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Crypto Treasuries May Begin Selling In 2026 As ETFs Increase Pressure: Report

bitcoinist.com - пн, 02/16/2026 - 22:51

As crypto prices slide sharply from last year’s highs, a new warning suggests that 2026 could bring additional pressure from an unexpected source: the companies that hold large amounts of digital assets on their balance sheets.

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading below $70,000, roughly 50% beneath the all-time high it reached last October. With forecasts predicting a renewed bear market, analysts at The Motley Fool argue that digital asset treasuries (DATs) may soon be compelled to sell part of their crypto holdings. 

Mounting Pressure On Crypto Treasury Firms

According to their assessment, falling token prices have left many of these firms sitting on steep paper losses, with some now underwater. If the downturn persists, they may need to liquidate assets to meet debt obligations or respond to margin calls. 

At the same time, investors could increasingly favor cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs), adding another layer of competition and strain. The concern centers on how these treasury-focused companies financed their crypto strategies. 

While all DATs hold significant digital assets, their funding structures differ. Some rely heavily on debt, while others issue equity; the method of capital raising will determine how well they can withstand a prolonged slump. 

A key risk is refinancing. If credit conditions tighten or asset values continue to fall, companies may struggle to roll over debt. Leveraged positions could also trigger margin calls, potentially forcing them to sell into a declining market. 

Such selling could push prices even lower, setting off a negative feedback loop across the broader crypto ecosystem. At the same time, the rapid growth of crypto ETFs is creating additional competition for digital asset treasuries. 

The analysts highlight that both investment vehicles offer investors exposure to cryptocurrencies without requiring them to open accounts on exchanges or manage private keys. However, treasury companies carry more operational and financial risk than passively managed ETFs. 

A Prolonged Bear Market Ahead? 

While the long-term trajectory of digital assets remains uncertain, the analysts caution that 2026 could be a pivotal year for corporate crypto holders. If prices remain under pressure, forced sales from digital asset treasuries could amplify market weakness. 

Such developments would not be isolated events; Motley Fool analysts assert that they could ripple across the entire ecosystem, affecting investors, related companies, and broader market sentiment.

For now, much depends on whether the current slump deepens into a prolonged bear market. Should that occur, the combination of debt burdens, refinancing risks, and intensifying ETF competition may place digital asset treasuries under significant strain — with consequences extending far beyond their own balance sheets.

Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Dogecoin Recovery: How Much Can The Leading Meme Coin Rise Again?

bitcoinist.com - пн, 02/16/2026 - 22:30

Dogecoin has spent the past few weeks grinding lower, testing the patience of bullish traders. The past 24 hours, for instance, were spent with sell-offs, with the meme coin king now down by 10% in the last trading day. 

Dogecoin is now perambulating around the $0.10 to $0.11 range, a level that has repeatedly acted as a psychological battleground in past cycles. Recent technical analyses shared on X suggest that this range could determine whether Dogecoin stages another rebound or drifts deeper into weakness in the coming weeks.

Bullish Phase, Liquidity Sweep, And Consolidation

Crypto analyst BitGuru recently outlined a structure that many traders may recognize from previous market cycles. According to his view, Dogecoin initially formed what he described as a bullish phase before entering a liquidity sweep and an extended consolidation period. The daily candlestick chart he shared shows price pushing higher earlier in the cycle, followed by a clear downside move that has been playing out since October 2025.

After that sweep, Dogecoin settled into a tightening channel of lower lows and lower highs, creating a prolonged correction range through late 2025 and into early 2026. The daily candlestick chart, which is shown below, highlights an important horizontal support region around $0.10, where price has recently reacted. From a technical perspective, this region acted as a bottom during the early February crash. 

According to BitGuru, if buyers were to step in here, Dogecoin could attempt a move back toward higher resistance levels around $0.13, $0.15, and $0.19. These are all short-term price levels that can be achieved within a few hours of buying pressure.

