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Bitcoin is attempting to hold above the $90,000 level as the market enters a new and increasingly decisive phase. After weeks of tight consolidation, BTC appears to be coiling for a volatile move, with price action compressing while conviction remains fragile on both sides of the market. This prolonged range has tested investor patience, but historically, such conditions often precede sharp expansions in volatility.

According to data shared by Axel Adler Jr., short-term holder behavior continues to reflect elevated stress beneath the surface. Since October 13, 2025, short-term holders have consistently been selling Bitcoin at a loss. The weekly average SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) has remained firmly below the neutral 1.0 level, confirming that a large share of recent transactions are being realized at negative margins.

Compounding this signal, the SOPR Z-Score has remained negative, reinforcing the idea that loss-taking is not isolated or episodic, but rather persistent. This combination points to active distribution from short-term participants, even as Bitcoin trades well above long-term structural support zones.

This dynamic highlights a growing divergence within the market. While long-term structure remains intact, short-term participants are increasingly capitulating into weakness. As Bitcoin continues to defend the $90K region, the next directional move is likely to be shaped by whether this selling pressure exhausts—or accelerates into a deeper correction.

Short-Term Holders Capitulate as Loss-Dominant Regime Persists

The latest on-chain update from Adler focuses on the behavior of short-term holders through the STH SOPR metric, which measures the ratio between the selling price and the acquisition price of coins that last moved within the past 155 days. When this indicator trades below 1.0, it means that short-term participants are, on average, realizing losses rather than profits.

As of January 11, the STH SOPR (7-day simple moving average) stands at 0.994, while the daily reading dropped to 0.9817, marking its lowest level since the start of the year. This is not an isolated data point. On January 8, the 7-day SOPR average crossed below the 30-day average, falling from 0.9996 to 0.9928. This crossover provides technical confirmation of a regime shift toward a loss-dominant environment.

Further reinforcing this signal, the SOPR Z-Score currently sits at -0.58. This indicates that SOPR values are trading roughly half a standard deviation below their annual mean, a zone that has historically coincided with local price bottoms rather than trend exhaustion.

Sustained SOPR readings below 1.0 increase psychological and financial pressure on short-term investors, often forcing capitulation. A meaningful regime change would require the 7-day SOPR to reclaim levels above 1.0, supported by a Z-Score turning positive and signaling renewed profitability for short-term holders.

Bitcoin Consolidates as the Market Searches for Direction

Bitcoin’s weekly chart shows a market locked in consolidation after a sharp correction from the October highs, with price currently hovering just above the $90,000 level. This zone has become a key pivot, acting as short-term support after BTC failed to hold above the $95,000–$100,000 region. The recent candles reflect indecision rather than strong directional conviction, consistent with a broader pause in momentum.

From a trend perspective, Bitcoin remains above its long-term moving averages, with the 200-week MA still rising well below the current price. This confirms that, structurally, the broader uptrend has not been invalidated. However, the shorter-term moving averages have flattened, and price is trading below the faster weekly MA, highlighting a loss of upside momentum since late 2025.

The consolidation structure resembles a range-bound base, where volatility has compressed following the aggressive sell-off. Volume has declined compared to the distribution phase near the highs, suggesting that forced selling pressure has eased, but new demand has yet to step in decisively. This aligns with on-chain data showing weak participation from marginal buyers.

As long as BTC holds above the $88,000–$90,000 support band, the market appears to be digesting gains rather than entering a full trend reversal. A sustained reclaim of the $95,000 area would signal renewed strength, while a breakdown below current support could open the door to a deeper corrective leg.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Dogecoin has changed back to its technical structure as the price action digests the recent price rally. After the initial volatility seen earlier in the month, price action has begun to stabilize, and recent technical analyses are evaluating what the larger trend is revealing.

Based on that context, a higher-timeframe technical analysis shared on X by Javon Marks has outlined a scenario that frames the current price action as part of a wider bullish continuation built on repeating historical patterns on Dogecoin’s long-term chart.

Higher Lows Shaping The Trend

Technical analysis of Dogecoin’s 6-day candlestick timeframe chart shows an interesting formation taking place in its price action since 2024, and this goes back to how it traded much earlier cycles stretching as far back as 2016. 

