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Украина изучает возможность создания государственного стратегического резерва в биткоинах, при поддержке крупнейшей криптобиржи мира Binance. Для реализации этой инициативы уже разрабатывается соответствующий законопроект.

Coinbase, the largest US-based crypto exchange, is set to join the S&P 500 index on May 19, replacing Discover Financial Services amid its merger with Capital One. Brian Armstrong has made key statements ahead of this development, hinting at plans for further acquisitions.

‘Crypto Is Here To Stay’

Brian Armstrong, Coinbase’s CEO, expressed enthusiasm about the inclusion, stating, “We’re very happy to be included in the S&P 500. It now means that crypto is here to stay.” 

Coinbase’s entry into the S&P 500 is particularly noteworthy as it signifies a shift in how digital assets are perceived within the financial landscape. Armstrong noted that the inclusion would likely influence retirement funds, stating that cryptocurrency could soon be part of everyone’s 401(k) plans. 

This is crucial because many retirement accounts track the S&P 500, meaning that millions of Americans may indirectly invest in Coinbase through their retirement savings.

Analysts predict that this inclusion could lead to substantial capital inflows, with Bernstein estimating up to $16 billion in new investments driven largely by passive index funds. Oppenheimer has also raised its price target for COIN from $269 to $293, reflecting growing optimism about the company’s future.

Coinbase Actively Pursuing M&A Opportunities 

Following its recent $2.9 billion acquisition of Deribit, a leading crypto derivatives exchange, Armstrong indicated that Coinbase is actively exploring further mergers and acquisitions. 

“We are always looking at M&A opportunities,” he stated during an interview on Bloomberg Television. This strategy aligns with Coinbase’s goal of expanding its market presence and enhancing its service offerings in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.

Deribit, known for its dominance in bitcoin options trading, will bolster Coinbase’s position as a leader in crypto derivatives. This acquisition is the largest in the industry to date and is expected to close by the end of the year, further solidifying Coinbase’s international reach.

The firm has shown solid growth since going public in 2021, driven by the increasing value of cryptocurrencies and regulatory approvals for major institutions to launch spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). 

In its latest earnings report, the company exceeded earnings expectations with a reported earnings per share of $1.94, reflecting a 7.6% increase year-over-year. However, revenue growth of 24% to $2 billion fell slightly short of analyst forecasts. Despite these mixed results, Coinbase’s strategic initiatives and market positioning suggest a promising outlook. 

On Wednesday, the exchange’s stock closed at $263.41, up nearly 7% over the previous 24 hours. The recent Deribit deal has sparked notable momentum for the stock, which has risen from a yearly low of $143 reached last April.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Согласно опросу, проведенному крупнейшей криптобиржей Binance среди 30 000 криптотрейдеров из азиатских стран, 80,5% респондентов подключили двухфакторную идентификацию (2FA), чтобы обезопасить свои активы.

Какие вызовы возникают перед индустрией криптовалют, как рынок переживает «кризис повествования», и как идеологическая борьба за свободу сменяется сиюминутным маркетингом — рассмотрим в данной статье.

Nearly a week after failing to pass a vote in the US Senate, the crypto industry-backed stablecoin legislation is reportedly getting a bipartisan push to be revived in the upcoming days.

US Senators Push For Stablecoin Bill Revival

On Tuesday, news outlet Bloomberg reported that US senators are working to “quickly revive” the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act, which stalled after not receiving enough support from Senate Democrats last week.

The GENIUS Act, sponsored by Republican Senator Bill Hagerty, seeks to develop a framework to allow stablecoins to fall under the Federal Reserve Rules, establishing a “safe and pro-growth” regulatory framework to advance innovation.

The bill, co-sponsored by Senators Tim Scott, Cynthia Lummis, Kirsten Gillibrand, and Angela Alsobrooks, failed to pass the cloture vote in the US Senate after several lawmakers withdrew their support ahead of the vote.

As reported by Bitcoinist, only 49 senators voted to advance the bill, falling short of the 60 votes required to end the debate on the legislation. Meanwhile, two Republican senators, Senator Josh Hawley and Senator Rand Paul, voted against advancing the bill alongside Democrats.

Senator Hagerty told Bloomberg that both parties have continued to work on the legislation since the May 8 failure, reportedly expressing hope that Senate Democrats agree to pass the bill before the Memorial Day recess, on May 26, as the Senate will focus on the Republican Party’s signature tax and spending package after the holiday.

“The window is now,” he said, adding, “We will see if reasonableness will prevail.”

GENIUS Act To Regain Bipartisan Support?

It’s worth noting that the GENIUS Act was considered a bipartisan effort to increase regulatory clarity after multiple Democrats showed support, with Senator Alsobrooks and four other Democrats voting for the legislation in the Senate Banking Committee in March.

Amid the bipartisan support, the bill went through various amendments to address Democratic senators’ concerns, including stricter requirements for stablecoin issuers and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) provisions.

However, several Senate Democrats shared further concerns before the May 8 vote. In a May 3 opposition statement, ten senators, including four Democrats who previously supported the bill, questioned the revised version of the legislation, arguing that the draft omitted essential AML and national security safeguards and had ambiguous regulations that could expose crypto markets to exploitation.

