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Japanese Banking Giant Cuts Crypto Bets After Q3 Profit Slump

bitcoinist.com - 周二, 02/03/2026 - 11:00

Nomura, Japan’s biggest brokerage and banking giant, said it will temporarily trim its cryptocurrency positions after a weak quarter that dented profits and tightened its short-term risk tolerance. The pullback looks aimed at smoothing swings to earnings while the firm keeps its longer-term plans for digital assets alive.

Bank Cuts Crypto Exposure After Profit Decline

According to earnings disclosures and company remarks, Nomura’s net income fell nearly 10 percent in the third quarter that ended December 31, leaving group profit lower than a year earlier and prompting management to curb some crypto trading positions to limit further hits.

Nomura’s European crypto arm, Laser Digital, had posted trading losses during the period, which management singled out as a key factor behind the move to tighten position limits.

Reports note that executives described the steps as temporary and targeted — not an exit from the market but a way to manage volatility while other parts of the business keep growing.

We’ve just announced our 3Q 2025-26 financial results. Here are some key figures from this quarter. View the full announcement here: https://t.co/mdYHgOnN5u pic.twitter.com/sosuQqihni

— Nomura (@Nomura) January 30, 2026

Short-Term Pullback, Long-Term Play

There is a split in the timeline. On one hand, Laser Digital has recently filed paperwork to expand its services abroad, including applying for a US national trust bank charter as it seeks to offer custody and trading to institutional clients.

On the other hand, trading desks that took losses are being put on a tighter leash so quarterly results don’t swing wildly. That two-track approach is what analysts say explains the seeming contradiction.

Investors reacted quickly. Nomura’s shares slipped after the earnings update, reflecting market concern about the hit to European operations and the extra costs tied to a large acquisition completed in the period.

Management has flagged that one-off charges played a role in the weaker profit line, alongside the trading losses.

Risk Controls Tightened, Growth Goals Kept

Reports say Nomura has tightened risk controls around digital-asset positions and is conducting stricter oversight of exposures that can swing with crypto price moves.

At the same time, executives stressed the firm’s broader commitment to building crypto infrastructure and services over the medium to long term, rather than abandoning the sector outright.

The immediate effect is clear: fewer large directional bets in the trading book and more cautious position sizing. That reduces profit volatility but can limit upside if crypto prices rebound sharply.

Featured image from The Exchange Asia, chart from TradingView

ING Now Allows Crypto Investments as SUBBD Token Soars

bitcoinist.com - 周二, 02/03/2026 - 10:54

The cryptocurrency market is showing a fascinating divergence: institutional giants are building the floor while retail traders are aggressively testing the ceiling.

Reports that major banking institutions like ING are warming up to direct crypto services signal a critical shift in market structure.

That’s not just about accessibility, it’s about the legitimization of digital assets as a standard portfolio component for conservative European wealth. (Frankly, when a legacy bank moves, it validates the asset class for risk-averse capital that has remained on the sidelines for a decade).

Meanwhile, the retail sector is operating with a totally different risk profile. Just look at the parabolic moves in assets like $SUBBD. The surge in these niche, community-driven tokens suggests that despite macroeconomic headwinds, risk-on appetite remains voracious.

The dichotomy is stark: while bankers analyze Bitcoin ETFs, the ‘degen’ economy is hunting for 100x multipliers in the AI infrastructure sector. This barbell structure, stability on one end, high volatility on the other, implies liquidity is returning to the system, but it’s bifurcated.

But the most astute capital is looking beyond the safety of banks or the casino-like nature of memes. Smart money is positioning itself in the middle ground: utility-driven protocols that solve tangible Web2 problems using Web3 infrastructure.

Specifically, the intersection of Artificial Intelligence and the creator economy is emerging as the next major growth narrative. Investors are increasingly rotating profits from high-volatility plays into infrastructure projects like SUBBD Token that offer sustainable revenue models.

Visit SUBBD Token’s official page.

SUBBD Token Targets the $85 Billion Creator Economy

While the broader market debates regulatory frameworks, SUBBD Token is executing a targeted strike on the $85 billion content creation industry. The current Web2 model? It’s fundamentally broken for creators. Platforms often extract up to 70% of earnings in fees, impose arbitrary bans, and enforce strict geographical payment restrictions.