The Weekly EMA Signal That Points To Bottoms

Another category of analysis came from Charting Guy, who approached the setup from a broader, long-term angle on the weekly timeframe. He pointed to the relationship between the 20-week exponential moving average and the 200-week exponential moving average on the weekly candlestick price chart. 

Dogecoin has tended to form major cycle lows around the period when the 20-week EMA crosses below the 200-week EMA. The interesting thing is that this crossover has just appeared again. Similar crossovers in previous cycles appeared towards the end of extended bearish phases before Dogecoin transitioned into multi-month uptrends. 

The weekly price chart spans from 2017 through 2026, showing how previous crosses preceded strong upward expansions. This time, Dogecoin’s price dipped to around $0.09 to $0.10 as the crossover took place. 

The most important thing now is how much upside is realistic if this support truly holds. Looking at the weekly structure, a recovery above the 20-week EMA could open the door to a retest of the $0.20 to $0.25 range. Above that, Dogecoin would need better market strength, particularly from Bitcoin, to challenge the higher resistance bands around $0.30 and above.

Economist Says Bitcoin Is A Threat, But The Target Is Not Who You Think

bitcoinist.com - пн, 02/16/2026 - 21:00

Bitcoin (BTC) skeptic and chief economist Peter Schiff has launched a new attack on the world’s largest cryptocurrency. This time, Schiff argues that BTC is not a threat to the global financial system but rather to those who invest in it. His latest negative remark comes after years of relentless criticism of BTC and continuous advocacy for gold and precious metals

Schiff Labels Bitcoin A Threat To Investors 

In an X post on February 14, Schiff issued a fresh critique of Bitcoin, adding to his long history of negative remarks about the leading cryptocurrency. The chief economist claimed that “Bitcoin is only a threat to those who buy it.” His latest remarks came in response to crypto commentator Jeff Swanson, who had mocked gold enthusiasts for obsessively tweeting about Bitcoin despite calling it irrelevant. 

Swanson’s statements were also a response to a post by ‘Nostra, House of gold,’ another economist on X, who said that if BTC falls to $60,000, it could become a liquidity trigger

Schiff’s recent jab at Bitcoin fits his long-standing narrative that the cryptocurrency lacks real value and mainly puts buyers at risk. He has often argued against the idea that Bitcoin is a digital version of gold, suggesting that, unlike gold, which he sees as a real store of value, BTC is a speculative asset with no physical use and likening it to a Ponzi scheme.

Interestingly, Swanson fired back at Schiff’s claims that BTC poses a threat to holders. He noted that the very fact that gold enthusiasts continue to discuss and criticize Bitcoin shows that it matters. He also stated that their strong reactions to BTC indicate they recognize it as a potential challenge to gold’s role as money

Swanson highlighted that if BTC were truly a useless asset with a negligible market share or a currency destined to collapse, it would largely be ignored. Yet critics continue to debate and discuss it. While the crypto commentator admitted that he does not foresee gold ever going to zero, he predicted that it will steadily lose ground to Bitcoin over the coming decades. 

Schiff Continues His Gold Advocacy Over Bitcoin

As much as Schiff opposes Bitcoin, he is equally, if not more, enthusiastic about gold and other precious metals. In a recent post, the economist said that BTC is gradually approaching the $70,000 mark, emphasizing the cryptocurrency’s continuous decline over the past weeks to levels not seen since 2024. 

As an alternative to the flagship cryptocurrency asset, Schiff has encouraged investors to buy gold or silver as a hedge against inflation. He often characterizes BTC as an unreliable asset that he believes will eventually fall to zero in the coming years. His latest long-term forecast for the leading cryptocurrency suggests it might crash to $10,000 and find support there. 

