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Draper ย้ำเป้า Bitcoin ที่ $250,000 ขณะ $BTCBULL ชูจุดแข็งแจก Bitcoin จริง

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 11:00

วันที่ 15 พฤษภาคม 2025 นักลงทุนพันล้านชื่อดังทิม เดรเปอร์ (Tim Draper) ได้ออกมาแสดงมุมมองเดิมเกี่ยวกับราคาของ Bitcoin อีกครั้งว่าจะพุ่งแตะ 250,000 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐภายในปี 2025 ซึ่งสะท้อนถึงความเชื่อมั่นอย่างต่อเนื่องที่เขาเคยคาดการณ์ไว้เมื่อครั้งแรกเมื่อปี 2018 แม้ว่ากรอบเวลาดังกล่าวจะเลื่อนจากเดิมที่ตั้งไว้ในปี 2022

ในขณะที่แนวโน้มการคาดการณ์ยังคงเป็นไปในเชิงบวก เหรียญมีมมาใหม่ “BTC Bull Token” ($BTCBULL) ได้กลายเป็นอีกหนึ่งทางเลือกที่นักลงทุนจับตามอง เนื่องจากมีการแจก Bitcoin จริงในทุก ๆ ครั้งที่ราคา Bitcoin ถึงเป้าหมาย 

โดยโครงการนี้ทำงานร่วมกับ Best Wallet ซึ่งเป็นกระเป๋าคริปโต Web 3.0 แบบ Non-custodial ที่มีระบบการจ่ายรางวัลแบบอัตโนมัติ

หาก Bitcoin บรรลุราคาเป้าหมาย 250,000 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐตามที่ Draper คาดการณ์ไว้ ผู้ถือครอง BTC Bull Token จะได้รับสิทธิประโยชน์ถึง 3 รอบจากระบบ Airdrop ซึ่งเกิดขึ้นเมื่อ Bitcoin แตะระดับ 150,000 ดอลลาร์ 200,000 ดอลลาร์และ 250,000 ดอลลาร์

นอกจากนี้ โครงการนี้ยังมีระบบ “เผาเหรียญ” ที่จะลดจำนวนเหรียญในระบบทุกครั้งที่ราคาของ Bitcoin เพิ่มขึ้นทุก 50,000 ดอลลาร์เริ่มตั้งแต่ 125,000 ดอลลาร์ ซึ่งช่วยเพิ่มความขาดแคลนและศักยภาพด้านราคาในระยะยาว

ปัจจุบัน BTC Bull Token ยังถูกเปิดขายในรอบพรีเซลโดยมีราคาปัจจุบันอยู่ที่ 0.002515 ดอลลาร์และจะมีการปรับเพิ่มขึ้นทุก 2-3 วัน

แนวโน้ม Bitcoin ยังสดใส – นักวิเคราะห์และนักลงทุนรายใหญ่ร่วมหนุน

เดรเปอร์ไม่ใช่นักลงทุนเพียงคนเดียวที่มองเห็นศักยภาพของ Bitcoin จะไปสู่ระดับราคาใหม่ 

อาเธอร์ เฮย์ส (Arthur Hayes) ผู้ร่วมก่อตั้ง BitMEX ได้คาดการณ์ราคาเดียวกันโดยอ้างอิงจากปัจจัยเศรษฐกิจมหภาคและสภาพคล่องในตลาด 

ขณะที่ทอม ลี (Tom Lee) จาก Fundstrat และโรเบิร์ต คิโยซากิ (Robert Kiyosaki) ผู้เขียนหนังสือ Rich Dad Poor Dad ต่างก็แสดงความคิดไปในทิศทางบวกว่า Bitcoin อาจแตะ 180,000 ดอลลาร์ภายในปีนี้

ฉมัท ปาลีหปิติยะ (Chamath Palihapitiya) นักลงทุนชื่อดังอีกคนหนึ่งถึงกับประเมินว่า Bitcoin อาจแตะระดับ 500,000 ดอลลาร์ภายในเดือนตุลาคม และแอนโธนี่ สการามุชชี (Anthony Scaramucci) แห่ง SkyBridge Capital ชี้ว่า Bitcoin จะกลายเป็นสินทรัพย์ระดับโลกอย่างสมบูรณ์เมื่อมีมูลค่าตลาดถึง 10 ล้านล้านดอลลาร์

ล่าสุด ณ เดือนกุมภาพันธ์ 2025 มูลค่าทรัพย์สินในกองทุน ETF ที่ลงทุนในคริปโตได้แตะระดับ 108,000 ล้านดอลลาร์โดยมีเงินทุนไหลเข้ามากกว่า 85,000 ล้านดอลลาร์ซึ่งสะท้อนถึงความเชื่อมั่นจากสถาบันการเงินทั่วโลก

ร่วมเปิดประสบการณ์ใหม่กับ BTC Bull Token ก่อนการปรับราคา

สำหรับผู้ที่สนใจเข้าร่วมโครงการ BTC Bull Token สามารถซื้อได้ผ่านเว็บไซต์ทางการ โดยรองรับการชำระด้วย ETH, USDT หรือแม้กระทั่งบัตรเครดิต/เดบิตทั่วไป 

นอกจากนี้ นักลงทุนยังสามารถนำ BTC Bull Token ไปทำการ Stake ผ่านโปรโตคอลของโครงการเพื่อรับผลตอบแทนประจำปี (APY) สูงถึง 71%

การถือครองเหรียญผ่าน Best Wallet ยังช่วยให้สามารถรับรางวัล Airdrop ได้แบบอัตโนมัติและสามารถตรวจสอบผลรางวัลล่วงหน้าได้ โดยแอปพลิเคชันนี้สามารถดาวน์โหลดได้ทั้งบน Google Play และ Apple App Store

ติดตามข่าวสารและกิจกรรมจากโครงการ BTC Bull Token ได้ผ่านช่องทาง X และ Telegram อย่างเป็นทางการ

Топ-менеджер PayPal Хосе Фернандес да Понте: Стейблкоины раскроют свой потенциал при участии банков

bits.media/ - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 10:40
Старший вице-президент по цифровым активам в PayPal Хосе Фернандес да Понте (Jose Fernandez da Ponte) заявил, что потенциал стейблкоинов может быть целиком раскрыт только при участии банковских учреждений.

