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Bitcoin’s long-term structure has always been examined through the perspective of its halving cycle, and one crypto pundit believes the pattern is pointing to a clear price bottom. 

The analysis centers on a recurring time-based rhythm tied to each halving event, and it proposes a specific window for when accumulation could begin again. Crypto pundit Blockchainedbb projected that the Bitcoin phase may be heading into another structured reset phase that drags on for a while, and it may not be until Q4 2024 before the best time for buying BTC presents itself.

The timing framework is based on a recurring pattern observed ahead of Bitcoin’s halving events, highlighted by pundit Blockchainedbb. According to his analysis, each previous major Bitcoin cycle price low formed somewhere around 135 weeks before a halving takes place.

The weekly chart shared in the analysis shows previous halving dates, including May 11, 2020, and April 19, 2024, and overlays green accumulation zones around profitable long-term entry points. Price compression into those zones in previous cycles came before explosive upside moves that eventually led to new all-time highs.

Applying the same calculation forward, Blockchainedbb estimates that the next meaningful bottom could form in late Q4 of this year. The projected price range for that bottom is between $50,000 and $58,000. This range is derived by extrapolating the current cycle’s structure from the previous halving-era bottom.

If the pattern repeats itself again, that means Bitcoin will continue trading in a range of lower lows for most of the year, then position Q4 as the accumulation window before the next sustained uptrend of higher highs kicks in.

Under this approach, Q1 and Q4 are considered by the pundit as the primary windows for investors looking to build longer-term exposure. Q4 is seen as the likely bottoming phase, while Q1 is projected for investors to exit at an approximate price of $75,000. 

On the other hand, Bitcoin price history shows that the remaining quarters, Q2 and Q3, are environments better suited for active short-term traders than long-term holders. According to the pundit, Q2 and Q3 have always been characterized by directional moves and breakdowns below key technical levels, particularly the 200-week exponential moving average for altcoins. During these phases, short-term positioning and tactical trades tend to dominate.

Therefore, the most positive long-term technical outlook is for investors to wait for the more favorable structural window in the fourth quarter of 2026. As it stands, the next Bitcoin halving is projected to take place sometime in April 2028. It will happen at block height 850,000, reducing the block reward from 3.125 to 1.5625 BTC.

Prominent British multinational bank Barclays Plc is exploring the development of a blockchain platform to support payments, signaling a deeper push by traditional finance lenders into digital-asset technology. Notably, the move places Barclays alongside global rivals that are racing to modernize payment infrastructure amid rising adoption of blockchain products, especially stablecoin.

According to a Friday report by Bloomberg, Barclays Plc is assessing the creation of a blockchain payment platform capable of supporting payments and settlement services, according to people familiar with the matter. The banking giant has sent out requests for information (RFIs) to prospective technology partners as part of its evaluation process and is aiming to select providers as early as April.

Barclays is exploring new offerings, and the potential use cases for the blockchain platform reportedly include stablecoin-based payments and tokenized deposits. Notably, this move aligns Barclays with peers that have already launched similar initiatives.

Last year, JPMorgan Chase & Co. launched its blockchain-based deposit token, JPM Coin, to serve institutional clients, enabling faster internal transfers and cross-border payments. Meanwhile, BNP Paribas, Bank of America, and Citigroup, alongside six other banks, have united to launch a jointly backed stablecoin. 

In January 2026, Barclays announced a strategic investment in Ubyx on January 7, 2026, marking its first direct stake in a US-based stablecoin settlement firm to develop regulated, tokenized money. With intentions to launch a blockchain payment platform, the UK bank looks to advance its interest in the digital asset ecosystems.

Without a doubt, stablecoins remain one of the most attractive blockchain products to traditional banks. These digital tokens, typically pegged to fiat currencies like the US dollar, are increasingly seen as a disruptive force in global payment.

In July 2025, US President Donald Trump assented to the GENIUS Act, thereby creating a regulatory framework that would encourage institutional participation in the stablecoin operations, among other benefits. 

According to Bloomberg Intelligence, stablecoins could account for more than $50 trillion in annual payments by 2030 if present adoption continues to accelerate. Meanwhile, the US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is predicting a total stablecoin market cap of $2 trillion by 2028 and $3 trillion by 2030.

At press time, the stablecoin market cap is valued at $315 billion based on data from CoinMarketCap. Tether’s USDT accounts for 60% of these figures with a market cap of $187 billion, followed by Circle’s USDC.

Recent on-chain data shows a significant increase in Bitcoin flowing into certain wallets, suggesting renewed accumulation. Despite experiencing months of bearish pressure and major sell-offs, some investors appear to be using the ongoing market downturn as an opportunity to strengthen their positions. With the recent accumulation ramp-up, the question remains whether now may be the time to get back into the market. 