XRP Liquidity Crash: Exchange Levels Mirror May 2025 Trend As Price Recovers

bitcoinist.com - пн, 02/16/2026 - 19:30

Crypto analyst Dom has noted that liquidity for XRP in the spot market is currently thin, suggesting that any significant price movement is leverage-driven. His analysis comes just as the altcoin recovered, alongside the broader crypto market.

XRP’s Spot Liquidity Crashes Even as Price Recovers 

In an X post, Dom stated that XRP’s liquidity has “vanished” and is at its lowest level in nearly two years. This came as he highlighted an “interesting dynamic” in the spot orderbooks, noting that a bunch of orders have popped above the $1 level, which has pushed the altcoin into a strong bid skew. 

Dom also revealed that this strong bid skew was last observed in May at the $1.70 lows and that the order book is extremely thin all the way back up to $2. His comment about liquidity comes amid the altcoin’s rally to as high as $1.66 yesterday as Bitcoin climbed above $70,000.

The analyst also commented on this, noting how the altcoin dumped 16% after it reached this high. He claimed that once the altcoin hit $1.66, crypto exchange Upbit started putting massive amounts of sell pressure on the order books. Dom added that around 50 million XRP was net sold on the market during this period. 

Further commenting on this, the analyst stated that the sell pressure looks to be from both retail and institutional investors on the exchange. He noted that there were 12,775 unique size trades, indicating that this was likely multiple entities or a sophisticated distribution. Based on Dom’s comment about the thin liquidity in the spot XRP market, there is the likelihood that the recent rally was driven by activity in the derivatives market. 

CoinGlass data shows a 76% surge in derivatives trading volume and a 113% spike in the options trading volume. However, open interest is down over 3%. The long/short ratio is now below 1, suggesting that most traders are still bearish. 

A Bullish Setup

In an X post, crypto analyst Egrag Crypto declared that XRP’s setup remains bullish until the market proves otherwise. This came as he highlighted a descending broadening wedge on the 2-week timeframe. He noted that the current candle was shaping to either a Hammer or a Dragonfly Doji. 

Egrag Crypto stated that both are reversal candles when they appear after a downtrend, indicating that XRP may be targeting a higher move to the upside. The analyst added that the Descending Broadening Wedge is still intact and that the price is reacting at the lower structure and not breaking it

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.46, down over 5%, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Вилли Ву: Защита от атак квантовых компьютеров нарушит правила Биткоина

bits.media/ - пн, 02/16/2026 - 18:52
Соучредитель проекта Bitcoin Vector и инвестфонда CMCC Crest Вилли Ву (Willy Woo) опасается, что необходимость хардфорка сети Биткоина, защищающего блокчейн первой криптовалюты от атак квантовых компьютеров, может навредить криптоинвесторам.

NFT из коллекции Джастина Бибера обесценился на 99%

bits.media/ - пн, 02/16/2026 - 18:29
Невзаимозаменяемый токен #3001 из коллекции Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC), принадлежащий певцу и актеру Джастину Биберу (Justin Bieber) за четыре года с момента покупки обесценился на 99% — с $1,3 млн до $12 000.

Названа причина краха криптостартапов с доходом от $1 млн

bits.media/ - пн, 02/16/2026 - 18:07
Криптостартапы с собственными токенами и ежемесячным доходом от $1 млн закрываются на 50% чаще, чем новые проекты, воздержавшиеся от запуска монет, сообщил сооснователь платформы аналитики DeFi Llama под ником 0xngmi.

Crypto Accumulation Narrative Builds After Record Binance COMP Withdrawal

bitcoinist.com - пн, 02/16/2026 - 18:00

The crypto market continues to struggle with recovery as sustained capital outflows and persistent selling pressure weigh on sentiment. After months of volatility and declining liquidity, attempts to stabilize prices have repeatedly faced resistance, leaving investors cautious and positioning defensively. While corrective phases are common following strong rallies, recent price action reflects a more prolonged adjustment period, with both retail and institutional participants reassessing exposure amid uncertain macro and market conditions.

