647,000 bitcoin tied to the 2011 Mt. Gox hack. The SDNY indictment charges both men with conspiracy to commit money laundering, carrying a maximum potential penalty of 20 years in prison.

Separately, Bilyuchenko is charged in the Northern District of California with conspiracy to commit money laundering and operating an unlicensed money services business, tied to allegations that he worked with Alexander Vinnik and others to operate BTC-e from 2011 until it was shut down in July 2017. DOJ listed a maximum potential penalty of 25 years on those NDCA charges.

At press time, BTC traded at $87,756.

On-chain data shows newbie Bitcoin whales have seen their loss-taking flatten recently, a potential sign that their capitulation has paused.

Bitcoin Whale Selling Has Returned To Neutral Recently

In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has talked about how the behavior of the Bitcoin whales has changed recently. “Whales” refer to the BTC investors who are carrying more than 1,000 tokens of the cryptocurrency in their wallet balance.

At the current exchange rate, the cutoff for the cohort converts to $86.7 million, which is quite significant. The large size of their holdings can make these investors carry some degree of influence in the market.

As such, the behavior of the whales can be worth keeping an eye on. There are many ways to track whale behavior, with one such being through the Realized Profit/Loss indicator.

This metric measures, as its name implies, the net amount of profit or loss that the members of the group as a whole are realizing through their transactions. A positive value indicates profit-taking is dominant, while a negative one suggests realized losses outweigh profits.

Whales can be divided into two subgroups, called the short-term holder (STH) or New Whales and long-term holder (LTH) or Old Whales. The former group includes the whale investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days, while the latter is made up of the whales who have been holding for longer than this period.

Now, here is the chart shared by CryptoQuant that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Realized Profit/Loss for New and Old Whales over the last few months:

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Realized Profit/Loss has mostly been inside the loss territory for the whales since the cryptocurrency’s price witnessed a bearish shift in October.

New Whales in particular have been responsible for the majority of the loss realization, with one loss-taking spike even crossing the $600 million mark. “Realized losses from new whales significantly impacted the price drop from $124K to $84K,” noted the analytics firm.

From the chart, it’s visible that loss realization from these humongous Bitcoin investors has seen a decline recently as BTC’s bearish momentum has subsided and its price has settled into a phase of consolidation.

During the past week, the Realized Profit/Loss has even minimized to a neutral level for both New and Old Whales, implying the largest of hands in the market have only been shifting coins close to cost basis.

Whether this suggests that the phase of whale capitulation is over only remains to be seen, but for now, these investors have indeed hit the pause button.

BTC Price

Bitcoin started the week with a recovery surge above $90,000, but the asset has quickly gone downhill as it’s back at $87,000.

An interesting round of institutional repositioning played out across crypto investment products last week, as nearly $1 billion exited the market following several weeks of steady inflows. 

The latest Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report from CoinShares shows that the pullback was not evenly distributed. Capital rotated away from Bitcoin and Ethereum, while select altcoins like XRP and Solana continued to attract interest and inflows among institutional investors.

US-Led Outflows As Regulatory Delays Weigh On Sentiment

The report shows that digital asset investment products recorded $952 million in net outflows last week, which is the first negative week of trading after three weeks of consecutive inflows. CoinShares attributed the shift largely to delays surrounding the US Clarity Act.

Therefore, the outflows were overwhelmingly concentrated geographically in the United States, which accounted for $990 million in withdrawals during the week. As it stands, these products are on track to end 2025 with lower net inflows compared to 2024, with total assets under management standing at $46.7 billion compared with $48.7 billion in 2024. 

Investor sentiment outside the US was much more resilient than expected. However, the heavy US selling was only partially offset by inflows from other regions, most notably Canada and Germany. Particularly, Canadian-listed products saw inflows of $15.6 million for the week, while crypto products based in Germany added about $46.2 million during the week.

Capital Rotates From Bitcoin And Ethereum To XRP And Solana

At the asset level, Ethereum experienced the largest outflows, with $555 million leaving ETH-based investment products. This deviates from the trend of Bitcoin leading inflows and outflows every week. Most of the Ethereum fund outflows were from US-based Spot Ethereum ETFs, which witnessed net outflows every day of the week last week.

CoinShares noted that the Ethereum outflows are because it is currently sensitive to regulatory developments, given it has the most to gain or lose if the Clarity Act is passed into law. Even so, Ethereum’s year-to-date inflows are at $12.7 billion, well above the $5.3 billion recorded throughout last year.

Bitcoin followed closely behind, posting $460 million in weekly outflows. Although Bitcoin is still leading the market in cumulative inflows for the year at roughly $27.2 billion, this figure is significantly below the $41.6 billion seen in 2024.

Despite the broader risk-off tone set by Bitcoin and Ethereum, Solana and XRP attracted notable inflows last week, and this supports the idea of ongoing selective institutional support. In terms of numbers Solana recorded $48.5 million in inflows last week, while XRP led the altcoin pack with $62.9 million. Spot XRP ETFs, for one, are yet to register a day of net outflows since their launch in the United States

Taken together, the data from CoinShares’ latest report points to a market that is not abandoning crypto entirely but reevaluating allocations while waiting for clearer regulatory signals, particularly from the United States.

