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Криптостартапы с собственными токенами и ежемесячным доходом от $1 млн закрываются на 50% чаще, чем новые проекты, воздержавшиеся от запуска монет, сообщил сооснователь платформы аналитики DeFi Llama под ником 0xngmi.

The crypto market continues to struggle with recovery as sustained capital outflows and persistent selling pressure weigh on sentiment. After months of volatility and declining liquidity, attempts to stabilize prices have repeatedly faced resistance, leaving investors cautious and positioning defensively. While corrective phases are common following strong rallies, recent price action reflects a more prolonged adjustment period, with both retail and institutional participants reassessing exposure amid uncertain macro and market conditions.

However, recent on-chain analysis from CryptoQuant highlights a potentially important shift in investor behavior within specific segments of the market. Data focused on Compound (COMP) activity on Binance shows a pronounced change in exchange flows. The weekly Netflow chart has turned sharply negative, indicating that significant amounts of COMP are being withdrawn from the exchange rather than deposited.

Such movements are often interpreted as a reduction in immediate selling intent, as assets transferred off exchanges typically move toward long-term storage, DeFi deployment, or strategic repositioning. While this development does not necessarily signal an imminent market reversal, it suggests evolving sentiment beneath the broader market weakness.

Record COMP Outflows Suggest Accumulation Trend

The CryptoQuant report adds further context by highlighting the scale of recent capital movements involving Compound (COMP). Over the past week, the Netflow indicator dropped to roughly -$1.8 million, marking the largest negative weekly reading since October. This sharp decline signals a substantial withdrawal of COMP from Binance, indicating a notable shift in crypto investor positioning. Large exchange outflows often reflect reduced immediate selling intent, particularly when they occur during periods of broader market uncertainty.

This development contrasts sharply with the situation observed in late October, when the Netflow chart recorded a strong positive spike driven by heavy inflows to Binance. Such crypto inflows typically precede elevated selling pressure as traders position assets on exchanges for potential liquidation. The current pattern, however, suggests the opposite dynamic. A significant outflow of approximately $1.8 million implies that holders may be opting for longer-term custody, whether through cold storage solutions or deployment within decentralized finance protocols.

From a structural standpoint, record exchange outflows can act as a supply-side constraint, reducing available liquidity for immediate sales. While not a definitive bullish signal on its own, this behavior often aligns with early accumulation phases. If sustained, it could support price stabilization or eventual recovery across segments of the broader crypto market.

Total Crypto Market Cap Faces Weakness After Failed Breakout

The Total Crypto Market Cap chart shows a clear transition from bullish expansion to corrective consolidation, with recent price action reflecting sustained selling pressure. After peaking above the $4 trillion mark in late 2025, the market has retraced sharply and now trades near the $2.3 trillion region, indicating a significant contraction in aggregate valuation across digital assets.

Technically, the structure suggests a failed breakout rather than a simple pullback. Price has decisively fallen below key moving averages, with shorter-term averages rolling over first, followed by broader trend indicators. This alignment typically reflects weakening momentum and reduced inflow of fresh capital. Volume behavior also supports this interpretation, as spikes during declines imply distribution rather than accumulation.

The current level near $2.3 trillion appears to function as an interim support zone, but it remains structurally vulnerable. Previous cycles show that once macro trend support breaks, markets often require prolonged consolidation before establishing a new base. The absence of sustained upward momentum suggests liquidity conditions remain constrained.

From a macro perspective, this environment points to a transitional phase rather than immediate recovery. Stabilization of capital inflows, improved sentiment, and confirmation of higher lows would be necessary before a durable bullish structure can realistically re-emerge.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

39-летний житель поселка Зеленец Сыктывдинского района Республики Коми организовал работу майнинговой фермы в сарае на своем земельном участке. Фермер занимался добычей криптовалют незаконно, заявила российская Федеральная служба безопасности.

Гендиректор инвестиционного фонда EMJ Capital Эрик Джексон (Eric Jackson) в интервью с финансовым журналистом Филом Розеном (Phil Rosen) предположил, что к 2041 году курс биткоина может достичь $50 млн.

Ethereum has remained locked in a consolidation phase below the $2,000 level since the sharp market decline seen in early February. Despite occasional rebound attempts, price action continues to reflect caution among traders, with volatility elevated and momentum limited. The inability to reclaim this psychological threshold has reinforced a defensive market posture, as investors weigh macro uncertainty, liquidity conditions, and broader crypto sentiment.