Moreover, crypto-skeptic Senator Elizabeth Warren raised concerns about US President Donald Trump’s crypto ventures, urging Congress to reject the stablecoin bill, as it could pave the way for alleged “crypto corruption.” This ultimately led to the Senate Democrats’ pivot.

The Bloomberg report noted that Democratic backing is essential in the Senate, as the top Democratic sponsor of the stablecoin legislation, Senator Alsobrooks, concurred that senators have continued working together to move the bill forward.

Coinbase’s Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Brian Armstrong, highlighted a recent statement by Josh Vlasto, spokesperson for Cedar Innovation Fund, an organization linked to the Fairshake Super Political Action Committee (PAC).

The statement, shared with online political news daily Punchbowl News, warned that efforts from both sides were required for the bill to advance. “Senate leadership on both sides of the aisle should avoid political games and pass a final stablecoin bill in the coming days,” Vlasto affirmed, adding that “The crypto community needs clear, responsible rules of the road in the United States, and further delays put American competitiveness and consumers at risk.”

Комиссар Комиссии по торговле товарными фьючерсами США (CFTС) Cаммер Мерсингер (Summer Mersinger) 30 мая уйдет в отставку, чтобы стать генеральным директором правозащитной группы Blockchain Association, лоббирующей интересы криптоиндустрии в Вашингтоне.

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BTC Bull Token เป็นเหรียญที่น่าจับตามองในปี 2025 ด้วยคุณสมบัติที่เน้นการเชื่อมโยงกับ Bitcoin, กลไกการเผาโทเค็น และการสนับสนุนจากชุมชน อย่างไรก็ตาม นักลงทุนควรพิจารณาความเสี่ยงและทำการวิจัยอย่างละเอียดก่อนตัดสินใจลงทุน

Музей криптографии и DeFrens — блокчейн- и ИИ-сообщество СНГ — проводят конференцию «Криптография в блокчейне», посвященную современным направлениям в криптографии распределенных систем, а также исследовательским подходам, инженерным решениям и их практическому применению.

According to reports from a recent Financial Times documentary, one of Strategy’s own analysts says the company could one day top the list of publicly traded giants. It’s a bold idea. The firm already sits as the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin. But jumping from where it stands now to the very top is a massive climb.

Strategy’s Bitcoin Hoard

Strategy holds roughly 568,840 BTC. That stash is worth nearly $60 billion at today’s prices. Based on reports, the firm pulled in $12 billion during a single 50‑day stretch in late 2024. It’s rare to see that level of fundraising in traditional finance. Short‑term, it shows investors still back the idea of sinking capital into Bitcoin.

Ambitious Growth Plans

The company currently sports a market cap of a little over $117 billion. According to Strategy’s filings, it plans to double its equity raise to $84 billion, ready to buy more Bitcoin. Debt targets are rising too—up from $21 billion to $42 billion, with close to $15 billion still unused.

Michael Saylor, Strategy’s executive chairman, says old‑school bookkeeping won’t limit them. He laid out a path from a $100 billion business to $1 trillion, and then on to $10 trillion. He’s even more optimistic about Bitcoin’s own future, forecasting $1 million per coin within 10 years and $13 million by 2045.

Market Leadership Challenge

To hit the top spot, Strategy would need to overtake Microsoft. Today, Microsoft sits around $3.3 trillion. That’s nearly 30 times larger than Strategy’s present valuation. Converting that gap into Bitcoin terms means a price per coin in the multi‑millions.

It’s a scenario that counts on relentless price gains. It also counts on investors welcoming heavy dilution and more debt as the company issues new shares and bonds.

Peer Moves And Trends

Bitcoin treasury gatherings are not unique to Strategy. On Monday, Metaplanet added 1,241 BTC for more than18 billion yen (or $126 million), taking its total to 6,796 BTC—worth over $706 million. Smaller players are also jumping in.

GD Culture Group Ltd, a microcap firm, aims to raise up to $300 million via a stock offer. It plans to buy Bitcoin alongside a token called Trump Coin. Meanwhile, data show publicly listed firms grew their Bitcoin holdings by 16 % in the first quarter of 2025.

Risks And Reality

The road from epic dreams to real‑world results is littered with hurdles. Bitcoin has seen wild swings of 50 – 70 % in past bear markets. New share and debt sales dilute existing investors’ stakes. If Bitcoin stumbles or investor sentiment turns, all those plans could stumble too.

Strategy is the biggest boat in a sea of Bitcoin treasury ships. When the tide goes out, it may feel the pull more than many others. For now, it’s a story of guts, big numbers, and the hope that today’s digital gold keeps rising.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin continues to dominate the digital asset space, maintaining its position as the most established and widely adopted cryptocurrency. However, according to Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management, investors should consider broadening their exposure to include a variety of crypto assets, especially as blockchains evolve beyond just currency use cases.

Hougan recently commented on Ethereum’s significant price recovery, noting a 53% rebound from its April lows and a 37% increase within a single week.

This performance comes after months of underperformance and coincides with recent blockchain upgrades and a wider shift toward risk-on market conditions. In light of this, Hougan addressed the increasingly common question among investors: is it time to look beyond Bitcoin?