SUBBD uses Ethereum-based EVM-compatible smart contracts to dismantle these barriers, offering a decentralized alternative where creators actually retain control over their content and revenue.

The project differentiates itself by integrating proprietary AI models directly into its ecosystem. This isn’t merely about payment processing, it’s about workflow automation. The platform features an AI Personal Assistant for automated interactions and advanced AI Voice Cloning technology, allowing influencers to scale their presence without scaling their workload.

For fans, the utility is equally tangible: token-gated access creates an exclusive layer of interaction that fiat subscriptions can’t replicate.

From a portfolio standpoint, this represents a shift from speculative assets to productive ones. By merging Web3 transparency with AI-driven influencer tools, the project addresses the fragmentation of current software. Instead of subscribing to five different services for chatbots, voice generation, and payments, creators access a unified ecosystem. That consolidation of utility is precisely what transforms a token from a trading vehicle into a fundamental infrastructure play.

Explore the SUBBD ecosystem.

Early Capital Flows and Staking Metrics

The market’s appetite for this AI-Web3 hybrid model is reflected in the early capital inflows. According to official data, the project has already raised $1.4M, a figure that suggests significant conviction from early entrants despite the broader market’s volatility.

With tokens currently priced at $0.0574875, the entry point allows for position sizing that’s difficult to achieve in established large-cap assets.

Beyond the capital raise, the protocol’s retention mechanics are designed to mitigate the sell pressure often seen in new launches. The staking structure offers a fixed 20% APY for the first year, creating a compelling incentive for holders to lock supply. This isn’t just an inflationary reward; it’s a mechanism to align user behavior with long-term platform growth.

Stakers also gain access to XP multipliers and exclusive ‘behind the scenes’ content drops, gamifying the holding process. This approach, combining high-yield staking with functional platform benefits, creates a liquidity sink that stabilizes the token economy.

While ING clients are limited to market-beta returns, SUBBD offers a third path: early-stage exposure to a utility protocol with built-in yield generation.

As the presale advances, the window to acquire tokens at the $0.0002802 valuation tightens, placing a premium on early decision-making.

View the official SUBBD presale site.

The information provided in this article does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the article’s content as such. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and carry significant risk. Always conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Hyperliquid Team Plans Expansion Into Prediction Markets as HYPE Pumps 20%

bitcoinist.com - 周二, 02/03/2026 - 10:32

The decentralized derivatives landscape isn’t just shifting; it’s mutating. Hyperliquid, currently the heavyweight champion of on-chain perps, has signaled a direct expansion into prediction markets.

The market’s reaction was immediate and violent: the HYPE token surged 20% following the revelation, proving there is an immense appetite for infrastructure that bridges traditional trading with event wagering.

Why does this matter? Liquidity consolidation. Until now, prediction markets like Polymarket lived in silos, isolated from high-frequency perp trading. Hyperliquid’s integration hints at a future where capital efficiency rules supreme—traders can hedge election outcomes and leverage long ETH positions from a single collateral pool.

That 20% surge wasn’t just speculation. It was a rapid repricing of the protocol’s total addressable market.

But look closer at the liquidity flowing into high-performance chains. There is a secondary trend brewing: a resurgence of ‘high-conviction’ trading culture.

The traders on Hyperliquid aren’t passive allocators; they’re hunting volatility, leverage, and competition. That specific mindset is exactly what’s now fueling Maxi Doge ($MAXI), a project built for the ‘degen’ trader who treats markets like a contact sport.

Buy $MAXI today.

Maxi Doge Targets the ‘Leverage King’ Demographic

While Hyperliquid builds the plumbing for risk, Maxi Doge captures the culture of the risk-taker. Forget the passive ‘hold and hope’ mechanics of yesterday’s meme coins. Maxi Doge positions itself as a 240-lb canine juggernaut, embodying the ‘1000x energy’ of the current bull cycle. Its ethos: ‘Never skip leg-day, never skip a pump’, resonates with retail traders who know the market is a grind requiring serious conviction.