Market expert Mr. Crypto Whale on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter) has attributed the recent Bitcoin price drop—falling below the $90,000 mark—to key developments in China. According to this analyst, the situation has been set in motion by renewed restrictions on domestic Bitcoin mining.

China’s Crackdown On Bitcoin Mining

Specifically, it was reported that China has intensified its crackdown on mining activities, particularly in the Xinjiang region, where a large segment of operations was halted in December. 

The expert noted that this abrupt closure led to around 400,000 miners being taken offline in a very short time, reflecting a significant shake-up in the network’s mining capacity.

The ramifications of this disappearance of miners are already evident in the data; the Bitcoin network’s hashrate has dropped by approximately 8%. 

Notably, when miners are suddenly forced offline, the immediate consequences can be severe. Revenue comes to a halt, and the costs associated with relocating operations can result in cash flow pressures. As a result, some miners are compelled to liquidate BTC holdings, contributing to sell pressure in the market.

Despite these current challenges, Mr. Crypto Whale suggests that this should not be viewed as a long-term bearish signal for Bitcoin. The expert believes that this is temporary supply shock driven by policy changes rather than a decrease in demand for the cryptocurrency.

Potential 60% Drop Ahead

Historical patterns indicate a cyclical nature to these events: after China enacts mining crackdowns, miners are forced to shut down, the hashrate takes a hit, and Bitcoin’s price experiences volatility. However, the network typically adjusts, allowing Bitcoin to recover.

In the short term, increased volatility can be anticipated. However, Mr. Crypto Whale asserts that in the long term, the fundamentals for the Bitcoin price remain intact. 

Technical analysis conducted by noted analyst Ali Martinez underscores the immediate focus for investors, particularly regarding the critical price level of $86,738, deemed essential to prevent a new crash. 

Martinez notes that historically, each time Bitcoin has fallen below the 50-week simple moving average (SMA), it has dropped, on average, by 60%. 

Currently, Bitcoin is trading just above that crucial threshold at $87,930. If this level is breached, Martinez’s analysis warns that the price could plummet to as low as $40,000.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Ethereum is struggling to reclaim higher price levels as persistent resistance continues to cap upside momentum. After repeated failed recovery attempts, ETH remains locked in a fragile structure that reflects broader uncertainty across the crypto market. While analyst opinions remain divided on the near-term outlook, a growing majority are increasingly vocal about the risk of a broader bear market emerging in 2026, citing weakening momentum, deteriorating sentiment, and fading liquidity as key warning signs.

Against this uneasy backdrop, on-chain activity has drawn renewed attention. Data tracked by Arkham shows that a high-profile Bitcoin OG — known for correctly shorting the market during the sharp sell-off on October 10 — has made a significant move involving a substantial Ethereum position. The scale and timing of this activity have not gone unnoticed, particularly given the trader’s track record and influence on market sentiment.

The transaction has fueled speculation about intent. Some market participants interpret the move as a defensive repositioning amid rising downside risk, while others view it as a calculated adjustment ahead of heightened volatility. Regardless of interpretation, large transfers from well-known entities tend to carry signaling value, especially when they occur during periods of technical fragility.

As Ethereum remains pinned below key resistance levels, the market is now watching closely to see whether this on-chain development foreshadows renewed selling pressure or signals a more complex shift in positioning. With sentiment already strained, the coming sessions may prove pivotal for Ethereum’s medium-term direction.

Ethereum Whale Transfer Sparks Positioning Speculation

On-chain data shared by Lookonchain has flagged a significant move by the so-called Bitcoin OG, a trader known for managing a massive $717 million long exposure across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. The wallet associated with this entity has deposited 100,000 ETH, worth roughly $292 million, into Binance, immediately drawing attention from both investors and analysts.

Given the size of the transfer and the trader’s prior market influence, the transaction is widely viewed as a potential signal rather than a routine activity.

Several scenarios stand out as the most plausible explanations. The most straightforward is risk management. Moving ETH onto an exchange allows the holder to reduce exposure, either by selling spot ETH or by opening hedges through derivatives to protect an existing long portfolio amid heightened volatility. Another possibility is collateral management. Large traders often transfer assets to exchanges to support margin requirements or rebalance leverage, especially during periods of declining prices.

Less bearish interpretations also remain on the table. The deposit could be part of a short-term tactical trade, enabling rapid execution without signaling an intention to fully unwind the position. In some cases, large holders move assets between custodians or exchanges for operational reasons, though the timing makes this less likely.

Ultimately, the deposit does not confirm outright selling. However, it does suggest that the trader is actively managing risk. As Ethereum remains under technical pressure, markets will be watching closely to see whether this ETH transfer precedes further distribution or proves to be a temporary adjustment within a broader long-term strategy.

Price Holds Long-Term Support

Ethereum is trading near the $2,930 level on the weekly chart, consolidating after a sharp pullback from the $4,800–$5,000 highs set earlier in the cycle. While price remains well above long-term macro support, the recent structure reflects a clear loss of momentum. ETH has transitioned from a strong impulsive advance into a corrective phase, marked by lower highs and increasing selling pressure at key resistance zones.

