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Quantum Researchers Offer 1 Bitcoin To Break Toy Version Of BTC’s Cryptography

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 04/18/2025 - 10:00

A quantum‑computing collective known as Project Eleven has thrown down a public gauntlet to the global cryptography community, offering a reward of one Bitcoin to the first team that can break a deliberately down‑scaled version of Bitcoin’s elliptic‑curve cryptography using a genuine quantum computer before 5 April 2026.

Announcing what it calls the “Q‑Day Prize” on X, the group wrote: “We just launched the Q‑Day Prize. 1 BTC to the first team to break a toy version of Bitcoin’s cryptography using a quantum computer. Deadline: April 5, 2026. Mission: Protect 6 M BTC (over $500 B).” The post crystallises a concern that has hovered over the Bitcoin ecosystem for more than a decade: the eventual arrival of large‑scale, error‑corrected quantum hardware capable of running Shor’s algorithm against real‑world keys.

Project Eleven is not asking contestants to shatter Bitcoin’s 256‑bit curve directly. Instead, teams must demonstrate Shor’s algorithm against elliptic‑curve keys ranging from one to twenty‑five bits—sizes derisively called “toy” by professional cryptographers but still orders of magnitude beyond what has been publicly achieved on physical quantum processors. The organisers argue that even a three‑bit break would be “big news,” because it would provide the first quantitatively verifiable benchmark of quantum progress on the elliptic‑curve discrete‑log problem (ECDLP). In their words, “Nobody has rigorously benchmarked this threat yet.”

To qualify, a submission must include gate‑level code or explicit instructions runnable on actual quantum hardware, along with a narrative of methods employed, error‑rates managed and the classical post‑processing required. Hybrid attacks that lean on classical shortcuts are disallowed. All entries will be published, a decision the group frames as an exercise in radical transparency: “Instead of waiting for breakthroughs to happen behind closed doors, we believe in facing this challenge head‑on, in a transparent and rigorous manner.”

Why 1 Bitcoin—And Why Now?

Bitcoin’s security ultimately rests on the hardness of the discrete‑logarithm problem over the secp256k1 curve. While classical attacks scale exponentially, Peter Shor’s 1994 quantum algorithm could in principle solve the problem in polynomial time, collapsing the cost from cosmic to merely gargantuan. Current research estimates that on the order of two thousand fully error‑corrected logical qubits—perhaps backed by millions of physical qubits—would be sufficient to threaten a 256‑bit key. Firms such as Google, IBM, IonQ and newcomer QuEra are racing to cross the four‑digit logical‑qubit threshold, though none has publicly demonstrated anything close to that capability today.

Project Eleven says its prize is intended less as a bounty and more as a diagnostic. More than ten million Bitcoin addresses, holding over six million coins, have already exposed their public keys through prior spending activity. If quantum technology crosses the critical threshold before those coins are migrated to post‑quantum addresses, the funds would be vulnerable to immediate theft. “Quantum computing is steadily progressing,” the group warns. “When that happens, we need to know.”

The initiative lands amid a flurry of quantum‑resilience proposals within the wider Bitcoin ecosystem. Earlier this month, a group of developers submitted the Quantum‑Resistant Address Migration Protocol (QRAMP), a Bitcoin Improvement Proposal that would orchestrate a network‑wide move to post‑quantum key formats. Because QRAMP would require a consensus‑breaking hard fork, its political prospects remain uncertain.

Separately, Canadian startup BTQ has pitched an exotic proof‑of‑work alternative called Coarse‑Grained Boson Sampling, which would substitute today’s hash‑based mining puzzles with photonic sampling tasks executed on quantum hardware. Like QRAMP, BTQ’s concept demands a hard fork and has yet to garner broad support.

From a technical standpoint, running even a five‑bit elliptic‑curve version of Shor’s algorithm is brutally unforgiving: qubits with fidelities above 99.9 %, coherent for hundreds of microseconds, and orchestrated through deep circuits numbering in the thousands of two‑qubit gates would be required. Error‑correction overhead further compounds the engineering burden, meaning that contenders will likely have to employ small‑code logical qubits and impressive compilation techniques merely to keep noise under control.

Yet the prize may prove irresistible for university labs and corporate R&D teams eager to demonstrate practical quantum advantage. Cloud‑accessible devices from IBM’s Quantum System Two, Quantinuum’s H‑series and OQC’s superconducting platforms already allow limited, pay‑per‑shot access to dozens—or in IBM’s case, hundreds—of physical qubits. Whether any of those machines can sustain the circuit depth necessary remains to be seen.

Either outcome supplies invaluable data. In the words of Project Eleven’s launch tweet, the objective is stark: “Break the biggest ECC key with Shor’s algorithm. The reward: 1 BTC + go down in cryptography history.”

At press time, BTC traded at $84,771.

Аккаунт юриста Джона Дитона может быть взломан для рекламы криптопроекта Arch Public

bits.media/ - 周五, 04/18/2025 - 09:50
Технический директор Ripple Дэвид Шварц (David Schwartz) предупредил подписчиков, что учетная запись известного юриста Джона Дитона (John Deaton), поддерживающего XRP, может быть взломана для продвижения криптопроекта Arch Public.

Пенсионер из Канады потерял $160 000 в результате криптовалютного мошенничества

bits.media/ - 周五, 04/18/2025 - 09:25
70-ти летний пенсионер из канадской провинции Британская Колумбия потерял около $160 000 в результате многолетней схемы, связанной с фальшивыми переводами средств в криптовалюту.