Frankly, the utility goes deeper than just aesthetics. Maxi Doge (unexpectedly for a meme token) integrates Holder-Only Trading Competitions, gamifying the experience like the leaderboards on major perp DEXs. It rewards top ROI hunters, aligning tokenomics with active participation. Plus, the ‘Maxi Fund’ treasury backs this ecosystem, ensuring liquidity for partnerships and high-impact marketing.

Sound familiar? It’s the strategies of top DeFi protocols applied to meme culture.

That cultural alignment counts. In a market where attention is the scarcest asset, projects mirroring their holders’ psychology often cook the hardest. Maxi Doge isn’t trying to be a currency; it’s a badge of honor for the “Leverage King” demographic.

Learn more about the project’s tokenomics.

Whales Accumulate $503K as Presale Momentum Builds

Smart money seems to agree with this thesis. While retail chases green candles elsewhere, on-chain data from Etherscan shows two whale wallets accumulated $503K in recent transactions within the Maxi Doge ecosystem. The largest single clip, a massive $314K transaction, executed on Oct 11, 2025.

That suggests high-net-worth players are positioning themselves well before the token hits public trading venues.

Presale metrics show demand accelerating. According to the official site, Maxi Doge has already raised over $4.5M, with tokens priced at $0.0002802. In a landscape fragmented across L2s and Solana, that’s no small feat. For an Ethereum mainnet token to command this level of early-stage capital signals real confidence in the ‘meme-first, utility-second’ hybrid model.

And then there’s the staking architecture. It’s designed to lock up supply while rewarding conviction. The smart contract governs a dynamic APY with daily automatic distribution from a 5% staking allocation pool. This setup encourages the long-term holding behavior seen in blue-chip DeFi governance tokens, aiming to dampen volatility.

Visit the official site for presale details.

The content provided in this article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile.

Bitcoin Rebounds to $78.5K, But Technicals Suggest No Long-Term Support Yet

bitcoinist.com - 周二, 02/03/2026 - 10:20

Bitcoin has managed to claw its way back to $78.5K, a psychological level that has bulls calling for a run to six figures. But pop the champagne just yet? Probably not.

A closer look at the order books reveals a troubling divergence: price is rising, but conviction is thinning.

The bounce looks driven largely by derivatives leverage rather than spot demand. Order block analysis suggests a massive liquidity gap between $72,000 and the current price. Meaning? Any sudden selling pressure could cascade rapidly without structural support to catch the falling knife. It’s a fragile setup where volatility is the only guarantee.

While price action remains choppy, the underlying ecosystem is shifting gears. Smart money is looking past the daily candles—often noise anyway, and focusing on the structural limitations plaguing the network. Every time Bitcoin rallies, fees spike and confirmation times drag.

That bottleneck has catalyzed a rotation of capital into infrastructure plays designed to solve these exact friction points. Investors are increasingly hedging their spot exposure by moving into high-performance Layer 2 protocols. The logic is sound: if Bitcoin succeeds, the network needs scaling; if it stalls, innovation happens on the layers above.

Leading this charge is Bitcoin Hyper, a project that’s becoming a focal point for institutional-grade interest by integrating Solana’s speed directly onto Bitcoin’s security layer.

Buy $HYPER today.

Bitcoin Hyper Merges SVM Speed With Bitcoin Security

The market has long debated whether Bitcoin should remain a store of value or evolve into a programmable platform. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) renders that debate moot by offering both. As the first Bitcoin Layer 2 to integrate the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), it delivers technical prowess that legacy sidechains just haven’t achieved.

That matters. Ethereum’s dominance in DeFi stemmed largely from Bitcoin’s inability to handle complex smart contracts. By using the SVM, Bitcoin Hyper introduces low-latency execution to the Bitcoin ecosystem. The architecture is modular: it uses Bitcoin L1 for final settlement and a real-time SVM L2 for execution. The result? Sub-second finality, a stark contrast to the main chain’s 10-minute crawl.

Developers (usually the first to spot technical breakouts) are eyeing the ‘Decentralized Canonical Bridge.’ This infrastructure unlocks high-speed payments in wrapped BTC and enables sophisticated DeFi applications, from lending protocols to NFT platforms, all built with Rust-based SDKs. It solves the “trilemma” by keeping the base layer secure while outsourcing the heavy lifting to a hyper-efficient execution layer.

