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As Bitcoin’s price continues to face downside pressure and performance, speculation about BTC’s price bottom has grown significantly within the sector or community. However, to accurately determine whether BTC has reached a bottom is highly dependent on on-chain data from several metrics, which are now showing that the bottom is not yet in.

Bitcoin May Not Be Done Correcting

Determining the Bitcoin price bottom has become quite difficult in the ongoing market cycle. In the meantime, several key on-chain metrics are flashing caution and showing data that suggests that the flagship cryptocurrency asset may not have fully found its bottom yet for this market cycle.

After an on-chain analysis, Alphractal, an advanced investment and on-chain data platform, outlined that the BTC market is witnessing steady bleeding, but the true bottom has not been achieved yet. The platform’s analysis is focused mainly on two key metrics, which include the BTC Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) and the BTC Delta Growth Rate (Market Cap vs. Realized Cap).

These indications suggest that the market may still be dealing with excess supply and uncertainty, as evidenced by the ongoing pullback in BTC’s price. With the bearish signal from the two indicators, it is clear that the confirmation of a true bottom could need extended data-driven validation or more time.

As seen on the chart, the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss metric has started to drop, suggesting that unrealized gains across the network are starting to compress. In spite of the decline, the metric is still in positive territory. This implies that market participants continue to remain in profits rather than losses.

Alphractal highlighted that the true cycle bottom historically only unfolds once the metric flips negative, entering full capitulation mode. Meanwhile, the BTC Delta Growth Rate is already demonstrating negative movement, signaling the end of speculative activity and the start of the fundamental accumulation phase.

Bearish Outlook Has Intensified Along With BTC’s Price Drop

Following a pullback last weekend, the Bitcoin price is now trading below the $90,000 mark again. According to Swissblock, an investment pioneer, recent price action has reinforced the bearish outlook of the market. 

As the crypto king loses key support at the $89,200 level, the Bitcoin Risk Index is seeing a steady climb, heightening the general bearish sentiment. However, the platform noted that Bitcoin bulls are persistently holding a critical line of defense at the $84,500 mark, which is currently serving as the immediate target for the downside. Swissblock has outlined two separate scenarios that could play out in the upcoming sessions. 

For the bullish case, the platform predicts that if the $84,500 support holds, a liquidity sweep could occur at this point. At the same time, the Risk Index begins to cool off, channeling a high-conviction entry for long positioning. Breaking down the bearish scenario, Swissblock noted that a decline and consolidation below the $84,500 level would likely spark a deeper correction, targeting new lows below the November levels with a primary target at $74,000.

Blockchain technology is beginning to absorb traditional government assets at an alarming pace, with Ripple’s XRP Ledger (XRPL) now hosting US Treasury debt in digital form. The latest reports have revealed a massive increase in tokenized treasuries on the ledger, reflecting not just rising governmental interest in the blockchain but also growing institutional adoption. 

US Treasury Debt Skyrockets On Ripple’s XRPL

Over the past year, tokenized US Treasury debt on the XRP Ledger has skyrocketed to more than $150.19 million. Data from the tokenized asset analytics platform RWA.xyz shows that digital platforms such as OpenEden Digital, Zeconomy, Ondo, and Archax have been the primary drivers behind this latest surge in activity and volume. 

XRPL data also shows that US Treasury debt has not been the only asset class to experience growth on the network. Recent reports revealed that the XRP Ledger achieved a significant milestone, surpassing $1 billion in total tokenized assets. While tokenized US treasury debt contributed significantly to this growth, other asset classes, including stablecoins, private credit, commodities, and private equity, have also recorded substantial volume, reflecting the network’s expanding role in global digital finance. 

Stablecoins recorded the highest volume of over $338 million within the $1 billion tokenized asset growth, representing approximately 160% more than US Treasury debt. In comparison, private equity accounted for $55.2 million, reflecting less than 33% of tokenized treasuries. 

Across all networks, tokenized US Treasury holdings have now reached about $10 billion. While the percentage held by the XRP Ledger is impressive, it still represents just 1.4% of the total. Nonetheless, the growth rate of US Treasury debt on XRPL is striking, showing a more than 2,900% increase from the roughly $5 million on the network in 2025. 

The recent surge in tokenized US Treasury debt on the XRP Ledger underscores the expanding integration of traditional finance with blockchain technology. It also reflects the rising demand for Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization, which has become a fundamental aspect of Ripple and XRPL’s utility and key driver of the network’s growth and expansion into broader markets. 