Binance Goes Diplomatic: Advising Governments On Crypto Laws

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 04/18/2025 - 09:00

Crypto exchange Binance is remodeling its attitude toward regulation, flipping the script on its former notoriety as a pain in the neck of sorts to a role as an insider policy adviser to governments worldwide. The organization currently advises governments in several countries on crypto policy, recent quotes by CEO Richard Teng report.

From Rule-Breaker To Policy Consultant “We have received in fact a significant number of proposals by several governments and sovereign wealth funds to set up their own crypto reserves,” Teng said in a recent interview with the Financial Times.

The CEO said that Binance now has a framework “that regulators like much more than before.”

This shift represents a dramatic turnaround for a business previously infamous for evading regulation. Now, nearly 25% of Binance’s 6,000 staff are compliance employees, indicating just how committed the business is to playing by the book.

Trump Administration Creates New Opportunities

The shift follows US crypto policy evolution under US President Donald Trump. His recent directive to establish a national reserve of Bitcoin has set the world abuzz with interest in cryptocurrency policy. Most nations now turn to Binance for guidance.

“Compared to many other jurisdictions, [the US] is way ahead on that front,” Teng said.

Binance is now negotiating with the US Treasury to de-escalate tensions as it contemplates a return to the American market. The US Securities and Exchange Commission has suspended its investigation of the company amid these negotiations.

Binance Considers First Official Headquarters

Following years of operating without a home base, Binance is considering opening a global headquarters. That would bring its stateless period to an end, which helped it skirt around certain regulations previously.

“It demands serious consideration,” said Teng. The board and senior leadership at the company are currently mulling over options for where they can open up this base.

The firm is also increasing its political reach. Trump-supporting crypto project World Liberty Financial is set to release a stablecoin on Binance’s blockchain, which would further tie the exchange to political circles.

Legal Challenges Still Remain In Several Countries

Even with its new path, the crypto exchange hasn’t left its history entirely behind. Spanish authorities have lodged criminal charges against the exchange for the misappropriation of investors. French officials continue to probe suspected breaches of European anti-money laundering rules.

At home in the United States, Binance is subject to a five-year surveillance program at the hands of FinCEN to guarantee continued adherence to regulations.

At the same time, Binance founder and former CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) recently became an adviser to blockchain policy in Pakistan, further spreading the company’s reach in emerging markets.

Featured image from MakeUseOf, chart from TradingView

Dogecoin Price Forms Symmetrical Triangle, Falling Wedge Breakout Begins From Oversold Zone

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 04/18/2025 - 08:00

Dogecoin’s latest price formations suggest that an early-stage recovery might be underway, supported by signals on both short-term and mid-term timeframes. A close look at the chart activity shows technical setups that has historically led to strong breakouts. The observations come from crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade, who recently shared two updates based on patterns forming on the 1-hour and 4-hour candlestick charts.

Symmetrical Triangle Builds Quiet Momentum on 4-Hour Chart

Trader Tardigrade highlighted a symmetrical triangle forming on the 4-hour timeframe, with Dogecoin’s price gradually narrowing into the apex of the structure. While the movement appears indecisive on the surface, symmetrical triangles are known for building quiet volatility. 

In the case of Dogecoin, this symmetrical triangle has been playing out since April 8, and recently bounced off the lower trendline. According to the analyst, the longer the price continues to consolidate inside this triangle, the more momentum builds for an eventual breakout. If confirmed, this could mark the beginning of a sustained rally.

Falling Wedge Breakout And RSI Point To Positivity On 1-Hour Timeframe

As Dogecoin continues to trade in the symmetrical triangle on the 4-hour timeframe with the hopes of an upward breakout, another interesting price action is playing out on the daily candlestick timeframe chart. The focus shifts to the lower timeframe, where crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade identified a falling wedge breakout on the 1-hour chart in another analysis. More interestingly, the wedge breakout move coincided with a recovery from the oversold zone on the RSI indicator.

Falling wedges often serve as bullish reversal indicators, and the breakout from this formation is one of the first signs that Dogecoin might be preparing for a broader trend shift. The broader trend has been a bearish one for the past six weeks or so, and a trend shift will be a change into bullish momentum. The RSI bouncing from the oversold level further supports the case for growing bullish strength in the short term, although trading volume is still subdued for now.

Despite these promising price pattern, there is still a need for bullish confirmations. The symmetrical triangle’s upper boundary will need to be broken with a strong candlestick close and accompanying volume for the bullish case to take full shape. Speaking of trading volumes, trading volume is one of the means of confirming the strength of a breakout. A huge trading volume contributes to the prospect of a strong upside move. However, this wedge breakout hasn’t been accompanied by a strong surge trading volume, although the price action has increased by a few percentage points.

At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.1557, up by 1.3% in the past 24 hours. Trading volume, on the other hand, is down by 4.7% in the same timeframe, coming out to $745 million.

Wall Street Winks At Dogecoin: ‘It’s More Than A Meme’

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 04/18/2025 - 07:00

A top crypto asset manager has doubled up on its backing of Dogecoin, asserting the meme coin is more than a joke due to its provision of actual utility. The company recently pointed to Dogecoin’s community orientation, speed of transactions, and low costs as important benefits in the cryptoverse.

Speed And Low Costs Drive Everyday Use Cases

According to 21Shares, Dogecoin processes blocks every minute – 10 times the rate of Bitcoin. This rapid processing combined with low fees makes it particularly useful for making small payments and tips. The asset manager attributed these technical attributes as the reasons why firms such as Tesla, AMC Theatres, and Newegg now take Dogecoin as payment.