Binance’s Ethereum Reserves Drop By Nearly 300,000 ETH In A Month – Is A Massive Rally Coming?

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 10:30

Although Ethereum (ETH) is still trading nearly 50% below its all-time high (ATH) of $4,878, signs are emerging that the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization may soon experience a “supply shock” due to dwindling reserves on major cryptocurrency exchanges like Binance.

Binance Ethereum Reserves See Massive Fall

According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by on-chain analyst Amr Taha, ETH reserves on Binance have been steadily falling since April 14. Taha noted that the exchange’s ETH reserves declined from slightly less than 4.2 million to 3.9 million by May 14 – a drop of around 300,000 ETH in just one month.

Such a sharp decrease over a relatively short period has reignited discussions around ETH’s supply scarcity narrative. When fewer coins are held on exchanges, the selling pressure tends to decrease. This reduction can lead to higher prices if demand remains constant, as the available ETH becomes more limited.

Taha proposed two possible reasons behind the drop in Binance’s ETH reserves. First, he suggested that investors may be transferring ETH to cold wallets or deploying it in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols for security or yield generation.

Second, institutional investors may be withdrawing large amounts of ETH for purposes such as over-the-counter (OTC) deals, private investments, or staking. These activities reduce exchange reserves without necessarily creating selling pressure. Taha concluded:

The 300,000 ETH decline in Binance’s reserves suggests a notable shift in investor behavior – possibly toward long-term holding, staking, or institutional accumulation. Although this may alleviate immediate selling pressure, traders should closely observe this trend and its interaction with overall market demand.

Is ETH Preparing To Rally?

Additional data points suggest that ETH may be gearing up for a major rally in the short to medium term. In a separate CryptoQuant post, contributor BlitzzTrading analyzed the behavior of ETH whales.

For context, ETH whales are typically wallet addresses that hold more than 10,000 ETH. BlitzzTrading shared the following chart, illustrating that the last major correction in ETH occurred after whales took profits when the price approached $4,000.

Currently, these whales do not appear to be engaging in significant profit-taking. However, BlitzzTrading advised closely monitoring this metric, as a spike in whale selling could signal a potential correction once ETH enters overbought territory.

Several analysts have set ambitious price targets for Ethereum in this market cycle. For example, crypto analyst Ted Pillows recently predicted that ETH could reach $12,000 later this year.

Pillows also pointed out that ETH appears to be following the Wyckoff Accumulation pattern – a classic market structure that often precedes significant price increases. He believes that if current momentum holds, ETH could reclaim the $4,000 level by Q3 2025.

Ethereum’s fundamentals are also strengthening. The network recently completed the highly anticipated Pectra upgrade, which is expected to enhance performance and security. At press time, ETH is trading at $2,541, down 2.2% over the past 24 hours.

Тим Дрейпер: Через 10 лет биткоин заменит доллар США

bits.media/ - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 10:15
Миллиардер и венчурный капиталист Тим Дрейпер заявил в подкасте CoinDesk Spotlight, что через десять лет или даже раньше биткоин полностью вытеснит доллар США и станет основной валютой мировой экономики.

Таджикистан запустил первую криптовалютную биржу в IT-парке Душанбе

bits.media/ - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 09:50
В столичном IT-парке Душанбе открылась первая в Таджикистане криптовалютная биржа под эгидой Агентства инноваций и цифровых технологий при поддержке Национального банка страны.

Бо Хайнс рассказал о стратегии США по регулированию стейблкоинов

bits.media/ - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 09:25
Директор Совета консультантов по цифровым активам Белого дома Бо Хайнс выступил на мероприятии Consensus 2025 в Торонто, рассказав о стратегии правительства США в области регулирования стейблкоинов и финансовых источниках резервного биткоин-фонда.

Ethereum Goes Heavy On Defense With Trillion-Dollar Security Initiative

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 09:00

Ethereum’s nonprofit arm rolled out a major security drive on May 14. It aims to shore up wallets, smart contracts, and the network itself. The move comes as more money flows onto the blockchain, with a plan big enough to protect “trillions” in digital assets.

Initiative Scope And Goals

According to the Foundation, the effort is called the Trillion Dollar Security Initiative. It has three steps. First, the team will scan everything from wallet design to consensus rules. They’ll hunt for weak spots in code and in the network. Then, they’ll pick the top fixes and work with builders to roll out updates. Finally, they’ll share what they learn and help users, firms, and regulators get up to speed on Ethereum security.

2. Ethereum must achieve “Trillion Dollar Security” – a world where:

– Billions of individuals feel safe holding $1000 onchain, collectively amounting to trillions of dollars

– Individual orgs are comfortable storing $1 trillion inside a single contract or application.

— Ethereum Foundation (@ethereumfndn) May 14, 2025

Expert Team And Roles

Based on reports, two in‑house leads will co‑chair the project. Fredrik Svantes handles protocol security research. Josh Stark sits on the Foundation’s management team. They’ll lean on three outside experts: Samczsun, Mehdi Zerouali, and Zach Obront. Those names carry weight in crypto circles. Together, they’ll guide audits, suggest fixes, and shape the plan.

Market Reaction And Data

ETH’s price has jumped more than 40% since the Pectra update on May 7, hitting nearly $2,755 before a slight pullback. Analysts point to key support in the $2,000–$2,300 band. If that holds, many expect a push toward $3,000. According to Coinglass data, derivatives volume climbed 25% to $121 billion, while open interest grew 4.5% to more than $32 billion. Those figures underline rising interest from big traders.