From a trend perspective, Ethereum is now hovering around its medium- and long-term moving averages. The loss of the faster weekly moving average signaled the start of the correction, while the price is currently testing the zone around the 200-week average, which has historically acted as a critical inflection point during major market transitions. This area is now functioning as a battleground between longer-term buyers and sellers defending prior gains.

Price behavior over recent weeks suggests indecision rather than capitulation. Large downside candles have been followed by smaller-bodied candles, indicating that aggressive selling has slowed, but buyers have yet to regain control. Volume supports this interpretation, with elevated activity during the initial sell-off and more muted participation during the consolidation.

Structurally, the $2,800–$3,000 range is pivotal. Holding this zone preserves Ethereum’s broader bullish market structure. A sustained breakdown below it would likely confirm a deeper corrective move, while stabilization could allow ETH to build a base before attempting to challenge higher resistance levels near $3,400 and $3,800.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Russian stock exchanges have backed the Central Bank of Russia (CBR)’s recently shared framework to regulate cryptocurrencies, expressing their readiness to support the new rules and offer digital assets trading services next year.

Top Stock Exchanges Ready To Launch Crypto Trading

On Tuesday, local news reported that the leading stock exchanges in Russia, the Moscow Exchange (MOEX) and SPB Exchange, expressed their support of the Central Bank of Russia’s proposed regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies.

The exchanges affirmed they are prepared to launch crypto trading services under the recently unveiled framework as soon as it is enacted. In a statement, The Moscow Exchange, which is the largest exchange in Russia, backed the Central Bank’s proposals.

The platform asserted that the Russian financial market’s reliable and effective solutions will be “highly applicable” under the new framework, noting that they are “actively working on solutions to serve the cryptocurrency market and plans to launch their circulation as soon as the relevant regulations are in place.”

“In our opinion, the regulatory concept draws on the accumulated experience of conducting operations in the currency market, where the Moscow Exchange Group has accumulated expertise in trading, clearing, and settlement technologies that is unique in the international context,” the exchange reportedly said.

Meanwhile, the SPB Exchange also stated its support to the Central Bank’s efforts to create “transparent and secure conditions” for crypto trading, noting that it is prepared to participate in joint efforts to develop the relevant infrastructure within the regulated market.

“We are ready to start trading cryptocurrencies after the relevant changes are made to the legal regulation. The SPB Exchange has the appropriate technological infrastructure for trading and settlements,” the exchange’s statement read.

Russia’s New Regulatory Framework

As reported by Bitcoinist, the central bank unveiled new regulatory proposals this week that will allow retail and qualified investors to buy crypto assets through already licensed platforms in Russia.

The proposed rules, expected to take effect by July 2026, will permit non-qualified investors to purchase up to 300,000 rubles, worth around $3,800, annually in the most liquid digital assets after passing a knowledge test. Meanwhile, qualified investors will be able to purchase unlimited amounts of any cryptocurrency after passing a risk-awareness test.

The framework would also require that transactions are conducted through already licensed platforms, including exchanges, brokers, and trust managers, with additional requirements applied to custodians and exchange services.

In addition, residents will be allowed to buy crypto assets abroad and transfer their holdings through Russian licensed intermediaries, while subject to the necessary tax reporting.

Recently, Vladimir Chistyukhin, First Deputy Chairman of the Central Bank of Russia, affirmed that the local financial market has all the necessary infrastructure to work with crypto assets.

The Deputy chairman explained that Russian financial authorities consider it “fundamentally important” to legitimize the digital assets sector and ensure that it is compliant with the law.

However, he noted that the country needs to adopt regulations quickly due to “international attention” and this process will require amendments to multiple laws, including digital financial assets, the securities market, and banking legislation.

Strategy, the business intelligence company founded by Michael Saylor, has added hundreds of millions of dollars to its balance sheet after completing a sizable stock sale, while staying on the sidelines in the Bitcoin (BTC) market. The latest disclosure shows the firm prioritizing cash generation over Bitcoin accumulation as it evaluates its next steps. This change in capital allocation comes as rumors spread that Strategy could sell a significant portion of its Bitcoin holdings. 

Strategy Prioritizes Cash Reserve Over Bitcoin Buys

Strategy has released a new financial update showing a clear shift toward US dollar accumulation, stepping back from its previous pattern of aggressive Bitcoin buys. Saylor shared the report on X this Monday, outlining the company’s most recent capital activity. The filing focuses on equity sales, Strategy’s bitcoin holdings and activity, and its cash reserves. 

During the week of December 15 to December 21, Strategy raised significant funds through its ATM equity program. The business intelligence firm did not sell any of its preferred stock offerings within this period, leaving billions of dollars in remaining issuance capacity. Notably, the filing shows that the STRK preferred stock program still holds more than $20 billion in available capacity.

 Instead of preferred shares, Strategy had tapped its common stock program. The company sold 4.5 million shares of Class A common stock, generating roughly $747.8 million in net proceeds after fees. Even after this raise, Strategy still has approximately $11.8 billion of common stock available for future issuance. 