However, recent on-chain analysis from CryptoQuant highlights a potentially important shift in investor behavior within specific segments of the market. Data focused on Compound (COMP) activity on Binance shows a pronounced change in exchange flows. The weekly Netflow chart has turned sharply negative, indicating that significant amounts of COMP are being withdrawn from the exchange rather than deposited.

Such movements are often interpreted as a reduction in immediate selling intent, as assets transferred off exchanges typically move toward long-term storage, DeFi deployment, or strategic repositioning. While this development does not necessarily signal an imminent market reversal, it suggests evolving sentiment beneath the broader market weakness.

Record COMP Outflows Suggest Accumulation Trend

The CryptoQuant report adds further context by highlighting the scale of recent capital movements involving Compound (COMP). Over the past week, the Netflow indicator dropped to roughly -$1.8 million, marking the largest negative weekly reading since October. This sharp decline signals a substantial withdrawal of COMP from Binance, indicating a notable shift in crypto investor positioning. Large exchange outflows often reflect reduced immediate selling intent, particularly when they occur during periods of broader market uncertainty.

This development contrasts sharply with the situation observed in late October, when the Netflow chart recorded a strong positive spike driven by heavy inflows to Binance. Such crypto inflows typically precede elevated selling pressure as traders position assets on exchanges for potential liquidation. The current pattern, however, suggests the opposite dynamic. A significant outflow of approximately $1.8 million implies that holders may be opting for longer-term custody, whether through cold storage solutions or deployment within decentralized finance protocols.

From a structural standpoint, record exchange outflows can act as a supply-side constraint, reducing available liquidity for immediate sales. While not a definitive bullish signal on its own, this behavior often aligns with early accumulation phases. If sustained, it could support price stabilization or eventual recovery across segments of the broader crypto market.

Total Crypto Market Cap Faces Weakness After Failed Breakout

The Total Crypto Market Cap chart shows a clear transition from bullish expansion to corrective consolidation, with recent price action reflecting sustained selling pressure. After peaking above the $4 trillion mark in late 2025, the market has retraced sharply and now trades near the $2.3 trillion region, indicating a significant contraction in aggregate valuation across digital assets.

Technically, the structure suggests a failed breakout rather than a simple pullback. Price has decisively fallen below key moving averages, with shorter-term averages rolling over first, followed by broader trend indicators. This alignment typically reflects weakening momentum and reduced inflow of fresh capital. Volume behavior also supports this interpretation, as spikes during declines imply distribution rather than accumulation.

The current level near $2.3 trillion appears to function as an interim support zone, but it remains structurally vulnerable. Previous cycles show that once macro trend support breaks, markets often require prolonged consolidation before establishing a new base. The absence of sustained upward momentum suggests liquidity conditions remain constrained.

From a macro perspective, this environment points to a transitional phase rather than immediate recovery. Stabilization of capital inflows, improved sentiment, and confirmation of higher lows would be necessary before a durable bullish structure can realistically re-emerge.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Создателя криптофермы накажут за отсутствие в реестре российских майнеров

bits.media/ - пн, 02/16/2026 - 17:15
39-летний житель поселка Зеленец Сыктывдинского района Республики Коми организовал работу майнинговой фермы в сарае на своем земельном участке. Фермер занимался добычей криптовалют незаконно, заявила российская Федеральная служба безопасности.

Глава инвестфонда предположил цену биткоина в 2041 году

bits.media/ - пн, 02/16/2026 - 16:44
Гендиректор инвестиционного фонда EMJ Capital Эрик Джексон (Eric Jackson) в интервью с финансовым журналистом Филом Розеном (Phil Rosen) предположил, что к 2041 году курс биткоина может достичь $50 млн.