Impact On DeFi Dominance

Ethereum still holds roughly half of all DeFi value. Total value locked (TVL) on May 14 sat at about $80 billion, which is nearly 50–60% of the total locked across blockchains. By tightening security at every level, the network hopes to keep its lead. Institutions in particular look for clear safety measures before committing more funds.

This security push comes at a key moment. On‑chain activity has picked up, and so have the stakes. High‑profile hacks in past cycles cost users hundreds of millions. A public, well‑run audit can help ease fears and keep money moving in. It may also raise the bar for other smart‑contract platforms that want to draw users away from Ethereum.

Still, the real test will be execution. The Foundation needs to set clear timelines and track progress in public. Patches should be easy to adopt, and messages must reach end users in simple terms. A slick report won’t calm nerves if wallets stay confusing or if updates lag.

Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin Seeing 309,000 New Addresses Per Day: How Do XRP & Ethereum Compare?

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 08:00

Data shows the Bitcoin network is currently observing a high amount of adoption. Here’s how other major assets like XRP and Ethereum stack up.

Bitcoin Is Observing High Daily Average Wallet Creation Right Now

In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Santiment has discussed about how the average Network Growth has been like for the top assets in the sector during the past month.

The “Network Growth” here refers to an indicator that measures the total number of new addresses that are being created on a given network every day. An address is said to be generated when it makes its very first transaction.

When the value of this indicator goes up, it can be due to new investors joining the network or old ones who had sold earlier re-investing into it. Existing users creating multiple wallets to distribute their holdings for a purpose like privacy can also naturally add to this trend.

In general, all three of these can be considered to be simultaneously at play to some degree whenever the Network Growth registers a spike, so some net adoption of the cryptocurrency could be assumed to be occurring.

Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the Network Growth for the four largest cryptocurrencies by market cap: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and USDT.

As is visible in the above graph, Bitcoin has consistently remained the top coin in the sector based on this metric during the last twelve months, implying it has been attracting more user interest than the rest.

Over the past month, the daily average value of the indicator has stood at 309,000 for the cryptocurrency. Ethereum, the second largest digital asset, follows behind at 112,000, meaning the BTC network is expanding at a rate almost three times that of ETH’s.

There is again a large gap between second and third, with the stablecoin USDT witnessing an average of 36,400 addresses being created per day. Finally, there is XRP in fourth, severely lagging behind the rest with its Network Growth sitting at just 3,500.

Historically, adoption is something that has been constructive for cryptocurrency networks, as a wider userbase can provide for a more sustainable ground for futures price moves to grow on. That said, the effects of adoption are generally only visible in the long term.

Considering that the Bitcoin network has been growing at an appreciable rate for a while now, the asset’s bull run may be positioned well, at least in the context of userbase growth.

BTC Price

Bullish momentum has gone cold for Bitcoin during the past week as the asset’s price has again returned to the $102,600 mark.

Dogecoin Price Targets Remain High As Bulls Eye New All-Time Highs

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 06:00

The Dogecoin price has officially broken free from its multi-month downtrend, with bulls now eyeing a major price surge to new all-time highs. Technical indicators and Dogecoin’s current price action are flashing bullish, supporting this optimistic outlook. 

Dogecoin Price Targets $1 ATH

In a decisive move, DOGE has surged past a key descending trendline that has kept its price action suppressed since its last rally around February 2025. According to Chris, a crypto analyst on X (formerly Twitter), the breakout occurred as Dogecoin pushed through the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart, signaling strong bullish signals that suggest a potential shift in bearish positions. 

The analyst’s chart highlights Fibonacci Extension targets ranging between $0.69068 (1.618 Fib) and $0.82324 (2.0 Fib), situated within the green box in the presented chart. These levels are now in focus as the Dogecoin price consolidates above the $0.22 mark. 

Chris has set his sights on even higher targets for Dogecoin, calling for a $1 price surge by the end of summer. The analyst has identified this target as a key psychological level, predicting that Dogecoin could see a massive 355% increase from its current market price to reach this highly coveted level and set new all-time highs.

As long as DOGE holds above the key support zone near $0.20 highlighted in green on the chart, bulls appear to be in control. Failure to hold this key support area could lead to further losses in the DOGE price. The analyst has highlighted a potential breakdown to $0.194, marking a 13.6% decline from current price levels. 

DOGE Bulls Awaken As Price Clears Resistance 

Sharing a similar positive outlook for Dogecoin, MMBTrader, a crypto analyst on TradingView, has highlighted renewed bullish momentum as the price breaks through critical resistance levels. This breakout has sparked optimism amongst bulls, who are now setting their sights on new ATHs. 

The analyst explained that Dogecoin’s price has successfully broken through a major resistance level, where the price previously struggled to move higher. Now, the $0.205 resistance level has flipped into a support zone, potentially preventing the meme coin’s price from falling too far if it dips. 

MMBTrader shared a technical chart analysis, emphasizing the importance of the $0.405 resistance. Should the price manage to breach this key level, the TradingView analyst believes that the market would turn “extremely bullish,” paving the way toward long-term targets of $0.755 and $1.00. 

However, the DOGE price could also experience a pullback. The analyst has urged traders to monitor price action closely around the $0.205 and $0.18 support zones. Failure to hold these support areas could dampen the current bullish narrative and possibly lead to a larger decline in the Dogecoin price.

Bitcoin Daily RP Yield Signals Strength – Sustainable Growth Expected

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 04:30

Bitcoin is trading just above the $100,000 level after pulling back from its recent high of $105K. While the retrace appears healthy, market sentiment is beginning to fracture. Some analysts warn of a deeper correction below the psychological $100K mark, pointing to growing uncertainty in the short term. However, others see this as a necessary step to establish stronger support before the next leg up.

According to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s realized price—a key metric tracking the average price of all coins in circulation—currently stands around $45,000 and continues to climb. This upward trend in realized price reinforces the idea that the broader market is still in a healthy accumulation phase.