Dogecoin has just been added by the Open House Group, one of the major real estate players listed on Japan’s Tokyo Stock Exchange. Payments processor BitPay has also assisted thousands of global merchants in taking DOGE on everyday transactions.

10-Year Growth Reaches Staggering 130,000%

Over the past decade, Dogecoin has seen its value climb by an eye-popping 130,000%, which breaks down to an annual growth rate of nearly 130%. These figures, reported by 21Shares, put DOGE at the top of the performance chart among the 25 largest cryptocurrencies by market value.

In contrast to Bitcoin’s fixed supply, there is no ceiling on the total amount of Dogecoin in existence. 10,000 DOGE is added to the network every minute, producing roughly 5.25 billion new tokens annually. 21Shares contends this linear mining system has resulted in decreasing inflation rates over time while securing the network.

Partnership And Dogecoin ETP

21Shares has gone from just applauding Dogecoin. The company recently partnered with House of Doge to list the first Dogecoin ETP (Exchange-Traded Product) to bear the Dogecoin Foundation’s stamp of approval. The product offers institutional investors a regulated vehicle for wagering on Dogecoin’s future without directly acquiring the cryptocurrency.

The asset manager also submitted filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission last week for a possible Dogecoin ETF in the United States. They’re not the only ones doing this—companies like Grayscale and Bitwise have done the same to create Dogecoin ETFs.

Technical Indicators Suggest Potential Price Rise

Meanwhile, traders looking at Dogecoin are watching closely the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 62.32, which indicates excellent buying pressure but not yet on the verge of overbought.

Market observers point out the histogram has switched to positive and some short-term traders interpret that as a “buy” sign. Although deep-pocketed investors are cautious, retail traders are eyeing the next resistance at $0.21.

Piercing through that level could push DOGE to rise as high as $0.24 or even $0.29, technical analysts monitoring the performance of the cryptocurrency have disclosed. Under these trends, some market players anticipate Dogecoin’s increasing trend to extend.

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Accumulate 297,000 BTC In 9 Days – Bullish Signal?

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 04/18/2025 - 05:30

Bitcoin is once again at a pivotal moment as it trades below key moving averages, signaling mounting selling pressure and a market weighed down by growing uncertainty. The ongoing tensions between the United States and China continue to escalate, with a full-scale trade war now likely to persist through the coming months. These macroeconomic headwinds have sparked volatility across global financial markets, putting pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin.

Despite the bearish backdrop, there are signs of strength beneath the surface. According to recent data from CryptoQuant, long-term holders (LTHs) have increased their Bitcoin holdings by 297,000 BTC over the past nine days. This surge in accumulation suggests that high-conviction investors are taking advantage of the recent dip, betting on a longer-term recovery.

The market is now watching closely to see whether Bitcoin can hold its current range and eventually reclaim critical resistance levels. A strong defense of key support could offer bulls a path toward renewed momentum. Until then, uncertainty will likely drive price action, as investors assess the broader economic outlook and Bitcoin’s role as a potential hedge in an increasingly unstable global environment.

Long-Term Holders Accumulate as Bitcoin Braces for Macroeconomic Storm

Bitcoin is navigating through heightened global uncertainty as US President Donald Trump continues to escalate trade tensions with China. While last week’s 90-day tariff pause for all countries except China offered brief relief, the ongoing economic standoff between the two superpowers continues to spook global markets. Investors remain on edge, as the direction of US-China trade will likely influence broader macroeconomic conditions and capital flows.

In this uncertain environment, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market have come under pressure. Risk-off sentiment has taken hold, prompting many traders to exit volatile assets like cryptocurrencies in favor of safer investment options. However, beneath the surface, strong hands appear to be preparing for the next move.

Top analyst Axel Adler shared on-chain insights revealing that over the past nine days, Bitcoin’s Long-Term Holder supply has increased by 297,000 BTC. This trend suggests growing conviction among seasoned market participants, who are using the recent price weakness as a buying opportunity. Historically, similar accumulation phases have preceded major price rallies, indicating that long-term believers are positioning themselves for a bullish breakout once macroeconomic uncertainty begins to ease.

While short-term volatility remains likely, the growing LTH supply signals that institutional and high-conviction investors are still betting on Bitcoin’s long-term strength.

BTC Price Holds Above Key Support: $89K Breakout Next?

Bitcoin is currently trading at $84,300, maintaining its position above the 4-hour 200 moving average (MA) and exponential moving average (EMA)—two crucial technical indicators signaling short-term trend strength. Bulls now face a pivotal challenge: defending the $84K level and reclaiming the $89K resistance zone, which has capped upside attempts in recent weeks.

Holding above $84K reinforces market confidence and preserves the bullish structure on lower timeframes. A decisive move above $89K would confirm a breakout from the current consolidation range, potentially triggering a strong upward impulse toward the $93K–$95K zone as buyers regain momentum and sideline capital re-enters the market.

However, if bulls fail to protect $84K, selling pressure could accelerate. A breakdown below this level would invalidate short-term bullish signals and likely open the door to a retest of the $80K psychological support. Falling below $80K could extend the current correction, especially if macroeconomic tensions worsen or risk sentiment deteriorates further.

Overall, BTC remains in a holding pattern, with $84K serving as the battleground for short-term control. A reclaim of $89K could mark the start of a recovery rally, while a failure here risks deeper downside in the days ahead.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

XRP Price Eyes Recovery To $3 As Analyst Reveals How High The Price Would Be In Altcoin Season

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 04/18/2025 - 04:00

Crypto analyst BarriC has predicted that the XRP price could soon recover and rebound to as high as $3. The analyst also revealed how high the token could reach when the altcoin season begins. 