While the business intelligence firm has increased its cash position, it paused Bitcoin purchases for the week. The filing reported that no new Bitcoin purchases were made during the week of December 15 to December 21, keeping its total holdings unchanged at 671,268 BTC. Those holdings carry an aggregate purchase cost of about $50.33 billion, with an average price near $74,972 per coin. 

Update On Strategy’s US Dollar Reserve

Strategy’s latest addition to its cash reserve this past week builds a larger cushion to cover the company’s financial obligations. The firm started the month with a reserve of $1.14 billion and increased it to approximately $2.19 billion by December 21. This growth suggests a deliberate move to secure liquidity amid ongoing market activity. 

The boost in cash comes after rumors circulated that Strategy could face pressure to meet dividend obligations on its preferred shares. Additionally, there has been speculation that the business intelligence firm may sell its over $50 billion Bitcoin holdings if the market continues to trend downward for a prolonged period. 

According to the filing, the primary purpose of the Strategy’s US dollar reserve is to cover dividend payments on preferred stock and interest payments on outstanding debt. Because the company holds a large amount of Bitcoin, selling a significant portion to fund these dividends could disrupt the market, especially during periods of volatility. This underscores the importance of maintaining a cash reserve for easy liquidity.

Bitcoin’s current pullback continues to reflect on multiple major on-chain metrics, reinforcing the volatility across the market. With selling pressure still present among retail and institutional investors, the BTC Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric has experienced a sharp decline to levels that could shape the market’s direction.

Major Coinbase Transfer Triggers Bitcoin CCD Drop

While ongoing volatility has increased within the broader cryptocurrency sector, the Bitcoin market appears to be entering a pivotal phase. This new phase, which goes beyond routine volatility or short-term price noise, is largely driven by the BTC Coin Days Destroyed, an indicator that simply measures the number of holding days of a UTXO before it is spent, after undergoing a notable drop.

Beneath the surface, key structural indicators point to a significant shift occurring, characterized by evolving on-chain patterns, shifting liquidity dynamics, and altered investor behavior. This is a crucial turning point in the current cycle since it has the potential to redefine the market’s next major direction.

In the report shared on X by Darkfost, a market expert and author at CryptoQuant, it shows that the drop in the BTC CDD metric emerged following a large BTC move from Coinbase over a month ago. As a result, all leverage data are now slowly returning to normal levels.

According to the expert, the most interesting aspect of the development is that this decline has reached a level well below the previous spike. In addition to the Coinbase-related action, this implies a sign of slowdown in Bitcoin long-term holders’ activity. It is worth noting that when BTC held in the long term begins to move, it is usually in preparation for a sell-off. 

Although it may sound bad, this drop in CDD is a positive signal. This is because long-term holders continue to be the biggest possible source of selling pressure as they account for the largest share of the total supply. However, a decrease in long-term holder selling pressure aids in relieving the market and may add to the formation of a bottom if this trend persists.

When Is The Time To Buy The Crypto Asset?

After weeks of waning price action, Joao Wedson, the founder of Alphractal, has offered insights into when to purchase Bitcoin using the Financial Stress Index (FSI). Historically, this key metric has acted as a reliable signal for when to buy BTC, making it one of the most closely watched indicators.

Presently, the FSI metric has flipped into a positive territory. Wedson highlighted that each time this happens, good opportunities to acquire more BTC have emerged. However, this trend has not yet unfolded.

The indicator, which uses a wide range of factors, including volatility, spreads, and risk premiums, to gauge systemic stress in international financial markets, was created by the Office of Financial Research. Wedson stated that these kinds of metrics are uncommon in the macroeconomic environment, which is characterized by substantial data delays and sluggish decision-making.

Bitcoin is struggling to regain traction below the $90,000 level as selling pressure and uncertainty continue to weigh on the market. After repeated failed attempts to reclaim higher ground, price action has turned choppy and directionless, reflecting a market increasingly driven by apathy and fear rather than conviction.

On-chain data reinforces this fragile backdrop. Analysis shared by Axel Adler shows that Bitcoin’s short-term holder Net Pressure has fallen into the bottom 5% of its historical distribution, a rare condition that signals an unusually subdued intensity of trading activity. This metric captures the balance between buying and selling from recent market participants, and its current reading points to a state of near equilibrium rather than strong directional bias.

At the same time, Bitcoin is trading below the short-term holder realized price, meaning a large share of recent buyers are sitting at or below breakeven. This dynamic typically suppresses aggressive buying while encouraging selling into rallies, as participants look to exit positions with minimal loss. The result is a market caught in balance, where upside attempts lack follow-through, and downside moves struggle to accelerate.

As Bitcoin remains pinned below $90,000, the coming weeks are likely to determine whether this rare equilibrium resolves into renewed downside or sets the foundation for a broader trend reset.