Additionally, daily Realized Profit (RP) yield ranges from 0.10% to 0.23%, translating to an impressive 36–85% annualized yield. The 30-day simple moving average of RP yield sits around 0.10%, or 35–40% annualized, indicating sustained profit-taking but not yet at overheated levels.

In this context, the market remains in a bullish structure with solid fundamentals. As long as Bitcoin holds above the $100K zone and realized metrics remain strong, the path toward new highs remains viable, even if short-term volatility lingers.

Sustained Profitability Suggests Bitcoin Uptrend Remains Intact

Bitcoin is currently testing demand near the $100,000 level after a strong multi-week rally that added over 40% in value since its April 9th low. Following a surge that brought BTC to the $105K mark, the market is now consolidating, with investors closely watching for signs of continuation or a deeper pullback. For now, the structure remains bullish, but volatility is expected.

Top analyst Axel Adler shared valuable on-chain insights via X, highlighting that Bitcoin is trading near $100K while its realized price—an indicator of the average price at which all coins last moved—sits at approximately $45,000 and continues to rise. This consistent upward movement in realized price suggests that the market remains in accumulation mode and is not yet at an overheated point.

Daily Realized Profit (RP) yield, a key profitability metric, ranges from 0.10% to 0.23%, or roughly 36–85% on an annualized basis. The 30-day simple moving average of this metric holds steady at around 0.10%, equal to 35–40% annualized. These figures point to a healthy market environment—profits are being realized, but not at levels that suggest excessive euphoria or speculative overheating.

Despite the bullish backdrop, analysts remain divided. Some argue that a major breakout is imminent once BTC confirms support above $100K, while others anticipate a correction to reset positioning. Either way, the current data signals that Bitcoin remains in a sustainable bull phase driven by organic demand and strengthening fundamentals.

BTC Tests Support At $101K As Market Cools Off

The 4-hour chart shows Bitcoin consolidating just above the $100K psychological level, trading at $101,921 after a failed breakout attempt near $105K. This pullback has shifted short-term momentum, with BTC now moving between key horizontal levels: $103,600 as resistance and $100,000 as crucial support.

Price action reveals lower highs forming since the local peak, suggesting that buying pressure is weakening in the short term. However, the broader trend remains intact, with the 200 EMA ($95,319) and 200 SMA ($93,656) trending upward and acting as dynamic support. This zone around $95K–$96K is likely to serve as a demand floor should Bitcoin lose $100K in the near term.

Volume has tapered off during this pullback, indicating that the retracement is more likely corrective than driven by panic selling. Still, the current structure warrants caution: a clean reclaim of $103,600 is needed to reestablish bullish dominance and target a breakout above the all-time high.

Until then, traders are likely to monitor the $100K level closely. A breakdown could trigger a cascade toward the $96K–$98K region, while a bounce here would strengthen the case for a renewed push toward price discovery.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

When Will The XRP Price Explode? Timeline Shared By Crypto Pundit

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 03:00

XRP’s price action in the recent days has been following that of Bitcoin very closely, and the past 24 hours has been characterized by a 3.3% price decline after a rejection from resistance, following in the steps of Bitcoin.

Interestingly, a new analysis shared by crypto strategist Cryptoinsightuk offers a timeline for when the XRP price could erupt again, aligning its next big move with key phases in Bitcoin’s dominance cycle and the possibility of rotation into the altcoin market.

Bitcoin Dominance Points To Approaching Altcoin Season

According to Cryptoinsightuk’s latest commentary, the altcoin market, XRP included, is on the verge of another explosive rally. In a YouTube video, the analyst explained that Bitcoin dominance is once again nearing an important threshold around the 70% mark, a point which in the past has marked the beginning of major altcoin seasons. This pattern has been evident across multiple cycles, and XRP, in particular, has shown the ability to outperform Bitcoin in these moments.

To support his prediction, the analyst referenced December 2024, a time when XRP surged from $0.50 to briefly above $3.30, outpacing Bitcoin in relative gains. This shows the possibility of large market cap altcoins to outperform Bitcoin, especially those with attention. He expects this trend to ring through most altcoins that have attention-based utility very soon, especially if Bitcoin dominance rejects around the 70% dominance. 

Once Bitcoin breaks through the $104,000 to $117,000 price range, the capital rotation into altcoins will likely begin. This liquidity move could create the conditions necessary for the XRP price to make its next leap and finally break into new all-time highs.

Speaking of new all-time highs, the analyst noted that Ethereum in particular is looking like it is about to move to a new all-time high. “At some point we’re going to see $4,200 ETH this cycle,” he said.

What This Means For XRP’s Timeline

First, the analyst expects Bitcoin to move squeeze through liquidity pools and at one point the price is going to go up significantly higher. If Bitcoin follows the exact timeline between the peak in March and the breakout in September, it will take 239 days. A similar movement will see Bitcoin break out massively sometime in July. 

Bitcoin at this point will reach a $160,000 price target, close to a $180,000 price top. If we get this move for Bitcoin, altcoins will rally when Bitcoin breaks through a range around $104,000 up until $117,000. Interestingly, this move is expected to be heradled by XRP. However, the rotation from Bitcoin into the altcoin market is mostly going to be through traders who bought before institutional money started flowing into Bitcoin. Particularly, those that bought before the last few weeks or before this cycle generally.

At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.50.

Bitcoin STH MVRV Trends Higher: Short-Term Holders Eye $118K–$128K Range

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 02:00

Bitcoin is trading above the $100,000 mark after several days of consolidation just under $105,000. The market remains uncertain as bulls attempt to push higher, while bears anticipate a potential retracement. The debate is intensifying: some analysts argue that a massive expansion is only a matter of time, while others suggest a healthy correction could be due before the next leg up.

New data from CryptoQuant adds depth to the current picture. According to the firm, the Short-Term Holder Market Value to Realized Value (STH MVRV) ratio currently stands at 1.09. This indicates that short-term holders are in moderate profit, but not yet at a level that typically triggers heavy selling. However, historical patterns suggest that the first significant wave of profit-taking often begins near an MVRV of 1.25 — which correlates to a Bitcoin price of around $118,000. A stronger wave tends to occur around 1.35, roughly at the $128,000 level.