Ethereum Coinbase Premium Jumps – Is US Selling Pressure Finally Fading?

bitcoinist.com - пн, 02/16/2026 - 16:30

Ethereum has remained locked in a consolidation phase below the $2,000 level since the sharp market decline seen in early February. Despite occasional rebound attempts, price action continues to reflect caution among traders, with volatility elevated and momentum limited. The inability to reclaim this psychological threshold has reinforced a defensive market posture, as investors weigh macro uncertainty, liquidity conditions, and broader crypto sentiment.

A recent CryptoQuant report provides additional context from an on-chain perspective. According to the analysis, the Ethereum Coinbase Premium Index has stayed predominantly in negative territory, signaling relatively weak demand from US-based investors. This metric compares spot prices on Coinbase with those on other major exchanges, offering insight into regional buying pressure. Persistent negative readings suggest that aggressive spot accumulation from US participants has been largely absent during the current corrective phase.

This pattern aligns with the broader technical structure visible on price charts, where rallies have struggled to gain follow-through. While consolidation does not necessarily imply further downside, sustained weakness in spot demand typically delays recovery phases, leaving Ethereum sensitive to shifts in liquidity, macro conditions, and investor confidence in the near term.

Coinbase Premium Rebound Signals Potential Shift In Demand

The report further notes that the Coinbase Premium Index has recently shown a noticeable upward rebound. Although the indicator remains below the neutral threshold, the strength of the move suggests that selling pressure from US-based investors may be starting to ease. This shift is relevant because the index reflects the difference between Ethereum spot prices on Coinbase and those on other major exchanges, making it a proxy for regional demand dynamics.

If the current upward momentum continues and the index moves into positive territory, turning green, it would indicate renewed spot buying interest from US market participants. Historically, sustained positive readings have often coincided with phases of stronger accumulation, which can help stabilize price action after periods of corrective pressure.

Such a development could become particularly significant if it aligns with a technical breakout from the triangle structure currently visible on the charts. In that scenario, improving on-chain demand and constructive price structure would reinforce each other. While this does not guarantee an immediate rally, the combination could increase the probability of a more durable recovery phase, especially if broader liquidity conditions and market sentiment also begin to improve.

Ethereum Holds After Sharp Breakdown

Ethereum remains under clear technical pressure after losing momentum below the $2,000 level, with the chart showing a sustained downtrend following the late-2025 peak near $4,800. Price action has shifted decisively bearish, marked by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows that confirms a broader corrective structure rather than a temporary pullback.

The recent breakdown accelerated once ETH lost confluence support around the 200-period moving average, triggering a sharp decline toward the $1,900–$2,000 zone. This area now functions as a fragile stabilization range rather than firm support. Trading volumes increased during the selloff, suggesting forced positioning adjustments rather than organic accumulation.

From a trend perspective, ETH continues to trade below all major moving averages, which remain downward sloping. This configuration typically reflects persistent macro weakness and limited buyer conviction. Any sustained recovery would likely require reclaiming the $2,400–$2,600 region, where previous support has turned into resistance.

Until that happens, market structure remains vulnerable. Continued consolidation near current levels could indicate base formation, but another rejection below $2,000 would increase the probability of a deeper retracement toward historical demand zones near the mid-$1,600 range.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

OKX получила разрешение оказывать платежные услуги в Европе

bits.media/ - пн, 02/16/2026 - 16:07
Криптовалютная биржа OKX получила от мальтийского регулятора лицензию платежного учреждения (PI), разрешающую проводить платежи с использованием стейблкоинов на территории Евросоюза.

Did SBI Holdings Really Buy $10 Billion Worth Of XRP? CEO Reveals The Real Figure

bitcoinist.com - пн, 02/16/2026 - 15:18

Speculation around institutional XRP accumulation intensified after claims surfaced that SBI Holdings had acquired $10 billion worth of the digital asset. The narrative gained traction quickly, feeding bullish sentiment and reinforcing assumptions about deep corporate exposure to XRP. However, a direct clarification from the company’s leadership has now reframed the conversation, replacing viral figures with verifiable financial reality.