The main idea behind this long-term technical analysis is Dogecoin’s ability to maintain a sequence of higher lows throughout different market cycles. The 6-day candlestick chart by the analyst shows that each major pullback in the Dogecoin price over the years has found support along a rising trend line, which has allowed the price to consolidate and reset without breaking the broader structure. 

The present setup reflects that same behavior, with recent pullbacks holding above ascending support. Dogecoin’s recent price action is holding above $0.13, and this can be considered a higher low compared to the lows in 2024 and 2025. As long as this pattern of higher lows is intact, then the macro trend can be viewed as supportive of higher prices over time.

Projecting A 369% Push Back To The All-Time High

The technical analysis on the chart also shows how earlier periods of consolidations and higher lows eventually resolved into powerful upward moves. Playouts of the previous rallies broke above their previous all-time highs and then created a new all-time high. The first case was a break above the 2014 high of $0.00232 in 2017 to finally end at a new high of $0.01877. This high was then broken again in 2021 to finally reach a new peak, which serves as the current reference level for current price action.

In this case, the reference level is Dogecoin’s all-time high around $0.73905. Based on current price levels, a rally of roughly 369% would be enough to carry Dogecoin back to that zone. 

Interestingly, the analysis goes a step further to predict a move past the current all-time high with a move of at least 4.5X from the current price level. Dogecoin’s current price level is trading at $0.14 at the time of writing, and this would put it trading at a price target of at least $0.8 when the move finally plays out. 

Senator Elizabeth Warren has reached out directly to Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Paul Atkins, questioning how the regulatory agency intends to uphold its mandate of investor protection while supporting President Donald Trump’s executive order to allow crypto investments in retirement plans.

Warren Against Crypto In Retirement Plans

Warren expressed deep concerns in a letter addressed to Atkins on Monday, in which she emphasized that for most Americans, 401(k) plans are a vital source of retirement security and should not be treated as a “playground for financial risk.” 

She warned that permitting digital assets into these accounts could create significant risks, leaving workers and families vulnerable to substantial financial losses.

“The volatility associated with cryptocurrencies, the lack of market transparency, and potential conflicts of interest make me apprehensive about the Trump Administration’s decision to introduce these risky assets into critical retirement plans,” Warren stated in her letter. 

The anti-digital asset senator also expressed skepticism about the potential benefits of allowing 401(k) plans to offer alternative investments, arguing that these options often come with higher fees and expenses. 

SEC Chair Says Innovation Is Key

In her letter, Warren also posed several questions to the SEC aimed at clarifying how it plans to mitigate risks associated with cryptocurrencies in retirement plans. 

She inquired whether the SEC has ensured that publicly traded companies disclosing information about cryptocurrencies are accurately representing fair market values, given the inherent volatility of these assets. 

She also sought information on whether the SEC’s Division of Risk and Analysis has evaluated manipulative practices in digital asset markets and whether it plans to publish educational materials for retail investors.

Despite her concerns, Warren’s viewpoint may face challenges, given the Trump administration’s pro-digital asset stance and Chair Atkins’s previous statements that suggest a more favorable approach to cryptocurrencies in the United States. 

Back in August, during an interview on CNBC, Atkins indicated that while the SEC aims to encourage innovation in the crypto space, protecting investors remains a primary objective. He noted that the SEC’s “Project Crypto” aims to position the United States as the world’s leading crypto hub.

Featured image from NBC, chart from TradingView.com 

Technical analysis of Dogecoin’s price action on the daily candlestick timeframe chart shows that the meme coin has spent the past several months grinding lower inside a clearly defined descending channel. However, technical analysis proposes that the structure may be nearing its end. 

A daily chart shared on X by crypto analyst Jonathan Carter points to a setup that shows Dogecoin is about to break out of the descending channel. Although the meme coin has yet to confirm a full breakout, the chart now shows multiple conditions aligning that traders are closely watching.

Descending Channel Nearing Its Breaking Point

Dogecoin has spent an extended period moving within a declining structure that has repeatedly limited upside attempts since September 2025. This prolonged compression has kept price action controlled and largely predictable, but it has also stored directional pressure beneath the surface. Each attempt to move higher was previously rejected at the upper boundary, keeping the price compressed into a descending channel.

That structure, however, now appears to be weakening. According to technical analysis from Jonathan Carter, that pressure is now beginning to tilt upward, with recent trading behavior showing less follow-through from sellers than in recent weeks.