XRP Price Eyes Recovery To $3 As Analyst Reveals Target

In an X post, BarriC affirmed that the XRP price will hit $3 very soon. He further remarked that when that happens, the altcoin will skyrocket up to $5, marking a new all-time high (ATH). The crypto analyst added that the altcoin will then finally reach between $10 and $20 at the peak of the upcoming altcoin season. 

Interestingly, BarriC even revealed a more ambitious target for the XRP price, predicting that the altcoin could still rally to as high as $1,000 at some point. He noted that the price target of $10 to $20 is just the trajectory within the parameters of an altcoin season. However, outside this parameter, he believes that the asset can indeed reach $1,000. 

This isn’t the first time the crypto analyst has predicted that the price can reach such an ambitious target. He had previously alluded to institutional adoption as the major factor that could drive XRP to this target. BarriC noted the impact of Bitcoin ETFs on the BTC price and remarked that the XRP ETFs could also have a similar effect and send the altcoin to new highs. 

Crypto analysts like Egrag Crypto have given a more conservative price target for the altcoin, predicting that it could rally to double digits in this cycle and triple digits in the next cycle. Like BarriC, the analyst also alluded to the XRP ETFs as what could spark this massive price surge. As Bitcoinist reported, these ETFs currently lead the race for approval from the US SEC. 

One Final Dip For Rallies To New Highs 

In an X post, crypto analyst Egrag Crypto stated that the XRP price may face one final dip before it rallies to new highs. He remarked that if the altcoin doesn’t close above $2.30 to $2.50 on the 5-day timeframe, then a potential retest of $1.85 is still on the table. However, the analyst assured that the targets remain the same, with the altcoin set to rally to $7.50, $13, and then $27. 

Meanwhile, Egrag Crypto also warned market participants that a major liquidation event with a wick to $1.4 is still possible. He added that market makers know how to surprise the market with news that could either dump or pump it. This news could relate to the ongoing trade war between the US and China

At the time of writing, the asset’s price is trading at around $2.10, up almost 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin Miners Stay Confident Amid Price Drop – On-Chain Data Points To External Pressures

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 04/18/2025 - 03:00

Bitcoin is now at a pivotal moment as its price continues to range within a narrow band, hovering above $83,000 and below $86,000 since last Saturday. The tight consolidation reflects market hesitation, as traders and investors brace for a significant move in either direction. With global tensions rising and macroeconomic conditions showing no signs of improvement, many analysts argue that a bear market scenario could unfold if economic pressure persists.

Despite the cautious outlook from many market participants, on-chain data tells a slightly more optimistic story. According to CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Miners Sentiment chart, miners—often seen as one of the most informed cohorts in the ecosystem—are holding up well. Even with the recent price drop, their sentiment has been on the rise. This resilience suggests that, at least from a long-term perspective, miners still believe in Bitcoin’s upside potential.

As Bitcoin clings to its current range, all eyes are on whether it will break upward into recovery or slide into deeper correction. The next move could define sentiment for weeks to come, especially if macroeconomic catalysts intensify. Until then, the market remains tense, and momentum is building for what could be the next major volatility spike.

Bitcoin Miners Remain Calm Despite Tariff Tensions

Bitcoin is currently trading near critical supply levels that bulls must reclaim to confirm the beginning of a true recovery rally. After weeks of intense volatility and price rejection near $90,000, BTC now faces a key challenge—whether it can overcome short-term resistance and re-enter a bullish structure. But while price action remains uncertain, a deeper look into on-chain data offers encouraging signs for long-term holders.

Macroeconomic tensions continue to weigh heavily on market sentiment. The ongoing escalation of tariffs between the United States and China has fueled fears of a prolonged trade war. Markets across the globe are reacting with caution, and crypto is no exception. Uncertainty around economic policy, inflation, and interest rates has created a risk-off environment that stalls momentum for even top digital assets like Bitcoin.

However, a potential resolution or pause in trade tensions could quickly reignite bullish momentum across markets. According to top analyst Axel Adler, there’s already a strong signal of underlying strength—Bitcoin miners. Adler shared on X that miners are holding up well, and despite the recent price drop, their sentiment is steadily rising. This behavior signals that the selling pressure is not rooted in capitulation but rather in external economic stress. Miners, often seen as the backbone of the Bitcoin network, appear confident in the asset’s long-term value.

In this context, the current pullback is being interpreted more as a macro-driven correction than the start of a structural bear market. If global tensions ease and BTC reclaims supply zones above $87,000, it could set the stage for a new leg up in the ongoing cycle.

BTC Price Holds Above Support But Faces Major Resistance Ahead

Bitcoin is currently trading at $84,400 after several days of struggling to reclaim momentum above the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA). Despite a bounce from recent lows, bulls continue to face strong resistance as they attempt to regain control of the trend. The key objective now is to reclaim the $89,000 level—a breakout above this point would not only push BTC past the 200-day simple moving average (MA), but also mark a fresh high for the first time since March.

However, the path ahead remains uncertain. To avoid a deeper pullback, bulls must defend the $82,000 level, which now acts as a crucial near-term support. Holding above this mark is essential to prevent bearish continuation, as any drop below $82K could accelerate losses and send BTC toward the $75,000 zone—a level not seen since the start of the current correction.

Market sentiment remains cautious amid ongoing global tensions and mixed macroeconomic signals. If bulls can reclaim $89K, it could trigger a renewed rally and restore short-term confidence in the broader crypto market. Until then, Bitcoin remains in a fragile consolidation phase, with momentum hinging on reclaiming key resistance levels.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

Ethereum Investors Suffer More Losses Than Bitcoin Amid Ongoing Market Turmoil

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 04/18/2025 - 02:00

Given the continued volatility in the general crypto market, several major digital assets such as Ethereum and Bitcoin experienced a decrease in investor participation. As a result, the two crypto giants were faced with significant selling pressure, with ETH recording more losses than Bitcoin.