Check out the Bitcoin Hyper ecosystem.

Smart Money Rotates Into $31M Presale Event

While the broader market stays tentative about short-term price action, capital allocators are aggressively positioning themselves in the $HYPER presale. The project has raised over $31.2M, a figure that underscores the demand for scalable Bitcoin infrastructure.

On-chain metrics back this up. According to Etherscan records, two whale wallets have accumulated over $1M in $HYPER tokens.

The largest single transaction ($500K) hit the chain on Jan 15, 2026, signaling that high-net-worth individuals are securing positions well before public trading starts. With tokens currently priced at $0.013675, these early entries suggest a belief that the asset is undervalued relative to its utility.

The tokenomics look designed to incentivize long-term holding. The protocol offers high APY staking immediately after the Token Generation Event (TGE), with a modest 7-day vesting period for presale stakers. That structure mitigates the risk of immediate post-launch dumping while rewarding governance participants. For investors weary of Bitcoin’s current chop at $78.5K, the $HYPER presale represents a calculated bet on the future of scalability.

Visit the official presale site.

Disclaimer This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry high risks, including the potential for total loss. Always verify presale details independently.

Прокуратура заподозрила Tether и Circle в наживе на мошенничестве

bits.media/ - 周二, 02/03/2026 - 10:14
Генеральный прокурор штата Нью-Йорк Летиция Джеймс (Letitia James) и окружной прокурор Манхэттена Элвин Брэгг (Alvin Bragg) направили письмо в Конгресс, заявив, что закон о регулировании выпуска и оборота стейблкоинов в США GENIUS позволяет эмитентам токенов получать прибыль от украденных криптовалют.

Том Ли: В падении эфира виноват «золотой вихрь»

bits.media/ - 周二, 02/03/2026 - 10:09
Сооснователь Fundstrat Global Advisors и председатель BitMine Immersion Technologies Том Ли (Tom Lee) связал падение курса эфира с резким ростом цен на драгметаллы, назвав этот эффект «золотым вихрем».

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Signals Persistent Weakness In US Spot Demand

bitcoinist.com - 周二, 02/03/2026 - 10:00

Bitcoin entered the weekend under heavy selling pressure, decisively losing the $80,000 support and sliding to the $74,000 area for the first time since April 2025. The move has intensified concerns that the market is no longer in a corrective pause but is instead transitioning into a broader bearish phase. Price weakness has coincided with fading demand signals, particularly from US-based investors, a dynamic now standing out clearly in on-chain data.

A recent CryptoQuant report highlights a structural shift when comparing the February–April 2025 period with market conditions from November 2025 to today. During the first half of 2025, the Coinbase Premium Index frequently dipped into negative territory, but only briefly. Discounts appeared, were absorbed relatively quickly, and did not persist. That behavior was consistent with tactical selling into strength, rather than a sustained absence of buyers.

The current environment looks materially different. Negative Coinbase Premium readings have become deeper and more persistent, suggesting that US spot demand is no longer stepping in to absorb downside moves. Even after significant price adjustments, discounts remain unresolved, pointing to buyers staying on the sidelines. As Bitcoin trades at levels not seen in nearly a year, this weakening spot demand raises the risk that further downside could unfold before a durable base is formed.

US Spot Demand Remains Absent

The report explains that the current behavior of the Coinbase Premium marks a clear departure from earlier phases of this cycle. Negative prints are no longer brief or episodic. Instead, they are deeper and persist for extended periods, with only short-lived and shallow recoveries. This pattern goes beyond simple selling pressure. It reflects a sustained absence of US spot demand, even as prices move lower.

Short-term discounts can emerge for many reasons, including macro shocks, liquidation events, or temporary risk aversion. However, when the premium remains negative after the price has already adjusted, it typically signals that buyers are not stepping in. In other words, the market is not finding support from US-based spot participants who have historically played a stabilizing role during drawdowns.

In practice, this shift is visible in several ways. Downside moves are not being absorbed by spot inflows on US venues. Rebounds occur, but they lack confirmation from spot demand and fade quickly. As a result, price action becomes increasingly driven by derivatives, leverage, and short-term positioning rather than sustained capital allocation.

