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XRP Open Interest Falls to Lowest Level Since 2024: Market Reset Or Warning Signal?
XRP has entered a critical phase after losing the $1.80 level and sliding toward the $1.60 zone, where price is now attempting to find short-term support. The move comes amid broader weakness across the crypto market, but XRP’s structure shows an additional layer of stress that goes beyond spot price action. According to a recent report from CryptoQuant, the derivatives side of the XRP market is undergoing a sharp contraction in leverage, signaling a meaningful shift in trader behavior.
Data shows that open interest across all XRP derivatives platforms has fallen to roughly 902 million, marking its lowest level since 2024. This is a stark contrast to conditions seen during 2025, when open interest consistently hovered between 2.5 and 3.0 billion. The magnitude of this decline suggests that leverage is being actively unwound rather than merely rotating between exchanges, pointing to a broader risk-off adjustment.
Such contractions often reflect a market that is de-risking after extended volatility. With fewer leveraged positions in play, price movements tend to become slower but more deliberate, as speculative excess is flushed out. As XRP tests the $1.60 area, analysts are closely watching whether this leverage reset lays the groundwork for stabilization—or signals deeper downside still ahead.
Leverage Reset Signals a Potential Base-Building PhaseThe report adds important color by breaking down where the leverage reduction is taking place. On Binance, open interest in XRP derivatives has fallen to around 458 million. While this figure remains above the levels observed last December, it still represents a sharp contraction from the highs seen earlier in the cycle.
Crucially, this decline on Binance mirrors what is happening across other major trading venues, reinforcing the view that the market is undergoing a broad deleveraging phase rather than a simple migration of positions between exchanges.
From a structural standpoint, this matters. When open interest compresses simultaneously across platforms, it typically reflects traders actively reducing risk and closing leveraged exposure. This kind of environment often precedes periods of price consolidation, as the market digests prior volatility and searches for a new equilibrium. In past cycles, these phases have frequently led to the formation of base structures, particularly when selling pressure fades and volatility compresses.
Looking ahead, analysts note that any recovery in open interest will be critical to monitor. A rebound in leverage that coincides with improving price momentum could serve as an early signal that a new trend is developing.
For now, however, the drop in open interest to its lowest level since 2024 points to a clear market cleanup. While this reset may appear quiet on the surface, it can provide a healthier foundation for future moves—provided risk management remains front and center in the next phase of XRP’s market evolution.
XRP Price Showing WeaknessXRP price action continues to reflect structural weakness as the asset trades decisively below its key moving averages and tests the $1.60 zone for support. The chart shows a clear transition from a prior uptrend into a sustained downtrend, marked by lower highs and lower lows since the October peak near the $3.50–$3.60 region. Momentum has steadily deteriorated, with each rebound failing below the declining short- and medium-term moving averages, signaling persistent seller control.
The loss of the $1.80 level is technically significant. This zone previously acted as a consolidation base and demand area, but the clean breakdown suggests that buyers have stepped aside rather than aggressively defending the price. XRP is now trading below the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, while the 200-day moving average above continues to slope downward, reinforcing a bearish medium-term structure.
Volume remains relatively muted compared to earlier distribution phases, which aligns with the derivatives data showing a contraction in leverage rather than panic-driven liquidation. This supports the view that the current move is more of a controlled unwind than a capitulation event.
As long as price holds the $1.55–$1.60 region, XRP may attempt to stabilize and form a base. However, a failure to hold this area would expose the market to a deeper retracement toward prior demand zones near $1.30–$1.40.
Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
ADA Falls Out of Top 10 Ranking While Hyperliquid Surges, Is Cardano Losing Its Edge?
Cardano’s ADA token has slipped out of the crypto top 10 by market capitalization, a symbolic shift as newer platforms attract attention and capital.
Related Reading: Hong Kong Prepares To Grant Limited Batch Of Stablecoin Licenses In March – Report
While ADA struggles with price pressure and political controversy around crypto regulation, Hyperliquid’s HYPE token has surged sharply, underscoring how quickly market leadership can change in the current cycle.
The contrast accentuates diverging narratives, one centered on governance and ideology, the other on rapid product expansion and trader demand.
Hyperliquid Rally Fueled by New Market DesignHYPE jumped more than 20% after the HyperCore team backed HIP-4, a proposal that introduces “outcome trading” to the protocol. The move pushes Hyperliquid beyond its core perpetual futures offering into event-based contracts, a category that includes prediction markets and bounded outcome instruments.
Following the announcement, HYPE reached its highest price since late November 2025, with trading volume climbing to around $1 billion. Open interest on the platform has also expanded, reflecting rising participation.
The proposal is currently live on testnet and is expected to launch with fully collateralized contracts that avoid leverage and liquidations, differentiating them from traditional derivatives.