Crypto as a General Purpose Technology

In drawing comparisons between today’s blockchain market and early internet adoption, Hougan pointed to how investment strategies from the early 2000s offer a relevant historical lesson. He referenced the example of 2004, when Google led the search engine industry and appeared to be the dominant bet on the internet’s future.

While Google became a highly successful investment, Hougan emphasized that other sectors, such as e-commerce (Amazon), video streaming (Netflix), and software-as-a-service (Salesforce), also generated substantial long-term returns.

Applying the same thinking to crypto, Hougan suggested that while Bitcoin may serve as a decentralized monetary system or “digital gold,” other blockchains are designed for broader utility.

Ethereum enables programmable smart contracts, Solana and Avalanche focus on high-throughput performance for decentralized applications, and middleware solutions like Chainlink support infrastructure across multiple networks. Hougan’s view is that these differing purposes present differentiated return profiles, rather than just direct competition.

He also noted that investors do not need to commit to a single crypto thesis. While some may favor Bitcoin solely as a hedge against fiat debasement, others who believe blockchains will transform asset transfer, application deployment, or financial infrastructure may benefit from holding a mix of assets.

This basket approach, he argued, is well-aligned with how general purpose technologies historically produce a range of winners across verticals.

Passive Exposure May Outperform Active Picks

To reinforce his perspective, Hougan pointed to performance data over the last five years for assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Chainlink—each demonstrating different periods of outperformance. Predicting which will lead through 2030 remains uncertain, and that uncertainty is exactly why he advocates diversification.

He concluded by citing a compelling statistic: over the past two decades, 97% of actively managed equity funds underperformed their benchmarks. For an industry as dynamic and unpredictable as crypto, the implication is that trying to identify individual long-term winners could be more difficult than many expect.

In summary, while Bitcoin remains the cornerstone of most crypto portfolios, Hougan believes that blockchain’s versatility as a technology calls for broader exposure. His advice to investors: focus less on picking the next breakout asset and more on positioning for the entire crypto ecosystem’s potential.

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Wealthy investors are trimming their exposure to US dollar assets. They’re worried about fresh tariffs and trade friction. Confidence in the greenback’s long‑term strength is sliding.

Eroding Trust In The Dollar

According to UBS, its high‑net‑worth clients in Asia have started to pull money out of assets tied to the US dollar. Amy Lo, co‑head of wealth management for Asia at UBS, says many feel uneasy about holding too much of their net worth in one currency.

Years of steady growth and a deep financial market haven’t been enough to keep them fully invested. New tariffs and trade disputes have shaken their faith.

Gold And Crypto Draw Investors

Based on reports from UBS, gold is back in fashion. It’s an old‑school hedge that isn’t tied to any single government or bank. Prices have climbed as clients buy bullion to spread risk. At the same time, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are getting a fresh look.

John Deaton, a pro‑crypto lawyer, posted on X that it’s now “far more riskier to have zero exposure to crypto” than it is to allocate a small percentage of your net worth to it. Some clients are taking a tiny slice of their portfolios and placing it into digital coins.

We have officially reached the point where it is far more riskier to have zero exposure to Crypto than it is to allocate a small percentage of your net worth to it. I felt that way 5 years ago but TradFi is now waking up to the realization. https://t.co/yswNhbRPhA

— John E Deaton (@JohnEDeaton1) May 13, 2025

Chinese Markets Regain Appeal

Investors who avoided China for years are returning. The Hang Seng Index has been one of the best‑performing stock indexes in the world in 2025. That jump is enough to draw fresh money.

A 90‑day tariff truce has helped, too. The US cut most duties on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, while China pushed its rates down from 125% to 10%. Those moves have eased fears and reminded people of China’s growth potential.

Balanced Portfolios Remain Popular

Wealth managers aren’t telling clients to go all in on any single market. Instead, they’re sticking with tried‑and‑true splits. Morgan Stanley suggests a mix of 40% bonds, 40% stocks, 15% alternative investments like private equity or hedge funds, and 5% cash or cash‑like assets.

That kind of structure aims to smooth out big swings. Morgan Stanley also notes that high‑net‑worth clients could see 7% to 8% in annual returns over the next seven to 10 years, but warns that volatile markets make those targets harder to hit.

A Cautious Yet Open‑Minded Stance

Investors today are balancing caution with curiosity. They want to protect what they have, but they also don’t want to miss out on growth.

Spreading money across currencies, commodities, digital assets, and regions feels like the most sensible path. Still, gold can stall, crypto can dip, and Chinese markets can tighten up overnight.

That’s why some are keeping a small cash buffer on hand. In this climate, a flexible, well‑balanced approach looks like the smartest play.

Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView

Strike chief executive Jack Mallers says the post-war monetary model has hit a wall. In an appearance on Natalie Brunell’s Coin Stories podcast released, the 30-year-old entrepreneur delivered a granular history lesson, a withering critique of US debt dynamics and, above all, a case for Bitcoin as the asset capable of absorbing the shock when the dollar-centric order finally gives way.