Why This Is A Big Deal

Historically, US Treasury debt was tracked and recorded through conventional banking and government systems. As a result, trading relied heavily on intermediaries, transactions and settlements were slow, and most retail investors had limited access. At the same time, Paper records and centralized systems dominated the market, making processes less transparent and tedious.

However, the introduction of blockchain technology has significantly improved how debt is represented and managed. On the XRP Ledger, Treasury debt can now be tokenized, allowing near-instant settlement and real-time verification on a public network. This reduces the reliance on intermediaries and introduces a new level of transparency and security compared to traditional methods. 

The rise of tokenized Treasury debt also signals changes in investor behavior and broader market dynamics. It shows that blockchain-based assets can now compete with traditional markets, offering faster, more efficient, and accessible alternatives for institutions and governments.

С развитием систем отслеживания блокчейнов биткоины, которые некогда фигурировали в незаконной деятельности, рискуют быть исключены из мировой финансовой системы. Такое мнение во время своего стрима высказал криптоинвестор, миллионер, основатель блокчейн-компании Card1Ventures и соинвестор Node40 Гэри Кардоне (Gary Cardone).

Изменение цены биткоина в ближайшее время определят два фактора: общая ситуация на рынке и способность покупателей удержать уровень $86 000, заявили аналитики инвесткомпании IG Group.

Председатель Австралийской комиссии по ценным бумагам и инвестициям (ASIC) Джо Лонго (Joe Longo) назвал отсутствие регулирования криптовалют серьезной проблемой, призвав власти страны как можно скорее устранить этот пробел в законодательстве.

Crypto traders are watching quietly. Prices are moving, but not in the way many bulls expected. According to Fundstrat managing partner Tom Lee, during an interview on CNBC’s Power Lunch Monday, the surge in gold and silver has pulled a lot of cash away from riskier bets. That shift has been strong enough to slow the momentum that might otherwise have lifted digital assets sooner.

Precious Metals Steal The Spotlight

Gold has surged to record territory, and silver has climbed sharply, drawing interest from investors seeking a safe place to park money. Reports note gold topped $5,100 after a strong run that added close to 8% since the start of the year, while silver hit about $110 following a 57% gain. Geopolitical stress, tariff fears, and a weaker dollar are cited as reasons for that move. In plain terms: a lot of nervous money went to metal, not crypto.

Lee pointed to the large deleveraging event in October as another drag. Many firms and market makers were hit hard, and margin-driven upside is much smaller now. That means rallies take more time to appear.

Based on reports, parts of the industry are recovering, but some players remain fragile. BitMine, an Ether treasury firm tied to Lee, added 20,000 ETH in a fresh buy, which shows belief is still there at institutional levels.

It seems that Tom Lee(@fundstrat)’s #Bitmine bought another 20,000 $ETH($58.22M) from #FalconX 6 hours ago.https://t.co/OYqF48eaXX pic.twitter.com/GB6DT0HUid

— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) January 27, 2026

Bitcoin Price Action And Market Mood

Bitcoin traded in a tight band around $87,000–$88,000 after recent swings tied to global headlines. It tested support at about $86,000 and failed to push above $95,000 in recent attempts.

Buyers are stepping in on dips rather than chasing gains, and volumes have been mixed. ETF flows have been negative, which points to short-term caution. Still, holding those levels without a sharp drop keeps the story alive.

Risk Appetite Matters More Than Dollar Moves

Reports from CryptoQuant contend that dollar weakness alone won’t send Bitcoin higher if the move is fear-driven. When people flee the dollar because they are scared, they pick the most traditional hideouts — like gold.

For crypto to rally strongly, the dollar needs to weaken because investors are willing to take on risk, not because they are panicked. That difference is subtle but crucial. And that’s precisely what Tom Lee means — that Bitcoin and Ethereum usually jump when gold and silver pause.

What Could Trigger A Shift

A pause or pullback in precious metals could free up capital and change investor focus. Easing from the Fed, or clearer signs that geopolitical tensions are cooling, might push some money back toward digital assets.

Institutional interest in smart contract platforms was highlighted at recent finance events, and some firms are building on Ethereum and similar chains. Those longer-term moves are being made quietly, even while spot prices wander.

Featured image from Unchained, chart from TradingView

В республике Карачаево-Черкесия власти закрыли майнинговую ферму на 12 устройств. Ущерб энергетическому комплексу региона превысил 375 000 рублей, объявили специалисты госкомпании «Россети Северный Кавказ».