Where The $10 Billion XRP Claim Originated

The controversy began with social media commentary on X (formerly Twitter) by @Strivex_, linking SBI Holdings’ expanding crypto footprint—particularly its Singapore activity—to a presumed multi-billion-dollar XRP treasury. The claim suggested the Japanese financial giant was holding approximately $10 billion in the token on its balance sheet. This interpretation positioned SBI not just as a strategic partner within Ripple’s ecosystem but as one of the largest direct corporate holders of the asset.

CEO Yoshitaka Kitao moved swiftly to dismantle that narrative. Responding publicly, he clarified that the circulating figure misrepresented the firm’s exposure structure. SBI does not custody $10 billion worth of XRP tokens, nor does it maintain a treasury position of that scale in the cryptocurrency itself. Kitao emphasized that such a holding would introduce significant volatility risk, an exposure profile inconsistent with SBl’s balance-sheet management strategy.

Instead, the company’s financial linkage to XRP is indirect, operating through corporate ownership rather than token accumulation. This distinction is critical because equity exposure and digital asset custody carry fundamentally different risk, liquidity, and accounting implications. By correcting the misunderstanding, Kitao repositioned SBI’s involvement as strategic and institutional.

Indirect Exposure, Direct Influence

SBI Holdings’ actual stake sits in Ripple Labs, where it owns roughly 9% equity. This shareholding provides economic participation in Ripple’s enterprise growth, technology deployment, and institutional payment expansion – without requiring direct XRP token holdings. Based on private market estimates that place Ripple’s valuation above $50 billion, SBI’s stake translates to an implied value of approximately $4.5 billion. While substantial, this figure is less than half the viral $10 billion claim and reflects ownership in corporate infrastructure rather than cryptocurrency reserves.

Kitao has described this Ripple stake as a “hidden asset” within SBl’s broader valuation framework. The characterization signals that the market may not fully price in the upside tied to Ripple’s expansion, particularly as blockchain settlement and cross-border payment rails scale globally.

The partnership itself is longstanding, dating back to 2016, and extends beyond passive investment. SBI has actively supported Ripple’s institutional penetration across Asia. Its recent acquisition of a majority stake in Singapore-based exchange Coinhako illustrates this operational alignment, establishing a digital asset corridor between Japan and Southeast Asia. Further collaboration includes participation in Ripple’s $1 billion treasury initiative alongside Evernorth Holdings, designed to accelerate institutional XRP utilization.

Through these initiatives, SBI maintains exposure to XRP’s real-world deployment across liquidity provisioning, settlement infrastructure, and payment corridors – even without holding the token directly.

Crypto Courtroom Drama: Kevin O’Leary Wins Nearly $3M Against YouTuber ‘Bitboy’

bitcoinist.com - пн, 02/16/2026 - 15:00

Businessman and TV personality Kevin O’Leary, known as “Mr. Wonderful” from Shark Tank, has won a $2.8 million judgment after a US federal court entered default against popular YouTuber Ben “BitBoy” Armstrong.

The ruling comes after Armstrong failed to respond to a defamation lawsuit related to false claims he made on social media, which accused O’Leary of involvement in a 2019 boating accident that resulted in fatalities.

Those claims were never proven in court, and reporters have noted the legal action focused on restoring reputation and seeking damages for harm caused by the statements.

Court Enters Default Judgment

The court award totals roughly $2.8 million in combined damages. That figure breaks down into about $78,000 for reputational injury, $750,000 for emotional distress, and $2,000,000 in punitive damages meant to punish the conduct.

#bitboy #Mrwonderful pic.twitter.com/mCUsuwESm6

— F Joe (@FJOE_CRYPTO) February 14, 2026

Judge Beth Bloom presided over the matter in the US District Court for the Southern District of Florida, which handled filings and issued the judgment. The ruling came after procedural steps that allow a plaintiff to obtain judgment when a defendant fails to respond.

