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Ripple’s XRP is seeing a clear shift in investor behavior, with large on-chain transactions surging to levels not seen in months. With market dynamics turning positive after months of volatility and capitulation, XRP investors are returning to the market with conviction. Transactions valued at $100,000 and above have been recorded with increasing frequency on the XRP Ledger (XRPL), signaling renewed interest and confidence in the cryptocurrency. 

New data shows XRP whales returning just as the broader market attempts to stabilize after recent pullbacks. According to crypto analytics platform Santiment, XRP Ledger activity spiked sharply at the start of the week. Apparently, transfers valued at $100,000 or more have climbed to their highest level since early October 2025.

The accompanying chart highlights that on January 5, 2026, the XRP network recorded 2,170 whale transactions. Activity spiked even more on January 6, when the count jumped to 2,802 large transactions in a single day. Notably, this surge signals a clear shift in high-value XRP activity, highlighting strong participation from major holders across the network. 

Alongside the increase in large-scale investor activity, XRP price candles on the chart reflect a sharp rebound from recent lows. After a steady decline through late December 2025, XRP’s price action turned upward as transaction counts surged. The timing of this move stands out because XRP had spent weeks trending below $2 before this sudden increase in on-chain movement. 

Notably, XRP investors may be returning after earlier declines as market sentiment slowly improves. Lower prices appear to have attracted long-term holders who see current levels as a favorable accumulation zone. Another factor possibly behind the renewed interest could be the perception that downside pressure has weakened. The stabilization seen before the transaction spike likely encouraged large players to reposition capital in the cryptocurrency. 

Although the market appears to be moving away from previous downtrends, Santiment analysts have highlighted rising volatility on the chart. Rapid swings in transaction volume appear alongside sharper price movements, signaling that volatility is likely to remain elevated. 

In other news, data from the blockchain and analytics platform CryptoQuant indicates a major shift in how XRP is held on crypto exchanges like Binance. CryptoOnChain, an analyst at CryptoQuant, published a report announcing that XRP’s reserves on Binance have fallen to 2.6 billion tokens, the lowest level seen since January 2024. 

The analyst highlighted that declining supply often signals reduced selling pressure. He stated that XRP holdings have steadily dropped from nearly 3.25 billion tokens in late 2025, suggesting investors are moving assets into self-custody and potentially adopting a HODL mindset. 

CryptoQuant also noted that this trend reflects a strong accumulation phase that removes liquidity from active trading. With fewer tokens available on the sell side, the platform stated that a demand spike could lead to sharper price moves, creating a favorable setup for XRP in the short- to medium-term.

US spot XRP ETFs recorded their first-ever net outflow on Wednesday, January 7, 2026, breaking a 36-day streak of continuous inflows since their launch in Q4 2025. The shift immediately raised a critical question for the market: Does this change in ETF flow direction signal a deeper downside for XRP’s price, or is it a short-term reset within a still-intact structure? Recent price action and broader market context suggest the answer is more nuanced than a simple bearish continuation.

The net outflow for XRP ETFs totaled roughly $40.8 million, driven entirely by a $47.25 million redemption from 21Shares’ TOXR, as Canary Capital, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and 21Shares all recorded notable outflows during the period. This heavy selling pressure was partially offset by limited inflows into select products, with Canary’s XRPC attracting $2.32 million, while Grayscale’s GXRP stood out as the only fund to post positive flows, adding about 0.13% or roughly $1.69 million, according to SoSoValue data.

Despite this single day of outflows, XRP ETFs continue to hold significant assets, roughly $1.53 billion, just over 1% of the cryptocurrency’s overall market capitalization. The cumulative fund flow since launch remains strongly positive, indicating institutional demand has not disappeared. 

Following the red ETF print, XRP’s price declined around 7%, slipping below $2.10 after failing to overcome resistance near $2.26. This move occurred within a broader short-term market pullback and did not immediately unwind earlier gains from sustained ETF accumulation. Short-term price response is more likely tied to traders reacting to ETF data and simultaneous weakness in broader crypto markets, rather than an isolated loss of confidence in the altcoin itself.

The first red day for XRP ETFs coincided with heavy outflows across other major crypto ETFs, highlighting a broader risk-off shift in institutional positioning amid ongoing regulatory recalibration. This came as WisdomTree quietly exited the spot XRP ETF race, withdrawing its SEC filing without any shares issued. Spot Bitcoin ETFs simultaneously recorded withdrawals totaling roughly $486 million, marking one of the largest single-day outflow prints in early 2026.

Spot Ether ETFs also turned negative, with about $99 million in net outflows reported, representing the first net exit day for ETH products this year. Together, these synchronized moves suggest the pressure was not isolated to XRP instruments, but part of a wider rotation across crypto-linked funds as capital reassessed exposure.

Such market-wide ETF weakness tends to amplify short-term price volatility and drive correlated moves across digital asset prices. While prior inflows still provide a degree of support, the combination of fund redemptions and issuers stepping back from new launches raises questions about whether this session marks a temporary pause or the start of a more cautious phase for regulated crypto exposure.