Short-Term Holder Pressure Enters Rare Neutral Zone

Recent on-chain analysis highlighted by Axel Adler points to an unusual shift in Bitcoin’s short-term holder dynamics. The chart tracks Bitcoin’s price alongside the short-term holder realized price and the Net Pressure Tilt indicator, which measures the balance between weighted selling and buying pressure from recent market participants. Positive readings reflect dominant selling pressure, while negative values signal stronger buying activity.

At present, the 24-hour moving average of Net Pressure stands at 4.79, with Bitcoin trading near $87,324. This places the indicator deep in historically rare territory. Over the past three years, the median Net Pressure value has been 73.17, a level typically associated with strong selling dominance during expansion phases. By contrast, readings below 10 have occurred in just 5.8% of all observations, underscoring how uncommon the current environment is.

Looking at recent behavior, the indicator has fluctuated between −13.30 and +16.66 over the past month. While it spent roughly 75% of that time above zero, indicating net selling pressure, the intensity has remained unusually low. This lack of force suggests neither buyers nor sellers are acting with conviction.

The market is now firmly inside the so-called neutral zone, defined by Net Pressure values between −10 and +10. Historically rare, this zone reflects a state of equilibrium where buying and selling pressures largely cancel each other out. Such conditions often precede major directional moves, making the current setup particularly important as Bitcoin searches for its next trend.

Bitcoin Holds Near $87K as Medium-Term Structure Comes Under Pressure

Bitcoin is trading near the $87,300 level on the 3-day chart, consolidating after a sharp corrective move from the $120,000–$125,000 highs recorded earlier in the cycle. While price remains well above long-term trend support, the medium-term structure has weakened notably, reflecting a shift from momentum-driven expansion to a corrective phase marked by lower highs and reduced follow-through.

Technically, Bitcoin has lost its faster-moving averages, with price now trading below the 100-day and 200-day averages on this timeframe. Both are beginning to flatten and turn lower, acting as dynamic resistance rather than support. This change signals that upside momentum has faded and that rallies are increasingly being sold into. The rejection of above $110,000 was particularly significant, as it confirmed a distribution phase rather than a simple consolidation.

From a structural standpoint, the $85,000–$88,000 zone is critical. Holding this area preserves the broader bullish market structure, anchored by the rising long-term moving average below. A decisive breakdown, however, would likely open the door to a deeper retracement toward the low $80,000s.

For Bitcoin to regain strength, price must reclaim the $95,000–$100,000 region and reestablish acceptance above its key medium-term averages.

Charles Hoskinson has explained what the Midnight Network’s launch will mean for the Cardano network. This comes as the Cardano network doubles its efforts to improve DeFi on the network and, in the process, boost ADA’s utility. 

Hoskinson Explains Midnight Will Boost Cardano’s DeFi

During a livestream, the Hoskinson rebutted speculation that Midnight would kill the Cardano ecosystem, stating that it would instead 10x DeFi on the network. He also mentioned that the Midnight network provides an incentive for users to leave other networks, such as Ethereum and Solana, and migrate to Cardano. 

The founder noted that these users can go through the Midnight network to Cardano in order to get privacy. The hype around the Midnight launch already looks to be boosting the network’s ecosystem, as DEX aggregator DEX Hunter pointed out that the DeFi volume has been exploding since the launch of the NIGHT token.

Meanwhile, Hoskinson also mentioned why investors should not sell their ADA for NIGHT tokens, describing both tokens as complementary. He further remarked that Midnight is the ‘ChatGPT of privacy’ and that it adds privacy to Cardano decentralized applications (dApps). 

The founder also asserted that these dApps will be the first to adopt privacy, enabling them to leapfrog competitors on other networks, such as Ethereum’s Uniswap. Hoskinson also does not believe Midnight will steal ADA’s TVL, as he sees the latter as one meant to provide on-chain/off-chain infrastructure for networks like Cardano. 

Hoskinson also expects Bitcoin DeFi to grow on Cardano, since they share the same UTXO system. This move could further boost ADA’s utility and lead to significant growth in the ecosystem. However, for now, the blockchain remains well behind, as DeFiLlama data show it ranks 31st in DeFi TVL. 

Big Things In Store For The Blockchain?

Cardano’s core ecosystem organizations proposed an infrastructure budget last month to advance stablecoins, custody, analytics, bridges, and pricing oracles on the network. The ecosystem already appears to be making progress, as the Midnight Foundation President, Fahmi Syed, recently revealed that a legal contract has been received for a stablecoin partner. 

This has led to speculation that it could be USDT or USDC, with these stablecoins likely to provide a significant boost to network activity. Commenting on the network’s future, stakeholder Rami recently expressed optimism, stating that the network is getting a tier-1 stablecoin in months while the DEX trading volume is “exploding.” 

He believes that trading volume will continue to grow as additional NIGHT liquidity enters the market and more trading pairs are established. Rami added that DEXs are faster than ever and that new oracle systems are coming online.

At the time of writing, the ADA price is trading at around $0.35, down over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Despite a prolonged bearish action in the price of Ethereum, the network activity has been demonstrating notable growth and performance over the past few weeks. After reaching a crucial peak in network performance, the leading blockchain could be on the verge of another major achievement.