At the current average growth rate, these MVRV milestones could be reached by early and late June, respectively. For now, all eyes are on Bitcoin’s next move as sentiment swings between breakout optimism and cautious profit management.

STH MVRV Forecasts Key Sell Zones As Bitcoin Holds Above $100K

Bitcoin is now facing a crucial technical test, with the $100,000 level acting as a key support zone that could determine the market’s next major move. Bulls must defend this area to confirm a strong bullish structure and maintain the momentum that has carried BTC over 40% higher since the April 9th low. After rallying more than 12% last week alone, Bitcoin has now spent over five weeks in a sustained uptrend, but the battle isn’t over yet.

If Bitcoin can hold above $100K and clear supply pressure near $105K, many analysts believe a breakout into price discovery could follow. Momentum is building, but the next steps will be decisive. According to CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler, on-chain metrics provide additional clues. The current STH MVRV (Short-Term Holder Market Value to Realized Value) ratio sits at 1.09, signaling modest profitability for short-term holders — a necessary condition for sustainable uptrends.

However, significant selling pressure is often triggered when the MVRV reaches 1.25 (target ≈ $118K) and intensifies around 1.35 (≈ $128K). If the current growth rate holds, these levels could be reached by early and late June, respectively. Adler emphasizes that these projections are linear, meaning real momentum could either accelerate or slow based on macro and market sentiment.

For now, Bitcoin remains in a bullish structure, but eyes are on how it navigates this key zone. A clean push above $105K could spark a wave of new demand, while any weakness below $100K may shift sentiment quickly.

Technical View: Price Testing Crucial Demand

Bitcoin is currently trading near the $101,765 level after facing strong rejection just below the $105,000 resistance zone. The chart shows that BTC has entered a consolidation range after a sharp rally from April lows, with price action repeatedly testing the $103,600–$105,000 area without a confirmed breakout. This zone now acts as a critical resistance that bulls must clear to resume the uptrend and push toward price discovery above the previous all-time high.

On the downside, the $100,000 mark has emerged as a key psychological and technical support. A breakdown below this level could trigger further downside toward the $95,000 region, which also aligns with the previous consolidation structure from early May. However, volume remains relatively muted compared to the breakout candles in early May, suggesting this current retrace could be temporary unless supported by growing sell pressure.

The 200-day EMA (green) and SMA (yellow) are well below the current price, supporting the bullish structure in the mid-term. However, if BTC continues to reject at local highs without renewed volume and momentum, traders may begin to reassess risk.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Dogecoin Consolidates With Purpose As Breakout Hints At A Rally To $0.4

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 01:00

As Wednesday drew to a close, Dogecoin witnessed a pullback due to growing bearish market sentiment, causing the dog-themed meme coin to enter a consolidation phase. DOGE’s price may be consolidating, but a crypto analyst claims that the development is a promising one that could trigger an upward trend to higher levels.

DOGE Prepares For Possible $0.4 Run

Dogecoin’s renewed upward trend seems to have lost steam as it revisits the $0.22 mark after the market turned slightly bearish. Currently, the meme coin is hovering within a narrow price range as investors and traders anticipate its next major move.

In a recent analysis on the X (formerly Twitter) platform, Trader Tardigrade, a market expert and investor, outlined that DOGE has entered a consolidation phase following its pullback. However, DOGE in a consolidation phase could just be the foundation of an impending strong rally.

Although this period of sideways action can seem inconspicuous, Trader Tardigrade’s analysis flags the phase as a strategic pause prior to a big breakout. Furthermore, it implies that DOGE is gathering strength within the narrow price range even as the market momentum gradually wanes.

Looking at his chart, the meme coin has reached a crucial level and is experiencing some resistance around the key zone. Its recent rejection from the zone led to a brief period of consolidation within the $0.21 and $0.25 price range.

According to the expert, DOGE’s short-term consolidation over a few days is “super healthy for future price movements” as it hovers near critical resistance levels. Nonetheless, Trader Tardigrade expects a breakout in the upcoming days, suggesting that the sideways movement would be short and beneficial. Once the Dogecoin breaks above the current resistance, the analyst is confident it will spur the next major move to the $0.4 mark.

A Significant Rally Ahead For Dogecoin

Key technical signals on the 1-day chart are also pointing to a potential upward trend for Dogecoin. Trader Tardigrade highlighted in another post that DOGE’s “Relative Strength Index (RSI) MA is ready to climb to the top.” 

The expert further mentions that this uptrend segment may cause the asset to soar sharply in the short term. His forecast is based on past trends, where the RSI MA turned bullish and sparked a significant rally in November last year.

With growing momentum aligning with an uptick in network activity, DOGE is likely to continue its newfound upsurge. Ali Martinez, an on-chain and technical expert, reported a huge spike in active wallet addresses amid price growth.

Data shows that Dogecoin active wallet addresses have risen to 127,570, indicating heightened adoption and interest in the network. The rise in address activity may be a precursor to a wider recovery as more wallets swing into action, suggesting that the meme coin is preparing for its next significant move.

Strategy’s 500,000 BTC Holdings At Risk As Bitcoin’s 200-Day MA Remains Low At $47,000

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 05/16/2025 - 00:00

Strategy’s BTC holdings could be at risk following Technical expert Tony Severino’s revelation about Bitcoin’s current price action. The expert noted that the flagship crypto’s 200-day MA is below the average cost of the company’s BTC holdings, meaning they could still hold an unrealized loss at some point. 

Strategy’s Stock At Risk With Bitcoin’s 200-Day MA Below $50,000

In an X post, Tony Severino revealed that every Bitcoin bear market touched the 200-week Moving Average. He further stated that the 200-week MA is currently at $47,000. As Severino noted, this is 30% below Strategy’s BTC cost basis. The expert added that the cost basis is only $5,000 below the most recent low set in April 2025. 