Recent candles show Dogecoin pushing higher from the lower boundary of the channel and pressing toward its upper trendline. Although it was rejected at the upper boundary early January, it hasn’t veered far away from the top of the channel. This is important because descending channels often act as continuation patterns only until buying pressure overwhelms sellers at resistance.

50-Day Moving Average And The Path Back To $0.30

One of the more notable details on the chart is Dogecoin’s interaction with the 50-day moving average. After spending weeks trading below this level, price has now reclaimed it and is attempting to hold above it. 

Holding above the 50-day average strengthens the case that the current move is not just another short-lived bounce. As long as the Dogecoin price continues to hold above this moving average, then the bullish outlook is valid.

If Dogecoin manages to break cleanly above the channel resistance, the analysis outlines a sequence of upside levels that could come into play quickly. Initial follow-through would place the price back into the mid-$0.15 range, followed by a push toward the high-$0.18s and the $0.20 region, areas that previously acted as congestion zones. 

After that, the chart points to $0.24 as the next target and then finally $0.28 to $0.30 as the last recovery target zone before any rejection comes into the picture.

These are short- to mid-term price targets, not long-term projections. These targets are very feasible and can even be reached within the next few weeks if a bullish wave of sentiment were to sweep across the entire crypto market. 

Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are heading into a tightly packed US macro calendar just as Washington’s crypto rulebook lurches toward a key committee vote.

The week’s tone was set late Sunday when Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell disclosed that the Justice Department had served the Fed with grand jury subpoenas and threatened a criminal indictment tied to his prior testimony on a Federal Reserve building renovation.

Powell framed it as political pressure aimed at monetary policy and dismissed the probe’s stated rationale in unusually blunt terms: “The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Fed setting rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the President.”

The immediate market reaction was measured but clear: dollar softness and weaker US equity futures, meanwhile Bitcoin rallied back above $92,000 while major altcoins also registered modest gains. However, it needs to be seen how these gains can be sustained when the US market opens.

#1 Bitcoin And Crypto Face Crucial Macro Week

The first major scheduled macro waypoint is US CPI for December 2025, due Tuesday, Jan. 13 at 8:30 a.m. ET. With crypto still trading as a high-beta expression of global liquidity and real-rate expectations, CPI remains the week’s most direct input into the front end of the curve and, by extension, the dollar’s near-term direction.

For the US inflation prints, the market is walking into Tuesday with a fairly tight consensus: December CPI is expected at +0.3% month-over-month, with headline inflation seen holding at 2.7% year-over-year. On the core side, estimates cluster around +0.31% m/m and 2.7% y/y.

The last CPI read (November 2025) was 2.7% y/y on headline and 2.6% y/y for “all items less food and energy” (core). Because the October CPI observation was not published due to the 2025 lapse in appropriations, BLS reported the monthly change as a two-month move: CPI-U rose 0.2% from September to November on a seasonally adjusted basis.

On Wednesday, attention shifts to the delayed producer-price release. BLS is scheduled to publish the November 2025 PPI on Jan. 14, and it has said October data will be published alongside that November release (there will be no standalone October PPI report).

As for the numbers traders will key off, calendar consensus going into the Jan. 14 release points to headline PPI at +0.3% m/m and 2.7% y/y, with core PPI seen at +0.1% m/m and 2.6% y/y. The last available PPI print before that batch release was September 2025, which showed +0.3% m/m and +2.7% y/y for final demand.

Later the same day, markets may also have to price a legal headline with macro reach: The US Supreme Court is expected to issue rulings on Jan. 14, with President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs among the major cases still pending. The Court does not pre-announce which cases will be decided, but a tariff decision could have a heavy price impact on all financial markets, with Bitcoin and crypto likely to follow the move from US equities.

#2 Senate Committee Markup Set For Jan. 15

On the crypto-native side, US market structure legislation is moving toward a decisive committee step. Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott announced the committee will hold a markup on “comprehensive digital asset market structure legislation” on Thursday, Jan. 15.

That markup matters less as a final outcome than as a signal on whether negotiators have the votes and the coalition to advance a coherent framework toward a floor process.