The timing aligns with broader growth in prediction markets. Industry data shows monthly trading volume in the sector hit a record in January, driven by platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
Cardano (ADA) Faces Price Pressure and Political HeadwindsWhile Hyperliquid gains momentum, Cardano has faced a different set of challenges. ADA dropped around 7% following public comments from founder Charles Hoskinson criticizing the proposed US “Clarity Act,” which aims to define regulatory oversight between the SEC and CFTC.
Hoskinson argued the bill favors banks and centralized custodians, warning it could undermine decentralized finance. These remarks reignited debate over Cardano’s positioning as a values-driven project at a time when parts of the industry are moving closer to traditional finance.
Although Cardano continues to emphasize research-led development, decentralized governance, and long-term infrastructure upgrades, market sentiment has been less forgiving in the short term.
Shifting Rankings Reflect Changing PrioritiesADA’s exit from the top 10 does not signal the end of the project, but it does reflect changing investor priorities. Tokens tied to fast-growing use cases and near-term trading activity are gaining ground, while slower-moving platforms face tougher scrutiny.
Related Reading: Strategy Announces New Buy Even As Crash Threatens Cost Basis: 855 Bitcoin Added
Currently, Hyperliquid’s rise and Cardano’s slide illustrate a market increasingly driven by execution speed and product relevance rather than legacy status alone.
Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart on Tradingview
UAE Puts Diamonds On The XRP Ledger: $280 Million+ Now On-Chain
Ripple says more than AED 1 billion (over $280 million) of certified polished diamonds held in the United Arab Emirates have been tokenized on the XRP Ledger, in a deal that ties a high-value physical inventory to on-chain issuance, custody, and (eventually) secondary-market rails.
The initiative, announced Tuesday by Billiton Diamond and Ctrl Alt, is pitched as an end-to-end tokenization effort for certified polished diamond inventory in the Dubai market, one that is designed to make provenance, grading, and ownership history verifiable before a transaction, while compressing settlement and operational workflows that have historically relied on offline certification and paper-heavy transfer processes.
XRP Ledger Powers Dubai Tokenization PushAccording to the companies’ press release, Ctrl Alt has already tokenized more than AED 1 billion in diamonds, with tokens minted on the XRP Ledger. The partners said the network was selected for “fast settlement, low fees, and scalable architecture,” while the tokenized assets are secured through Ripple’s “enterprise-grade custody technology.”
Reece Merrick framed the move as a proof point that custody and auditability are central to institutional-grade commodity tokenization. “This initiative shows how Ripple’s technology can bridge the gap between physical assets and the digital economy, utilising our enterprise-grade custody solution to secure high-value diamond assets with unrivalled trust and security,” Merrick wrote on X.
He added that the firms were “providing the infrastructure needed to move physical commodities on-chain at scale,” calling it “a significant leap forward for the future of commodities tokenization.” Notably, the firms first announced their partnership in July last year.
Billiton, which the release describes as a leader in rough diamond auctions using a Vickrey auction model, said the collaboration is intended to expand into tokenized polished diamond sales phases. The planned platform would embed real-time inventory management and certification data on-chain, enabling verification of origin, grading, and ownership history before trades.
The firms also pointed to future “secondary market readiness” workstreams: custody, transfer, and market participation, implying the tokens are being structured not just as a digitized record, but as infrastructure for distribution.
The press release said the next stages are subject to regulatory approval by Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) prior to launch. That detail matters: the partners are explicitly positioning the effort as compliant market infrastructure, not a one-off proof of concept.
Jamal Akhtar argued the core unlock is liquidity and time-to-cash in a market where diamonds have traditionally been operationally complex to finance and transfer.
“This partnership transforms polished diamonds from a traditionally illiquid asset class into a transparent, investable digital asset that supports manufacturers, brands, and investors alike,” Akhtar said. “Tokenization introduces an unprecedented level of transparency, unlocking the potential for new liquidity, shortening working capital cycles for manufacturers and traders, and opening the door to seamless global participation in Dubai’s growing luxury ecosystem.”
The announcement also credits DMCC with connecting stakeholders and helping build the ecosystem for diamond tokenization, with Ahmed Bin Sulayem describing DMCC as a “bridge between commodities, capital and next-generation digital markets,” and pointing to coordination with VARA as part of the framework underpinning the rollout.
Ctrl Alt’s Robert Farquhar said: “Billiton needed robust, institutional-grade infrastructure to handle the complexity and scale of its polished diamond supply. Our proven tokenization expertise and technology provide a clear, secure, and compliant route for diamond ownership to move on-chain, from asset origination to digital market participation. This establishes a more accessible and operationally efficient model for commodity investment in the UAE.”