A century-Old Bargain Reaches Its Limit

Mallers began by rewinding to 1944. “After the world wars America was the strongest economy. We had the most gold…” he recalled, noting that Bretton Woods installed the dollar as the world’s reserve currency precisely so Washington could “export our strength” in paper while importing physical goods. That bargain, he argued, morphed into something far more lopsided:

“Effectively we are printing pieces of paper and getting real stuff in return for it. You delegate and outsource manufacturing an iPhone, the food you consume, the energy you burn, and all you’re doing is importing real goods and exporting currency. That’s Triffin’s dilemma in action.”

The numbers back him up. Gross federal debt now stands at roughly $36.2 trillion and is on pace to exceed $37 trillion by fiscal year-end, according to the Concord Coalition’s review of Treasury data. Interest costs alone are running at an annualized $684 billion.

Mallers dwelt on how that debt is funded. In the 1980s and 1990s, he said, surplus nations—“China, Japan, Russia”—were happy to recycle export earnings into Treasuries. No longer. “If your buddy was $36 trillion in debt, would you lend him more money? Probably not,” he quipped. The marginal buyer today, he said, is “our own banking system and hedge funds levered up in the Cayman Islands.”

That view echoes recent market chatter. JPMorgan Chase chief Jamie Dimon has warned that current capital rules discourage banks from holding Treasuries; he urged regulators last month to strip the securities from the supplementary leverage ratio (SLR) so dealers can absorb spikes in supply without blowing through capital buffers. And the Treasury itself plans to begin liquidity-support buy-backs this week, part of a programme unveiled at the May Quarterly Refunding.

Leverage of that scale, Mallers argued, cannot survive turbulence: “Leverage doesn’t do well with volatility, so as soon as markets start to move, they print the money.” Hence his conclusion that the United States is “structurally short volatility.”

Gold As “Parking Lot,” Bitcoin As End-Game

Mallers tied the argument to 2025’s macro headlines. President Trump’s tariff threat on a fresh tranche of Chinese goods jolted bond markets in April; 10-year yields briefly spiked above 4.6 percent before retracing to 4.46 percent. That bout of instability, Mallers said, forced the administration to test “how far can I push before I cascade the deck of cards.” Authorities have since flipped back to easing mode: broad money (M2) has resumed an upward trajectory and policymakers “are providing the liquidity,” he said.

His formula is blunt: “Bitcoin equals technology plus fiat liquidity.” More newly created dollars chasing finite coins is, in Mallers’ view, the simplest and strongest tail-wind the asset has.

Brunell pressed him on the recent bid in bullion, especially among central banks. Mallers was uncompromising: “Gold is the temporary parking lot. Bitcoin carries every monetary property the market demands—fixed supply, scarcity, divisibility, portability, and the ability to self-custody.”

He framed the investment universe at roughly $900 trillion in global assets, half of which humans use as a savings device. “The dollar will increasingly not be used for that; sovereign debt won’t either,” he said, predicting a rotation first toward gold, then decisively into Bitcoin as technology familiarity grows.

Mallers alluded to US President Donald Trump’ Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and floated a path whereby the United States preserves dollar invoicing but anchors value in Bitcoin: “If they come out, devalue the debt enough and build a Bitcoin position that’s $50 trillion over the next ten years—problem solved. All your dollars are backed by Bitcoin. Your hot dog on the corner is still priced in dollars, but the real capital storage, the real wealth, sits in Bitcoin.”

Liquidity And BTC Price Action

Bitcoin’s own price has spent the spring consolidating in the high-$70,000s and is now back above $100,000. Mallers attributed the pause to a market wrong-footed by Trump’s initial “liquidity-negative” stance. Now, he contends, conditions look similar to late-2023, when an M2 rebound coincided with the asset’s march through $40,000, $50,000 and ultimately $70,000. “We’re on the other side of liquidity negative,” he said.

The risk, he acknowledged, is disorderly volatility in Treasuries. Dimon recently warned of a potential “kerfuffle” that could force the Federal Reserve to intervene directly in the secondary market. Should such an episode erupt, Mallers expects policymakers to “print the money”—a catalyst he believes would only accelerate Bitcoin adoption.

Mallers’ thesis is not new, but his latest outing sharpened the edges. The United States, he said, can no longer count on foreign surpluses to finance deficits. Domestic banks and hedge funds can fill the gap only if regulators supply leverage and the Fed supplies dollars. That loop, already creaking under $36 trillion of debt, is inherently inflationary. In Mallers’ words: “The game is rigged—and Bitcoin wins, because math doesn’t lie.”

At press time, BTC traded at $104,112.

Dogecoin (DOGE) just broke out of a Descending Channel pattern, indicating a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish position. After months of trading within a downward trend, the meme coin appears to be preparing for its next leg up, with a crypto analyst projecting a surge to $0.44. 

Dogecoin Breakout Sparks Hope For $0.44 

In a recent technical analysis, crypto analyst Jonathan Carter announced on X (formerly Twitter) that Dogecoin has officially broken out of a long-term Descending Channel on the 3-day chart. 

This breakout comes after months of downward price action within a clearly defined parallel channel, where the DOGE price consistently made lower highs and lower lows. The analyst’s chart shows that prior to the Descending Channel, Dogecoin was trading within a Falling Wedge pattern in late 2023. 

