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Bitcoin Bear Market: 2021-2022 Weak Market Structure Resurfaces — Details
Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) finally broke out of a longstanding consolidation phase, moving decisively above the $90,000 mark. During this time, the leading cryptocurrency traded as high as $94,700 before a sudden rejection that has since forced prices to move within the $90,000-$92,000 range. Amid this mini-consolidation, a market analyst with the username OnChain has identified clear signs of a structural market weakness supporting the possibility of a bear market.
Bitcoin On-Chain, Technical Indicators Combine To Paint Bear PictureIn a QuickTake post on CryptoQuant, OnChain explains that Bitcoin is showing early signs of structural weakness on the weekly chart, similar to what happened in 2021–2022. The analyst confirms this theory by consulting a combination of price-based technical indicators and on-chain demand metrics to determine the right market situation. These include: 4 Anchored VWAPs (2021 ATH, 2025 ATH, 3rd halving, and 4th halving), the SMA50, Realized Price – UTXO Age Bands (6-12 months), and Bitcoin Apparent Demand.
The application of these indicators to the Bitcoin weekly chart highlights areas of similar price structure in the present market and in 2021/2022. Notably, in Areas 1, as seen in the chart below, it is observed that Bitcoin for the first time simultaneously trades below the average price since the last all-time high (anchored VWAP), the SMA50, and also the realized price of coins held for 6–12 months. In the previous cycle, when BTC first fell below all these levels together, it marked the start of a broader weakening phase, rather than a brief correction. In Areas 2, OnChain reports that in both cycles, Bitcoin finds support at the anchored VWAP to its last halving for the second time in each cycle. Following the price correction halt, BTC attempted a mini-rebound in 2022 but faced strong resistance at all indicators from Areas 1, before slipping into a multi-month downtrend.
According to the market analyst, the indicators highlighted in Areas 1 are presently positioned around the $98,000 – $101,000, presenting the next point of major resistance. Meanwhile, all this reported price action is occurring as Bitcoin Apparent Demand continues to crash suggest a visible lack of buying pressure. OnChain notes another concerning similarity as Apparent Demand is also nearing the negative territory, similarly to 2021-2022.
BTC Market OverviewAt the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $90,500 following a minor price decline of 0.58% in the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, its monthly loss stands at 1.9%, indicating the bulls continue to struggle for market control. While there are alarming signs of growing market weakness, there are also potential positive developments. One of which is the Clarity Act, as highlighted by OnChain, the potential impact of which, following enactment, largely remains unknown.
A16z Bets Big On America’s Crypto, Tech Future With $15 Billion War Chest
Crypto and tech just got a major boost. Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) has closed on just over $15 billion in fresh capital, a fundraising round that will be split across multiple new vehicles aimed at a range of tech areas. According to reports, the move marks the firm’s biggest raise yet and gives it a much bigger hand in where venture dollars flow next.
Fund Sizes And TargetsThe new money is divided into several named pots. The largest is a growth fund of $6.75 billion. Two funds of about $1.7 billion each will back apps and infrastructure. An American Dynamism fund, aimed at defense, supply chains and similar projects, totals about $1.176 billion.
— a16z (@a16z) January 9, 2026
A Bio + Health vehicle holds roughly $700 million, and roughly $3 billion is earmarked for other venture strategies. These figures were published by the firm in a post explaining why it raised the cash and how it plans to invest. Reports have disclosed that the haul represents over 18% of all venture capital invested in the US in 2025.
Why The Money MattersBased on reports, company leaders framed this raise as more than just an investment play. They say the goal is to keep the US competitive on key technologies such as artificial intelligence and crypto, which they called central to the country’s technological standing for decades ahead. The firm has long backed major web and crypto names, and this raise signals continued bets on those sectors.
A Bigger Crypto, Tech Player In A Shrinking MarketThe timing stands out. US venture fundraising weakened in 2025, with totals well below prior years, yet a16z pulled in a very large share of available capital. Market watchers say that a firm with this much firepower can shape which startups get funded and which priorities rise to the top. The raise also pushes the firm’s assets under management to figures reported around $90 billion, giving it extraordinary reach across early and late stage deals.
Investors and rivals noted how big funds can move markets. Some see positives: more capital for AI labs, for chip design, for crypto infrastructure. Some warn of concentration, where a handful of large firms steer too much of the startup ecosystem. News outlets pointed to comparisons with past large funds and noted the unusual scale of this single announcement relative to a weaker overall fundraising year.
Featured image from Disruption Banking, chart from TradingView
Виталик Бутерин: «Конфиденциальность — это фундаментальное право человека»
Венчурная криптокомпания a16z назвала условия лидерства США
What Ripple’s FCA Approval Means For XRP And Payments In The UK
Crypto pundit X Finance Bull has explained what Ripple’s FCA approval means for XRP and cross-border payments in the U.K. This comes as the altcoin continues to gain adoption through Ripple’s efforts, with XRP notably at the centre of the crypto firm’s cross-border payment services.
XRP To Gain Greater Adoption Through Ripple’s FCA ApprovalIn an X post, X Finance Bull stated that U.K. institutions are now cleared to send cross-border payments using XRP and the XRP Ledger. He noted that this is now possible as Ripple has secured FCA approval to scale its payment platform in the U.K. In line with this, the pundit declared that adoption is accelerating and urged the XRP army to stay on alert, as they are still early.
Meanwhile, X Finance Bull also admitted that the company’s regulatory headway in the U.K. makes partnerships easier. That way, the crypto firm can easily partner with institutions to advance XRP’s adoption and the use of its stablecoin, RLUSD, in cross-border transactions.
In its press release, Ripple announced that it had secured approval of its Electronic Money Institution (EMI) licence and Cryptoasset Registration from the U.K.’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). The firm further noted that these permissions will allow it to expand its licensed payments platform, thereby enabling U.K. institutions to send cross-border payments using XRP and other digital assets.
The payment firm also highlighted its ties to XRP in the release, noting that it contributes to and builds its products on the XRP Ledger, which uses XRP as its native token for fast, low-cost settlement of value across borders. It is worth noting that this development comes amid other bullish developments for XRP, including Ripple-backed Evernorth’s strategic collaboration with Doppler to explore ways to deploy XRP at scale.
XRP Remains The Heartbeat Of Ripple’s VisionIn an X post, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse assured that XRP has been and will continue to be the heartbeat of Ripple’s vision to enable the Internet of Value. This came as he highlighted the firm’s success last year, including two major acquisitions, Ripple Prime and GTreasury, which he noted greatly accelerated and expanded their ability to deliver on this vision.
Garlinghouse further remarked that they are poised to make 2026 even more consequential with the most comprehensive licensing portfolio, having added the U.K.’s EMI license. He noted that building and using crypto infrastructure, updating their global financing plumbing, and rethinking legacy systems don’t happen overnight. As such, they plan to continue taking the long view of what crypto-based assets such as XRP and RLUSD can do rather than chasing cycles and hype.
At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.09, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.