Another Incoming Record For Ethereum

In a significant development, the on-chain momentum of Ethereum is growing quietly, but convincingly. With rising network performance and utilization, the network is poised to make history, as revealed in a recent research from Leon Waidmann, a market expert and head of research at The On-Chain Foundation.

Even while the Ethereum price has fallen, its ecosystem has managed to handle an increasing amount of activity throughout the year. In the post on X, Waidmann highlighted that the ecosystem is on track to close 2025 with another transaction all-time high in this month of December.

As seen on the chart, the leading network is drawing dangerously close to challenging and beating its previous all-time high once again in the remaining days of this month. Interestingly, this strong performance highlights the ongoing role of ETH as the foundation of on-chain commerce.

Waidmann noted that aggregate Ethereum, with the total transaction count of Layer 2s, is persistently pushing higher. Several other major chains, such as Base, Arbitrum, Optimism (OP), World Chain, and the ETH mainnet, are all contributing meaningfully to the sharp surge in on-chain activity.

In the midst of the growing Ethereum ecosystem, the growth is not fueled by a single outlier, but rather is distributed throughout the stack. These include Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), Layer 2 networks, and Real-World Applications (RWA).

ETH Network Is Dominating The DeFi Sector

Ethereum’s network performance extends into the DeFi sector and seems to be leading the charge, surpassing other major blockchains. Following an examination of the dynamic sector, Joseph Young, an Ethereum narrator, disclosed that the blockchain currently controls over 68.2% of all pure DeFi Total Value Locked (TVL). 

Related Reading: Ethereum Takes The Lead In DeFi Lending Revenue, Leaving Rivals Behind – See How

To put it in value, over $69.3 billion has been deployed on smart contracts on ETH. The achievement highlights a fresh surge in capital concentration around the fundamental protocols of the blockchain. This is possible with liquidity, developer activity, and institutional conviction still favoring the network over other chains.

Young stated that the figure is more than the DeFi capital of Solana, Tron, Binance Smart Chain (BSC), Bitcoin, Avalanche, and every other chain put together. As a result of this growing dominance, the expert has declared ETH the most trusted settlement layer of finance.

At the time of writing, the price of Ethereum was trading at $2,931, indicating a 1% decline in the last 24 hours. As the price flips negative, trading volume has also turned bearish, falling by over 7% over the past day.

Gold has reached unprecedented price levels at the end of 2025, breaking above $4,525 per ounce and setting fresh all-time highs as Bitcoin price continues to struggle. That surge has pushed gold’s total market capitalization to levels that dwarf the value of the world’s largest cryptocurrency. This difference between gold, the established safe-haven asset and Bitcoin, a growing digital store of value, invites a provocative question: if BTC’s total valuation equaled gold’s peak market cap, what price would BTC have to reach?

Gold’s Massive Surge In 2025

Gold’s rally in 2025 captured global attention as prices climbed past $4,500 per ounce for the first time, setting a new record that reflects more than just short-term speculation. Gold’s strength this year is not just about price per ounce.  In market-cap terms, gold has added about $12 trillion in value since the start of 2025 alone. That single-year increase in gold’s market capitalization is around seven times larger than the entire Bitcoin market cap.

This recent all-time high price has helped boost gold’s total market capitalization to an estimated $31.1 trillion, based on the total value of above-ground gold stocks multiplied by the elevated price per ounce. Bitcoin’s market capitalization currently stands at $1.736 trillion, based on a circulating supply of just under 20 million BTC. Unlike gold, BTC’S total valuation has not increased this year. Instead, it has shrunk by roughly $100 billion since January 1, with its price now struggling in the mid-$80,000s. 

Market Cap Of Gold And Bitcoin. Source: Companiemarketcap.com

Put simply, Bitcoin is only a small slice of gold’s valuation. At today’s levels, gold’s $31 trillion market cap means that Bitcoin fits into gold roughly 18 times over. This ratio is a good reference point for Bitcoin’s long-term growth potential, given its reputation as a digital version of gold.

How High Bitcoin Price Would Be At Gold’s ATH Market Cap

If Bitcoin were to match gold’s $31 trillion market capitalization, the corresponding price per BTC would be considerably higher than current levels. Using a circulating supply of about 19.96 million BTC, BTC would need to push to approximately $1.55 million per coin to reach parity with gold’s current all-time-high market cap.

The amount of capital inflow needed for BTC to reach this price level is massive and unprecedented. Still, many Bitcoin maximalists believe this scenario is not unrealistic over an extended timeframe. 

Michael Saylor, one of Bitcoin’s most vocal advocates, has proposed that BTC will eventually surpass gold in total market value within the next 10 years. In a November interview, Saylor said he has “no doubt” that BTC will become a larger asset class than gold by 2035.

It is obvious that 2025 is about to be a red year for Bitcoin and the entire crypto market. However, 2026 could play out as a recovery and normalization year. Recovery in this context does not imply explosive upside, but a period where bearish price action is worked off and confidence in BTC is rebuilt gradually.

Strategy CEO Phong Le has been on the road with Michael Saylor, and the message from the meetings is less about “orange-pilling” bankers than watching large institutions sprint to close a Bitcoin product gap they can no longer ignore.