The cryptocurrency confirmed this pattern by breaking out to the upside the same year, triggering a significant price rally that peaked near the $0.45 resistance zone. Since peaking, Dogecoin has traded within the Descending Channel, but after multiple rejections at the upper boundary, the price finally broke through with conviction. 

Carter’s chart reveals that Dogecoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also approaching 75, indicating strong upward momentum. While this suggests strength, it also warns that the cryptocurrency may be approaching overbought territory soon. 

Currently, Dogecoin faces minimal overhead resistance based on its bullish structure. As a result, Carter has forecasted that the next major areas of interest are $0.287, $0.340 and the previous high at $0.445 in the mid-term. A support zone has also been set around $0.092, acting as a barrier to hopefully prevent steeper price breakdowns in Dogecoin. 

Analyst Projects Higher $0.6 Target For DOGE

In other news, crypto analyst ‘Ace of Trades’ on X has indicated that DOGE is showing early signs of a significant trend reversal. The analysis, based on the Wyckoff market schematic, suggests that the meme coin has officially exited the accumulation zone and entered the mark-up phase on the weekly chart. 

The chart segments Dogecoin’s multi-year price history into four classic market phases: Accumulation, Mark-Up, Mark-Down, and Distribution. For most of 2022 and 2023, Dogecoin traded sideways in the accumulation zone.

However, recent bullish activity has pushed its price firmly into the mark-up territory, signaling the potential start of an uptrend. This outlook is supported by Dogecoin’s RSI behavior, which has now crossed above its Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and sat at 53.97 at the time of the analysis. 

According to Ace of Trades, this RSI crossover highlights a growing bullish momentum and the early stages of a trend expansion. If momentum holds, DOGE could continue its upward trajectory toward the upper boundary of the mark-up zone, with the next key resistance at $0.34. Beyond that, the path to the distribution zone above $0.60 becomes clearer if volume and market interest continue to grow.

On-chain data shows the largest of whales on the Bitcoin network have slowed down their buying recently. Here’s what this could mean for BTC.

Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score Suggests Cooldown For Mega Whales

In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has shared the latest update on the Accumulation Trend Score for the various Bitcoin investor cohorts. The “Accumulation Trend Score” here refers to an indicator that tells us whether the BTC investors are accumulating or not.

The metric determines its value by not only looking at the balance changes happening in the wallets of the investors, but also referring to the size of the wallets themselves. This means that larger investors have a higher weightage in the indicator.

When the Accumulation Trend Score is above 0.5, it means the large investors (or alternatively, a large number of small holders) are in a phase of accumulation. On the other hand, being under this threshold implies the dominance of distribution in the market. These behaviors are at their strongest at the extreme points of 0 and 1.

Now, here is the chart posted by the analytics firm, which shows the trend in the Accumulation Trend Score separately for the different Bitcoin holder groups over the past year:

As displayed in the above graph, the investors on the lower end of the market (the below 1 BTC and 1 to 10 BTC cohorts) have their Accumulation Trend Score under 0.5, which implies they are distributing.

The story is different for the larger cohorts, who are in a phase of accumulation. The metric is sitting at 0.8 for the sharks (holders carrying 100 to 1,000 BTC) and at 0.9 for the whales (1,000 to 10,000 BTC), implying a strong trend of buying.

One cohort stands out in its Accumulation Trend Score, however, the ‘mega whales‘ holding more than 10,000 BTC. From the chart, it’s visible that this cohort shifted from distribution to accumulation earlier in the year, ahead of the rest of the market and obtained a near-perfect score on the indicator.

Recently, though, the group has shown another shift, as the metric’s value has come down to around 0.5 for its members. This suggests the cohort’s trend is now neutral. It’s possible that these humongous investors backing off on accumulation could have a negative impact on the ongoing Bitcoin rally.

That said, at least for now, the sharks and whales are still supporting the run. During the rally from the last couple of months of 2024, the mega whales took to light distribution, but the rest of the market continued to accumulate, providing fuel for the run.

The rally ended when the mega whales took to heavy distribution. Just like how the buying from the cohort this year came ahead of the rest, this selloff also arrived before the rest could move.

Considering this smart-money behavior from the mega whales, their Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score could be to keep an eye on.

BTC Price

The Bitcoin rally has stalled during the last few few days as the cryptocurrency is still trading around the $104,000 mark.

Bitcoin is trading at critical levels as the entire crypto market enters a high-volatility phase fueled by renewed optimism and strong momentum. After weeks of bullish price action, BTC has consolidated above $103K, setting the stage for a definitive move. Market participants are closely watching whether Bitcoin will break above all-time highs or face another rejection—either scenario could trigger significant ripple effects across the altcoin space.

Analysts are increasingly pointing to signs of an incoming altseason, where capital rotates from Bitcoin into alternative cryptocurrencies. According to recent insights from CryptoQuant, the Bitcoin Market Performance & Altcoin Spread value is now at 38%. This proprietary metric gauges relative performance and momentum across major assets like ETH and SOL compared to BTC. A reading above 50% is historically viewed as confirmation that an altseason has begun. With just 12 percentage points remaining, sentiment is heating up across the market.