Severino warned that if BTC were to make a lower low or move into a bear market, the company would likely soon be underwater on its Bitcoin holdings. Following its latest purchase of 13,390 Bitcoins, Strategy holds 568,840 BTC, which it bought for $39 billion at an average price of $69,287, well above the 200-week MA at $47,000. 

Before now, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju had revealed that the only way Strategy’s Bitcoin plan could lead to bankruptcy was if the BTC price dropped to as low as $16,000. He indicated that this price decline was almost impossible, which is why he is confident that Saylor’s company won’t have to liquidate its holdings anytime soon. 

However, experts like renowned economist Peter Schiff have remained critical about Strategy’s non-stop Bitcoin purchase. In his latest criticism, Schiff noted that the company’s next buy would likely put its cost average above the $70,000 mark. He remarked that this isn’t good considering how much they have borrowed to buy BTC. In line with this, the economist warned that paper losses could soon become real losses. 

BTC Still Has More Legs To The Upside 

Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has indicated that Bitcoin has more legs to the upside in this market cycle, which is a positive for Strategy’s BTC holdings. In an X post, the analyst noted that despite BTC being near its all-time high (ATH), the monthly LMACD hasn’t crossed bearish yet. He added that the crossover has marked the top in every past cycle. 

As such, Bitcoin’s 200-Week MA could also rise as the BTC price approaches a top in this market cycle. Crypto analyst CrediBULL recently predicted that the flagship crypto could still rally to as high as $150,000 or even $200,000 in this bull run. Standard Chartered has also stated that $200,000 by year-end is achievable. 

At the time of writing, the  Bitcoin price is trading at around $102,000, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Crypto Cold War? Trump Says US Is Beating China In Digital Assets

bitcoinist.com - 周四, 05/15/2025 - 23:00

United States President Donald Trump has painted a picture of the United States pulling ahead of China in the battle for crypto dominance. He made the claim in a recent social media post, asserting that the US dominating China in the crypto race. At the same time, both nations have dialed back the steep tariffs they piled on each other just weeks ago.

Trade Tensions Ease

According to official trade data, the United States slapped a 145% levy on certain Chinese imports in early April 2025. China hit back with a 125% tariff on US goods. Those rates have now fallen—America’s additional duty is capped at 30%, and China’s surcharge sits at 10%.

Crypto Rivalry Highlighted

Based on reports of a tweet from financial market reporter Walter Bloomberg, Trump said, “We are leading China in crypto.”

He framed it as a contest for who leads the world in digital coins. Short and sweet, the comment casts Washington and Beijing as opponents in a high‑stakes race.

TRUMP: WE’RE LEADING CHINA IN CRYPTO

— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) May 14, 2025

Mining Support Plans

According to a statement attributed to US Commerce insiders, the administration has rolled out an “Investment Accelerator” for Bitcoin miners. It would back off‑grid power plants fueled by waste gas.

Those plants could be built next to mining sites, cutting out reliance on local utilities. The idea promises cleaner energy use and lower electricity costs for data centers crunching numbers to secure the Bitcoin network.

Regulation And Holdings

China still bans crypto payments and investments. American regulators, by contrast, are said to be working on clear rules to help the industry grow here. Based on reports from the president’s own circle, Trump has even invested in Bitcoin and Ethereum through a family‑backed venture. His son Eric Trump reportedly confirmed that the president holds a sizable amount of Bitcoin.

Seized Coins And Strategic Goals

US law‑enforcement agencies hold roughly 198,000 BTC earned from civil and criminal cases. China’s on‑chain wallets still contain about 194,000 BTC despite the country’s strict ban on mining and trading. Those seized coins don’t fund policy, but they do underscore how much digital gold has passed through US courts.

Observers say Trump’s comments come just as crypto firms look for stable ground. The tariff rollback offers relief for importers. Clearer crypto rules could bring fresh investment.

Whether America truly “wins” the race depends on if regulators can balance investor protections with room to innovate. For now, the White House is betting that friendly policies and big‑scale mining projects will keep the country in the lead.

Featured image from Pacific Forum, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Supply Sees Second Consecutive Decline After Period Of Growth

bitcoinist.com - 周四, 05/15/2025 - 22:00

In spite of waning market conditions, Bitcoin has held strongly above the $103,000 price mark, demonstrating its robust resilience and the strength of its recent upward trend. Following the slight pullback in Bitcoin’s price, seasoned BTC investors are exhibiting a worrying trend as they sharply increase their spending.

Long-Term Bitcoin Holders Supply Cools Off

Several technical indicators are pointing to a continuation of Bitcoin’s upward trend despite a slight pullback on Wednesday. As the flagship asset gears up for another rally, Glassnode, a leading financial and on-chain data platform, has underlined a key shift among BTC’s long-term holders, often considered seasoned investors.

Following a period of steady accumulation and HODLing behavior, long-term BTC holders’ supply has shown hesitancy as prices grow. This indication of hesitancy has raised concerns about Bitcoin’s uptrend and whether these investors are starting to reevaluate their positions in response to waning price performances.

Glassnode highlighted that the long-term holders’ supply ticked down for the second consecutive time in May, indicating growing, weakened conviction among seasoned holders. The decline comes after the holders’ supply surged from 13.66 million BTC in the middle of March to about 14.29 million BTC.

The on-chain platform further revealed that BTC’s long-term holders’ spending experienced a notable surge, rising to the 0.43 range as indicated in the LTH Spending Binary Indicator metric in the 7-day time frame. Thus, Glassnode has flagged the development as one that needs close observation since these inflections can intensify rapidly, frequently leading to local market tops.

Even though Bitcoin’s LTH supply decline may not yet indicate weakness, it adds a level of complexity to the asset’s renewed upward movements. Should the trend continue, it is likely to influence BTC’s direction, leading to a correction in the short term.