Compared with spring 2025, US spot demand is now weaker both in magnitude and persistence. Until the Coinbase Premium turns positive and holds for a sustained period, upside momentum remains structurally fragile, leaving Bitcoin vulnerable to further downside pressure.

Weekly Structure Weakens as Bitcoin Breaks Key Support

Bitcoin’s weekly chart shows a clear structural deterioration following the loss of the $80,000 support zone. After topping above $120,000 in mid-2025, price has formed a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, signaling a transition from expansion to distribution. The recent breakdown toward the $74,000–$77,000 area marks the first visit to these levels since April 2025, confirming that prior demand has failed to hold.

From a trend perspective, Bitcoin is now trading below its 50-week moving average, which has started to roll over. This level previously acted as dynamic support throughout the bull phase, but the failure to reclaim it suggests weakening medium-term momentum. The 100-week moving average, currently near the mid-$80,000s, has also flipped into resistance, reinforcing the bearish structure. Meanwhile, the 200-week moving average remains well below price, near the low-$60,000 region, defining a potential downside magnet if selling pressure persists.

Volume dynamics add to the caution. Selling waves during the breakdown are accompanied by elevated volume compared to recent consolidation phases, indicating distribution rather than passive drift. Although the latest candle shows a modest rebound, it lacks follow-through and remains corrective in nature.

The chart suggests Bitcoin is in a transition phase toward a broader bearish regime. Unless price can decisively reclaim the $85,000–$90,000 zone, rallies are likely to be sold, with risk skewed toward a deeper test of long-term demand levels.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Жертвам криптомошенников в США установили дедлайн заявлений на возврат средств

bits.media/ - 周二, 02/03/2026 - 09:24
Генеральный прокурор штата Аризона Крис Мэйес (Kris Mayes) объявил о новой форме подачи жалоб для жертв мошенничества, потерявших деньги в криптоматах. О краже и потере средств нужно успеть сообщить в течение 30 дней, чтобы повысить шансы на возврат средств.

Time To Buy? Bitcoin Slips Below Cost Basis — Saylor Signals ‘More Orange’

bitcoinist.com - 周二, 02/03/2026 - 09:00

Bitcoin’s price crash over the weekend pushed some big holders into the red for a short while, but a handful of major players signaled they were still buying into the dip.

Strategy’s executive chairman Michael Saylor posted on X “More Orange” after the slide, hinting at fresh accumulation for a company that has been steadily adding to its stash for years.

Reports show Strategy’s holdings remain large, at roughly 712,647 BTC, which underlines why its moves draw so much attention from traders and investors.

Average ETF Cost Still Above Trading Levels

Reports say US spot Bitcoin ETFs manage about $113 billion and hold roughly 1.28 million BTC, putting an implied average buy price above current market rates.

This gap explains why many ETF positions are showing losses on paper even though some institutions keep buying.

The fact that passive products can be underwater at the same time a corporate buyer adds to its balance sheet creates an odd mix of market signals.

More Orange. pic.twitter.com/b5iYIMARJX

— Michael Saylor (@saylor) February 1, 2026

Exchange Balances Continue To Fall

One sign the sell-off may not be pure panic is the steady flow of coins off exchanges into private wallets. Reports note exchange reserves have slid to levels not seen in years, a trend that often points to long-term hoarding rather than immediate selling.

Lower exchange balances usually mean there are fewer coins ready to be sold quickly, which can make price swings more extreme when demand dries up.

Transaction Costs Remain Low

On the network side, average transaction fees stayed relatively modest during the crash, so ordinary activity did not choke the chain.

Data show the typical fee hovered around $0.7 per transfer in late January, which keeps small transfers practical and means the network was not under strain even as prices moved sharply. Low fees can encourage more on-chain movement without creating bottlenecks.

Network Security Saw A Brief Drop

Reports have highlighted a recent pullback in hashrate, as miners in some regions faced weather and operational disruptions, causing a near-term drop of roughly 12% from prior highs.

Strategy has acquired 22,305 BTC for ~$2.13 billion at ~$95,284 per bitcoin. As of 1/19/2026, we hodl 709,715 $BTC acquired for ~$53.92 billion at ~$75,979 per bitcoin. $MSTR $STRC $STRK $STRF $STRD $STRE https://t.co/6hpAeOxp2I

— Strategy (@Strategy) January 20, 2026

Optimism Is High

Strategy has ramped up its Bitcoin buying after a slower period in 2025, completing its largest purchase since February last year. The firm added 13,627 BTC worth about $1.3 billion, signaling a renewed push to grow its holdings.