This key transition phase could define the market’s direction over the coming weeks. If Bitcoin holds its gains and altcoins continue to outperform, it would mark a powerful shift in capital allocation—one that could set the tone for the rest of the cycle. For now, all eyes are on the 50% mark.

Altcoin Oscillator Signals Building Momentum As Bitcoin Approaches ATH

Bitcoin has gained over 12% in the past week and more than 40% since its April 9th low, confirming a sustained five-week uptrend that reflects growing investor confidence. This rally marks a key shift in market sentiment after months of volatility and uncertainty. With BTC now trading just below its all-time high near $109K, bulls are in control—but the real test lies ahead.

The coming weeks are expected to be decisive. Some analysts anticipate a clean breakout above the previous high, which would confirm a continuation of the broader bull cycle. Others argue that current levels may trigger profit-taking and a potential short-term correction. Either way, momentum remains strong, and Bitcoin’s ability to hold above $100K will be crucial.

At the same time, market dynamics are shifting. Top analyst Axel Adler points to the Bitcoin Market Performance & Altcoin Spread indicator—a composite oscillator that tracks how altcoins like Ethereum and Solana perform relative to BTC. According to Adler, this metric recently hit 38%. Historically, once the 30-day moving average of the oscillator crosses 50%, it signals the beginning of an altseason.

With just 12 percentage points remaining before the signal confirms, capital rotation from Bitcoin to altcoins could be imminent. Green dots on the oscillator indicate these historical inflection points. If this trend continues and altcoins begin to outperform, it would confirm a broader risk-on environment across crypto.

BTC Weekly Chart Analysis: Resistance Holds for Now

The weekly chart for Bitcoin shows that the price is currently consolidating just below the all-time high zone after failing to break cleanly above it. BTC reached a high of $105,706 before pulling back and closing the weekly candle around $103,850. This level marks a critical resistance area, historically significant from January’s peak, and now acting as a short-term ceiling for bullish continuation.

Despite the rejection from highs, the structure remains bullish. BTC is holding well above the psychological $100,000 level and key moving averages. The 200-week SMA sits far below at $47,375, and the 200-week EMA at $52,457, both indicating a strong long-term uptrend is intact.

Volume over recent weeks confirms rising participation, supporting the idea of growing interest as Bitcoin approaches price discovery once again. The key now is whether bulls can reclaim the $105K level on a weekly closing basis, which would open the door for a breakout toward $109K and beyond.

If the price fails to hold above $100K in the coming sessions, a deeper retrace could test lower support zones around $96K–$94K. Still, the momentum is bullish, and the weekly close above $103K keeps the rally alive.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Dogecoin’s recent rally is holding strong amidst a wider wave of inflows into the crypto market. In the past two weeks or so, Dogecoin has moved steadily from below $0.13 toward the $0.22 to $0.24 region, and the current outlook is a daily close above $0.25 to continue an upside move.

As the Dogecoin price continues to battle it out in the shorter timeframes, an interesting technical analysis suggests that the meme coin is already laying the groundwork for a much larger 30,000% breakout in the larger timeframe.

Trader Tardigrade Highlights Repeating DOGE/BTC Pattern

According to a recent analysis by Trader Tardigrade on social media platform X, Dogecoin is currently playing out the same chart structure that preceded its extraordinary 30,000% rally in 2021. His analysis draws direct comparisons between the current DOGE/BTC on the 2W candlestick timeframe chart and its behavior in late 2020.

On the two-week timeframe, the DOGE/BTC ratio is forming what appears to be a rounded base pattern, just like the accumulation phase witnessed before the move that took the Dogecoin price from roughly $0.0024 to an all-time high of $0.739 in 2021.

The chart shared by the analyst emphasizes this comparison by showing that both cycles began with a long period of suppression in the DOGE/BTC ratio, followed by a sudden breakdown during a surge in the price of BTC, which eventually flipped into a Dogecoin rally once Bitcoin’s price started to consolidate. The red arrows shown in the chart below indicate the support levels during the formation of this base. Finally, the analyst highlighted on the chart a new breakout phase that could repeat the one that preceded the 2021 bull run.

What To Expect From Dogecoin If History Repeats Itself

Trader Tardigrade’s analysis boils down to a sequence of three-phase events to watch. First, Bitcoin will undergo an upward move that will temporarily push the DOGE/BTC ratio downward as capital flows into the leading cryptocurrency. This has played out from the last 2021 high up until Q4 2023. The second phase involves Bitcoin entering a sideways trading zone, giving altcoins like Dogecoin room to outperform and decline in back and forth movements, which is the current range. 

The final and most explosive phase, according to the analyst, will be characterized by an independent 30,000% Dogecoin rally over several weeks, as it did in early 2021. With this in mind, the analyst projected on the chart a move to over 240,000 on the Dogecoin/Bitcoin pair. 

However, at the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.235. A 30,000% increase from the current price translates to a price target around $70.

Bitcoin is trading around $103,000 after a multi-week rally that saw the price surge through major resistance levels, reigniting bullish sentiment across the market. The breakout above $90K and $100K unlocked strong momentum, but now BTC enters a critical test zone that will shape the weeks ahead. A successful push above the all-time high (ATH) near $109K could confirm the beginning of a new bullish phase, while a rejection or fakeout at current levels could trigger a sharp correction.