Allegations And Timeline

Reports say the posts at the center of the case appeared in March of last year. They accused the businessman of being connected to lethal conduct and alleged a cover-up. O’Leary has never been charged in relation to that incident, and later court records showed related parties were cleared at trial.

The defamation suit alleged the statements crossed the line from opinion into false factual claims that damaged reputation and caused distress. Because Armstrong did not appear or meaningfully answer the complaint, the court treated the claims as conceded for purposes of final judgment.

Crypto Connection And Implications

Armstrong is a well-known personality in the world of cryptocurrency, operating the popular site BitBoy Crypto. His messages reach thousands of cryptocurrency fans and investors, which helped to spread the false claims.

Although the case itself is not related to cryptocurrency, it shows the legal danger that cryptocurrency influencers may face when posting unverified or defamatory information online. This decision may make other personalities in the cryptocurrency world more careful about what they post online.

Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView

Том Ли назвал сроки окончания криптозимы

bits.media/ - пн, 02/16/2026 - 14:35
Затяжной спад на криптовалютном рынке заканчивается — криптозима либо уже подошла к концу, либо завершится не позднее апреля, заявил сооснователь Fundstrat Global Advisors и председатель BitMine Immersion Technologies Том Ли (Tom Lee).

Держатель биткоина Metaplanet отчитался об убытках на $664 млн

bits.media/ - пн, 02/16/2026 - 14:29
Японская компания Metaplanet, один из крупнейших корпоративных владельцев биткоинов, отчиталась о годовом нереализованном убытке на 102,2 млрд иен (около $664 млн). Это немного лучше, чем прогноз самой фирмы. Причина убытков — переоценка хранящихся биткоинов.

Инвесторы вывели из криптофондов $3,74 млрд

bits.media/ - пн, 02/16/2026 - 13:39
Криптовалютные биржевые фонды четвертую неделю подряд фиксируют чистый отток средств. За последнюю семидневку инвесторы вывели $173 млн, а суммарные потери за четыре недели достигли $3,74 млрд, сообщила управляющая компания CoinShares.

Ric Edelman Says $500,000 Bitcoin Is ‘Simple Arithmetic’ By 2030

bitcoinist.com - пн, 02/16/2026 - 13:30

Ric Edelman says Bitcoin can reach $500,000 by the end of the decade and, unlike many headline-grabbing forecasts, he’s putting a simple allocation math behind it.

In a Feb. 15 interview with Altcoin Daily, the longtime financial adviser and founder of Edelman Financial (now managing roughly $330 billion, by his account) framed his target as the “conservative” case in a range of increasingly aggressive calls circulating in crypto. “I believe that Bitcoin can reach $500,000 by the end of the decade,” Edelman said. “And there are other predictions that are even more bold than mine… many are predicting a million. Others are predicting as much as two to 5 million in pricing.”

Why Edelman Calls $500,000 Bitcoin ‘Conservative’ By 2030

What he objects to, he said, is not optimism, it’s the lack of disclosed assumptions. “The problem I have with a lot of the predictions is that they are opaque. They haven’t explained why they believe what they’re saying,” Edelman said. “So I’ll be transparent and tell you how I get to 500,000 by 2030… this is not a straight line… it’s going to be very bumpy along the way.”

Edelman’s case rests on a broad-based shift in global portfolio construction, not a single catalyst. He argues Bitcoin still isn’t owned by the “average investor” worldwide but that adoption can expand through sovereign and institutional channels over time. He listed potential buyers across the capital stack: “government holdings, sovereign wealth funds and institutional holdings, endowments, pension funds, hedge funds, insurance companies, banks, brokerages, etc.”

From there, Edelman zooms out to the size of the global asset pool. He estimated the combined value of global stocks, bonds, real estate, gold, and cash at roughly $750 trillion. The key step is the portfolio slice: if diversified investors ultimately assign just 1% to Bitcoin, that implies about $7.5 trillion of inflows, which he says would translate into roughly $500,000 per coin when combined with Bitcoin’s existing value.