Saylor’s latest post fits a familiar pattern that markets have learned to watch closely. Each time Bitcoin stumbles into fear-heavy territory, his brief messages tend to surface, often read as quiet confidence rather than noise.

While prices remain fragile and sentiment uneven, Strategy’s continued signaling suggests conviction has not faded at the corporate level.

Featured image from Alexander Spatari/Getty Images, chart from TradingView

Ripple, Stellar Show Up In New Epstein Files, Ex-CTO Schwartz Reacts

bitcoinist.com - 周二, 02/03/2026 - 08:00

Ripple and Stellar were pulled into a fresh round of social-media speculation this weekend after newly surfaced emails from the Epstein document release appeared to reference the two projects in a 2014 investor dispute. Former Ripple CTO David Schwartz pushed back publicly, saying he knows of no direct links between Epstein and either network, and framed the episode as another example of tribal politics bleeding into crypto.

Schwartz Reacts After Epstein Docs Mention Ripple, Stellar

The spark came from a screenshot circulating on X that shows an email chain in which Austin Hill (co-founder of Blockstream) complained to a group of high-profile recipients, including Epstein, about investors allocating capital across competing projects. According to Schwartz, the document “is an email from Austin Hill to Jeffrey Epstein explaining that Hill felt that support for Ripple or Stellar made someone an enemy/opponent,” adding that Hill likely shared similar views “to many other people.”

As the image spread, some posts characterized the mere inclusion of Ripple and Stellar in the email as evidence of deeper involvement. Schwartz responded with a message that tried to separate inflammatory framing from what the document actually shows.

“I don’t know of any connections between Jeffrey Epstein and Ripple, XRP, or Stellar. [I don’t know of] any evidence anyone at Ripple or Stellar ever met with Epstein or anyone closely connected to him,” he wrote. “There are some indirect ties between Epstein and people connected to Bitcoin in various ways, but that’s probably true of most very wealthy people.”

Schwartz’s first post on the thread captured the mood of the day, both suspicion and a reluctance to feed it. “I hate to be a conspiracy theorist, but I wouldn’t be at all surprised if this is just the tip of a giant iceberg,” he wrote while linking to the DOJ-hosted file. He later argued the more corrosive issue was the “enemy/opponent” mindset, writing that “we really are all in this together and this kind of attitude hurts everyone in the space.”

In the underlying 2014 email described in the source material, Hill is portrayed as objecting to backers funding multiple “horses” at once, treating support for Ripple or Stellar as hostile to the bitcoin-centric “ecosystem” he was building at Blockstream. Reports summarizing the chain say it was sent to Joichi Ito, Epstein, and Reid Hoffman, and included language that investors in both camps were “backing two horses in the same race.”

The resurfaced email also revived an older fault line in how early projects structured themselves. In response to a user asking about Ripple versus Stellar’s nonprofit posture, Schwartz said the idea was debated early on and that he opposed it.

“We discussed it in the early days. I was strongly against it because it seemed dishonest and borderline illegal to have a non-profit whose success was so tied to the gains of private parties,” he wrote. “It felt, at least to me, like Walmart creating a non-profit to help educate people about how much money they could save by shopping at Walmart.”

At press time, XRP traded at $1.64.

62% Of Bitcoin ETF Inflows Underwater As Price Crashes To $76,000

bitcoinist.com - 周二, 02/03/2026 - 07:00

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin spot price is now below the cost basis of nearly two-thirds of inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

62% Of US Bitcoin Spot ETF Inflows Now In Loss

In a new X post, on-chain analyst Checkmate has shared a chart discussing the latest situation related to the Bitcoin spot ETFs. Spot ETFs are investment vehicles that allow investors to gain indirect exposure to an underlying asset. Such funds are available for Bitcoin and other digital assets in many parts of the world, but the ones of interest here are those based in the United States. First approved back in January 2024, US BTC spot ETFs have been in operation for more than two years now, and in that time, they have witnessed significant growth.