On-chain data from CryptoQuant adds context to this pivotal moment. Since May 8th, short-term holders (STH) have finally moved back into profit territory as Bitcoin reclaimed the $99,000 mark. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for this group has remained above 1 ever since, indicating that STH are now selling coins at a profit. Historically, this metric reflects growing confidence and momentum, which are essential for sustaining an uptrend.

However, the same data also warns that as SOPR rises, so does the likelihood of increased sell pressure. For now, the trend remains bullish, but Bitcoin’s ability to maintain this zone—and break above ATH—will determine whether the market accelerates higher or pauses for consolidation.

STH Regain Profits As Bitcoin Eyes ATH Breakout

Bitcoin is showing solid bullish momentum after reclaiming key resistance levels, but a breakout above the $109,000 all-time high remains critical to confirm the start of a full-scale rally. After peaking near $105,000, BTC faced moderate selling pressure and pulled back into the $101K–$100K support range, where buyers have stepped in to defend the move. This area now serves as a pivotal demand zone, and bulls must hold it to maintain market structure and push higher in the coming sessions.

According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, a significant trend has emerged since May 8th—short-term holders (STH) are finally back in profit as Bitcoin crossed above the $99,000 mark. Their SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) has remained above 1 ever since, signaling that coins spent by STH are being sold at a profit. This is a crucial development because when STHs are in profit, they tend to support market momentum rather than capitulate under pressure.

Darkfost highlights that when SOPR begins pushing toward 1.03, it often suggests growing sell pressure from profit-taking. However, that’s not currently the case. While some profit-taking is natural, the broader sentiment appears confident, with holders showing signs of restraint. “It feels like we’re just getting warmed up,” says Darkfost, suggesting this rally may have more room to run, provided Bitcoin can hold support and retest local highs.

BTC Price Consolidates Around Key Levels

Bitcoin is currently trading at $103,585 after a strong rally that began in late April and peaked near $105,000. The daily chart shows that BTC has entered a critical consolidation phase just below key resistance. After breaking through the $100,000 psychological level with high momentum, price action paused at $103,600—an area that now acts as short-term resistance.

Despite a minor retracement to around $102,000, bulls have quickly defended the dip, signaling strong demand. Volume remains elevated, and BTC is comfortably trading above both the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $91,967 and the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $87,674, confirming a sustained uptrend.

The market is now in a wait-and-see mode as traders look for confirmation of a breakout or signs of a deeper pullback. A close above $103,600 would likely trigger a push toward the all-time high of $109,000. Conversely, losing the $100,000–$101,000 zone could invite bearish pressure and a retest of lower support levels near $96,000.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

After a sudden, brief pullback on Tuesday, Dogecoin has rebounded strongly as bullish sentiment returned to the broader crypto market, fueled by Bitcoin’s persistent rally. As the largest dog-themed meme coin moves close to key resistance zones, technical developments are pointing to an extension of the current upward trend toward higher price levels.

Technical Cross Signal More Upside Action For Dogecoin

Seasoned crypto analyst and investor, Trader Tardigrade, has outlined a promising trend that signals increasing momentum in DOGE’s 1-day chart. In the analysis shared on the X (formerly Twitter) platform, the expert highlighted that DOGE looks poised to continue its upward trajectory, with the help of a newly formed bullish cross, particularly the Golden Cross. 

A Golden cross is a technical signal that emerges when a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term moving average. The indicator often suggests a potential shift in price dynamics from bearish to bullish. This crucial signal, which is sometimes seen as a predictor of long-term rallies, comes at a time when DOGE is showing robust resilience in the face of wider market swings.

According to the analyst, the recent golden cross occurred as the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossed the 50-day EMA. Looking at the chart, the golden cross appeared after several months of bearish downtrend, triggered by a death cross. The death cross happened late January this year, hindering the meme coin for the next 4 months.

Trader Tardigrade stated that the golden cross marked the end of the 4 month downward trend as it put the meme coin back into positive territory once again. Since the development hints at the continuation of the current uptrend, the expert has predicted a rally to the $0.56 level in the upcoming weeks.

In a larger time frame, particularly the 1-month chart, Trader Tardigrade revealed that Dogecoin is finalizing cycle 3 as it gears up for a rally to this cycle peak. The expert’s analysis is based on past trends that led to DOGE’s most powerful move, classified under the 3 cycles. 

Each cycle shows DOGE’s performance from a bear market phase to a bullish market phase. As seen in the chart, the meme coin is currently in the final part of cycle 3, which signals a substantial move to a cycle top, positioned at the $20 mark.

Open Interest Surges Amid Price Increase

It is worth noting that Dogecoin’s Open Interest (OI) has significantly risen amid recent price spikes. With interest increasing, mood turning bullish, and buying pressure steadily increasing, the meme coin might be preparing for its next leap upward.

Glassnode reported that the Futures Open Interest has increased by +63.9% in the last week, while DOGE’s price declined from its most recent peak. Data from the on-chain platform shows that the open interest rose from $989 million to $1.62 billion within the time frame. According to Glassnode, this decoupling situation must be closely monitored since it points to ongoing speculative positioning even as price momentum fades at the time of the report.