“It’s simple arithmetic,” Edelman said. “If you take the attitude… that everybody who owns a diversified portfolio ends up owning just 1% of their portfolio in Bitcoin — that’s inflows of $7.5 trillion… That plus the current value of Bitcoin translates to about $500,000 per coin. It’s really that simple.”

He added two reinforcing observations: that allocations are already happening, and that when they happen they may be larger than 1%. “We’re beginning to discover… more and more people are allocating,” he said. “And… they’re allocating closer to 5% of assets.”

While Edelman emphasized Bitcoin’s long-term adoption curve, he also argued the broader crypto stack matters, particularly Ethereum, which he tied to stablecoin growth. He called it “funny” that investors can be bearish on crypto prices while simultaneously bullish on stablecoins, given where much of that activity settles today.

“If you believe stablecoins are the winner, how can you not be a supporter of Ethereum? Because almost all the stablecoins are trading on Ethereum,” Edelman said. Pressed for a number, he suggested Ethereum could reach “between $4,000 and $10,000,” adding that a doubling would be “very easy to suggest” in his view.

At press time, BTC traded at $68,986.

Майкл Сейлор назвал критическую для Strategy цену биткоина

bits.media/ - пн, 02/16/2026 - 13:00
Председатель крупнейшего корпоративного держателя биткоинов компании Strategy Майкл Сейлор (Michael Saylor) заявил, что фирма сможет выдержать падение BTC до $8000.

$129B Crypto Maze: Russian Authorities Lose Sight Of Massive Annual Flows

bitcoinist.com - пн, 02/16/2026 - 12:00

Russia’s crypto scene is bigger than many realize, and regulators are sounding the alarm. Reports say daily crypto turnover inside the country may be around 50 billion rubles. That adds up fast — more than 10 trillion rubles a year by simple math — and officials say much of it moves beyond formal oversight.

Russia’s deputy finance minister, Ivan Chebeskov, raised the figure while speaking about the need for clearer rules. According to reports, he warned that millions of people are taking part, and that those flows are largely happening outside official systems.

That puts the state in a tight spot: clamp down and push activity further underground, or bring it under some kind of control and monitoring.

Regulators Move To Catch Up

The central bank’s tone has shifted. Once favoring a hard ban, the Central Bank of Russia now talks about licensing and limits.

On the same panel, Vladimir Chistyukhin, the first deputy chairman of Russia’s central bank, said lawmakers could take action during the spring session of the State Duma, which would give firms time to prepare for new rules.

The proposed approach aims to let ordinary people have small exposure while keeping bigger wagers in regulated hands.

Sanctions And The Push For Rules

Meanwhile, European Union officials have been worried about crypto being used to get around sanctions. Reports have disclosed that the EU is pushing for tougher limits on transactions tied to the country.

That pressure changes incentives. Some of the crypto use is likely about savings and protection from ruble swings. Some could be about moving value across borders.

Investor Limits And Traceability

A draft rule floated by regulators would cap what non-qualified buyers can hold each year. Reports note a proposed limit of 300,000 rubles for casual investors. At the same time, privacy coins would be excluded from the list of allowed assets.

Together, those steps show the goal is clear: allow participation, but keep tight limits and ensure transactions can be tracked. Requiring licenses also points to a push to shift activity away from shadow networks and into supervised, formal systems.

The Blind Spot: Annual Flows Escape Oversight

For now, the picture looks like a maze — billions in yearly crypto flows moving through channels the state does not fully see. The $129 billion estimate underscores how large and complex this market has become inside Russia.

Whether new rules can bring those funds into clearer view, or simply reroute them deeper into the shadows, will determine if authorities regain their footing or continue losing sight of one of the country’s fastest-growing financial arenas.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

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