#3 BNB Chain’s Fermi Upgrade

BNB Chain has scheduled its Fermi hard fork for Jan. 14 at 02:30 UTC, delivered via the BSC v1.6.4 client release. The chain’s own blog positions the upgrade as a speed-and-reliability push: “Fermi focuses on making BSC faster […] predictable and reliable as network usage grows. The upgrade shortens block times, strengthens finality […] and ensures the chain continues to perform consistently.”

The headline technical changes are a reduction in block time from 0.75 seconds to 0.45 seconds and tightened fast-finality rules—parameters that matter most for latency-sensitive applications and high-throughput periods.

#4 Polygon’s Open Money Stack

Polygon is teeing up a Jan. 13 X Spaces event (12 p.m. ET) billed as an “inside scoop” on its “Open Money Stack” vision from Sandeep Nailwal and Polygon Labs CEO Marc Boiron. The published vision frames the initiative as a modular stack spanning rails, wallets, on/off-ramps, stablecoin interoperability, compliance, and onchain identity—aimed at making stablecoin and tokenized-money movement feel more like default internet plumbing than a bespoke crypto workflow.

Polygon’s own write-up makes the ambition explicit: “But our north star is clear: move all money onchain […] Because onchain money is more versatile, money will move and remain onchain.”

At press time, Bitcoin traded at $90,768.

Despite several drawbacks in Bitcoin price lately, the flagship asset appears to be gaining bullish momentum and holding above the $90,000 mark. Looking at the current market structure, BTC is hinting at one of its rarest setups that could reshape and determine the next potential direction.

Uncommon Bitcoin Market Structure In Sight

As seen in the cryptocurrency space, every market cycle has its own peculiarities, but Bitcoin is about to experience one of its most peculiar times yet. Alphractal, an advanced investment and data analytics platform, shared this development, which could reshape the current BTC trend.

Although no single indication can predict a result, the current configuration indicates that something uncommon is developing beneath the surface. It is worth noting that bear markets have been linked to negative 1-year percentage changes in the past when a small decline was followed by a robust bull market, with the exception of July 2020.

Currently, the ongoing setup is demonstrating a very similar trend to that of 2020, which makes this a rare event. However, for the flagship asset to flip this key metric to green again and become the second time in its history, it only has to increase by 4.5%.

In an alternate scenario where the metric fails to turn green or move upward, the annual performance will continue to be negative in line with prior bear market cycles. Meanwhile, whether Bitcoin breaks yet another uncommon historical pattern and initiates a new trend shift will depend on a move of about 5%.

Amid this impending rare shift, the buying pressure around Bitcoin is slowly picking up pace, as reported by Maartunn, a market expert and author at CryptoQuant. The BTC Taker Buy Sell Ratio metric is showing strong aggression on the buy side, particularly on the Bybit exchange, indicating a renewed conviction among investors.

Maartunn highlighted that the measure on Bybit has recently reached the 30.33 level, signaling overwhelming market buy pressure. Furthermore, this level of taker dominance indicates that large positions are steadily being created, with aggressive buyers taking control of the market.

BTC Experience A Key Breakout

Even in the volatile cryptocurrency market, several crucial metrics are beginning to flash strength and moving into positive territory again. One of the most recent metrics that has turned bullish is the Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio, a key gauge that measures returns against volatility.

In an X post, crypto expert CW noted that the metric has re-entered the yellow as seen on the chart, which suggests a breakout from a short-term bottom. The current trend indicates that the ongoing cycle has transitioned into a brief period of a high-risk zone.

During this period, there has been a consistent accumulation by large holders or whales, and indicators are demonstrating a breakout from the bottom. Such a bullish scenario hints at a possible rally in the near future, rekindling the bull market.

Talks of an impending altcoin season are once again gaining traction in the market as major cryptocurrencies saw a fresh rebound at the start of this year. A crypto analyst has likened the current altcoin market trend to that seen in January 2019—a period that marked the early stages of a major market turn. The comparison now has many traders watching closely to see whether the market could be setting up for a similar move. 

Current Altcoin Market Echoes Trend From January 2019

Crypto pundit Chad Steingraber said in a recent X post that today’s market feels a lot like January 2019, when investor sentiment was extremely negative. At the time, Bitcoin was trading near $3,000, and Ethereum’s price was around $100, when most believed the market was over. Yet despite the downtrend, the analyst revealed that he had invested heavily in both cryptocurrencies. 