A recent CryptoQuant report provides additional context from an on-chain perspective. According to the analysis, the Ethereum Coinbase Premium Index has stayed predominantly in negative territory, signaling relatively weak demand from US-based investors. This metric compares spot prices on Coinbase with those on other major exchanges, offering insight into regional buying pressure. Persistent negative readings suggest that aggressive spot accumulation from US participants has been largely absent during the current corrective phase.

This pattern aligns with the broader technical structure visible on price charts, where rallies have struggled to gain follow-through. While consolidation does not necessarily imply further downside, sustained weakness in spot demand typically delays recovery phases, leaving Ethereum sensitive to shifts in liquidity, macro conditions, and investor confidence in the near term.

Coinbase Premium Rebound Signals Potential Shift In Demand

The report further notes that the Coinbase Premium Index has recently shown a noticeable upward rebound. Although the indicator remains below the neutral threshold, the strength of the move suggests that selling pressure from US-based investors may be starting to ease. This shift is relevant because the index reflects the difference between Ethereum spot prices on Coinbase and those on other major exchanges, making it a proxy for regional demand dynamics.

If the current upward momentum continues and the index moves into positive territory, turning green, it would indicate renewed spot buying interest from US market participants. Historically, sustained positive readings have often coincided with phases of stronger accumulation, which can help stabilize price action after periods of corrective pressure.

Such a development could become particularly significant if it aligns with a technical breakout from the triangle structure currently visible on the charts. In that scenario, improving on-chain demand and constructive price structure would reinforce each other. While this does not guarantee an immediate rally, the combination could increase the probability of a more durable recovery phase, especially if broader liquidity conditions and market sentiment also begin to improve.

Ethereum Holds After Sharp Breakdown

Ethereum remains under clear technical pressure after losing momentum below the $2,000 level, with the chart showing a sustained downtrend following the late-2025 peak near $4,800. Price action has shifted decisively bearish, marked by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows that confirms a broader corrective structure rather than a temporary pullback.

The recent breakdown accelerated once ETH lost confluence support around the 200-period moving average, triggering a sharp decline toward the $1,900–$2,000 zone. This area now functions as a fragile stabilization range rather than firm support. Trading volumes increased during the selloff, suggesting forced positioning adjustments rather than organic accumulation.

From a trend perspective, ETH continues to trade below all major moving averages, which remain downward sloping. This configuration typically reflects persistent macro weakness and limited buyer conviction. Any sustained recovery would likely require reclaiming the $2,400–$2,600 region, where previous support has turned into resistance.

Until that happens, market structure remains vulnerable. Continued consolidation near current levels could indicate base formation, but another rejection below $2,000 would increase the probability of a deeper retracement toward historical demand zones near the mid-$1,600 range.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Криптовалютная биржа OKX получила от мальтийского регулятора лицензию платежного учреждения (PI), разрешающую проводить платежи с использованием стейблкоинов на территории Евросоюза.

Speculation around institutional XRP accumulation intensified after claims surfaced that SBI Holdings had acquired $10 billion worth of the digital asset. The narrative gained traction quickly, feeding bullish sentiment and reinforcing assumptions about deep corporate exposure to XRP. However, a direct clarification from the company’s leadership has now reframed the conversation, replacing viral figures with verifiable financial reality.

Where The $10 Billion XRP Claim Originated

The controversy began with social media commentary on X (formerly Twitter) by @Strivex_, linking SBI Holdings’ expanding crypto footprint—particularly its Singapore activity—to a presumed multi-billion-dollar XRP treasury. The claim suggested the Japanese financial giant was holding approximately $10 billion in the token on its balance sheet. This interpretation positioned SBI not just as a strategic partner within Ripple’s ecosystem but as one of the largest direct corporate holders of the asset.

CEO Yoshitaka Kitao moved swiftly to dismantle that narrative. Responding publicly, he clarified that the circulating figure misrepresented the firm’s exposure structure. SBI does not custody $10 billion worth of XRP tokens, nor does it maintain a treasury position of that scale in the cryptocurrency itself. Kitao emphasized that such a holding would introduce significant volatility risk, an exposure profile inconsistent with SBl’s balance-sheet management strategy.

Instead, the company’s financial linkage to XRP is indirect, operating through corporate ownership rather than token accumulation. This distinction is critical because equity exposure and digital asset custody carry fundamentally different risk, liquidity, and accounting implications. By correcting the misunderstanding, Kitao repositioned SBI’s involvement as strategic and institutional.