Investors poured almost $2 billion into a new memecoin linked to US President Donald Trump. They did it in a rush to secure one of the 220 spots at a private dinner on May 22 at his Virginia golf club. But as soon as the cutoff hit, some big holders began selling off. That move left observers wondering whether the dinner was worth the cost.

Investors Racing For Invitations

According to blockchain data, about 34 of the top 220 token holders had dumped most of their stakes by Monday evening, just hours after the window to qualify closed. They had hoped owning TRUMP coin would guarantee them a seat at the table. Many seemed to think twice once the deadline passed.

Sudden Sell-Off After Cutoff

Based on reports from crypto tracker Inca Digital, the token’s price plunged right after the cutoff on May 12 before clawing back to finish Tuesday up nearly 9%. Prices can swing hard when demand drops. You buy high to secure the prize, then you sell before the next fall. It’s a risky move, but that’s how memecoin markets often behave.

Ethics And Regulation Questions

The idea of paying with a memecoin to meet a president has generated plenty of heat. Democrats, ethics experts and crypto lobbyists have warned that corporate backers or foreign players could buy influence. They point out that memecoins sit outside the SEC’s reach because they’re framed as collectibles. That puts them in a murky spot when politics and money mix.

Trading Fees Fuel Profits

The Trump Organization and its partners aren’t just standing by. According to Chainalysis, they’ve taken in more than $320 million in trading fees since launch. Over $1 million of that came after the dinner invitation was announced. On April 23, investors snapped up roughly $1.7 billion worth of tokens. Fees add up fast when volumes spike.

Somebody appears to have registered an HTX Cold Wallet for the Donald Trump dinner.

HTX holds $14.6M TRUMP in this wallet, making it the largest wallet registered for the dinner.

Address: 8NBEbxLknGv5aRYefFrW2qFXoDZyi9fSHJNiJRvEcMBE pic.twitter.com/etX8uImNCz

— Arkham (@arkham) April 24, 2025

Who’s At The Top

A leaderboard on the TRUMP site shows an account named “Sun” as the biggest holder. That wallet has been traced to HTX, the offshore exchange advised by crypto billionaire Justin Sun. More than half of the top holders appear to be overseas. Even usernames, like one investor called “noah” at No. 25, can’t hide real-world ties.

The First $TRUMP Competition is officially over! Details and what’s next for $TRUMP Below:

If you were in the top 220 on the leaderboard, check the email you signed up with for details on the Dinner with President Trump as soon as possible. There will be background checks that…

— TrumpMeme (@GetTrumpMemes) May 12, 2025

Corporate Moves And The Road Ahead

One public company, Freight Technologies of Houston, said it plans to buy $20 million in tokens. Its CFO pointed out they’re not after dinner invites. The move is part of a “digital asset strategy,” the CEO said, to push for fair trade between Mexico and the US.

Meanwhile, the memecoin team is rolling out crypto collectibles and a rewards points program for top holders. They’ve teased more promos soon. It looks like this is only the start of the TRUMP experiment.

Featured image from The Etiquette Consultant, chart from TradingView

Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has revealed the level XRP must hold above as it eyes a bullish continuation. He predicts that the altcoin could reach as high as $4.2 if it holds this critical support level. 

XRP Must Stay Above $2.50 For Further Rally To $4.2

In an X post, Egrag Crypto remarked that XRP must stay above $2.50 in order to sustain this bullish momentum and rally to $4.2, a new all-time high (ATH) for the altcoin. This came as he noted the recent break above $2.50, with the asset reaching $2.65 as a confirmation target. 

The analyst stated that it is crucial for the token to maintain the price above $2.50 or, at worst, $2.42. He added that if the altcoin can’t hold this level as support, then the $2.20 price level must hold as the macro support to keep the bullish momentum alive. His accompanying chart showed that 4.2 is the target for the XRP price if it can hold above these support levels. 

Crypto analyst CasiTrades also commented on the recent rally and highlighted the $2.69 resistance as the level the altcoin needs to break above to sustain its rally to the upside. This price level is the .236 Fib retracement from the ATH and a key level that the analyst remarked that market participants need to keep an eye on for a correction. 

If it fails to break and hold above $2.69, CasiTrades predicts that XRP could suffer another short-term dip toward $2.30 for a reset. However, if the altcoin holds above that resistance, it would enjoy an “explosive” move toward $3. 

Wave 3 Is On The Way For The Altcoin

In an X post, crypto analyst Dark Defender stated that the 3rd wave is on the way for XRP, which could send its price to as high as $5. The analyst revealed that the altcoin has broken the main resistance line on the daily chart. He added that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bullish at the moment. 

The crypto analyst also highlighted $2.3620 and $2.4690 as the key support levels for the altcoin, while $2.6553 and $3.3330 are the major resistance levels. Crypto expert Ansem also provided a bullish outlook for XRP. 

In an X post, he stated that it feels like the token is going to have one of the runs that Dogecoin had in the last cycle, where the XRP/BTC goes higher than any previous cycle. Following his statement, crypto analyst CrediBULL Crypto showed an analysis in which he predicted that the altcoin can rally to as high as $28 in this cycle. 

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.58, up over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.