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On-chain data shows XRP retail investors are up 60% even after the market downturn. Here’s how the figure compares for Bitcoin and Ethereum.

XRP Retail Realized Price Puts Profit Margin Around 60%

In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed how retail profitability compares between the top assets in the sector: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP. Retail investors refer to the smallest of entities in the market, who don’t hold a significant balance on an individual level (typically less than $1,000). To calculate the profit-loss balance of this cohort, Glassnode has made use of the Realized Price indicator.

The Realized Price measures the average cost basis or acquisition level of a given segment of the network. When the asset’s spot price trades above this level, it means the group is in a state of net unrealized gain. On the other hand, it being under the metric implies the dominance of loss among the cohort members.

First, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Realized Price for the retail investors on the XRP network:

As displayed in the above graph, XRP has witnessed bearish price action recently, but its price still has a notable gap over the Realized Price of the retail entities. More specifically, this group is in an average profit of 60% right now. Ethereum retail holders are also in the green, but their profitability isn’t quite as good, sitting at 40%.

 

Both XRP and Ethereum, however, pale in comparison to Bitcoin. Even after the price crash, BTC retail addresses are still in an average profit of more than 100%.

Now, what are retail investors doing with their profits? On-chain analytics firm Santiment has shed light on the matter in an X post. As the chart below for the holdings of this cohort shows, selling has occurred on all three networks recently.

Bitcoin retail was accumulating until the latest price plunge, but this bearish wave has spooked them into selling 0.36% of their supply over the last five days, which is the highest rate of distribution in two months. Ethereum retail has been exiting for a while now, and the trend has only continued during the past month as the cohort’s holdings have gone down by 0.90%. XRP’s small hands have shown a more mixed behavior, first participating in a sharp selloff, and then following on with slight accumulation. Overall, the group’s supply is down 1.38% since the start of November.

“Prices move the opposite direction of small wallets’ behavior,” noted Santiment. “So we’re keeping an eye on retail traders continuing to panic sell as a positive sign for crypto’s recovery.”

XRP Price

XRP has fallen alongside the rest of the market as its price has returned to $2.13.

Mastercard is taking a major step toward simplifying how everyday users interact with digital assets by leveraging the Ethereum and Polygon network.

Related Reading: Hoskinson Vs. Cardano Foundation: From Berlin Parties To ‘Useful Idiots’

Through a new collaboration with Polygon Labs and payments infrastructure firm Mercuryo, the global payments giant is rolling out email-style wallet aliases designed to make crypto transfers feel as intuitive as sending a message online.

The upgrade expands Mastercard’s Crypto Credential program to self-custody wallets, replacing long, technical wallet addresses with human-readable IDs. For millions of users intimidated by complex hexadecimal strings, this shift could mark a turning point in mainstream crypto adoption.

A New Identity Layer for Self-Custody Wallets

Under the new system, users can link wallets such as MetaMask to a verified alias issued through Mercuryo. After completing standard KYC checks, the user receives a simple username, similar to an email handle, that directs crypto to their self-custody wallet.

Polygon powers the underlying infrastructure, offering low-cost transactions and rapid settlement. Wallets can also mint a non-transferable “soulbound” credential on Polygon, publicly confirming that they belong to a verified user.

Mastercard states that this structure supports regulatory compliance, including Travel Rule requirements, without requiring users to relinquish control of their private keys.

Early access focuses on receiving funds through aliases, with outbound sending expected later. Mastercard notes that this framework is designed as a portable verification layer that can be moved across apps, wallets, and blockchains within the broader Crypto Credential network.

Why Mastercard Picked Polygon for the Rollout

Polygon’s selection as the first supported network reflects its growing reputation as a consumer-grade blockchain built for global-scale payments. Its upgrades, including the Rio and Heimdall v2 updates, have boosted throughput, improved finality, and reduced the risk of chain reorganizations.

With billions of dollars in stablecoin activity flowing through Polygon every month, analysts say the network offers the reliability and low operating costs that large institutions demand.

Polygon Labs CEO Marc Boiron called the initiative “the moment when self-custody becomes simple,” noting that alias-based transfers make blockchain interactions resemble familiar fintech experiences rather than technical workflows.