Realized Price For Long-Term BTC Holders Grows

In another report on the X platform, Glassnode drew attention to a rise in BTC’s long-term holders’ realized price. After examining the Bitcoin Long/Short-Term Holders On-Chain Basis, the metric shows that LTH’s realized price has increased to the $45,340 level, signifying an important turning point that highlights the growing conviction of seasoned investors.

The Bitcoin Long/Short-Term Holders On-Chain Basis metric, which represents the average purchase cost of Bitcoin held for 155 days or more, has been increasing persistently, suggesting that long-term holders are steadily accumulating the asset at higher price levels. According to Glassnode, this reflects the aging of coins purchased between the $90,000 to $100,000 price range transitioning into long-term status. 

With the 155-day cut-off, the metric shows that BTC buyers from December 24 are now classified as long-term holders, which progressively raises the group’s cost basis. A steady rise in the cohort’s cost basis supports the thesis that seasoned investors are still optimistic about BTC’s future performance.

WhiteBIT Crowns World’s First Top Crypto Trader In International Trading Cup

bitcoinist.com - 周四, 05/15/2025 - 21:11

WhiteBIT, Europe’s largest crypto exchange by traffic, hosted the first-ever International Crypto Trading Cup (ICTC 2025), crowning Ukrainian Max Hamaha as the competition’s first winner after a dramatic comeback.

WhiteBIT’s First International Crypto Trading Cup

Last week, WhiteBIT crowned Max Hamaha as the Top Trader in its ICTC 2025 event. The globally live-streamed two-day tournament, held on May 9 and 10, brought together eight of the world’s top crypto traders to compete in real-time on stage.

The participants were allocated 50,000 USDTB, WhiteBIT’s internal asset for futures trading, and traded for twelve hours, six hours each day, executing 269 trades in total.  During the tournament, trades provided insight into advanced trading strategies, risk management, and decision-making under pressure.

Max Hamaha, who started the first day at the bottom of the rankings, emerged as the first-ever ICTC Champion after his comeback on the second day. He earned the top spot with a realized Profit and Loss (rPNL) of 7,488.84 USDT from a high-conviction long position on Ethereum (ETH).

In second place, Dutch Merlijn The Trader joined the podium with a rPNL of 6,745.96 USDT, while Eugene Loza, another Ukrainian, known as EXCAVO, came third with a rPNL of 4,098.90 USDT.

Hamaha also ranked second in the Total Trades metric with 47 transactions, just behind Muslim Abdullayev, known as Mus_Money, from Kazakhstan, who made 49 total trades.

Malik Roth Klindt Jensen, known as Coinvo, achieved ICTC’s single-largest gain with 12,249 USDT profit on an ETH-PERP position. Meanwhile, the tournament’s largest single loss, also on the ETH-PERP pair, totaled a loss of 10,725 USDT, stressing the high-risk nature of trading.

As the crypto competition’s champion, Hamaha had his name lighting up the LED boards during El Clásico, the biggest football match between Spanish giants Real Madrid and FC Barcelona, one of WhiteBIT’s official partners.

This marked the first time a trading competition winner was featured during one of the world’s most-watched traditional sporting events. As such, the tournament, watched by thousands, marked a “significant step toward establishing crypto trading as a competitive, spectator-worthy discipline on par with traditional esports.”

Competitive Trading: A New Era

Hamada reflected on the experience, sharing, “trading live on stage was an incredibly exciting experience—more intense and way more fun than trading at home. I had to adjust my usual approach to fit the tournament rules, but I still focused on active intraday trading with high leverage. I felt confident throughout, though the final minutes got nerve-wracking as others went all-in.”

He also suggested that “WhiteBIT is setting a new trend—competitive trading could easily go mainstream like esports. In a few years, I can see crypto trading tournaments rivaling Dota 2.”

Beyond the main stage, ICTC 2025 offered a look into professional traders’ techniques, as over 3,000 participants shared live screens and walked through their setups and decisions.

Marc Principato, one of the tournament hosts and a market technician, emphasized the event’s educational value:

The competition highlighted diverse trading styles, including standout performances such as Mauro Ciami’s aggressive “go big or go home” strategy that dominated day one, and Merlin and Excavo’s high-risk overnight positions that paid off significantly on day two.

Principato considers that the one-of-a-kind event offers “priceless” lessons for aspiring and experienced traders alike, as they come away with practical knowledge that can be incorporated into their style. Meanwhile, the founder and President of WhiteBIT Group, Volodymyr Nosov, stated:

With this tournament, we’re pioneering a new frontier. This is not just about trading—it’s about building community, sharing knowledge, and accelerating global adoption of blockchain. We’re building the infrastructure for the future. ICTC 2025 was a first step to understand what works, what our traders and audience want, and where we can go from here. Our goal is to make this a recurring, global event—bigger and better with each edition.

As a result, the crypto exchange is preparing for the next installment of the event, with registration now open for ICTC 2026, inviting “new and experienced traders worldwide to compete, connect, and make history.”

Cardano Founder Targets Crypto’s ‘Three Demons’ With Midnight Network

bitcoinist.com - 周四, 05/15/2025 - 21:00

In an appearance at Consensus 2025, Charles Hoskinson, founder of Cardano and CEO of Input Output, outlined what he considers the three existential threats—or “demons”—that must be vanquished for the crypto industry to achieve meaningful, global adoption: privacy, economic fragmentation, and what he called “Ponzonomics.”

His proposed answer to these challenges is the long-gestating Midnight network, which he described as a multi-chain, privacy-centric infrastructure designed to stitch together the fractured blockchain landscape without succumbing to the incentives that have plagued previous generations of crypto projects.

Cardano Fights The 3 ‘Demons Of Crypto’

“The number one demon is this concept of privacy,” Hoskinson declared. He praised the industry’s success in creating immutable public ledgers but warned that “we overdid it.” Pointing to stablecoins like USDT and USDC, where every transaction is transparently visible, he likened the current system to a “panopticon of financial surveillance.” Hoskinson questioned whether users truly want all of their activity—financial, medical, or otherwise—permanently etched into public ledgers. “It’s kind of obvious,” he said, “but all these Tether transactions, all these Circle transactions… they’re all public and trackable.”