The Bitcoin price has been grinding lower in recent trading sessions, slipping below $64,000. The world’s largest cryptocurrency has failed to hold multiple support levels, with each leg down further suppressing any meaningful upside momentum.  

Related Reading: Expert Trader Who Correctly Predicted Bitcoin Top Just Shared A Chart Pointing Below $4,000

Yet beneath the surface of this declining price and market sell-offs, certain holders are quietly accumulating BTC. On-chain data from Glassnode reveals that over the past three weeks, so-called ‘old supply,’ which refers to wallets holding BTC that have sat dormant for at least six months, has risen by a whopping 188,000 BTC. This substantial amount of coins is valued at more than $12.75 billion.

Notably, the recent rise in BTC accumulation among old supply indicates that many seasoned investors are choosing to sit and hold their coins rather than sell into weakness, as many retail participants have been doing. The renewed accumulation also comes as whales continue to execute large-scale BTC withdrawals, with Whale Alert recently reporting a recent outflow of more than $266 million from exchanges.

Adding more fuel to the ongoing accumulation trend, Spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded significant inflows. Data from SoSoValue shows that Bitcoin ETFs had attracted a combined inflow of $1.02 billion between February 24 and 26. This rise in demand further indicates that investors are now entering the market, likely positioning for a potential rebound. 

Prominent Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo has shared relatively good news, issuing a sobering outlook for BTC’s price. In a recent X post, Woo suggested that the market may be entering an extended period of weakness before any meaningful recovery takes shape. The bearish outlook comes as the analyst acknowledges that the recent wave of selling pressure from investors appears to have exhausted, potentially giving Bitcoin more room to consolidate sideways for about a month.

With the bearish sell-down easing, Woo predicts Bitcoin could initiate a brief rebound back to the mid-$70,000 range. However, he cautioned that such a recovery would likely be rejected. The analyst pointed to deteriorating liquidity across both spot and futures markets as a key reason for this rejection. He stated that he had never seen Bitcoin rally when both sources of liquidity were trending bearishly at the same time.

Looking further ahead, Woo projected that Bitcoin’s current bearish trend could persist well into the year, with a potential turning point expected to arrive sometime in Q4 2026. Subsequently, he suggested that BTC’s bullish momentum may also return in either Q1 or Q2 of 2027. 

On the question of how far current prices could fall, Woo estimated that a plunge to $45,000 could mark a bear market bottom for BTC. He also stated that if global macro breaks down, $30,000 could be the fallback support level, with $16,000 highlighted as the final line of defense to maintain Bitcoin’s bull trend.

Bitcoin has experienced another net loss over the past week, with the premier cryptocurrency struggling to reclaim key technical levels. Meanwhile, a recent market evaluation shows that while price action is volatile, it is largely range-trapped between $60,000 to $70,000.

In a recent QuickTake report, a pseudonymous analyst with the username GugaOnChain analyzed Bitcoin’s current market structure, describing a battle between long-term conviction and short-term pressure.  According to data from the on-chain platform, Bitcoin remains in a mature bear market, consistent with projections made in December 2025.

Analyst GugaOnChain noted that at the $60,000 support level, long-term holders are described as the primary defensive force. In particular,  the 12 -18-month UTXO cohort has grown from 9.67% to 11.09%, indicating that more Bitcoin is aging into long-term storage. 

This suggests strengthening conviction among holders who accumulated over a year ago and are choosing not to sell despite market weakness. However,  he notes that historical bear market bottoms have seen this cohort reach much higher levels (30-44%), implying that while structural support is forming. A definitive macro bottom may not yet be confirmed.

Interestingly, a low Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) reading of 0.14 reinforces the idea that older coins remain dormant. Long-term holders are not distributing or panic selling, effectively acting as a liquidity anchor that prevents a deeper collapse below $60,000. 

On the resistance side near $70,000, active whales holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC are identified as the main source of selling pressure. Their distribution directly counters long-term holders’ resilience and caps upward momentum. Meanwhile, the Coinbase Premium Index remains negative (-0.04), signaling weak US institutional demand and a broader macro environment marked by risk aversion. Without strong institutional inflows, the market lacks the catalyst needed for a sustained breakout.

Additionally, short-term holders are experiencing capitulation, reflected in an MVRV-STH (Market value to Realized value – Short-term holders) ratio of 0.74, meaning many are holding at a loss and exiting positions. Overall, this shows that Bitcoin is undergoing a cleansing phase. While long-term value is gradually emerging, sustainable upside depends on the return of US institutional demand and a shift in macro conditions.

As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $63,823, reflecting a 5.75% jump in the past 24 hours.