Shaping the Future of Identity-Driven Web3 Payments

For Mastercard, this rollout aligns with its broader strategy to bridge traditional finance and decentralized networks. The company has been expanding crypto services across 2024 and 2025, from debit card programs to on-chain settlement pilots.

By embedding identity, verification, and user-friendly interfaces into self-custody systems, Mastercard and Polygon are helping shape the next generation of digital payments.

Related Reading: What Happens To The Ethereum Price If It Replicates Bitcoin Supercycle?

If adopted widely, alias-based transfers could redefine how users engage with Web3, lowering barriers and accelerating mainstream participation in blockchain-based finance.

Cover image from ChatGPT, ETHUSD chart from Tradingview

XRP is under heavy selling pressure as fear spreads across the crypto market, pushing sentiment into one of its most fragile stages of the cycle. What was once a euphoric rally earlier this year has steadily shifted into denial among long-term holders — and now anxiety is beginning to dominate. With XRP flirting dangerously with a drop below the $2 mark, investors are watching closely, aware that this level carries major psychological and structural weight.

For now, XRP has managed to hold above $2, but the defense of this threshold is becoming increasingly difficult as liquidity thins and macro uncertainty intensifies. A break below this zone could trigger a deeper reset, while a successful rebound would reinforce it as a key long-term demand area.

This shift in sentiment is also reflected in on-chain metrics: long-term holders, previously sitting comfortably in profit, are now watching their unrealized gains compress. Historically, transitions from euphoria to denial and into anxiety have often preceded major market inflection points, making the current moment especially significant.

XRP NUPL Signals Growing Market Anxiety

Analyst Ali Martinez shared new data showing that XRP’s Long-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) has now dropped below 0.5 — a level that historically marks a transition from confidence to growing anxiety among holders.

NUPL measures the difference between the total unrealized profit and loss in the network, helping identify where investors stand emotionally within the market cycle. When NUPL is above 0.5, it typically reflects optimism or belief, often associated with rising prices and strong conviction. But when it falls below 0.5, sentiment weakens, indicating that investors are no longer comfortably in profit.

XRP dipping below this threshold means a significant portion of the market is losing confidence as unrealized gains shrink. Investors who were previously sitting on sizable profits are now seeing those margins erode, pushing them into a more defensive psychological state. Historically, this signals that the market is shifting toward anxiety — a stage where many holders begin doubting whether upside momentum will return.

This decline in NUPL aligns with XRP’s current price behavior near the $2 support level, emphasizing how fragile the market has become. While anxiety can fuel panic selling, it has also marked the beginning of long-term accumulation phases in past cycles. The next move for XRP may depend on whether fear intensifies — or whether strong hands step in to absorb supply.

Testing Critical Support as Selling Pressure Deepens

XRP continues to trade under heavy selling pressure, with the chart showing a clear series of lower highs and persistent failures to reclaim key moving averages. The price is now hovering near $2.14, testing a crucial support zone that has repeatedly acted as a psychological and structural level for buyers throughout the year. Each attempt to break above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages has been met with rejection, signaling that momentum remains firmly on the side of the sellers.

Volume has gradually increased during recent downswings, suggesting that the sell-offs are driven more by capitulation than simple profit-taking. The sharp decline toward $1.20 in October still stands out as a sign of extreme volatility and liquidity stress, and although XRP quickly recovered from that anomaly, it highlighted how fragile the market structure had become. Since then, price has failed to establish a sustained uptrend, instead forming a tighter and more compressed consolidation beneath the major moving averages.

If the $2 support level breaks decisively, XRP could revisit deeper liquidity pockets around $1.75–$1.90, where buyers previously stepped in during September. However, holding above $2 would keep the possibility of a recovery alive, especially if market sentiment stabilizes.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Solana (SOL) is under intense market pressure after a massive $201 million token transfer on November 17 sparked concerns about further losses.

While institutional interest in Solana-based ETFs remains strong, technical indicators point to a fragile market structure that could send SOL toward the $125–$120 region if buyers fail to regain momentum.

$201M Dump Raises Alarms as Solana Extends Downtrend

Forward Industries, Solana’s largest corporate holder, moved 1.44 million SOL, worth roughly $201.34 million, to Coinbase Prime earlier this week, according to Onchain Lens. The transfer triggered speculation of an impending major sell-off, especially as Solana has already declined nearly 50% over the past two months.