To address this, Midnight was developed as a privacy layer over the past six years within Input Output and has since been spun out into its own dedicated engineering subsidiary, Shielded. A new coordinating entity, the Midnight Foundation, is now led by Fahmy Syed. But privacy alone is not sufficient, Hoskinson argued. Any viable infrastructure must also accommodate the realities of network effects and interoperability, which led him to the second demon: the adversarial mindset that permeates much of crypto economics.

Rather than attempting to supplant dominant ecosystems like Ethereum or Solana, Midnight is designed to integrate with them. “It talks to Solana, it talks to Ethereum, it talks to Avalanche, it talks to Cardano, it talks to BNB and XRP and so forth,” Hoskinson said. Developers can pay transaction fees in the native currencies of their respective chains, allowing them to use Midnight’s infrastructure without migrating assets or liquidity. The goal, he explained, is for blockchain developers to treat Midnight the way AI startups treat OpenAI APIs—callable infrastructure, rather than a parallel ecosystem that demands ideological allegiance.

This collaborative approach, which he called “cooperative economics,” is a direct challenge to the winner-take-all mentality of many Web3 projects. “No matter how much money Microsoft spends, they don’t seem to be able to break up that Google search monopoly,” he noted. Midnight, by contrast, seeks to serve as connective tissue, not a replacement organ.

The third demon, in Hoskinson’s view, is what he dubbed years ago “Ponzonomics”—a critique of crypto’s reliance on tokenomics built to enrich insiders and early investors rather than to build sustainable infrastructure. “We didn’t do a VC raise,” he reminded the audience. “Instead of doing an ICO or venture capital, I’ll just spend my own money, build it, release it, finish, and do an airdrop.” That airdrop will target users across eight major chains, potentially reaching 37 million wallets. “So the odds are people listening to this probably already hold it once the airdrop happens.”

Beyond technical design and economic structure, Hoskinson emphasized that the future of any blockchain protocol hinges on community and ideology. “To be useful, you have to have good governance. To be useful, you have to be adaptable as a complex adaptive system and resilient and grow,” he said. The survival of projects like Dogecoin and Bitcoin, he argued, stems not from technical superiority but from strong, enduring communities. “You can’t astroturf it,” he said. “You can’t just open up your checkbook and pay people a lot of money and somehow they love you. That’s a transactional relationship. They’ll be there until they’re not.”

Hoskinson contrasted this with Cardano’s core philosophy: enabling people to vote, govern, and allocate resources through a constitutionally anchored system. “We have an on-chain treasury, and we get to decide year by year what the roadmap going to be,” he said. This, he claimed, has helped Cardano weather multiple bear markets while retaining a committed community.

Midnight, with its emphasis on privacy, cross-chain cooperation, and anti-speculative economics, is the culmination of these ideological pillars. “It’s really exciting,” Hoskinson concluded. “We can now have supply chains, secure voting systems, health care record systems, financial systems… where you, your accountant, your CFO, your organization gets to see one set of books, but then the world sees another. But you preserve everything that makes cryptocurrency special: the auditability, the verifiability, the provability.”

At press time, Cardano traded at $0.78.

Банк России признал биткоин самым доходным финансовым активом

bits.media/ - 周四, 05/15/2025 - 19:01
Доходность вложений в биткоин составила в прошлом году около 38%, что больше доходности традиционных финансовых инструментов, таких как акции, облигации и драгоценные металлы, сообщили аналитики Банка России.

What The?! $400 Million Gone! Insider Phishing Attack Shakes Coinbase

bitcoinist.com - 周四, 05/15/2025 - 19:00

Coinbase, the world’s third‑largest crypto exchange, faced a serious threat when outside attackers tried to extort $20 million in Bitcoin. The group paid off a small number of overseas support agents, initial reports disclose. Those insiders then leaked personal account details. No passwords or private keys were taken, Coinbase said. The crypto exchange’s Prime Accounts also escaped harm. Still, less than 1% of the company’s monthly active traders saw some of their data exposed.

Inside Support Team Access

According to Coinbase, a handful of customer‑support contractors were offered bribes to tap into internal tools. They used their access to pull out names, email addresses and limited transaction records. Only a small slice of users were affected. But even a minor leak can fuel more scams. Criminals often use stolen information to target victims with custom tricks.

Coinbase Says It Won’t Give In

Based on reports, the hackers demanded 20 million dollars’ worth of Bitcoin to keep silent. But, Coinbase made it clear: it would not pay that kind of money. Instead, the company announced a $20 million‑dollar bounty for anyone who helps nail those behind the plot. That move flips the script. It puts the spotlight on the crooks and turns them into the hunted rather than the hunters.

Funds For Customer Reimbursements

Coinbase also revealed that it plans to set aside between $180 million and $400 million. That cash will cover payouts to people who got tricked by phishing scams. In 2024 alone, the exchange was the most impersonated brand in crypto, making phishing calls and fake emails a constant headache. Users who lost funds to those scammers will get their money back under Coinbase’s program.

Indeed there’s a lot of Coinbase user thefts I posted tied to the group pic.twitter.com/HVO4ENjZ4f

— ZachXBT (@zachxbt) May 15, 2025

Phishing Losses Keep Rising

Blockchain watcher ZachXBT has been raising alarms about phishing costs. He pegged the loss at around $45 million in just one week before May 7. On top of that, he estimates that scams drain over $300 million every year from Coinbase customers. Those numbers show how big the problem has grown. It also explains why Coinbase is committing hundreds of millions to fight back.

Plans To Harden Defenses

Looking ahead, Coinbase says it will tighten data controls and move parts of its support work to new locations. It will also step up staff checks and vetting before agents get access to live systems. On top of that, the exchange aims to boost its fraud‑monitoring tools. Users can expect more alerts when unusual activity shows up on their accounts.

Featured image from ESET, chart from TradingView

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