Ethereum Outpaces Bitcoin In Recent Losses

Over the last few days, Ethereum and Bitcoin have struggled with notable bearish pressure that has hampered their upward movements. During this volatile period, seasoned market expert and host of the Crypto Banter show, Kyle Doops, has outlined substantial losses in both assets as observed in the 6-Hour Rolling Losses metric.

Ethereum’s value has declined more precipitously than that of several of its competitors, triggering selling pressure among investors. During the recent sell-off, Ethereum holders have locked in $564 million in losses, highlighting growing investor caution and a shift in market sentiment. 

According to the expert, this is one of the worst losses ETH investors have experienced since the 2023 bull began. The notable losses raise concerns about ETH’s short-term resilience and future performance as volatile market conditions constantly affect investors’ confidence in the altcoin.

Kyle Doops highlighted that while losses are decreasing, this could imply that the market is adjusting to lower pricing. With the market adapting to lower price conditions, the market expert is confident that capitulation is still present.

In another X post, Kyle Doops reported that Bitcoin is navigating rough waters as it suffers significant losses amid persistent market turbulence. This huge loss has also triggered speculations about the sustainability of BTC’s renewed upward trend to key levels like $85,000.

Data from the expert reveals that investors of the largest cryptocurrency asset experienced about $250 million in realized losses in just 6 hours after last week’s sharp drop. In the current market cycle, this loss is one of the biggest so far.

However, looking at the chart, each leg down is exhibiting less pain, which suggests that sellers might be running out of ammo. As key technical resistance levels continue to hinder BTC’s uptrend, the future of the flagship asset is becoming increasingly uncertain.

Where One Of ETH’s Strongest Support Lies

ETH has made a brief rebound to the $1,600 mark after a sudden drop on Wednesday. Delving into the price action, Ali Martinez, a crypto analyst, has underlined a crucial support zone for Ethereum, where significant investor interest was seen in spite of continued price fluctuation.

While the altcoin slowly rebounds, Ali Martinez highlighted that the $1,528.50 is a key support level in its price dynamics. This is due to the notable accumulation around this level. On-chain data shows that about 2.61 million wallet addresses purchased more than 4.82 million ETH in this zone, making it a robust area of support against downside pressure.

Can Dogecoin Price Realistically Reach $10? Here’s How High The Market Cap Would Have To Be

bitcoinist.com - 周五, 04/18/2025 - 00:30

Crypto analysts have raised the possibility of the Dogecoin price reaching $10. Based on this, it has become important to analyze what DOGE’s market cap could be if it reaches this ambitious price target. 

What DOGE’s Market Cap Would Be If The Dogecoin Price Reaches $10

CoinMarketCap data shows that DOGE currently boasts a total circulating supply of 148.88 billion. This means that the Dogecoin price could boast a market cap of $1.48 trillion if it reached $10. It is worth mentioning that this would make the meme coin more valuable than the entire crypto market, which is currently valued at around $2.66 trillion. 

The Dogecoin price reaching $10 looks unrealistic based on DOGE’s market cap if it were to reach this price target. However, crypto analysts such as DOGECAPITAL have predicted that the foremost meme coin can reach this price level. In a recent X post, the analyst affirmed that DOGE could rally to $10 or higher. 

In his analysis, he stated that the Dogecoin price is nearing the end of the green and red line zone. He noted that historically, entering this zone has often preceded significant upward momentum. The analyst predicts this upward movement could begin as early as next month. DOGECAPITAL warned that this doesn’t guarantee an immediate surge at the beginning of the month and remarked that the probability of a strong move upward will increase over time. 

Based on historical trends, the crypto analyst predicted that the Dogecoin price could close the daily candle on December 31 this year at approximately $11.71. He added that this may not reflect the peak price during this cycle, as each year 4 in previous cycles has delivered progressively stronger results. DOGECAPITAL believes that DOGE’s performance in this cycle could exceed its prior achievements, especially with “rising institutional interest, increasing global adoption, and technological progress.”

DOGE Is Set To Pump Soon 

Crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade echoed a similar sentiment as DOGECAPITAL, predicting that the Dogecoin price would pump soon. The analyst suggested that DOGE was at the final stage of its pullback. He remarked that the foremost meme coin is showing the same characteristics on the MACD and RSI as it did in the last stage of the previous pullbacks. In line with this, he affirmed that the meme coin is set to pump soon as it nears the end of this pullback. 

Crypto analyst Master Kenobi asserted that a Dogecoin price breakout is expected to happen within hours. Interestingly, in a follow-up to this prediction, he raised the possibility of DOGE rallying to as high as $15 based on a Livermore formation on the meme coin’s chart. 

At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.157, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index Edges Toward Positive Territory, Investor Optimism Recovering?

bitcoinist.com - 周四, 04/17/2025 - 22:00

After persistent bearish pressure on Wednesday, Bitcoin’s price witnessed a brief upward move to the $85,000 threshold as buying interest slowly increased. Despite waning price movements, key metrics like the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index have started to improve as it moves closer to positive territory.

BTC Coinbase Premium Shows Signs Of Recovery

Bitcoin’s market sentiment appears to be gearing up for a notable shift due to data from the Coinbase Premium Index. In a recent post on the X (formerly Twitter), Daan Crypto Trades, a crypto analyst and trader, reports that the key metric has shown signs of recovery.