Indirect Exposure, Direct Influence

SBI Holdings’ actual stake sits in Ripple Labs, where it owns roughly 9% equity. This shareholding provides economic participation in Ripple’s enterprise growth, technology deployment, and institutional payment expansion – without requiring direct XRP token holdings. Based on private market estimates that place Ripple’s valuation above $50 billion, SBI’s stake translates to an implied value of approximately $4.5 billion. While substantial, this figure is less than half the viral $10 billion claim and reflects ownership in corporate infrastructure rather than cryptocurrency reserves.

Kitao has described this Ripple stake as a “hidden asset” within SBl’s broader valuation framework. The characterization signals that the market may not fully price in the upside tied to Ripple’s expansion, particularly as blockchain settlement and cross-border payment rails scale globally.

The partnership itself is longstanding, dating back to 2016, and extends beyond passive investment. SBI has actively supported Ripple’s institutional penetration across Asia. Its recent acquisition of a majority stake in Singapore-based exchange Coinhako illustrates this operational alignment, establishing a digital asset corridor between Japan and Southeast Asia. Further collaboration includes participation in Ripple’s $1 billion treasury initiative alongside Evernorth Holdings, designed to accelerate institutional XRP utilization.

Through these initiatives, SBI maintains exposure to XRP’s real-world deployment across liquidity provisioning, settlement infrastructure, and payment corridors – even without holding the token directly.

Businessman and TV personality Kevin O’Leary, known as “Mr. Wonderful” from Shark Tank, has won a $2.8 million judgment after a US federal court entered default against popular YouTuber Ben “BitBoy” Armstrong.

The ruling comes after Armstrong failed to respond to a defamation lawsuit related to false claims he made on social media, which accused O’Leary of involvement in a 2019 boating accident that resulted in fatalities.

Those claims were never proven in court, and reporters have noted the legal action focused on restoring reputation and seeking damages for harm caused by the statements.

Court Enters Default Judgment

The court award totals roughly $2.8 million in combined damages. That figure breaks down into about $78,000 for reputational injury, $750,000 for emotional distress, and $2,000,000 in punitive damages meant to punish the conduct.

#bitboy #Mrwonderful pic.twitter.com/mCUsuwESm6

— F Joe (@FJOE_CRYPTO) February 14, 2026

Judge Beth Bloom presided over the matter in the US District Court for the Southern District of Florida, which handled filings and issued the judgment. The ruling came after procedural steps that allow a plaintiff to obtain judgment when a defendant fails to respond.

Allegations And Timeline

Reports say the posts at the center of the case appeared in March of last year. They accused the businessman of being connected to lethal conduct and alleged a cover-up. O’Leary has never been charged in relation to that incident, and later court records showed related parties were cleared at trial.

The defamation suit alleged the statements crossed the line from opinion into false factual claims that damaged reputation and caused distress. Because Armstrong did not appear or meaningfully answer the complaint, the court treated the claims as conceded for purposes of final judgment.

Crypto Connection And Implications

Armstrong is a well-known personality in the world of cryptocurrency, operating the popular site BitBoy Crypto. His messages reach thousands of cryptocurrency fans and investors, which helped to spread the false claims.

Although the case itself is not related to cryptocurrency, it shows the legal danger that cryptocurrency influencers may face when posting unverified or defamatory information online. This decision may make other personalities in the cryptocurrency world more careful about what they post online.

Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView

Затяжной спад на криптовалютном рынке заканчивается — криптозима либо уже подошла к концу, либо завершится не позднее апреля, заявил сооснователь Fundstrat Global Advisors и председатель BitMine Immersion Technologies Том Ли (Tom Lee).

Японская компания Metaplanet, один из крупнейших корпоративных владельцев биткоинов, отчиталась о годовом нереализованном убытке на 102,2 млрд иен (около $664 млн). Это немного лучше, чем прогноз самой фирмы. Причина убытков — переоценка хранящихся биткоинов.

Криптовалютные биржевые фонды четвертую неделю подряд фиксируют чистый отток средств. За последнюю семидневку инвесторы вывели $173 млн, а суммарные потери за четыре недели достигли $3,74 млрд, сообщила управляющая компания CoinShares.

Ric Edelman says Bitcoin can reach $500,000 by the end of the decade and, unlike many headline-grabbing forecasts, he’s putting a simple allocation math behind it.