In a Dec. 23 interview with CoinStories host Nathalie Brunell, Le said the conversations start with the most basic building blocks, custody and exchange because banks have already watched meaningful flows move to crypto-native and quasi-crypto incumbents.

“They’re all trying to catch up with just the base of custodying Bitcoin and providing exchange services,” Le said. “They’ve seen, for example, Coinbase or Fidelity, and what they’re doing. And they want to be able to offer their customers native services with BTC so they don’t take the money off the platform out to somewhere else.”

Large US Banks Begin Bitcoin Conversations

Le described this baseline in familiar banking language, positioning BTC as an account-type object inside existing distribution rather than an external asset clients self-custody elsewhere. “So I’ll just start that as a baseline. I call it a checking account and a savings account for Bitcoin, right?” he said. “And then on top of that, what do they want to do?”

His answer was a laddered product roadmap that increasingly resembles the capital-markets “stack” Strategy has spent the last several years industrializing: credit, yield, structured exposure, and eventually something close to money-like instruments backed by BTC collateral.

“Then they want to offer things like the coin lending, which means you get loans against Bitcoin,” Le said. “And we know a lot of folks are doing that on a one-to-one private loan basis, but they should provide it in general. Perhaps offering instruments that give you yield off of Bitcoin. That will be the next sort of step above that.”

From there, Le said, banks start converging on Strategy’s own playbook, not necessarily copying it line-by-line, but arriving at the same conclusion that Bitcoin can be used as balance-sheet collateral to manufacture investable products.

“And then a set of Bitcoin-backed products, not too much different than what we do,” he said. “An investment bank would want to be able to underwrite Bitcoin-backed securities like MSTR or like any of our preferreds. That would be the next step.”

The “underwrite” comment is the tell. This is not merely about giving wealth clients a custody button. It is about turning exposure into fundable, tradable paper that sits comfortably inside existing bank distribution: preferreds, structured notes, and credit instruments that look like what clients already buy, just with BTC as the collateral story.

Le then moved into what he called “digital credit,” explicitly tying it to preferred-style issuance and bank-native variants of the same idea.

“And then you get into offering digital credit, right? Which would be our preferreds or a bank preferred based off of Bitcoin,” he said. “And then the last thing, which is what Mike talked about at Bitcoin in the Middle East, which is digital money, right? How do you give somebody essentially access to something that looks like money backed by Bitcoin that gives them a steady yield that’s better than what they would get otherwise called eight, nine percent?”

That “digital money” framing is aligned with what Saylor has been signaling on stage: BTC as collateral that can support a broader credit superstructure. At Bitcoin MENA 2025 in Abu Dhabi, Saylor argued the shift is already underway and, in his telling, the largest names in US finance are no longer keeping their distance, as Bitcoinist reported.

“In the past six months I have noted and been approached by BNY Mellon, by Wells Fargo, by Bank of America, by Charles Schwab, by JP Morgan, by Citi,” Saylor said. “They are all starting to issue credit against either Bitcoin or against derivatives like IBIT.”

At press time, BTC traded at

The Shiba Inu price action over the last few months has been incredibly bearish, especially as attention begins to shift away from meme coins. The current trend suggests that investors are leaning more toward selling as the altcoin’s price is now almost 92% below its 2021 all-time high. Even as the year draws to a close, the prognosis for the meme coin has not changed, with a machine learning algorithm predicting that the SHIB price will continue to fall.

Expect The Shiba Inu Downtrend Into The New Year

Shiba Inu is already down by more than 14% this month, and it looks like the decline is far from over. The algorithm at the CoinCodex website has predicted that the meme coin will see further decline into the end of the year, amplifying the already brutal losses.

The 5-day prediction puts the Shiba Inu price somewhere around $0.000007038, pushing its monthly losses toward 20%. This comes as the sentiment around the Shiba Inu altcoin hovers in Extreme Fear, meaning investors are still scared to put money into the digital asset.

In addition to the downtrend, volatility is also expected to spike during this time. The website rates it at 5.62%, which is a high percentage, putting investors in Shiba Inu at a higher risk of losing their money. Thus, it might be better to wait for the downtrend to play out before getting into the cryptocurrency.

Over the medium to longer term, though, the expectations begin to lean toward the bullish end. The 1-month prediction expects a 15.89% surge to push the price above $0.000008. Then, the 3-month prediction also expects that Shiba Inu will continue to trend above $0.000008.

Why SHIB Decline Could Continue In January

While January has usually been a bullish month for the likes of Bitcoin, Shiba Inu has usually gone in a much different direction. In the last four years, the meme coin has only closed the month of January in the green one time. This also coincides with its performance from December, usually ending in the red and carrying over into the new year.

If this trend holds, then it is likely that the Shiba Inu price will see another double-digit decline in January 2026. Usually, it is by the month of February that the SHIB price begins to pick up, making it one of its most bullish months since the meme coin first launched back in 2020, as shown by data from CryptoRank.