Specifically, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index is an indicator that tracks the price difference of BTC on the Coinbase exchange and other major crypto exchanges in the sector. Daan Crypto Trades highlighted that the index is gradually attempting to move into positive territory after being extremely negative for most of April.

This slight shift back toward positive territory points to a possible recovery in spot demand in the United States, which is typically observed as a bullish indication for the market as a whole. Although the premium is slowly turning positive, it is an indication of a resurgence of institutional interest and capital inflows from US retail traders.

According to the expert, this development comes after net Bitcoin Spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) outflows and BTC accumulation by Michael Saylor‘s MicroStrategy firm. On Monday, the company purchased an additional 3,459 BTC, valued at $285.8 million at a cost price of $82,618.

As of April 13, 2025, the company owned 531,644 BTC, which were purchased for $35.92 billion at a price of $67,556 each. Considering the recent purchase at $82,618, MicroStrategy has now achieved a BTC yield of 11.4% Year-to-date (YTD) in 2025.

Even though the BTC Coinbase Premium Index tends to mostly be a lagging indicator, it might reveal underlying strength or weakness when the market is moving sideways. In the meantime, Daan Crypto Trades noted that the crucial metric is essentially flat currently, urging investors to closely monitor the trend.

Retail Bitcoin Holders Sell-Offs Surpass Large Investors

Amid Bitcoin’s ongoing volatility, there has been heightened selling pressure on crypto exchanges over the past 15 days. During this period, BTC retail and mid-sized investors were seen offloading their holdings more than whales or old investors.

Data from CryptoQuant Exchange Inflow Age/Value Bands shows that short-term holders have been the main sellers, transferring an average of 930 BTC to exchanges. Meanwhile, Long-Term Holders only saw daily movements of roughly 529 BTC, indicating that long-term conviction is still strong despite panic or profit-taking from short-term holders.

This cohort-driven breakdown clarifies that the present correction is not a big exodus by smart money, since Bitcoin is trading sideways and volatility is compressing. Rather, it is most likely the result of anxious mid-tier and short-term holders.

Gary Gensler Goes Full Bitcoin Maximalist In First Interview After SEC Exit

bitcoinist.com - 周四, 04/17/2025 - 20:00

Gary Gensler has broken two months of public silence with a combustible appearance on CNBC’s Squawk Box, granting his first interview since stepping down as chair of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on 20 January. In a 17‑minute exchange with Andrew Ross Sorkin, the former regulator applauded Bitcoin’s staying power while likening most non‑Bitcoin tokens to “sentiment‑driven memes.”

The remarks came as the SEC, under acting chair Mark T. Uyeda, is walking away from headline enforcement actions that defined the Gensler era. Gensler refrained from talking about individual cases, rather emphasizing that the crypto industry has no fundamentals.

Gensler Embraces Bitcoin Maximalism

“I’m going to step back a little bit from any individual cases and just say this again to your viewing public. This is a very small part of the financial markets. But if you were interested in this, think about every financial asset sort of trades on a bit of fundamentals and sentiment. But this field is almost *99 percent – or maybe one might say 100 percent – sentiment and very little on fundamentals,” Gensler said, gesturing toward the market outside Bitcoin.

“And while something like Bitcoin may persist for a long time because there’s seven billion people around the globe, a real keen interest in it, there’s ten‑ or fifteen‑thousand others of these tokens… and if this is just about sentiment, then generally those don’t end up well and most then go down,” he added.

Pressed by co‑host Joe Kernen on whether Bitcoin should be treated differently, Gensler conceded a precious‑metal analogy he had long resisted while in office: “I think the distinction is similar to in metals, there’s only two or three precious metals. We humans have a certain fascination with two or three precious metals like gold. I don’t think we humans will have a fascination with ten‑ or fifteen‑thousand meme or sentiment tokens trading over the years.”

The interview lands amid an unprecedented retreat by the Commission from litigation that Gensler himself had authorised. On 27 February the SEC filed a joint stipulation dismissing its civil action against Coinbase, permanently ending the 20‑month fight over the exchange’s alleged unregistered‑broker activities. Just five weeks later, staff attorneys told Kraken that the agency would abandon its 2023 securities‑exchange complaint “with prejudice,” sparing the exchange both penalties and operational concessions.

The most consequential reversal involves Ripple Labs. On 19 March, CEO Brad Garlinghouse declared victory after learning that the SEC would withdraw its planned appeal of last year’s mixed ruling on XRP sales. A joint motion filed on 11 April asks the Second Circuit to hold all appeals “in abeyance,” effectively closing a four‑year battle that once threatened to define the security status of crypto assets in US law.

During his tenure, Gensler’s enforcement bureau opened or expanded more than 150 crypto cases, arguing that nearly every token except Bitcoin qualified as an unregistered security. His post‑departure rhetoric sharpens that line rather than softening it. By praising Bitcoin’s resilience while dismissing other tokens as speculative “sentiment,” he echoed the Bitcoin‑maximalist thesis that only the original cryptocurrency can function as non‑sovereign money.

At press time, BTC traded at $84,178.

Anatomy Of A Bitcoin Bear Market: Expert Trader Reveals The Signals To Watch Out For

bitcoinist.com - 周四, 04/17/2025 - 19:00

The Bitcoin price has been struggling after crashing more than 20% from its January all-time highs, and has taken the entire crypto market down with it. This has been a point of concern for many investors, especially as BTC continues to struggle. According to a crypto trader, it looks like the current muted trend may end up being even more bearish for the Bitcoin price after all, given the signals that they pointed out could be leading to another crash for the cryptocurrency market.