Инвесторы массово продают криптовалюту, чтобы получить наличные, превратив биткоин «в банкомат», заявил глава отдела аналитики New York Digital Investment Group (NYDIG) Грег Чиполаро (Greg Cipolaro).

Платформа GoMining, предлагающая токенизацию майнинговой мощности при помощи невзаимозаменяемых токенов (NFT), совместно с производителем часов Jacob & Co. планирует выпустить механические часы с функцией контроля за добычей биткоинов.  

Федеральный суд Австралии наложил штраф в размере $14 млн на компанию BPS Financial за продвижение и эксплуатацию криптопродукта Qoin Wallet.

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson used the opening of a Midnight workshop in Sapporo (Japan tour) on Jan. 25 to frame Midnight as Cardano’s “crown jewel” and a missing primitive for mainstream crypto adoption, arguing the privacy layer is positioned to outpace incumbent privacy-focused networks within 12 months.

Why Cardano’s Midnight ‘Eclipses’ All Privacy Projects

Hoskinson told attendees that while crypto spent the past decade perfecting transparent ledgers, it never built a first-class “private side” that real businesses and regulators can work with. “When you have the yin and yang, well, we only built one side of the yin and yang. We only built the transparent side. We didn’t build the private side,” he said. “So the challenge is that blockchains, every single one of them, they’re missing something. They’re missing a component that’s required for real-life business.”

In his telling, the gap sits at the intersection of privacy-enhancing technology (PET), compliance, and an emerging “abstraction” stack aimed at making crypto usable without forcing consumers to learn how blockchains work. Hoskinson argued that regulated activity like KYC/KYB/AML requires selective disclosure, but public chains force a tradeoff between compliance and privacy. “If you share information about yourself on a public network, everyone in the world, everywhere in the world, gets to see that,” he said. “That doesn’t make any sense. That doesn’t make sense to do commerce.”

He extended the same logic to intent-based execution and account abstraction-style UX, where users describe outcomes and a solver network routes liquidity and settlement across chains. “If I know your intentions, I can trade against you,” Hoskinson said, warning that revealing price bounds or execution constraints invites adverse selection. “Never tell me your intention because I can use it against you. So, intentions also require privacy.”

Midnight, he said, is designed to supply those primitives without demanding wholesale migration to a new Layer 1. Hoskinson described the network as built for “hybrid applications” across multiple ecosystems, claiming Midnight’s launch architecture connected it to “eight different ecosystems, seven different blockchains,” so users can stay on chains like Solana, Cardano, Bitcoin, or Ethereum while invoking Midnight’s privacy features.

He also positioned Midnight as a catalyst for Cardano’s DeFi ambitions, acknowledging a participation gap between staking and on-chain application usage. “There’s 1.4 million people staking, but only about 50,000 people participating on a monthly basis in our DeFi ecosystem,” Hoskinson said, adding that the next phase is to upgrade a subset of leading Cardano dApps so they can tap Midnight and market privacy-native products—such as private DEXs, prediction markets, or stablecoins—to users from other ecosystems.

On rollout, Hoskinson said the first stage of Midnight launched in December and that the first mainnet is “very soon” to follow. He highlighted what he characterized as an unusually retail-heavy distribution: “We never sold a single token. We just gave it away,” he said, claiming ADA holders received more than 50% of supply and that early trading activity surpassed $9 billion in volume and more than $1 billion in value.

Hoskinson closed with his boldest projection: “Within a year, Midnight is going to eclipse anybody in the privacy space because we know how to solve these problems,” he said, attributing the edge to the depth of Cardano’s research bench.

“Because we hired 168 scientists, and they happen to have spent the last four decades of their life chasing this. One of the guys working on this wrote the first computer game online. He was at Stanford when they were building the internet, […]. He wrote Pong, and it was the first online game. That’s the legacy we have. Now, 40 years later, he’s a fellow in the Royal Society, the same society that Sir Isaac Newton was a member of. He’s working on this, as is that 22-year-old graduate student, as is the developer here in Japan, and everyone in between, and that’s why we’re going to win. It’s not a US cryptocurrency. It’s global,” Hoskison said.

At press time, ADA traded at $0.3512.

60% крупных американских банков уже предоставляют либо планируют предложить клиентам услуги, связанные с биткоином, включая торговлю и хранение, заявили аналитики компании River со ссылкой на свое исследование.