In a Feb. 15 interview with Altcoin Daily, the longtime financial adviser and founder of Edelman Financial (now managing roughly $330 billion, by his account) framed his target as the “conservative” case in a range of increasingly aggressive calls circulating in crypto. “I believe that Bitcoin can reach $500,000 by the end of the decade,” Edelman said. “And there are other predictions that are even more bold than mine… many are predicting a million. Others are predicting as much as two to 5 million in pricing.”

Why Edelman Calls $500,000 Bitcoin ‘Conservative’ By 2030

What he objects to, he said, is not optimism, it’s the lack of disclosed assumptions. “The problem I have with a lot of the predictions is that they are opaque. They haven’t explained why they believe what they’re saying,” Edelman said. “So I’ll be transparent and tell you how I get to 500,000 by 2030… this is not a straight line… it’s going to be very bumpy along the way.”

Edelman’s case rests on a broad-based shift in global portfolio construction, not a single catalyst. He argues Bitcoin still isn’t owned by the “average investor” worldwide but that adoption can expand through sovereign and institutional channels over time. He listed potential buyers across the capital stack: “government holdings, sovereign wealth funds and institutional holdings, endowments, pension funds, hedge funds, insurance companies, banks, brokerages, etc.”

From there, Edelman zooms out to the size of the global asset pool. He estimated the combined value of global stocks, bonds, real estate, gold, and cash at roughly $750 trillion. The key step is the portfolio slice: if diversified investors ultimately assign just 1% to Bitcoin, that implies about $7.5 trillion of inflows, which he says would translate into roughly $500,000 per coin when combined with Bitcoin’s existing value.

“It’s simple arithmetic,” Edelman said. “If you take the attitude… that everybody who owns a diversified portfolio ends up owning just 1% of their portfolio in Bitcoin — that’s inflows of $7.5 trillion… That plus the current value of Bitcoin translates to about $500,000 per coin. It’s really that simple.”

He added two reinforcing observations: that allocations are already happening, and that when they happen they may be larger than 1%. “We’re beginning to discover… more and more people are allocating,” he said. “And… they’re allocating closer to 5% of assets.”

While Edelman emphasized Bitcoin’s long-term adoption curve, he also argued the broader crypto stack matters, particularly Ethereum, which he tied to stablecoin growth. He called it “funny” that investors can be bearish on crypto prices while simultaneously bullish on stablecoins, given where much of that activity settles today.

“If you believe stablecoins are the winner, how can you not be a supporter of Ethereum? Because almost all the stablecoins are trading on Ethereum,” Edelman said. Pressed for a number, he suggested Ethereum could reach “between $4,000 and $10,000,” adding that a doubling would be “very easy to suggest” in his view.

At press time, BTC traded at $68,986.

Председатель крупнейшего корпоративного держателя биткоинов компании Strategy Майкл Сейлор (Michael Saylor) заявил, что фирма сможет выдержать падение BTC до $8000.

Russia’s crypto scene is bigger than many realize, and regulators are sounding the alarm. Reports say daily crypto turnover inside the country may be around 50 billion rubles. That adds up fast — more than 10 trillion rubles a year by simple math — and officials say much of it moves beyond formal oversight.

Russia’s deputy finance minister, Ivan Chebeskov, raised the figure while speaking about the need for clearer rules. According to reports, he warned that millions of people are taking part, and that those flows are largely happening outside official systems.

That puts the state in a tight spot: clamp down and push activity further underground, or bring it under some kind of control and monitoring.

Regulators Move To Catch Up

The central bank’s tone has shifted. Once favoring a hard ban, the Central Bank of Russia now talks about licensing and limits.

On the same panel, Vladimir Chistyukhin, the first deputy chairman of Russia’s central bank, said lawmakers could take action during the spring session of the State Duma, which would give firms time to prepare for new rules.

The proposed approach aims to let ordinary people have small exposure while keeping bigger wagers in regulated hands.

Sanctions And The Push For Rules

Meanwhile, European Union officials have been worried about crypto being used to get around sanctions. Reports have disclosed that the EU is pushing for tougher limits on transactions tied to the country.

That pressure changes incentives. Some of the crypto use is likely about savings and protection from ruble swings. Some could be about moving value across borders.

Investor Limits And Traceability

A draft rule floated by regulators would cap what non-qualified buyers can hold each year. Reports note a proposed limit of 300,000 rubles for casual investors. At the same time, privacy coins would be excluded from the list of allowed assets.