Although the market was recovering from a bear market, Steingraber revealed that things began to turn around in April of that year, leading to the strong long-term results that are now widely known. Notably, during that time, the crypto market saw a strong breakout that changed sentiment across the space. 

According to CoinGecko’s yearly report for 2019, Bitcoin’s price surged over $13,000 in June and ended the year 95% higher than where it started. This price jump helped drive a broader market rally and marked a key transition from bear market lows earlier in the year. Altcoins also reacted to this surge in market momentum, as traders and investors sought growth beyond Bitcoin and diversified into lower-cap cryptocurrencies. 

While some altcoins, including Ethereum, Litecoin, and Bitcoin Cash, climbed by more than 40% in 2019, other large-cap tokens, such as XRP, performed poorly, finishing the year significantly weaker despite earlier strength in 2018. Excluding individual altcoin gains, the total cryptocurrency market capitalization grew by more than 44% in 2019, peaking at $350 billion in late June. The market also experienced a surge in trading volume of over 600%, along with renewed enthusiasm among investors who had stayed on the sidelines during the prior downturn. 

Altcoin Market Eyes Breakout As Analyst Flags 221B Level

In a separate post, crypto analyst @brain2jene shared a chart tracking the total altcoin market capitalization, excluding the top 10 coins. He explained that a Falling Wedge breakout has already set the stage for the market’s next move. The analyst noted that the wedge pattern has been forming for weeks and emphasized that altcoins typically begin to move once the price breaks above the wedge lines shown on the chart. 

The chart also shows a clear pullback after the price hit the 221.87B resistance, which @brain2jene identified as the key level to watch. He explained that a clean break above 221.87B is critical and could add another $50-$60 billion to the market, with the target zone near the upper trend line.

Related Reading: Altcoin Season Index Crashes To Low 17 As Bitcoin Price Struggles, What This Means

Supporting this outlook, momentum appears strong, as the RSI on the chart has broken out of a downtrend. The analyst noted that this could signal the start of a broader altcoin rally, potentially boosting the price of coins like VeChain (VET), SUI, Internet Computer (ICP), and IMO.

South Korea is reportedly planning to allow corporations to invest in crypto, a move that would see the overturn of a nine-year-old ban.

South Korea Sets Crypto Corporate Investing Limit At 5%

South Korea’s Financial Services Commission (FSC) has drafted guidelines to allow listed companies and professional investors to trade crypto, according to a report from South Korean media outlet BusinessKorea. The FSC shared the draft with a public-private task force on January 6th, and according to a high-ranking financial industry official, authorities are expected to release the final guidelines between January and February.

Since 2017, corporate and institutional players in South Korea have been under an effective prohibition from trading and investing in digital assets like Bitcoin, with the government citing speculation and money-laundering risks. The country’s stance began to shift in February 2025, when the FSC announced a plan to gradually allow institutional participation in the space. The latest guidelines are a follow-up to this announcement.

South Korea easing up on corporate crypto investments hasn’t come without restrictions, however. Authorities have reportedly set an investment cap of 5% of equity capital, which companies can only deploy into coins inside the top 20 by market cap list. These assets will be determined based on the semi-annual market cap data sourced from the top five domestic digital asset exchanges.

Stablecoins tied to the US Dollar, like USDT and USDC, currently fall inside the top 20 list, but whether they will be included as permitted investment targets is still being discussed.

While South Korea is planning on a 5% investment cap, other countries like the US or Japan have no such limits on corporate investing. One financial industry insider has raised concerns about the restriction, saying that “investment limit restrictions not found overseas could weaken capital inflow factors and prevent the emergence of virtual currency investment specialist companies.”

South Korea has also made other developments related to the crypto industry recently. The East Asian nation is planning to introduce digital asset spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) this year, looking to investment vehicles active in the US and Hong Kong as reference points.

The FSC is also working on the next phase of its digital asset legislation, which could see the establishment of a regulatory framework for stablecoins. As reported by Bitcoinist, the bill has so far been delayed due to a dispute between the FSC and the Bank of Korea (BoK).

The BoK, South Korea’s central bank, has been pushing for banks to own at least a 51% stake in any stablecoin issuer seeking approval in the country. While the FSC agrees that financial institutions should be involved in the issuance of won stablecoins, the regulator has raised concerns that a bank majority requirement could limit market participation and innovation.