Russia’s central bank has unveiled a new framework to regulate cryptocurrencies within its domestic digital asset market, with a deadline set for July 2026. This initiative aims to enable both retail and qualified investors to purchase cryptocurrencies.

New Crypto Regulations In Russia

According to a Bloomberg report, non-qualified investors will be permitted to buy the most liquid cryptocurrencies after successfully passing a knowledge assessment. However, their transactions will be limited to 300,000 rubles, roughly equivalent to $3,800 annually, and must be conducted through a single intermediary. 

In contrast, qualified investors will have the freedom to purchase unlimited amounts of any cryptocurrency, aside from anonymous tokens, although they too will have to pass a risk-awareness evaluation.

Despite these regulatory steps, the Bank of Russia maintains a cautious stance towards cryptocurrencies, categorizing them as high-risk assets. The central bank has urged potential investors to consider the significant risk of losing their funds. 

Transactions will occur through already licensed entities such as exchanges, brokers, and trust managers, while additional requirements will apply to custodians and exchange services. 

Moreover, Russian residents will be able to buy cryptocurrencies abroad and transfer their holdings through licensed intermediaries within the country, with obligatory tax reporting requirements.

Bitcoin’s Role In Strengthening The Ruble

This regulatory shift follows President Vladimir Putin’s remarks last year regarding the potential use of Bitcoin (BTC) and the need for Russia to rethink its reliance on foreign currency reserves. 

Speaking at an investment conference in Moscow, Putin highlighted the geopolitical issues stemming from the West’s freezing of around $300 billion in Russian reserves due to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. 

He questioned the prudence of holding state reserves in foreign currencies, considering how easily these assets can be confiscated for political reasons. 

In a significant development, Putin has also signed a law that creates a legal framework for taxing Bitcoin mining and transactions, officially classifying them as property. 

This new law recognizes digital currencies as property and encompasses those utilized for foreign trade settlements within the Experimental Legal Regime (EPR) designed for digital innovation. 

Notably, the legislation stipulates that Bitcoin mining and sales will be exempt from value-added tax (VAT), potentially spurring further investment in the cryptocurrency market.

Recently, Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina made an unexpected acknowledgment regarding Bitcoin mining, noting its small yet meaningful impact on supporting the Russian ruble. 

While she admitted that quantifying this influence is challenging, Nabiullina suggested that mining has emerged as an “additional factor” contributing to the currency’s recent strength—a noteworthy admission from a central banker traditionally cautious about the crypto landscape.

When writing, Bitcoin was trading just above the $88,090 mark, recording losses of 1.5% in the 24-hour time frame. 

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Data shows 67% of Ethereum transactions involving the stablecoins USDT and USDC are P2P in nature, but the majority of volume lies elsewhere.

Business-Related Ethereum Stablecoin Transactions Dominate Volume

In a new post on X, Ethereum Foundation head of ecosystem James has shared some numbers related to stablecoin transactions on the ETH blockchain. Stablecoins refer to cryptocurrencies that have their value pegged to a fiat currency.

As these assets are relatively “stable” by nature, they have quickly established themselves as the preferred mode of payments, with their volume surpassing combined that of the top five non-stablecoin cryptocurrencies.

But what does the nature of these transactions look like? Below is the data posted by James, showcasing how the transfers related to the Ethereum versions of USDT and USDC break down between retail and business payments.

As is visible in the chart, 67% of USDT and USDC transactions on the Ethereum network that occurred between August 2024 and 2025 were of the peer-to-peer (P2P) type. Such transactions are usually a sign of activity from retail users.

The small size of the users being involved could be why the transaction volume share of P2P transfers was just 24%. In contrast, business-involved payments made up for 76% of the volume, despite occupying a transactions share of just 33%.

The Ethereum Foundation member sourced the data from Artemis’ report on Ethereum stablecoin payment usage. While stablecoins pegged to various currencies exist, Artemis focused on the USD-tied USDC and USDT as they are by far the most popular options, occupying 88% of the sector’s market cap.

These coins circulate on several blockchains, but Ethereum is currently the most dominant network, hosting more than 50% of the global stablecoin supply. “We also only focus on transfer transactions and exclude any mint, burn, or bridge transactions from our analysis,” noted the report.

Artemis has broken down how it classifies transactions. Transfers are considered P2P if they occur between the externally owned accounts (EOAs) of two separate users.

Determining whether a transaction is P2P can be tricky, however, given that it’s not always possible to determine whether two accounts are owned by different entities. Problems also arise for wallets owned by exchanges and other centralized entities. “In our dataset we are able to label many institutional and firm EOA wallets; however, the labeling is not perfect and some EOA wallets that are owned by firms and are not documented in our dataset can be mislabeled as individual wallets,” explained the report.

The second category is business-to-business (B2B), naturally consisting of the moves taking place between two institutional EOAs. Transactions between the same institutional entity fall inside the “Internal B” label.

Finally, there is the person-to-business (P2B) category, accounting for the transfers happening between individuals and businesses. James’ chart clubs all the business categories into one.

ETH Price

Ethereum made recovery above $3,000 earlier, but it seems the coin has once again faced a pullback as its price is now back at $2,950.