Together, those steps show the goal is clear: allow participation, but keep tight limits and ensure transactions can be tracked. Requiring licenses also points to a push to shift activity away from shadow networks and into supervised, formal systems.

The Blind Spot: Annual Flows Escape Oversight

For now, the picture looks like a maze — billions in yearly crypto flows moving through channels the state does not fully see. The $129 billion estimate underscores how large and complex this market has become inside Russia.

Whether new rules can bring those funds into clearer view, or simply reroute them deeper into the shadows, will determine if authorities regain their footing or continue losing sight of one of the country’s fastest-growing financial arenas.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

Разработчик второй по величине криптовалюты Эфириум Виталик Бутерин заявил, что рынки предсказаний нуждаются в перезагрузке, так как сейчас они не представляют ценности для криптоиндустрии.

Генеральный директор SkyBridge Capital Энтони Скарамуччи (Anthony Scaramucci) утверждает, что появление в январе 2025 года мемкоинов, связанных с семьей президента США Дональда Трампа, оказало негативное влияние на крипторынок.

Партнер компании Castle Island Ventures Ник Картер (Nic Carter) заявил, что крупные инвесторы могут потерять терпение в отношении разработчиков Биткоина из-за промедлений с решением проблемы квантовых вычислений.

SBI Holdings CEO Yoshitaka Kitao pushed back on a viral claim that the Japanese financial group holds $10 billion worth of XRP, arguing instead that SBI’s more consequential exposure sits in its equity position in Ripple Labs, a stake he suggested the market may be underappreciating.

The exchange began after an X account described SBI as “a major partner of Ripple” and “holder of $10 billion in XRP,” tying the claim to SBI’s growing footprint in Asia through the acquisition of Coinhako, a regulated crypto platform based in Singapore. Kitao replied directly, disputing the framing and pointing to SBI’s ownership in Ripple rather than a headline XRP number.

“Not $10 bil. in XRP but around 9% of Ripple Lab. So our hidden asset could be much bigger,” Kitao wrote in a Feb. 15 post.

SBI CEO Dials Up Ripple Valuation Speculation

Kitao’s response effectively reframed the conversation from balance-sheet token inventory to private-market ownership. Rather than validate a specific XRP figure, he emphasized SBI’s stake in Ripple Labs, a detail that matters because equity value is ultimately a function of Ripple’s overall valuation, not the spot price of XRP.

In a separate post the same day, Kitao went further, explicitly tying his view to Ripple’s broader footprint. “When it comes to Ripple Lab’s total valuation which obviously include its ecosystem that Ripple has created, that would be enormous,” he wrote. “SBI owns more than 9 % of that much.”

Community member “BankXRP” amplified the implications by referencing recent reports that place Ripple’s valuation at “$50B+,” arguing that such a mark would put SBI’s 9% stake at “$4.5B+,” with “massive future upside as the CEO hints.”

While Kitao did not put a dollar figure on SBI’s stake, the 9% number sets a clean valuation yardstick. If SBI’s Ripple ownership were worth more than $10 billion, Ripple’s implied valuation would need to exceed roughly $111 billion, because $10 billion divided by 0.09 equals about $111.1 billion.

Put differently, at a $90 billion Ripple valuation, a 9% stake would be about $8.1 billion; at $50 billion, it would be about $4.5 billion. The threshold for “more than $10 billion” is therefore not a subtle rounding error, it requires a triple-digit billions valuation for Ripple.

Notably, SBI’s roughly 9% position appears to be the product of a long-running strategic relationship rather than a single headline trade: SBI’s own investor materials describe the Ripple relationship as having been “established” in September 2012, with the group later investing in Ripple in March 2016 and then deepening operational ties through the SBI Ripple Asia joint venture (SBI 60%, Ripple 40%) launched in May 2016.

SBI also participated as an investor in Ripple’s $200 million Series C financing announced in December 2019, a round that included SBI alongside other backers, one of the clearer public datapoints showing continued equity exposure as Ripple raised capital.

At press time, XRP traded at $1.46.

Коэффициент прибыли от продажи биткоина (aSOPR) опустился в зону 0,92–0,94. Это уровень, который исторически предшествовал серьезным фазам медвежьего цикла, сообщили аналитики компании CryptoQuant.

Основатель крупнейшей криптовалютной биржи Binance Чанпэн Чжао (Changpeng Zhao) считает, что одно из главных преимуществ большинства криптовалют ― полная прозрачность транзакций ― может сдерживать массовое использование цифровых активов.