At press time, XRP traded at $1.60.
Bitcoin Holds $78K Amid Signs Of Economic Recovery: Analysts
A surprise uptick in a key factory gauge has traders rethinking risk, while crypto watchers debate whether Bitcoin will ride a fresh wave higher or stay stuck in a drawdown.
The ISM Manufacturing PMI rose into expansion territory in January, and that single data point has set off a flurry of takes from market strategists and crypto analysts alike.
ISM Manufacturing Signals ShiftAccording to the Institute for Supply Management, the PMI clocked in at 52.6 for January. That number crosses the line that separates contraction from growth.
For investors who watch signals closely, a move like that can mean money starts flowing back into assets seen as higher risk.
“Past breakouts in 2013, 2016, and 2020 served as key catalysts for Bitcoin’s major bull runs,” Strive vice president of Bitcoin strategy, Joe Burnett, said.The Fed will notice. A stronger manufacturing print changes the debate about inflation and rate policy. Traders price in the chance of tighter policy when growth looks solid.
At the same time, some economists point out manufacturing is only one piece of the puzzle. Services, employment, and consumer demand also matter. Reports note the index reading was the best since August 2022, which makes it notable on its own.
One of the longest ISM Manufacturing PMI contraction periods in U.S. history ended this morning with a breakout to 52.6, up 4.7 points from December.
Past breakouts in 2013, 2016, and 2020 served as key catalysts for Bitcoin’s major bull runs.
This ends 26 consecutive months of…
— Joe Burnett, MSBA (@IIICapital) February 2, 2026
Bitcoin Price Action And Market MoodBitcoin’s price has been choppy. After hitting a high above $125,000 late last year, it tumbled and then bounced into the $78,000 area. Reports say the drop followed a major liquidation event and a string of macro shocks that pushed investors toward safe assets.
Some buyers are taking the dip as an entry point. Others remain on the sidelines. Correlations with stock tech names have been strong, which means Bitcoin has behaved more like a risk asset than a digital gold in recent months.
A few traders argue rising PMI readings often precede “risk-on” periods, when speculative bets return. Still, this link is not ironclad. Bitcoin’s moves are shaped by liquidity flows, ETF money in and out, geopolitical flare-ups, and crypto-specific events. The market is being pushed from several directions at once.
Whom To Trust On ForecastsInstitutional voices are splintered. Based on reports from various firms, estimates range from cautious to wildly optimistic. One firm projects a post-crash rally that could send prices well above current levels by year-end.
Another research house warns of more retracement before any sustained upswing. A large institutional player declined to peg a number at all, calling the environment too chaotic to forecast with confidence.
That kind of range tells a clear story: uncertainty rules. Analysts who tie Bitcoin to macro cycles are gaining followers, while those who treat it as an independent asset argue for a different playbook.
Why This MattersShort-term traders will watch economic prints and liquidity data closely. Longer-term holders will weigh Bitcoin’s role relative to gold and equities. Reports say market structure—who’s buying, who’s selling, and where ETFs are seeing flows—will likely matter as much as any single economic release.
The ISM rise may be the start of a healthier risk tone for global markets, but it will not on its own guarantee a steady climb for Bitcoin. Risk is back on the table, in a manner of speaking, and the path forward will depend on how policy makers, big investors, and retail traders react in the next several weeks.
Featured image from unsplash, chart from TradingView
US Lawmakers Slam $500M WLFI-UAE Deal, Call For Anti-Corruption Reform
US Lawmakers have called for better anti-corruption measures over the $500 million deal between an Abu Dhabi-backed entity and World Liberty Financial Invest (WLFI), the main crypto venture of the Trump family.
Congressmen Question WLFI’s UAE-Backed DealOn Monday, Democratic Senator Chris Murphy criticized the recently unveiled deal involving United Arab Emirates (UAE) investors and a US President Trump-linked crypto company, World Liberty Financial.
In an X post, the congressman expressed his concerns over the deal, warning that it had broken “decades of national security precedent” and constituted “brazen, open corruption” that Americans “shouldn’t pretend it’s normal.”
The concern follows a Wall Street Journal report alleging that Aryam Investment, a UAE-backed entity linked to Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed, an Abu Dhabi royal tied to the emirate’s state investment machinery, purchased 49% stake of WLFI for $500 million just days before Trump’s inauguration.
As reported by Bitcoinist, the news media outlet claimed that the buyers paid half of the sum upfront, citing company documents and people familiar with the matter, with around $187 million paid to entities connected to the Trump family.
Meanwhile, at least $31 million was reportedly directed to entities affiliated with Steve Witkoff, President Trump’s envoy to the Middle East and one of WLFI’s co-founders, who was questioned by US senators last year.