Bitcoin Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $90,600, down 2.5% over the past week.

Украинская Национальная комиссия по регулированию электронных коммуникаций (НКЭК) внесла платформу для криптоставок Polymarket в реестр заблокированных интернет-ресурсов. Регулятор классифицирует сервис как организатора азартных игр, а для этого нужна лицензия, которой у Polymarket нет.

Крупнейший публичный корпоративный держатель первой криптовалюты, компания Strategy докупила 13 627 BTC на $1,25 млрд. Покупки совершались с 5 по 11 января при средней цене $91 519 за монету.  

Ethereum’s current strength is largely linked to its network performance and activity, which has been demonstrating robust growth. While the leading blockchain has witnessed sharp growth in several key areas, one area is currently standing out, and that is the economic activity on the network.

A Divergence Between Ethereum’s Real Activity And Price

With the broader cryptocurrency landscape evolving, Milk Road, a market expert and trader, has revealed that the Ethereum network is showcasing signs of robust strength. When compared to its recent price performance, the leading network subtly conveys a different narrative. 

Despite the fact that ETH’s market value has occasionally fluctuated or even lagged behind riskier assets, the quantity of economic activity being settled on the blockchain has continued to rise. The disparity highlights a crucial aspect of ETH’s current cycle that its fundamentals are strengthening beneath the surface, while market sentiment is not accurately reflecting it.

At the same time, the Ethereum network is being chosen for live deployment by increasing institutional capital. This kind of increases a chain that is becoming less of a speculative asset and more of a financial infrastructure. 

According to Milk Road, these participants are more focused on uptime, liquidity, settlement certainty, and compliance, which narrows the set of viable networks quickly. Meanwhile, the economic weight placed on Ethereum’s base layer becomes significant as more activity occurs on the chain, increasing transaction volume and fee income.

As seen in the past, ETH has had difficulty staying flat for extended periods of time when demand is high. However, the analyst expects the price of ETH to increase as adoption rises.

Real Assets Are Swamping The Network

According to a report from Leon Waidmann, the head of research at On-Chain Foundation, Tokenized Real-World Assets (RWAs) are quickly emerging as one of Ethereum’s key growth drivers. With real-world assets moving into ETH, the development is bringing traditional finance activity on-chain at a fast rate.

This change is more than just buzz as institutional infrastructure, token issuance, and settlement volumes are all growing at the same time, transforming ETH’s status. Data shows that the market cap of stablecoins found on the network is approximately $190 billion, indicating ETH’s growing choice as the major chain for crypto finance. 

Meanwhile, the total amount of tokenized funds has reached between $6 billion and $7 billion, and is still growing rapidly. Its tokenized commodities have hit over $4 billion, which appears to be still breaking out to new highs.  Furthermore, ETH’s tokenized stocks are valued at around $400 million to $500 million, but this is just the beginning. Such a scenario suggests that tokenization of real-world assets may be the foundation of Ethereum’s next significant adoption phase.

Considering the robust growth in these areas, Waidmann stated that “ETH is becoming the default settlement layer for real assets.” Waidmann’s claims are not based on simple narratives, but on the fact that the network already works at scale.

Сооснователь Эфириума Виталик Бутерин назвал условия, при которых его блокчейн смог бы стать достаточно устойчивым и «окостеневшим», чтобы выполнить свою первоначальную миссию — быть фундаментом для децентрализованных приложений и смарт-контрактов.

Приватная криптовалюта Monero (XMR) достигла нового исторического максимума $599 при рыночной капитализации $10,4 млрд. Инвестиционный директор криптофонда Merkle Tree Capital Райан Макмиллин (Ryan McMillin) объяснил происходящее возобновлением интереса трейдеров к криптовалютам, сохраняющим конфиденциальность владельца.

Глава исследовательского отдела компании CoinShares Джеймс Баттерфилл (James Butterfill) сообщил, что со 2 по 10 января биржевые криптофонды (ETF) потеряли $454 млн. Причина — надежды инвесторов на снижение процентной ставки Федеральной резервной системой США (ФРС) и удешевление банковских кредитов почти угасли, считает аналитик.

46-летняя жительница города Курска перевела 28 млн рублей мошеннику, предложившему заработать на инвестициях в криптовалюту. Вовлечение женщины в криптосхему длилось около года, сообщило региональное управление МВД России.