Distribution Before A Bitcoin Price Crash

In a piece that was published on X (formerly Twitter), Zero Ika noted some developments in the market that could point to another price dump on the horizon for Bitcoin. First of these is the fact that the Bitcoin price currently looks stable. So far, it has been trending between $83,000 and $85,000, but the analyst explains that the supposedly bullish sentiment may not be all that bullish as things could be shifting beneath the surface.

Another signal that the analyst points out is the fact that the market does start to see isolated altcoin rallies independent of what the Bitcoin price might be doing. Looking at the market over the past few days, there have been some worrying rallies that have seemingly come out of nowhere for some altcoins.

For example, coins like Fartcoin and Aergo have seen rallies of over 300% in just a short time, especially when the Bitcoin price has been dumping. Additionally, Mantra’s OM token pumped and then dumped over 90% in a single day. These types of rallies, the trader explains, are not real. “To the untrained eye, it looks like early altseason or a hidden gem finally getting its due but in reality, these rallies are manufactured,” Zero Ika opined.

Apparently, these localized rallies serve a purpose and it is distribution. What this means is that “smart money” use these easy to manipulate altcoins as a way to exit the market, rather than using BTC directly and causing panic. So, they move their capital into these altcoins, which are then artificially propped up and then use the constructed liquidity windows to exit.

“Thin liquidity means price can be walked up with relatively small capital, and once it starts moving, the retail reflex kicks in,” the post read.

The crypto trader explains that the appearance of these events, while they may look bullish, does not mean the start of an altcoin rally, but rather an ending. They explain that the timing of these is never random, and they are usually a warning sign. “So when altcoins start to explode without reason while BTC is flat and wicking through HTF supply areas, zoom out,” Zero Ika said in closing.

Project Eleven предложил 1 BTC за квантовый взлом криптографии Биткоина

bits.media/ - 周四, 04/17/2025 - 18:04
Команда Project Eleven запустила конкурс Q-Day Prize, чтобы проверить, насколько реальны теоретические риски квантовых атак на криптографию Биткоина, а также — как близко современные квантовые технологии подобрались к взлому защиты экосистемы первой криптовалюты. Конкурс продлится до 5 апреля 2026 года.

Oklahoma Out Of Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Race After Senate Tax Committee Rejects Bill

bitcoinist.com - 周四, 04/17/2025 - 18:00

Oklahoma’s Senate has voted against the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) bill introduced in January, leaving it out of the race to establish crypto-based reserves at the state level in the US.

Oklahoma Exits Bitcoin Reserve Race

On Monday, Oklahoma dropped out of the Strategic Bitcoin (BTC) Reserve race after the Senate Revenue and Taxation Committee rejected the proposed legislation despite a Republican majority.

In January, Oklahoma became the sixth state to introduce a BTC Reserve policy in the US. State House Representative Cody Maynard proposed House Bill 1203 (HB1203), the Strategic BTC Reserve Act, to allow Oklahoma’s state savings accounts and pension funds to invest in digital assets like BTC.

The bill would have allowed the State Treasurer and state retirement funds to hold digital assets through a secure custody solution, managed by a qualified custodian, or invested in exchange-traded products, and mandated that any taxes or fees paid in BTC be transferred to the State General Fund and reimbursed in US currency.

Oklahoma was among the SBR race leaders, tied with Texas as the second most advanced state in the legislative process. By March, the bill had advanced through the legislative process, passing the House’s third reading with a 77 – 15 vote.

However, the Senate’s Tax Committee dismissed the proposal in a 6 – 5 vote, with the two Democratic and four Republican Senators voting no on April 14.

Notably, Senator Christi Gillespie revealed she was voting no until Monday afternoon, but was convinced to vote yes “by a couple of constituents,” Bitcoin Laws reported on X.

The post also noted that “politicians voting on Bitcoin Reserve legislation can be persuaded (…). None of these bills are guaranteed to pass or fail. Bitcoiners (you) can make a difference.”

US States’ Crypto Legalization Continues

Oklahoma became the latest state to dismiss its SBR plans, joining Utah, Montana, South Dakota, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, and Wyoming.

It’s worth noting that another crypto-related legislation remains live in Oklahoma’s Senate. As reported by Bitcoinist, Republican state senator Dusty Deevers introduced a bill in January allowing Oklahoma employees, residents, and businesses to accept BTC payments.

Senate Bill 325 (SB325) aims to allow employees to choose BTC as a payment method and allow vendors to accept BTC for goods and services, offering Oklahomans an opportunity to protect their salaries and investments from inflation.

The bill seeks to “establish a framework for the secure use of Bitcoin by the State of Oklahoma, private businesses, and individual residents,” authorize Bitcoin as an acceptable medium for transactions, salaries, and investments, and ensure participation is “entirely voluntary, respecting the free-market principles.”

Nonetheless, the legislation has not advanced since February, when it was referred to the Technology and Telecommunications Committee.

With no other SBR-related bill in the state, the race continues to be led by Arizona’s SB1025 and SB1373, New Hampshire’s HB302, and Texas’s SB21.

Цифровизация и План, или Модернизировать советский опыт

Стратегические новости - 周四, 04/17/2025 - 18:00
Научно-практический эфир программы «АВРОРА на ЛИНИИ с Фёдором Бирюковым» развивает концепцию фабрики смыслов Радио АВРОРА и добавляет в неё футурологического драйва Главный вопрос на сегодня: «Плановая...