Months after the WLFI-UAE deal, the Trump administration approved expanded access for the UAE to advanced US-made AI chips despite restrictions from the Biden administration over concerns about potential diversion to China.
“This is a case where they knew it was so outrageous, it was so wrong that they did it in private,” Murphy affirmed, noting that the payments could be considered “the elements of a bribe.”
What we are talking about here is stunning. It’s a secret payment (…), and then, soon after, a gift of national security secrets to the UAE, that up until those two secret payments, every American president had refused to give. This is corruption (…). This is potentially criminal conduct.
Moreover, the senator asserted that “the rule of law may be suspended today,” but declared that it “is coming back, and when it does, everyone who has greased their palms off government services, trading government favors for cash, and violating the laws of this nation are going to jail.”
Similarly, House of Representatives member Greg Landsman also deemed the World Liberty Financial deal “blatant corruption,” affirming that “Trump gets $500 million in cash then approves the deal sending advanced AI chips to the UAE (…). He gets richer every day. You get poorer. That’s his presidency.”
The congressman called for new leadership in his X post, urging “massive anti-corruption reforms” to avert future secret deals.
Trump Denies Conflict Of Interest ConcernsPresident Trump denied any involvement in the UAE-backed investment into WLFI during a press conference on Monday at the White House, asserting that he was unaware of the $500 million stake deal.
He explained that he is not involved in WLFI’s day-to-day operations, as his sons oversee the crypto firm. “Well, I don’t know about it. I know that crypto is a big thing, and they like it. A lot of people like it,” the US president said. “The people behind me like it. My sons are handling that. My family is handling it. And I guess they get investments from different people. But I’m not.”
Notably, President Trump and his administration have been repeatedly questioned about potential conflicts of interest and corruption concerns. Democrats have pressed multiple government officials, including the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)’s former acting chairman and the head of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), about Trump’s crypto ventures.
In November, US senators expressed concerns about potential national security risks in a letter, demanding that the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Treasury Department investigate WLFI over token sales allegedly linked to illicit actors.
They argued that World Liberty Financial and its token “lack adequate safeguards to prevent bad actors from moving funds or gaining influence over its governance,” raising the alarm over a potential conflict of interest.
Bitcoin Wave 3 Crash: What’s Next As Price Makes A Rebound?
Bitcoin’s price action over the past 24 hours has changed from outright selling pressure to a cautious rebound. After falling into the mid-$75,000 region, the cryptocurrency found support around $75,400. That support has since carried BTC back toward $79,000, with the price now pushing higher, and momentum can rebuild toward the important $80,000 price level.
Although the bounce has eased immediate downside pressure, a technical analysis shared on X shows that the move may be occurring within a much larger bearish structure that could still have enough time to develop.
Elliott Wave Structure Points To A Wave 3 CrashTechnical analysis shows that the recent Bitcoin sell-off and crash below $80,000 fit squarely within a larger Elliott Wave structure that still points to additional downside ahead. The Bitcoin technical chart outlines an extended decline that’s been playing out from the $126,000 peak in October 2025.
TheBitcoin Historical Performance Shows How Low The Price Will Go Before A BottomBitcoin kicked off a five-wave downward impulse move after it peaked at $126,000 in October. From the October 2025 high near $126,000, Bitcoin has already fallen roughly 41%, a drawdown the analyst claims aligns closely with prior warnings of a 40% to 50% crash in the early phase of a bear market.
According to the analyst, Bitcoin completed its Primary Wave 4 near the $97,900 region before rolling over into Primary Wave 5. This Primary Wave 5, which is a downward wave, is divided into smaller impulse waves. Within that larger decline, Bitcoin is now said to be deep inside Intermediate Wave 3, which is typically the most aggressive and damaging leg of an Elliott Wave move.
Where The Analyst Sees The Bottom FormingBitcoin is expected to transition into Intermediate Wave 4 after Wave 3 is completed, which may offer temporary relief or consolidation. However, that pause is expected to be followed by Intermediate Wave 5, a final leg lower that could push the Bitcoin price to new cycle lows before the entire wave structure reaches completion.
Looking ahead, the analysis outlines a potential bottoming zone between $60,000 and $63,000 for Wave 5. However, the analyst noted that Bitcoin could even briefly probe lower and fall to the 200-week moving average around $58,000, before finally exhausting selling pressure. In this framework, the current rebound from the $75,000 area is viewed as a pause within the downtrend, not confirmation that the lows are in.
Once that low is established, the next outlook is that a sizeable bear-market rally will follow. The chart projects a recovery back toward the 200-day moving average, with upside targets stretching into the $90,000 to low-$100,000 range. That move was described by the analyst as a counter-trend rally before what could be the next major leg lower later in the cycle.
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