Lately, however, the trend related to these funds has been one of net outflows as the wider cryptocurrency sector has gone through a bearish shift. Outflows in the last two weeks, in particular, have been quite intense.

Below is the chart posted by the analyst that shows the trend in the weekly netflow related to the Bitcoin spot ETFs, among other metrics:

From the graph, it’s visible that the Bitcoin spot ETFs have witnessed net outflow spikes of $1.33 billion and $1.49 billion during the last two weeks, representing the third and second largest outflow sprees in the history of these funds. Alongside the negative netflows, Bitcoin has plunged under the $80,000 level. The asset is now trading under the average cost basis of the spot ETFs (marked in the chart using the dashed line), meaning that the majority of capital stored in these funds is now being held at a loss.

In the netflow graph, Checkmate has highlighted which of the weekly inflow spikes are part of this loss of supply. It would appear that the last green inflows are now sitting all the way back in late 2024, with all spikes since then underwater. “If you assume a cost basis of inflows on the day they occurred, 62% of ETF inflows are now underwater,” noted the analyst.

So far in the history of BTC spot ETFs, holders haven’t been underwater to a significant degree as BTC has generally gone up since their launch. During a phase in mid-2024, the cryptocurrency did dip below the cost basis of these traders, but even then, it never went too far below the line.

Given this, the latest breach of the Bitcoin spot ETF break-even level could end up being the first time that these investors would have to deal with the pain of a bear phase. It now remains to be seen how the netflow related to these investment vehicles will develop in the coming weeks.

BTC Price

Bitcoin fell to $75,000 on Sunday, but the asset has rebounded a bit to start the new week as its price is now floating around $77,800.

Russian Crypto Mining Firm BitRiver Hit As CEO Arrested In Tax Case

bitcoinist.com - 周二, 02/03/2026 - 05:30

Igor Runets, the entrepreneur behind one of Russia’s biggest Bitcoin farms, was taken into custody Friday as tax investigators moved in on his company.

The move shocked many in the mining world because BitRiver runs huge data halls in Siberia and has been a visible player since the early 2020s.

Runets Held As Tax Case Advances

Based on reports, Igor Runets was detained on January 30, 2026, and charged the next day with several counts tied to hiding income and assets from tax authorities.

A Moscow court later set conditions that would place him under house arrest starting February 4 unless his legal team overturns that order. The limits on his freedom are now expected to complicate how BitRiver manages day-to-day decisions.

BitRiver Under Strain

BitRiver contracts out space, power, and cooling to big mining clients. Those deals matter because mining runs on tight margins and steady power.

Reports note the firm has already dealt with sanctions from the US Treasury back in 2022 and lost some international partners after that.

In the past, partners in Asia pulled back. That exit, combined with legal pressure now, could make it harder for BitRiver to keep operations humming where margins are thin.

How This Could Ripple Through Mining

The arrest puts new legal risk squarely on a company that hosts a lot of third-party miners. If leadership is distracted or restricted, boards and clients may rethink contracts.

Industry Reaction And Financial Signals

Crypto markets tend to react to big headlines. But mining is also local and practical: refrigeration, power lines, and worker shifts.

BitRiver’s founder was estimated to hold roughly $230 million in wealth tied to the business as of 2024. That figure helps explain why the case drew attention.

Analysts are watching whether creditors, partners, or insurers change their stance. Some lenders may tighten terms. Suppliers might demand new assurances.

Legal Next Steps For Runets And BitRiver

Reports say Runets’ lawyers will file appeals and seek to limit restrictions. The court’s steps in late January and early February will set the tone for how much control he keeps.

Investigators are focusing on alleged tax concealment and transfers designed to mask assets. If the case widens, executives and board members elsewhere in the sector could see increased scrutiny.

A Moment Of Uncertainty For A Key Player

BitRiver has been one of the more visible mining hosts in Russia. Its future now depends on legal rulings, partner confidence, and how the company steadies operations while facing new constraints.

For miners that used BitRiver’s sites, the immediate concern is continuity—keeping rigs online and power contracts intact.

For the market, the story is a reminder that mining ventures don’t operate in a legal vacuum and that regulatory pressure can change business math fast.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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