Просмотры посвященного криптовалютам контента на YouTube опустились до самого низкого уровня с января 2021 года. За последние три месяца спад стал особенно заметным, показали данные, опубликованные в соцсети Х основателем ITC Crypto Бенджамином Коуэном (Benjamin Cowen).  

Ethereum needs “better decentralized stablecoins,” Vitalik Buterin said this weekend, arguing that the next iteration has to solve three design constraints that today’s models keep skirting. His comments landed alongside a broader claim from MetaLeX founder Gabriel Shapiro that Ethereum is increasingly a “contrarian bet” versus what much of the venture-backed crypto stack is optimizing for.

Shapiro framed the split in ideological terms, saying it is “increasingly obvious that Ethereum is a contrarian bet against most of what crypto VCs are betting on,” listing “gambling,” “CeDeFi,” “custodial stablecoins,” and “’neo-banks’” as the center of gravity. By contrast, he argued, “Ethereum is tripling down on disrupting power to enable sovereign individuals.”

Why Ethereum Lacks A Decentralized Stablecoin

Buterin’s stablecoin critique starts with what to stabilize against. He said “tracking USD is fine short term,” but suggested that a long-horizon version of “nation state resilience” points to something that is not dependent on a single fiat “price ticker.”

“Tracking USD is fine short term, but imo part of the vision of nation state resilience should be independence even from that price ticker,” Buterin wrote. “On a 20 year timeline, well, what if it hyperinflates, even moderately?” That premise shifts the stablecoin problem from simply maintaining a peg to building a reference index that can plausibly survive macro regime changes. In Buterin’s framing, that is “problem” one: identifying an index “better than USD price,” at least as a north star even if USD tracking remains expedient near term.

The second issue is governance and oracle security. Buterin argued that a decentralized oracle must be “not capturable with a large pool of money,” or the system is forced into unattractive tradeoffs that ultimately land on users.

“If you don’t have (2), then you have to ensure cost of capture > protocol token market cap, which in turn implies protocol value extraction > discount rate, which is quite bad for users,” he wrote. “This is a big part of why I constantly rail against financialized governance btw: it inherently has no defense/offense asymmetry, and so high levels of extraction are the only way to be stable.”

He tied that to a longer-running discomfort with token-holder-driven control structures that resemble markets for influence. In his view, “financialized governance” trends toward systems that must continuously extract value to defend themselves, rather than relying on a structural advantage that makes attacks meaningfully harder than normal operation.

The third problem is mechanical: staking yield competes with decentralized stablecoins for capital. If stablecoin users and collateral providers are implicitly giving up a few percentage points of return relative to staking ETH, Buterin called that “quite bad,” and suggested it becomes a persistent headwind unless the ecosystem changes how yield, collateral, and risk interact.

He laid out what he described as a map of the “solution space,” while stressing it was “not endorsement.” Those paths ranged from compressing staking yield toward “hobbyist level,” to creating a staking category with similar returns but without comparable slashing risk, to making “slashable staking compatible with usability as collateral.”

Buterin also sharpened what “slashing risk” actually means in this context. “If you’re going to try to reason through this in detail,” he wrote, “remember that the ‘slashing risk’ to guard against is both self-contradiction, and being on the wrong side of an inactivity leak, ie. engaging in a 51% censorship attack. In general, we think too much about the former and not enough about the latter.”

The constraint bleeds into liquidation dynamics as well. He noted that a stablecoin “cannot be secured with a fixed amount of ETH collateral,” because large drawdowns require active rebalancing, and any design that sources yield from staking must reckon with how that yield turns off or changes during stress.

At press time, ETH traded at $3,118.

В 2025 году прекратили существование 11,6 млн криптовалютных проектов, в десять раз больше, чем годом ранее, сообщили аналитики платформы CoinGecko. Это рекордное количество за всю историю наблюдений.

Семь депутатов от Лейбористской партии во главе с председателем комитета по бизнесу и торговле Палаты общин Лиамом Бирном (Liam Byrne) призвали власти Великобритании запретить пожертвования криптовалюты на политические цели.

Стейблкоин USDT компании Tether стал главным инструментом обхода нефтяных санкций государственными компаниями Венесуэлы и средством выживания населения страны, рассказали опрошенные изданием Wall Street Journal (WSJ) эксперты.