Glider’s $4M Raise Signals AI-Crypto Synergy; SUBBD Poised to Capitalize On This Boom

bitcoinist.com - 周四, 04/17/2025 - 17:38

Decentralized Finance (DeFi) offers investors powerful tools to invest in crypto, with little interference from outside forces.

But navigating DeFi can be a major pain, with complicated interfaces and advanced investment techniques.

Now, the planned DeFi platform Glider aims to smooth out DeFi investment by incorporating advanced AI for a simpler approach.

The fusion of AI and DeFi took a significant leap as Glider secured $4M in funding. Led by Andreessen Horowitz, the VC investment move underscores the escalating interest in AI crypto solutions such as SUBBD Token ($SUBBD).

Decentralizing AI: Glider’s Strategic Funding

Glider’s successful $4M funding round, led by venture capital giant Andreessen Horowitz, highlights the growing investor confidence in AI-driven DeFi platforms.

Glider wants to enhance user experience by integrating AI to automate trading strategies, while still ensuring users retain full custody of their assets.

The broader crypto community views this investment as a testament to the potential of AI in revolutionizing decentralized finance.

Glider’s $4M raise is only the tip of the iceberg; industry analysis by Tracxn indicated that venture capital firms funneled $917M into decentralized AI ventures.

Decentralization, long a pillar of the crypto and blockchain community, works well for financial ventures but has run into roadblocks with AI.

Most AI research, and the leading AI initiatives, are concentrated in the hands of a small number of large companies; indeed, the entire AI economy is mostly powered by the data owned by a few tech behemoths like Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), and Microsoft (MSFT).

There are growing questions abound how AI addresses issues of data privacy, algorithmic transparency, and the need for user-centric solutions. Glider’s embrace of a decentralized, non-custodial DeFi platform with innate AI capabilities could provide real-world answers to those questions.

And Glider isn’t the only game in town.

SUBBD Token ($SUBBD): New AI Crypto Project Introducing User-Centric Solutions

While Glider focuses on DeFi, SUBBD Token ($SUBBD) emerges as a forward-thinking project at the intersection of AI and the $85B creator economy.

Fans and creators have long been forced to rely on platforms as middlemen. This cuts into potential earnings for content creators while adding barriers to interactions between creators and fans.

The SUBBD Token could change it all – and the platform uses both AI and the blockchain to do it.

Tokenization places content on-chain, making it far easier to track and monetize. The $SUBBD token itself provides holders with a number of benefits, including:

  • 20% presale staking, replaced after the first year with added platform benefits
  • Platform discounts, allowing fans to subscribe for less
  • Exclusive content drops, giving fans more chances to see their favorite creators
With AI tools, creators and fans can interact with, create, and manage AI influencers.

In time, they’ll be able to direct influencer livestreams, videos, and voicenotes, all directly from the SUBBD platform.

The first stage of SUBBD’s development is already complete, with Phase 2 well underway.

The project has raised $181K so far, so now is the perfect time to buy $SUBBD and join the first-movers. Our $SUBBD price prediction targets $0.301 by year-end, a 5x increase from the current price.

SUBBD Token’s Place in the Evolving AI-Crypto Landscape

Blockchain provides transparency, AI makes things simple and easy to use.

In a nutshell, that’s why Glider raised so much so quickly, and it’s the same reason that SUBBD Token could be one of the best AI crypto presales in 2025.

$SUBBD is strategically positioned to capitalize on the AI-crypto trend by offering a content creation solution that addresses current market gaps.

Don’t take our word for anything, of course. Always do your own research, and think carefully before making any purchases. None of this is financial advice.

As the industry continues to evolve, projects that prioritize user empowerment and technological innovation, like SUBBD Token, are likely to thrive. It could play a pivotal role in shaping the future of AI-integrated crypto projects.

Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score Hits 2025 High: What It Means

bitcoinist.com - 周四, 04/17/2025 - 16:30

Data shows the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score has seen a rise to the highest point of the year. Here’s what this could mean for the asset’s price.

Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score Has Hit The 0.34 Mark

In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Accumulation Trend Score of Bitcoin. The “Accumulation Trend Score” here refers to an indicator that tells us about whether the BTC investors are accumulating or not.

The metric makes use of the balance changes happening in the wallets of the holders in order to calculate its value. Additionally, it also applies the size of the balance of the investors as a weighting factor on these changes. This means that larger entities have a larger influence on the indicator.

When the Accumulation Trend Score is greater than 0.5, it means the the large investors (or alternatively, a large number of small addresses) are accumulating. The closer is the metric’s value to 1, the stronger is this relationship.

On the other hand, the indicator being under 0.5 suggests the holders are in a phase of distribution (or possibly, they are just not participating in accumulation). In this case, the extreme point lies at 0.

Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score over the last few months:

In the graph, the curve represents the price of the cryptocurrency and the shaded dots the Accumulation Trend Score associated with the corresponding date. A light yellow color means a value close to 0, while a dark purple one close to 1.

From the chart, it’s visible that the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score had a light shade back in January, meaning the investors were participating in strong distribution.

As the price has topped out and declined since then, the indicator’s value has registered an increase, a sign that selling behavior has been waning among the investors.

Today, the metric has reached a shade corresponding to a value of 0.34, which is the highest that it has been since the start of the year. “This suggests that, on aggregate, wallets are beginning to re-enter accumulation mode, with larger cohorts stepping in modestly despite recent price weakness,” notes the analytics firm.

Obviously, the market behavior hasn’t shifted to that of outright accumulation just yet, but the trend is naturally still positive given the bearish action that Bitcoin has gone through recently.

BTC Price

Bitcoin has witnessed a minor pullback during the past day as its price has dropped to $84,700.

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