Although it remains unclear whether the tokens were sold or repositioned, the market reaction was swift. SOL briefly dipped to $128 before recovering to the $137 range. Trading volume, however, has declined by 38% to $5.65 billion, indicating elevated trader anxiety and aggressive repositioning.

Technically, SOL remains in a confirmed downtrend after losing the critical $155 support level. Indicators such as the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) at -0.18 and a bearish Supertrend signal show persistent selling pressure.

If the price remains below the current consolidation zone, analysts warn of a potential 16% drop, placing $120 firmly in sight.

Institutional Inflows Persist Despite Price Weakness

The irony in Solana’s current situation is striking. Despite a weekly drop of 11%, institutional confidence is slowly picking up pace. Solana ETFs have rapidly expanded across major U.S. exchanges, with Fidelity, Canary, VanEck, 21Shares, and Bitwise all launching new SOL products in recent days.

Fidelity’s $FSOL recorded $2.07 million in day-one inflows, while total net inflows across all U.S. Solana ETFs have soared to $420.4 million. Meanwhile, November 18 marked the 15th consecutive day of positive ETF inflows, totaling $26.2 million, led by Bitwise’s BSOL.

This reflects a deeper narrative: institutional investors see Solana’s long-term fundamentals, speed, developer activity, and staking yields as compelling despite short-term volatility.

Key Levels: Can SOL Hold Above $130?

Analysts now highlight $125 and $120 as the most critical support zones. A failure to defend $130 could accelerate losses toward $120, with a deeper floor at $115. Conversely, a reclaim of $145, and ideally $160, would signal the first meaningful reversal in weeks.

For now, Solana sits at a crossroads. Heavy selling pressure on one side, surging institutional conviction on the other. The next few days may determine whether SOL stabilizes or slides deeper into bearish territory.

Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart from Tradingview

Dogecoin is now moving closer than ever to joining the roster of cryptocurrencies with their own US-listed exchange-traded funds, and the timeline for the first launch is becoming clearer. 

After a series of regulatory filings and updates from major fund issuers, analysts now believe that the debut of the first Spot Dogecoin ETF is just days away. All signs now point to a launch window that could open as early as Monday, bringing the long-anticipated product to market far sooner than many expected.

Grayscale Positions Its Dogecoin ETF For A Close Launch

The clearest signal came after Grayscale updated its Dogecoin ETF filing, which started a 20-day countdown under the SEC’s new fast-track listing rules. These rules allow certain crypto ETFs to go live without the lengthy and restrictive approval process that previous products faced. 

Unless the SEC steps in with an objection, the end of this 20-day window will become the launch date of the proposed ETF. Based on the timing of Grayscale’s amendment, the first Spot Dogecoin ETF could debut as early as Monday, November 24.

Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, provided the clearest timeline so far. He stated: “Based on 20 20-day clock, I believe Grayscale will be out with the first Doge ETF in a week, 11/24.”

His comment follows the expectation that the first Dogecoin ETF could go live before the end of November. Balchunas also shared the S-1 document image to show the structure of the filing that initiated the countdown.

Solana ETF Approval Shows The New SEC Pathway Is Working

The optimism surrounding Dogecoin’s ETF launch grows stronger when looking at what happened with Solana. VanEck successfully launched its Solana ETF this week with staking rewards and temporarily waived fees to attract early inflows. Fidelity also stepped into the arena with its own Solana ETF, FSOL, which recorded $2.07 million in inflows on its first trading day. 

That product went live under the same SEC listing framework now guiding Dogecoin’s filing. Its smooth debut confirmed that the new process is functioning as intended, with issuers able to bring crypto ETFs to market far more quickly than in earlier cycles. This sets a meaningful precedent because Dogecoin is next in line to benefit from that same pathway.

Although Grayscale is expected to launch first, it may not remain the only DOGE ETF for long. Bitwise submitted an amendment to its own DOGE fund earlier in November, which activated a similar 20-day timeline. If the schedule holds, Bitwise’s Spot Dogecoin ETF could list the following week.

At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.1586, up by 2% in the past 24 hours.